Newbie 1419 - GAME OVER


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Post Post #200 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 7:14 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

In post 124, Brian Skies wrote:1) I don't appreciate the self-vote (anti-town move)
2) I want to pressure him in defending himself and creating more content
Your last post of analysis was excellent but this post is lacking a bit. In order to win these games, you need to be able to distinguish between anti-town and scum, and there are other ways to pressure a player and get them to speak (ways that are much more effective!). So, you've made a distinction on mail as town over scum. Now it's time to find a viable scum target and push; if you can't find one, you're probably not looking hard enough. If you want mail to produce content, best way to do that is by asking him questions or requesting a prod (don't abuse the latter). Bouncing reads off a town-read can be good for your reads AND can help you sort that townread from leaning town to probably town to definitely town.
In post 129, Verbs wrote:a. there are two mafia in the game right now. assuming that mail is one of them, this means that there is a lot less pressure on his ally due to the fact that mail is so high up on peoples radar.
But that would mean that mail is the leading member of the scumteam. Do you think that's the case?
In post 129, Verbs wrote:b. how do you differentiate between a townie with a safe opinion on the gambit and scum with the same?
Same way you differentiate between a townie with a safe opinion on a bandwagon and scum with the same. Does it make sense logically, is the position opportunistic, etc.
In post 129, Verbs wrote:c. surviving such a controversial opening has the direct impact of painting mail's future actions in a different light. in life we have opinions on people by taking into account all the information that we know about them and this can influence us, even inadvertently. if mail gets past this with little suspicion, it can make slips that are not as big/obvious seem smaller/less significant in the later game.
If he doesn't get past this, he's a day 1 lynch and his partner is pretty much screwed. Thus, if he IS mafia and pulling a gambit like that, it's likely that he believes he is good enough to dig himself out of the hole he creates. And if he's good enough to do that, why not avoid digging a hole like that in the first place?
In post 130, notscience wrote:No

But I love how it made Shii respond
Me too.
In post 132, Shiidaji wrote:From what?
In post 28, Titus wrote:
In post 27, JKMatthews wrote:
In post 17, Titus wrote:Also, if you have any assumptions regarding jailors and roleblockers, mention them now. When I came here, assuming the wrong things greatly derailed my first scum game as jkmatthews can attest.
Titus, yeah that really was your undoing in that game. So... if you're town you'd think it was possible m-m was scum... so why give this friendly bit of advice to help scum not slip?
This is a newbie game to help people understand the mechanics. It would feel greatly wrong to take advantage of a newbie's deficiencies in a newbie game when that happened to myself and I felt it was a little unfair. So yeah, I have no hard feelings but it doesn't mean I need to recreate the cycle.
I liked Titus's general response to M-M. She avoiding taking the easy route and capitalizing on the surface scummy behavior, which I really do dig. She was also willing to give advice to a newbie on how to play scum which is more likely to be coming from town than scum, believe it or not. There's no real motivation to tell your scumpartner something like that when you could just tell them pre-game, meaning that I can't see a reason for Titus to want to clarify something like that except for the reason she gave. I also really dug the reach out to Brian (we're both logical players meaning if you're town i'll see it eventually) because it has nice trajectory with her thoughts on Brian thus far and is also one of those moves that townies do more than scumbags.
In post 133, Shiidaji wrote:Reading through this again, I dislike how quantified the logic is here. Did you think through these and say to yourself 'Okay, this and this makes it town, but this, this and this makes it scummy, they are all equally valued in terms of scummyness/townyness.'?
Is it weird that the logic is quantified to shit? Yes.
Is it scummy? That's the question I ask myself as I watch the sunset at night.
In post 135, notscience wrote:Verbs/Titus scumteam, wrap it up and ship it to grandma.
I don't ship broken things to my grandma.
In post 149, SXTLHGaiden wrote:I'll this just in case. Don't just vote verbs. Please declare intent and allow him to make a case. Early mislynches will only serve to hurt us in the long run.
Thanks for being useful!
In post 158, JKMatthews wrote:Just because I haven't made a post that consolidates all my thoughts, I'd be surprised if you couldn't figure out where I stood with most people.
I can't.
In post 178, notscience wrote:Even if he IS scum we have NOTHING to go off of yet, and the day just started.
?
In post 178, notscience wrote:I'm willing to wager his buddy already is bussing him, but I can't tell who it is thus far because of how fast everyone jumps down his throat.
!
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Post Post #201 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 7:15 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

I'm very glad people had the same problems with JKM I did. I'm very confused how I'm the first one on his wagon.

Vote: JKMatthews
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Post Post #202 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 9:25 am

Post by Verbs »

In post 200, Nachomamma8 wrote: But that would mean that mail is the leading member of the scumteam. Do you think that's the case?
i am not sure what you mean by leading member here
In post 200, Nachomamma8 wrote: If he doesn't get past this, he's a day 1 lynch and his partner is pretty much screwed. Thus, if he IS mafia and pulling a gambit like that, it's likely that he believes he is good enough to dig himself out of the hole he creates. And if he's good enough to do that, why not avoid digging a hole like that in the first place?
im interpreting this question as essentially boiling down to "why would he attempt a gambit in the first place", the answer to which there is only one logical solution: that he believed the reward would be worth the initial level of risk.
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Post Post #203 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 9:32 am

Post by Verbs »

In post 201, Nachomamma8 wrote:I'm very glad people had the same problems with JKM I did. I'm very confused how I'm the first one on his wagon.

Vote: JKMatthews
can you identify some of his posts that sparked you the wrong way? i read through your iso and you don't directly mention him much.
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Post Post #204 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 9:37 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

In post 202, Verbs wrote:i am not sure what you mean by leading member here
the stronger member of the scumteam, in other words.
In post 202, Verbs wrote:that he believed the reward would be worth the initial level of risk.
right. but where the reward is a bit philosophical, intangible, distant, the risk is obvious and very real, meaning it's more likely to be coming from town. do you see where I'm coming from on that?
In post 203, Verbs wrote:
In post 201, Nachomamma8 wrote:I'm very glad people had the same problems with JKM I did. I'm very confused how I'm the first one on his wagon.

Vote: JKMatthews
can you identify some of his posts that sparked you the wrong way? i read through your iso and you don't directly mention him much.
#196 was the worst, but all posts after #183 were pretty solidly scummy.
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Post Post #205 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 10:03 am

Post by Verbs »

In post 204, Nachomamma8 wrote: the stronger member of the scumteam, in other words.
unfortunately i am unable to say. since his initial burst of posts we've gotten nothing from mail. all of the questions i've asked him have gone unanswered so i haven't been able to probe his mindset very much.
In post 204, Nachomamma8 wrote: right. but where
the reward is a bit philosophical, intangible, distant, the risk is obvious and very real
,
meaning it's more likely to be coming from town
. do you see where I'm coming from on that?
i agree with everything in italics however i am not sure that the bold section can be stated with confidence.
In post 204, Nachomamma8 wrote: #196 was the worst, but all posts after #183 were pretty solidly scummy.
i agree that the eagerness that he has displayed to get me lynched is suspicious especially how little regard that he is giving to the possibility of me flipping as town.
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Post Post #206 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 12:01 pm

Post by Amrun »

Flammus replaces mail-mi effective upon posting.

VC 1.5



Image


(3) Verbs - SXTLHGaiden, JKMatthews, Titus
(2) Flammus - Shiidaji, Brian Skies
(1) JKMatthews - Nachomamma8
(1) Nachomamma8 - notscience
(1) Titus - Verbs


With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.

Not Voting: Flammus


V/LA:

Deadline: Tuesday, August 27, 12pm EDT

Spoiler: Vote History
SXTLHGaiden
- notscience > mail-mi > Verbs
Shiidaji
Medoner
- mail-mi
Verbs
- Titus
Flammus
mail-mi
- mail-mi > unvote
Brian Skies
advocatus
- Medoner > unvote > mail-mi
JKMatthews
- mail-mi > Titus > Brian Skies > Verbs
Titus
- JKMatthews > notscience > Verbs
notscience
- Nachomamma8 > Titus > Nachomamma8
Nachomamma8
- Verbs > JKMatthews



If you spot any mistakes, please let me know.
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Post Post #207 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 1:10 pm

Post by JKMatthews »

:facepalm:
Ok, so I have something overwhelmingly embarrassing to admit. I thought Verbs was the one replacing out based on a brief look at the avatar rather than the poster name. Verbs posting all these responses confused the hell out of me, and so I've gone back and noticed it was m-m. Those posts were all from the mindset that Verbs was replacing out, and a fear of the replacement getting a clean slate of "oh I can't justify my predecessor's actions" that tends to happen. Don't take this to mean I don't still think Verbs is scum, it's just I don't think the lynch is as big a deal. Also hopefully it explains the "get the replacement to claim" confusion... sorry guys
In post 205, Verbs wrote:i agree that the eagerness that he has displayed to get me lynched is suspicious especially how little regard that he is giving to the possibility of me flipping as town.
It's interesting that you ask Nacho to explain the read, then you say "yeah I agree", rather than voicing your suspicions yourself.
In post 205, Verbs wrote:i agree that the eagerness that he has displayed to get me lynched is suspicious especially how little regard that he is giving to the possibility of me flipping as town.
Why is it suspicious that I'd be happy to see you lynched while not giving much regard to you maybe flipping town. Surely if I thought you'd flip town it would be
more
suspicious if I were still happy to see you lynched...?

Nacho - I agree it's odd that nobody's voted for me despite all the accusation... do you feel like that makes me more or less likely scum? How about notscience and Titus?
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Post Post #208 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 1:19 pm

Post by SXTLHGaiden »

prod dodge.
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Post Post #209 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 1:42 pm

Post by Verbs »

In post 207, JKMatthews wrote: It's interesting that you ask Nacho to explain the read, then you say "yeah I agree", rather than voicing your suspicions yourself.
heres exactly what nacho said:
In post 204, Nachomamma8 wrote: #196 was the worst, but all posts after #183 were pretty solidly scummy.
so i'm not quite sure why you are getting defensive. he pointed to some posts without really articulating his exact thoughts and i added in my own opinion about the post he was suspicious of. would you like it better if i didn't do that?
In post 207, JKMatthews wrote: Why is it suspicious that I'd be happy to see you lynched while not giving much regard to you maybe flipping town. Surely if I thought you'd flip town it would be
more
suspicious if I were still happy to see you lynched...?
i am not sure if i understand this statement. are you trying to say you haven't thought much about me being town so that justifies you pushing a quick lynch on me?
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Post Post #210 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 1:44 pm

Post by Verbs »

In post 208, SXTLHGaiden wrote:prod dodge.
any thoughts on the way the game is playing out? you've been very quiet.
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Post Post #211 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 1:46 pm

Post by JKMatthews »

Hardly defensive, I'm very much on the attack. You didn't ever say "I think the way JKM is pushing the lynch is suspicious", you said "Hey Nacho, can you explain your reasons for suspecting JKM?", then borrowed them. If you had to ask Nacho why he found me suspicious, it really seems like you're not scumhunting.

Not really sure how to make it any clearer. You're implying that by having confidence you'll flip scum, I'm scummy for pushing your lynch...
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Post Post #212 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 2:03 pm

Post by Flammus »

Howdy. I'm Flammus.
Sad to see I already got two votes on me. Anyhow, I'll be reading over these pages and get back to you. :)
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Post Post #213 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 4:34 pm

Post by notscience »

Get an avy or I'll make it 3
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Post Post #214 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 5:30 pm

Post by SXTLHGaiden »

@ not science: it took me a while to figure out what "avy" meant.
@ verbs: i'm not particularly surprised at how things have turned out. I mean, i was surprised that you were reached L-1 or were there for as long as you were, but knowing that scum couldn't just hammer you and claim ignorance to "intent" (i did this my first game), i felt that, as a whole, things were in a safe place. Knowing this, if I felt that the potential hammerer had a poor case, I would have unvoted and targeted the potential hammerer.
That said, I do understand where nacho is coming from voting JKM. I've only seen someone push a lynch that hard on days 2 or 3.
On that note, I have to agree with what JKM said in 211. If you felt that he was suspicious, even if it was after Nacho's explanation, I would have expected you to vote him. Any reason you didn't?
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Post Post #215 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 6:08 pm

Post by Titus »

UNVOTE:

I want to see this play out. JKM or Verbs both look scummy right now. Yet, their posts suggest they are unlikely a scum team together. JKM seems to be carelessly reading (giving the benefit of the doubt he wasn't pushing for an MM replacement fast lynch but misread) and strongly pushing lynches on Day 1 in the early stage. We have plenty to pressure with but lynch no.

Verbs seems to have scum motivation in his posts as previously discussed. Yet, he seems afraid to OMGUS.

The last few posts suggest they are not a scum team together though, at least that's my read.
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Post Post #216 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 7:36 pm

Post by JKMatthews »

UNVOTE:
VOTE: Titus

Commit to something. We both seem scummy but you're not voting for either of us? Terrible.

Also your post reads like you're saying Verbs being afraid to OMGUS is a point
against
his scumminess... explain?
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Post Post #217 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 7:41 pm

Post by Titus »

I am committed to being observant. I took a position but I generally do not play recklessly. The further Verbs responds to the arguments, the further I am to figure out which is scum.

No. OMGUS is spotted and discredited. Fearing of OMGUS suggests scum as they are focused more of appearances than actual substance. Yet was poor word choice due to fatigue.
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Post Post #218 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 7:42 pm

Post by Titus »

You seem to be committed to voting near randomly, so your vote has little meaning.
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Post Post #219 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 7:49 pm

Post by Amrun »

Shiidaji and Brian Skies prodded.
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Post Post #220 (ISO) » Tue Aug 20, 2013 7:51 pm

Post by JKMatthews »

And in the meantime you get to not take a solid stance on anything until everyone else has. Awfully convenient, that.

Glad you clarified, the "yet" threw me...

My votes are perhaps reckless, but they're not random.
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Post Post #221 (ISO) » Wed Aug 21, 2013 12:45 am

Post by Flammus »

Town Reads: Brian, our IC, Titus, Gaiden
A slight FOS: Matthews, Notscience, Verbs
This is only my beginning reads, so be patient.
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Post Post #222 (ISO) » Wed Aug 21, 2013 1:56 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

In post 205, Verbs wrote:i agree with everything in italics however i am not sure that the bold section can be stated with confidence.
not with confidence, no.
In post 207, JKMatthews wrote:Ok, so I have something overwhelmingly embarrassing to admit. I thought Verbs was the one replacing out based on a brief look at the avatar rather than the poster name. Verbs posting all these responses confused the hell out of me, and so I've gone back and noticed it was m-m. Those posts were all from the mindset that Verbs was replacing out, and a fear of the replacement getting a clean slate of "oh I can't justify my predecessor's actions" that tends to happen. Don't take this to mean I don't still think Verbs is scum, it's just I don't think the lynch is as big a deal. Also hopefully it explains the "get the replacement to claim" confusion... sorry guys
I gathered that from your initial posting. I don't understand why a replacement gives such a sense of urgency, though; what things has Verbs done that you need to be explained? You don't seem to ask many followup questions now that you know he's here to stay.
In post 207, JKMatthews wrote:Why is it suspicious that I'd be happy to see you lynched while not giving much regard to you maybe flipping town.
Your entire concern was a replacement coming in and not having to explain Verbs's actions. This shouldn't be a problem at all if Verbs is town, right? So it's suspicious you wanted the lynch before we determined if the replacement was town; your fear seemed to be that you would lose the Verbs mislynch and not that the Verbs slot would get away as scum.
In post 207, JKMatthews wrote:I agree it's odd that nobody's voted for me despite all the accusation... do you feel like that makes me more or less likely scum? How about notscience and Titus?
I don't feel the votes on you make you less or more likely to be scum. I don't think NS and Titus not voting you is a big deal, just strange.
In post 211, JKMatthews wrote:You didn't ever say "I think the way JKM is pushing the lynch is suspicious", you said "Hey Nacho, can you explain your reasons for suspecting JKM?", then borrowed them.
What reasoning did I give him to sheep?
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Post Post #223 (ISO) » Wed Aug 21, 2013 2:39 am

Post by notscience »

Hmmm
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Post Post #224 (ISO) » Wed Aug 21, 2013 9:38 am

Post by Shiidaji »

Reading up, returned home late last night.
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