Newbie 1365 - Vantasmagoria of Flower View (Game Over)


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Post Post #800 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 5:48 pm

Post by Tierce »

Votecount 2.10


(2)
TheIrishPope
-
(Thor665,)
MontyWhittaker, Nekoko
(1)
Nekoko
- TheIrishPope
(1)
Regfan
- Ms Marangal

(3)
Not voting
- Regfan,
(Ms Marangal,)
Mathdino, Thor665


With 7 alive, it takes 4 votes to lynch.
The deadline is May 13 at 5:55 PM PDT. Countdown to deadline: (expired on 2013-05-13 17:55:00)
Last edited by Tierce on Wed May 08, 2013 6:22 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Post Post #801 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 6:16 pm

Post by Ms Marangal »

The writing Tierce used to state that you replaced in, and whom is incredibly small and I couldn't see it. I knew you replaced someone, I just didn't check who

I also didn't miss your request, which is why I said I would wait until I get the go to hammer. The statement was made to show that a quick hammer isn't likely to happen anytime soon

His reaction to me asking him to claim though caused me to change my mind
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Post Post #802 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 6:30 pm

Post by Regfan »

Irish, I'd rather not vote until I've got through everything (Odds are this'll be the only day-phase I see; so need to make the most of it).

Ms Marangal, sure Tierces little lines are hard to spot but shouldn't using PoE tell you that I was replacing into Commanders slot? And there's a lot below that I want you to explain to me (Specifically your turn-around-read on Commander and your read on Nekoko).

Conflicted:

Ms Marangal:
I think my read changed on her more times than it did on anyone in the read-through and this isn’t a read that I’m super confident in alone at all but I’ll try and explain exactly where my heads at here (Sorry if it gets a bit longwinded). I like her statement of a vague town-read on Hana in – her reasoning behind it in is decent too. One of the bigger issues I had with her early game though is that of “I wasn’t defending X, if anything I was defending Y” feels like “Scum caught for the wrong reasons” – it’s rather overdefensive, I also don’t like the fencesit on Irish in that post, does both of those things again. Again, really find to be really awkward: Might be worth going to do some meta reading on her*. I do like the worry shown in the day ending too early in though and that does read townish (
Stares at Tierce! I’m allowed to use it sometimes!
) though I don’t like how she attempts to shift attention towards Monty and Irish instead and rather avoids Nekoko (If Nekoko flips scum this is another thing that makes MM very likely mafia). I find to be very similar (I like the ‘This is TvT stop it) but don’t like the fact that her scum-read on Monty is purely PoE which would mean she’d have to have a town-read on Nekoko for that to be valid but she never stated one. Okay, now to my absolute biggest issue with Ms – her reasoning and strength of her town-read in Shawn in in comparison to what it ends up with in is incredibly different and while I can understand that a re-read changes things a lot of the reasoning she originally used would and should have still been valid; there was only town motivation behind his posting and reads (Something she noted) so the change in stance there really feels wrong. First time that Nekoko is noted as a read is in stating “Likely town” without an explanation (That’s something I want by the way – when you read this I want an explanation on your read on Nekoko right now, but also what your reasoning was behind your read on her D1). Also explain to me the “My reads haven’t really changed” in and when your read on Commando was flipping in . Also explain to me how you state a town-read again and town-reasoning on Commando in , , to the turn-around vote on him in .
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Post Post #803 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 6:36 pm

Post by Regfan »

Irish, is there any way to ISO at the site you linked me to? ie. See all your posts in the game on one page.
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Post Post #804 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 7:57 pm

Post by Regfan »

Conflicted (Apologies for the length of this but there's a lot I need to get answered / down):

IrishPope:
This sadly is another read that my mind changed several times reading through the thread – I need to get a grip on his meta; so hopefully when I find out if ISOing in his off-site game is possible then I’ll be able to do so because a lot of his play that I’m having issues with I think may just be playerstyle based and not alignment based (Specifically the constant repetition of “I’m town, and ‘we’re in a way that it seems like he’s trying to force himself to fit in, also his worrying over his image rather than not caring about it at all which is what town should be doing).

I don’t like the reasoning used in (It’s illogical) but I’m not so sure it’s a scum-tell. I do like the “I’m not throwing my vote down until everyone talks ie. We have more information” – I can understand where Thors coming from stating that voting is needed due to it creating pressure but I personally prefer not to throw votes around like willy nilly and will only vote if I’m 1) Done reading everything 2) Am confident in a read and 3) Want to reaction-test or pressure someone and think it’ll lead to alignment-related reactions rather than just a nervous flail regardless of alignment.

I rather like – I think the “I’ll get killed for asking too much” is a town-tell. The change in attitude in is awkward though (And this is an example of what I mean re; Need to know his meta). I think him sticking to his guns and insisting on everyone from everyone rather than caving and appeasing people by throwing down a vote in is slightly town. I don’t like his read on Shawn in the overdefensive of “Same number of votes as me” is bad (But again, need meta on that) , the rest of the reads are decent though. is something someone is going to have to remind me to come back to very soon, there's certainly something important there*. I really liked both and , they come across as if he's 'sticking it to people' for telling him to vote earlier and stating that withholding his vote did 'the town good' and he seems to really believe it there, not so sure he'd do that as mafia. What I don't like though is - if he confidently believed both were mafia then there'd be no reason to unvote and the "If Shawn flips town I didn't want him, I wanted the other guy" reads as an attempt to distance himself from an upcoming town flip though his reasoning behind the unvote in is decent.

Okay, something I'm going to HAVE to have explained to me is and the "X thinks Y is town now" - scum must have daytalk! I'm assuming it's a joke but if it wasn't what made you think Sakura was mafia at that point other than the read-change and you repeat that you're not sure Shawn IS mafia but rather he LOOKS like one; If you believe that's the case then you'd believe that town can often look like mafia; do you think that's the case with you this game? I also want a few reads from explained in more depth; specifically Monty, Thor and Nekoko, you state that Nekoko is town there (I know your thoughts are different
now
but I need to know how you thought
then
) for being aggressive but you're also stating that Thors aggressive push made him scum so what's the difference between their aggressive pushes on the person that ended up flipping town. Also your scum-read on Monty is based on him lurking and being less contributive, how is this different from Nekoko who lurked through majority of D1 and didn't have much content?

Irishs vote-flip onto Nekoko in the manner he did it in is a decentish town-tell - he could have easily continued to push upon Ms and Monty without having to attack a new person and changing his read there when he wouldn't have needed to would attract more negative attention; something he'd have wanted to avoid. and is troubling though but will come back to that.
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Post Post #805 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 7:59 pm

Post by Regfan »

So all up gun-to-head I'd probably call a Nekoko + Ms Margaral scum-team at the moment (Their interactions and reads on each other fit so perfectly as a scum-team; ignoring each other for the most part, a little bit of distancing at the start, Ms being over-defensive when stated that she was defending Nekoko and calling her town now for what really is no reason at all) but I really need a lot of answers from Irish and Ms on the questions I've asked in the above paragraphs.

Thor, going to need you to step up your game too and help me here; if you think I'm missing something about Nekoko-Ms you need to let me know soon.
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Post Post #806 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 8:05 pm

Post by Regfan »

Oh, one last thing; Ms Margaral, could you link me to what you consider to be your best town and scum game please.
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Post Post #807 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 8:31 pm

Post by Ms Marangal »

Should have, if I was actually thinking...

I don't know what you looking at my Best scum and town game would do since this is far from my best performance but

http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=51&t=26455 - Scum
http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=83&t=25693 - Town

Irish and Monty were my top two scum reads Via PoE yes, though my town-read on Nekoko wasn't as strong as I would have liked it to be. Most of the things I drew for reasons he was town is based off Meta and I really don't see the things Nekoko does in this game to be coming from a scum mindset. I don't really know how to explain my town-lean on Nekoko

I gave Shawn a stronger read then what I was actually feeling at that point and the only reason I switches my view on him was due to the fact that I took a closer look at what Thor was stating against Shawn and it made sense as well as counter-act a fair amount of things that I used to defend him.

My town Read on Commando isn't as strong as I am presenting it to be, none of my reads are.

at the start of the second day, my reads haven't changed much. All my reads are weak leans one way or another and the weakness of my reads don't take much to change, hence the "haven't changed much"
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Post Post #808 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 8:37 pm

Post by Regfan »

Even if it isn't your best performance here the games will give me an indication of what your play is like as both alignments so thanks for the links (I'll carve time out and read them tonight). Process of elimination
only
works if your reads elsewhere are strong, if you're unsure of the reads you're ruling out then PoE will never help so scum-reads based on PoE based on weak town-reads doesn't make much sense.

Try and explain the meta and town-mindset that makes you think Nekoko is town because the "It's weak, I can't explain it" really really looks like you've town-read your partner so you wouldn't have to push on them and are unable to justify the read whatsoever when pressured about it.

I don't believe that your Shawn/Commmando reads weren't 'strong' and that you were intentionally hyping up the strength of them - that makes no sense to do whatsoever; the fact that you could throw out a bunch of reasoning that was very valid on the both of them shows that you know it's not just a "Gut" read too so the fact that you've moved back to voting Commando (Someone you've repeatedly said is town with reasoning attached) over Nekoko who you've avoided and can't explain the read on (Plus you've avoided my scum-read and explanation on her and my reads on everyone else, and everything I've done; I see no way whatsoever that you think this slot is scum right now, none yet you're maintaining a vote on it).
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Post Post #809 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 8:39 pm

Post by Regfan »

Yeah, growing more and more confident I'm right on Nekoko-Ms.

I'll do the meta-reading later tonight then I think I'll be ready to vote. (Again: Thor / Irish / Math / Monty - if you think I'm misreading something here between the two of them (Nekoko/Ms) you're going to need to speak up because staying quiet doesn't help at all and right now I'm pretty sure their interactions work INCREDIBLY well as scum. Haven't been this confident in a scum-team in a while too).
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Post Post #810 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 9:08 pm

Post by Ms Marangal »

http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... &start=500 actually, I like this for best town game

and I almost never give my buddy a town read as scum, even when said buddy is acting pro-town. At best, they get a null-read and some vague suspicion thrown in their direction. The only time I've town read a buddy is in the scum game I linked and it was a polygamist set-up. the town read was my "lover"

as for Neko, I had two games with her, one as a scum-buddy (linked game) and the other I was scum and she was town, She lurked the fuck outta the game I was with her in and she was fairly active and contributing reads and suspicions in the game she was town in. this is reminiscent of her town game

Dino, who I had as a decent town read, made some decent points on Commando which made me question my own read on that slot.

I also didn't say I intentionally hyped up the strength of my reads, I just said that I had it presented as a stronger read then what I originally had.
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Post Post #811 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 9:13 pm

Post by Regfan »

Commando was blatantly obvious town (How that's really in question is bewildering - he actually thought there had to be an IC as scum). Plus as I've said; you've ignored
everything and all my reads
that I've stated. Haven't commented on the multitude of reasons why I've said Nekoko is scum, rather avoided it.
In post 810, Ms Marangal wrote:as for Neko, I had two games with her, one as a scum-buddy (linked game) and the other I was scum and she was town, She lurked the fuck outta the game I was with her in and she was fairly active and contributing reads and suspicions in the game she was town in. this is reminiscent of her town game
Wait. Let me get this right? You think she's being active and contributing to reads and suspicions in this game and think she's town because of that? Are we reading a different game or something because I'm reading her as very clearly coasting through the game, only having to post when she has to and making very easy stances (Shaun!Scum, Irish!Scum - Thor!Town and no read on anyone else in the game really).
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Post Post #812 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 9:19 pm

Post by Regfan »

I mean this below was essentially a scum-claim (How he wasn't hung over Shaun is unbelievable):
In post 156, Nekoko wrote:
In post 52, sycorax wrote:Caught up.

VOTE: Shawn

atm shawn looks like scum trying to look super townie. Calling scum because a new player says they are new etc.?
In post 85, TheIrishPope wrote:I have my Hand of Suspicion aimed at Shawn. He seems so innocent. Real scumtell.
Finding TheIrishPope's post suspicious. His reason for suspecting Shawn looks the same as sycorax's reason

for voting him but the difference is that TIP didn't vote Shawn and his reason is weaker.
In post 156, Nekoko wrote:
Also I find Shawn suspicious although he looks like an aggressive reckless newb town
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Post Post #813 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 9:25 pm

Post by Regfan »

And the below again; If changing a read and voting someone you previously thought was town was a town-tell since mafia wouldn't want to appear suspicious via doing it to her then she'd have thought Shaun was town (Shaun did that on multiple occasions) and she'd have thought that Irish doing it now would be a town-tell. But she's not. She's selectively attributing tells to match her bullshited reads.
In post 736, Nekoko wrote:I actually like her vote on Shawn. It doesn't look suspicious to me. I don't agree with TIP's claim that MM joined the wagon to blend in or something. Voting for the player she previously thought was town would actually make her suspicious to other players so she's town.
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Post Post #814 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 9:45 pm

Post by Nekoko »

Meh I think I screwed up my first cop game ever...

I'm the town cop. I investigated MM as suggested by thor in
On day 1 I kind of suspected MM because I think scum would defend a suspicious player
(well I think I did that when I was scum) but she turned up town so whatever.
In post 736, Nekoko wrote:Never seen any suspicious post from Thor665. He obviously made a good case against shawn.
His scum hunting looks natural and doesn't look fake so I'm
inclined to think
he's town.

I actually like her vote on Shawn. It doesn't look suspicious to me. I don't agree with TIP's
claim that MM joined the wagon to blend in or something. Voting for the player she
previously thought was town would actually make her suspicious to other players so she's town.

And commandodude is
probably
noob town.
I tried to make it somewhat obvious if I was night-killed to check who I investigated.
Note the words inclined and probably are nonexistent in MM's


I still think scum should be here [Mathdino/sycorax, TheIrishPope, MontyWhittaker]

I got a feeling TIP is either a doctor or a jailkeeper before Sakura was killed.
In post 79, TheIrishPope wrote:Thank you sycorax! I will
protect
everyone, don't worry. Again, this is my first game on MS, but I have played online and in real life.
Also reading the posts from day 1 made me think that a sycorax/mathdino - theirishpope
scum team is possible so that's the reason why I included sycorax to my probable scum list
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Post Post #815 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 9:52 pm

Post by Regfan »

Hmm. Will need to mull on the claim a lot tonight (Does explain the bullshit town-read on Ms though) and the wording difference makes sense.

If there's a cop CC or a jailkeeper they need to claim ASAP. It'd give us a confirmed mafia.


I thought TIP's "Protect" was to do with Sycs saying that 'every town has a pope' in the post beforehand.
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Post Post #816 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 10:26 pm

Post by Nekoko »

In post 815, Regfan wrote:Does explain the bullshit town-read on Ms though
Well I don't know how to do a proper breadcrumb of a cop result to make it more natural
In post 815, Regfan wrote:I thought TIP's "Protect" was to do with Sycs saying that 'every town has a pope' in the post beforehand.
The choice is word is peculiar though.
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Post Post #817 (ISO) » Wed May 08, 2013 11:17 pm

Post by Tierce »

Searching for a replacement for Mathdino.
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Post Post #818 (ISO) » Thu May 09, 2013 3:58 am

Post by MontyWhittaker »

Regfan, your reads are interesting in light of your replacement. I had previously been fairly confident with a Commandodude town, and your replacement only serves to affirm that belief. Since you are calling for a claim of the power roles, I can only assume that you are not one. Assuming a Ms. Marangal/Nekoko scumteam, that means that IrishPope, Thor, or Mathdino would comprise the other roles.

So you are advocating a claim right now, correct?
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Post Post #819 (ISO) » Thu May 09, 2013 10:31 am

Post by TheIrishPope »

In post 803, Regfan wrote:Irish, is there any way to ISO at the site you linked me to? ie. See all your posts in the game on one page.
Sorry, there isn't, because the site isn't built around Mafia (although you can hit my profile name and there should be a View Posts button there)
In any case, I HIGHLY suggest you read all games, they're amazing

MM, I have two questions for you. But please, answer them separately and do not let them blend. It is of uttermost importance for the grandiose development of this game.

QUESTION NUMBER ONE: From a theoretical standpoint, you being the SE and all, what would be the best way to interact with Nekoko's claim and why?

QUESTION NUMBER TWO: Being a player in this game, what will be the ideal way to react and proceed with Nekoko's claim and why?

I suppose everyone can answer, especially the IC, but I want MM's say on this.

I ask because I have never been against a claim, so I'm not sure how to proceed.

I definitely am the best personification of a noob.
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Post Post #820 (ISO) » Thu May 09, 2013 1:39 pm

Post by Ms Marangal »

I havn't yet looked at your reads on anyone. I saw who you tagged as scum, and who you tagged as town and then as null but I didn't look at the reason behind them yet

I don't really know how you want me to answer those questions... I personally am Wary of the claim and I don't see why he would claim with little pressure placed on him, and more so why he decided to use me as a clear. I'm still reading him as town, though I'm slightly more suspicious of him but at the same time I can't see any scum-motivation behind such claims.

answer to question two can't really be answered any differently, every player reacts to claims differently though right now I would say give Neko the benifit of the doubt


you say you play amazing games, yet you are a noob personified? it doesn't mesh well with me at all

UNVOTE:
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Post Post #821 (ISO) » Thu May 09, 2013 2:33 pm

Post by TheIrishPope »

I never said I've played amazing games...
I ask to get an SE point of view and your point of view.
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Post Post #822 (ISO) » Thu May 09, 2013 3:35 pm

Post by Nekoko »

In post 820, Ms Marangal wrote:I don't really know how you want me to answer those questions... I personally am Wary of the claim and I don't see why he would claim with little pressure placed on him, and more so why he decided to use me as a clear. I'm still reading him as town, though I'm slightly more suspicious of him but at the same time I can't see any scum-motivation behind such claims.
There's 4 days left and I was predicting you and I could be lynched today.

And I'm also claiming now than claiming tomorrow because I feel there's a possibility that I could be night killed
or there is a possibility that if we had a mislynch today and I claim tomorrow, no one would believe me.
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Post Post #823 (ISO) » Thu May 09, 2013 4:55 pm

Post by Regfan »

In post 818, MontyWhittaker wrote:Regfan, your reads are interesting in light of your replacement. I had previously been fairly confident with a Commandodude town, and your replacement only serves to affirm that belief. Since you are calling for a claim of the power roles, I can only assume that you are not one. Assuming a Ms. Marangal/Nekoko scumteam, that means that IrishPope, Thor, or Mathdino would comprise the other roles. So you are advocating a claim right now, correct?
It's technically possible for there not to be another PR inside the setup - ie. Doctor + Additional VT setup (That said I don't think that's the case). But yes, if there's another PR claim from anyone they should claim right now because it'd instantly let us know there's one mafia inside of Nekoko + Whoever claims PR. That said I begrudgingly have to admit that the game looks very natural (The breadcrumb and reasoning behind claiming makes sense; I don't think she'd have gone "I messed up my cop game" as scum but rather been more defensive and perhaps held of claiming longer. There's one thing I do want to check though and that's the amount of planning she puts into her play as scum (Ie. What her play is like inside her scum QT's because if there's no history of her planning fake-claims days before and setting up breadcrumbs then she's without a doubt legitimate - I'll look into that tonight).

Since Irish has posted though and hasn't claimed PR I can go into what I had before that I was hesitant in stating - His Post 237 of "Too scared to lynch a PR" pretty much assured he wasn't a PR in that if he was there wouldn't be much reason for him to be scared of lynching a PR (1/3 chance of there not being another PR and only a 1/8 chance of the person being run up being the other PR if there was two). That however contradicted with his reaction to Ms in and where he soft-claims a PR the "Doctor is gone from a theoretical standpoint is that good or point" isn't something that's natural to consider as a VT at all; Why would scum ever consider shooting a VT claim that's considered scummy; so him asking that there makes no sense whatsoever where it does make sense with him thinking he's being lynched as scum and soft-claiming a PR (I think Ms saw this too which is why she moved from "I might hammer" to voting elsewhere).
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Post Post #824 (ISO) » Thu May 09, 2013 5:04 pm

Post by Thor665 »

In post 795, Regfan wrote:Thor!Scum from what I recall (I'm not 100% on this meta and I haven't played with him for a little while though so take it with a grain of salt) is less aggressive in pushing a lynch and doesn't like going 1 v 1 as much as Thor!Town does
If this is true I'm unaware of it.
In post 805, Regfan wrote:Thor, going to need you to step up your game too and help me here; if you think I'm missing something about Nekoko-Ms you need to let me know soon.
You'll get more from me on the weekend - work is pretty brutal right at the moment.

I basically buy Nekoko's claim.
I think your request for a JKer CC is pretty terrible at this juncture.
Frankly, I'm against the cop one too - but at least that one makes 'any sense at all'.
Everything else is too soupy for me tonight. I will catch up beter Friday night/weekend.
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