Unvote
From a flavor perspective, I can totally see Shane as a Serial Killer, and the Gov'nuh and his cronies as the Mafia. The Governor's crew aren't stealthy, they fight with guns, and they outright shoot their enemies. Shane was more of the crazy and kill them in quiet type. He killed Otis and said the zombies ate him, he took Randall into the forest and broke his neck, and he tried to get Rick alone and kill him in quiet as well. I'd say smothering with a pillow represents a player that is on the inside with the players and killing via stealth. Now all this being said, Venny already stated that flavor isn't indicative of anything, but I highly doubt he would say that chesskid got munched on by Walkers but really was a Vig shot. From a setup perspective, outside of Rick, the only characters I could logically see as Vigs are Daryl and Michonne, and considering their weapons (and again, I know it's only flavor) I don't think either would suffocate a player with a pillow or shoot them through the head with a bullet.
Shane as SK and Gov Mafia makes the most sense to me at the moment.
I don't quite have the trust MattP seems to have with the vocal town bloc. None of the three slots he's included have given me 'def-town' vibes. I'd say Sugar Cain > NBH > MattP at the moment since I could still totally see ScuMattP pulling the WIFOM card that he wouldn't do Hated Townie as Scum and everyone believing it. He was also the predominant driving force behind SK's lynch, constantly reinforcing it to everyone as they popped in. He's never really made up the town points. I don't hate him as scum though either because I feel he's too vocal to be for sure scum. It might be confidence in his ability to be charismatic, but I just don't see scum being one of the highest post count players and doing a lot of traffic directing without eventually drawing attention to themselves down the road.
John's (wayne in particular) anger feels genuine. Not worth my vote at the moment.
There are some players I want more attention on though... namely Red Coyote and Ellibereth. Ellibereth in particular needs more attention. I do not know Elli's town game, but I do know that in Magician's Mafia, Elli hardly posted ever, and was fairly anti-town as scum, with many of his postings very similar in vibe to his end of Day 1 yesterday. I'd like to make sure Elli doesn't escape notice.
I am more inclined to vote Pitoli over OGML if I need to choose between those wagons, just fyi.
Vote: Ellibereth
PEdit: Also, this game is moving way too fast. I pretty much only skimmed the last 15 pages. There were 21 more posts added after I hit Preview Post button.