Mafia of the Raptured (Game Over!)
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- Tierce
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Tierce Cache Me If You Can
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Katsuki Cupcake
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Oh good, you remembered. ^^In post 873, Tierce wrote:If by "rather important" you mean he voiced a "pocket scumread on Tierce", that was it. And to that I say that Oversoul is incapable of reading me as anything but scum, so~
I however, am not incapable of reading you as anything but scum, which is rather worrying~Fluffy fluffy~~~ |"READING KATSUKI IS LIKE SOME SORT OF POSTMODERN ARTFORM"- GreyICE
Katsuki is by far more absurdly beautiful than Fate. (hai parama)
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Umm I remember a post by someone but you know... Lol rollback.
It was actually going to be important for my scum reads... But alas... Roll back.
I'll be... Here tomorrow.
Tierce I am curious how I went from "shape up you easy lynch even if you are town" to "sigh misreading me probably town" without ever really doing much in the mean time?- Oversoul
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- Tierce
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Tierce Cache Me If You Can
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One doesn't invalidate the other? At all?In post 877, Oversoul wrote:Tierce I am curious how I went from "shape up you easy lynch even if you are town" to "sigh misreading me probably town" without ever really doing much in the mean time?
But I'm clearly too busy to bother giving you the time of day, so by all means, have fun with that ridiculous paranoia. (>")>- MattP
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It was Kastuki, comparing my fakeclaims to Fate'sIn post 879, Oversoul wrote:Who was the person who compared another player to Fate or something? I vaguely remember that. I think I had a townread on that person because of that post
But Kat was town already so.
Also in regards to Syr, I thought Antagon flipped town until about 10 hrs until d2, I mean not for the same reason (what got me was the "Vanilla" wording in the flip)
I actually expected to come into today being quicklynched for changing the momentum off of HP onto a super duper PR. I also thought Tierce was probable scum since it seemed like she had hidden knowledge of Antagon's alignment
But ANYWAY then that didn't happen SO.SlappyKrust- MattP
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- Amrun
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Amrun Killed the Radio Star
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WHY ARE MY BEAUTIFUL POSTS GONE
VOTE: hp_leaves
For anyone who was SLEEPING when this was discussed... I think there are two scum teams and that Antagon was ghost hammered by the other scum team to protect hp leaves.- Amrun
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Amrun Killed the Radio Star
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I haven't read the new posts yet... I'm v v tired but I will do this when I wake up. I started reading them but I'm falling asleep. Just got home from work.- Tierce
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Tierce Cache Me If You Can
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?In post 881, MattP wrote:I also thought Tierce was probable scum since it seemed like she had hidden knowledge of Antagon's alignment
Oh, there was another thing.
My lightbulb moment might as well be clarified now. I had thought that there was a larger-than-zero chance of the Apocalypse role actually being scum, and wanted to see what Antagon would claim because at the time I thought he was scum being bussed.
He was scum and was probably being bussed (though anyone who thinks I am scum with him and was doing that ridiculous read-change dance with a scumbuddy who wasn't even a PR seriously needs their scumhunting checked), but checking through that won't be today.
PEdit: ...so your role PM shows you as Town inand you get confused? How is it surprising that (all) othersgreendon'tget confused on seeing "Town troll flip -> actual evil-looking non-Town-color flip" and make the "oh, he was scum" connection?
PEdit2: Two scum teams in a game this size with this mechanic would be horribly scumsided. Don't be ridiculous.- Amrun
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Amrun Killed the Radio Star
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I don't agree, Tierce. There are ALL SORTS of ways to balance two scumteams, and the ghost hammering of Antagon makes no sense any other way. I myself have tried interesting ways of balancing two scumteams in a game Vi played. Of course it's POSSIBLE that there isn't two scum teams; this is simply my THEORY. As you yourself said, if it's in the game, it will make sense in the end.
It was discussed much more extensively in the posts that got erased. Basically, I don't think the kills look like either of them was a vig, making the other options limited, and given how the end of the day went down yesterday, I think it's two scumteams. Also just a thing that probably shouldn't hold water in my head but does anyway... I first had the thought when looking at the purple color, because I was expecting red for scum. I was like "nahhhhhh" but then when there were two kills I was like "BUT WAIT"
I do agree about the confusion re: Antagon flip. I'm not entirely sure how that happened, though Matt's reads genuinely. Syryana's is another story. I know myself I excitedly scrolled to the bottom, saw purple and assumed SK, then read more carefully and concluded scum.- Tierce
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15p with short days, one more scum faction to hit the Apocalypse role at Night, and at least four scum to make it 11:2:2? No. Makes no sense. Now there MIGHT be a second anti-Town power, but I doubt it's more than one person, if anything.
Not necessarily, particularly in a Vi game that may (or not (!), see theory of Vi making this game just to meta-troll me) have a Tarhalindur role. Which I was expecting to be the Apocalypse role, but that would be far too simple.In post 886, Amrun wrote:I was expecting red for scum
(It's probably one of the scum.)- Amrun
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The color part is really not the part that is important. The important part is that it makes extremely little sense for scum to ghost hammer since Antagon was scum, and it makes EVEN LESS SENSE for TOWN to ghost hammer ESPECIALLY since no one has fessed up today.
The only other thing that even remotely makes sense is hp leaves being a big scum power (since Antagon was vanilla scum as far as I can tell), which STILL make hp leaves scum, sooooooooooooooooo.- Katsuki
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Vi games always has Tar. And Tar is always scum.Fluffy fluffy~~~ |"READING KATSUKI IS LIKE SOME SORT OF POSTMODERN ARTFORM"- GreyICE
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except for when tar isn't scum :S.In post 889, Katsuki wrote:Vi games always has Tar. And Tar is always scum.- Katsuki
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Man tigers did some wonky things this time roundFluffy fluffy~~~ |"READING KATSUKI IS LIKE SOME SORT OF POSTMODERN ARTFORM"- GreyICE
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Katsuki's Madness coming to you shortly: Nov, 2011!
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Okay, fferyllt case. Long you have waited, and I shall deliver!
Here's what I know about fery. She is, first and foremost, a trajectory girl. She doesn't explicitly townhunt or scumhunt; she watches people for how they react, how they get certain reads. For example, her analysis of Zach in #651 is an excellent example of how she hunts for reads; checks to make sure reads/votes/etc. match up with what the slots have been saying in previous posts. Long story short, she examines everyone's thought processes and makes sure they line up with what they normally do as town/scum (or barring a baseline with meta/experience/whatever, what she thinks they normally do as town/scum).
Now, given a brief understanding of how (as I see it) fery works as a player, here are the reasons I think she's scum:- Buddying/Appeasing the hell out of me
- Her reads themselves have very little trajectory
- She hasn't been scumhunting, the scumhunting she's done has been very superficial (key point here, fery is one of the least superficial people I know)
- Fluffy content (highlights of which being scum theatre with Mattp)
Spoiler: Yo buddies what up
I've tried writing this paragraph about why fery's buddying of me is scummy three times now, and I keep devolving into WIFOM. So I'm just going to say this: it is a plain fact she's buddying me and it makes me paranoid and distrustful of her.
Movin onward!
Fluff and stuff. Many of fery's posts are fluff inserted to provide the illusion of activity. Come, let me show you why...
Spoiler: Dandelions and Drama
Okie doke, I'm sort of compressing points two and three because they're so interlinked. What don't I like about fery's analyses scumhunting you ask. Well my children, I SHALL DELIVER! (and I'm not putting this in a spoiler, this is the crux of my argument and you can fucking jolly well read it)
In post 31, fferyllt wrote:I've been thinking about that newbie game. I assume pjo gambits no matter what alignment he is.In post 44, fferyllt wrote:
I haven't seen his scum game. I replaced into a newbie game that he had earlier replaced out of. The first 3 pages of that game were hilarious and Pjo IMO played a significant role in tripping up one scum player who just could not let go of his play or his replacement.In post 37, Zdenek wrote:fiery, pjo, tell me about pjo's scum game, or at least point me to the ones that you are talking about.
http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=27639
It was a perfect town win.
This was the first question mark I got from fery. Look at the progression here: she sees pjo gambiting, calls it null. When queried, she pulls a town game out and shows pjo doing wild shit(completely unrelated wild shit, mind you) as town. She then makes the assumption that the gambit is null as it would "be awfully easy to spot as scum". She doesn't query pjovek as to what he's doing. The meta she pulled is sketchily related to this (pjo wasn't gambitting in that game afaict, rather piling on pressure to people in early game). She caps it all by making an assumption about pjo's play thus far that is both lazy and based on a bad assumption in and of itself (e.g. that pjo is competent scum, which she knows nothing of since he has no completed scumgames on site).In post 47, fferyllt wrote:
I was asking mrbungles because they've played together elsewhere.In post 46, Zdenek wrote:
So why do you think that he gambits as either alignment?In post 44, fferyllt wrote:I haven't seen his scum game.
But, if he doesn't gambit irrespective of alignment he'd be awfully easy to spot as scum. So yeah, I think he gambits no matter what his alignment.
So we have fery making lazy and superficial assumptions, right on the first pages. Moving right along.
Takes and copies mah townlist, adds bungle for no apparent reason. She posts reasons, but not for ~200 posts or so.In post 110, fferyllt wrote:I like your town list. I'd add mrbungle to the probtown.
withholding judgement on Pjo.
And you're town.
Again with the no explaining things.In post 146, fferyllt wrote:aaand probtown on Pjo.
Up to this point, fery has not mentioned Whimsical in any way. No town read, no scum read, no comment on the slip, nothing. She is going with the flow, not voting, but calling a publicly acceptable target for a future vote.In post 166, fferyllt wrote:One post by whimsical, with the might-be slip. This game isn't exactly on fire with posts, but that's still pretty low involvement.
That's where my vote would go given the current state of the game.
Finally, an explanation on bungletown! And it has to do with... bungle's paranoia? *checks bungleISO* Yeah, totally not seeing that. Not seeing much of anything from bungle's ISO, for that matter. This was made up from whole cloth.In post 224, fferyllt wrote:I find mrbungle's paranoia about me refreshing and it's part of the reason why I think he's town. This is the first game we've played from the start, and I think if he'd had only a few posts to read instead of dozens in the dragonballz micro game he'd have had similar misgivings.
This came from out of nowhere. Zdenek mentioned her buddying Pjo twice (#73 and #216), yet she reads a "why pjo is scum" post and somehow her mind goes to "but I thought you thought I was scum buddying pjo?"In post 239, fferyllt wrote:
I thought your theory is that I am scum and buddying pjovik up.In post 238, Zdenek wrote:Why pjovek is scum:
1. Anti-town proposal of the mass universe claim.
2. Vote on Sword of Omens looks more like trying to look like he's doing something than actually doing something.
3. He made up a false reason to be suspicious of Sword - that Sword promised to continue lurking. When I called him out on it he kept pushing it.
4. When I questioned him about what he thought of policy lynching in this game rather than just answering he attempts to cast suspicion on to me for trying to instill fear and paranoia about the wagon. Now he's asking me why I chose to appeal to emotion, which never happened, and he's refusing to point out what he's talking about, and deciding to accuse me of not reading.
Zdenek says he doesn't think she is scummy for her pjovek read, and BAM! Free townread for Zdenek. Hmm...In post 250, fferyllt wrote:So, town vibe from Zdenek, too, it seems.
Scum need to come out and play.
Translation: "I sheeped Syr's reads on the two, but I went back and found townie-looking things in their ISO when you all asked me about it".In post 326, fferyllt wrote:I accepted Tierce and Enomis based on not seeing anything particularly scummy looking in their posts at the time, but have since firmed up my own thoughts
Tierce is pushing people for explanations - well, some people. She hasn't pushed me for anything but reads. Her concern about the whimsical eggplant bandwagon looks townish-MS since there's an expectation that if a person doesn't come back and answer questions they will be replaced. MS-acclimated scum on the other hand might be more interested in pushing that bandwagon through.
Enomis' quick jump on Whimsical's potential slip looks either hyper-vigilant town or possibly (lower likelihood imo) scum who has had similar thoughts or conversations. But, the concern when this bandwagon took off, the check on other postings and pointing up the possibility of a quick mobile catch-up looks like a town player worried about a bandwagon suddenly picking up an unusual amount of steam, and trying to apply brakes.
8 parts digression, 3 parts pjo, 0 parts meaningful scumhunting. She spends 75% of this part of the post talking about the background that pjo comes from but fails to tie it in to how that makes him look town. In her analysis of pjovek she talks about how his attitude is shaped by his background and that his gambit is town as shown by her meta. Yet the crucial links are missing: why does his background indicate his attitude is town? Why does the meta show his gambit is town? (a couple of anti-town posts turned around is a far cry from a mass flavor claim gambit IMO) There are many words, but two thirds of them are a digression and one third is a repetition of her earlier post w.r.t. pjo.In post 326, fferyllt wrote:So, my counter-to-the-prevailing-winds reads of mrbungle and pjovik.
They both play on a site where game days are short - 48 hours, I think, and although majority lynch is often the format, from what I've seen reaching 50% + 1 does not end the game day. Players can run the bandwagon beyond that threshold and back down.
I learned mafia on sites with 12-24 hour game days and plurality lynch. At MS, due to still not quite getting all the nuances of majority lynch ending the day, I tend to be either way overcautious about bandwagons or sometimes leap with alarming speed on a fast moving wagon. If you want examples of games where I've done one or the other, let me know and I'll provide links. Overall, I'm tending toward over-cautious at MS, but want to add back some assertiveness because I believe I'm more effective that way.
Anyway, that's a bit of a digression but it's important because it's why I am pretty good at reading players from similar backgrounds. But, I have some concern that I default to thinking the background-influenced style is town.
The MS norm of inactive players being eventually replaced is not a universal thing. pjovik plays where that assumption is not valid. IMO, pjovik's attitude toward the whimsical eggplant wagon is shaped by his mafia background, and I'm reading it as town in this context. I also am reading his gambiting as town. In the newbie game I linked and mentioned earlier he gambited with some posts that look anti-town on the face of it, quickly rounded on the people who reacted, and had a dramatic effect, ending what is fondly known as rvs in these parts.
Another repetition of this fabricated paranoia towntell. Fery is still operating on a townread from two hundred posts ago (generated at best on a shaky inference or at worst on an outright fabrication), yet she shows no interest in following up on that read or refreshing it. She claims bungle's lack of activity is slightly concerning but she seems content to leave it at that (<-- town fery? nooooope).In post 326, fferyllt wrote:re bungles, as I've said, the paranoia doesn't surprise me since this is our first time starting a game together, though I guess it does disappoint me a little. I've had the impression that I'm an easy read for him and others who who play the game offsite, which has been kinda refreshing. His low participation would be worrying me, but when I let him know about this game in sign-ups he mentioned that he would not be around much if the game started up soon. And it did start up soon.
This reads/concerns with no followup is getting to be habit-forming. Calls out concerns on hp, SOO, Antagon, no attempt to actually divine their alignments.In post 602, fferyllt wrote:I still think Antagon looks bad and I am not sure what to make of his claim. SOO bothers me. And I don't like hp_leaves nearly as much as I did mrbungles.
More of the same. Also repeats a fair amount of 602.In post 638, fferyllt wrote:I'm kinda concerned about hp_leaves and SoO after rereading last night.
I had forgotten why I thought Oversoul was town, but rereading, I feel pretty good about him being town.
zachrules has posted quite a bit. I can't decide if I just disagree with him frequently or he's coming to the game with a different motivation.
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This is perhaps the number one reason I am so convinced of fery-scum. I thought her stance on hp leaves was curious to say the least, especially considering she had a townread on his predecessor mrbungle. This reasoning for hp-scum is incredibly superficial and downright un-fery-ish. Look at her reasons for hp-scum: no reason for an unvote, hp hasn't interacted much with other players and has instead focused on Mattp and Antagon, the two main topics of discussion when hp joined in.In post 645, fferyllt wrote:Even though he didn't give a reason, the timing of mrbungle's 2nd vote on me fit and even sort of anticipated later reactions. hp leave's unvote is equally unreasoned, and he's not interacted at all with other players and just focused (shallowly imo) on two of the current main issues: MattP and Antagon.
This is incredibly, incredibly superficial (yes I'm repeating myself, fuck off). She's taking some things HP has done completely out of context: the unvote was HP's first move when replacing in, that's not freaking scummy; hp's concentration on the major issues at hand is perfectly acceptable considering that as of #777 he hadn't even bothered to read the game yet. It was patently obvious when hp replaced in he hadn't read the game as yet, but fery jumps on the "he's just concentrating on the major shit at hand he's a scumbutt". She's not even bothering to consider the whys and wherefores of hp's actions but only skimming his ISO and grabbing scummy things to shove at me in response to my question as to why she suspects hp. When I called her out on her reasoning, here was her response:
Her reasoning on the unvote being scummy is very weak and she doesn't object at all to my point about hp's thought process. If hp [leaves] were a legitimate scumread, she'd have questioned me, pushed me, challenged me,In post 653, fferyllt wrote:
It was a vote on one of the also-ran wagons. If the vote had been on the leading wagon, my first act as a replacement would have been to unvote if for no other reason than to ensure could catch up.
Upon ISO skim of hp, his unvote was when he replaced in. Why should he give reasons for unvoting from whatever his predecessor was doing? Why does that make him scummy?In post 645, fferyllt wrote:hp leave's unvote is equally unreasoned, and he's not interacted at all with other players and just focused (shallowly imo) on two of the current main issues: MattP and Antagon.
Ok, good to know.The point about hp being shallow and only focusing on mattp/antagon isn't bad, but hp's thought process is pretty clear IMO. From what I've seen of scumHP (and don't ask me to elaborate, I can't), hp doesn't have a clear thought process as scum.something. None of this meek "Ok, good to know" shiot. I should have pushed her more on it then.
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I also would like to note #651. I'm not going to quote it directly, but notice after all that trajectory analysis fery performs in that post she fails to actually say whether zach is town or scum.
Jesus H. Bloody Christ. That took meforeverto make.
TLDR: Go read the damn bullet points at the top. At least try to skim the wall, bare minimum read between the stars.
VOTE: fferyllt
PS: I will cheerfully swap my vote to Mattp if fery lynch doesn't gain traction, this should be obvious from the section on scum theatreIn the timeless words of a great and revered man: "Blow it out your ass."
A hydra of Rift Adrift, Oil Tycoons and Trust Fund. "In the Oil Rift we Trust."- Vi
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~Vote Count XXVII
hp [leaves] (3) ~ Zdenek, Amrun, implosion
MattP (3) ~ Tammy, Katsuki, hp [leaves]
fferyllt (1) ~ Syryana
fferyllt,Not Voting:MattP,(implosion,) (Katsuki,)Oversoul,(hp [leaves],)sword_of_omens,(Amrun,)Tierce(Syryana,)
--With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.
--Deadline is 04:20 EDT on June 26, 2013.(Only got 2 days left)Last edited by Vi on Thu Jun 27, 2013 12:09 am, edited 1 time in total.Everything you say and do matters. People will respond in ways you may never see. May those responses be what you intend.- fferyllt
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That was a lot of effort to put into a case for an inaccurate read. But, at least it helps firm up my faltering read on you, because I can't imagine you putting that much effort into it as scum.
I'm not going to refute it bit by bit before I'm actually awake (and maybe not even then...it reminds me of another case that was mostly accurate in terms of stuff I posted, but was describing things that clearly aren't scum-motivated since I wasn't scum).
Anyway, re the zdenek town read, it wasn't based on his read of me. It was based on his reaction to Pjo's early posts, which became a sort of sieve for me. Whether players thought Pjo was scummy or not isn't such a big deal, but how they came to the conclusion is. And, it's not been the best of sieves, since Zachrules pinged over it and he flipped town.
More later. Maybe.Amid the pressure of great events, a general principle gives no help.
On the path to becoming yourself, you'll need to choose alignment over validation from others, peace over addictive chaos, and being misunderstood over false acceptance. --TheHolisticPsychologistIdic- hp [leaves]
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The first scumslip Whimsical made. New players have a need to mention their scumbuddies in their first post, and he even went as creating a quote and fabricating a townread. Even if he did not knowingly included matt, it is much more likely that he slipped his buddies name instead of a random townie. The only other possible explanation is that Whimsical had some kind of information on matt that matt could not claim, butas both are vanilla (and matt is not the role), this is not the caseIn post 894, Tierce wrote:
How and why?hp [leaves wrote: post_id=5053220 time=1372061807 user_id=10128]Antagon flipping scum really implies Matt being scumWe must embrace the pain and burn it as fuel for our journey.- MattP
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You made an effort when you read your role pm initially to memorize the color of your role name? Wow, props to ya mateIn post 885, Tierce wrote:PEdit: ...so your role PM shows you as Town in green and you get confused? How is it surprising that (all) others don't get confused on seeing "Town troll flip -> actual evil-looking non-Town-color flip" and make the "oh, he was scum" connection?SlappyKrust - MattP
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