Open 521: Jungle Republic (Alright. We'll call it a draw)


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Post Post #1150 (ISO) » Sun Oct 13, 2013 5:56 pm

Post by Yggdra Union »

Ppl please vote SV in their next post.
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Post Post #1151 (ISO) » Sun Oct 13, 2013 6:06 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

unvote


Just realized I didn't do that in first post.

I want to actually do more of a read of the game, SV is probably where im going to end up though.
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Post Post #1152 (ISO) » Sun Oct 13, 2013 6:52 pm

Post by Lord Mhork »

Vote Count 4.07

BOOMSHAKALAKA (0)
Alduskkel (0)
elleheathen (1) BOOMSHAKALAKA
LlamaFluff (1) Alduskkel
Yggdra Union (1) Shattered Viewpoint
Shattered Viewpoint (2) elleheathen, Yggdra Union

Not Voting:

LlamaFluff

With 6 alive, it takes 4 to lynch.


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Post Post #1153 (ISO) » Sun Oct 13, 2013 8:40 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

Well, I'm here and certainly not counterclaiming.
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Post Post #1154 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 6:39 am

Post by elleheathen »

Same. Now vote.
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Post Post #1155 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 11:41 am

Post by Yggdra Union »

In post 1147, Shattered Viewpoint wrote:Yggdra, are you following Ald's plan? If so, why do you think I'm a wolf?

unvote

Vote: Yggdra
This guy

Needs more votes on him

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Post Post #1156 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 3:52 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

In post 1154, elleheathen wrote:Same. Now vote.
Before LF reads and Boom comes back? No.

Honestly, this just makes me more nervous about the possibility of LF/you wolfteam >.>
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Post Post #1157 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 3:59 pm

Post by Yggdra Union »

What do you exactly want to hear from boom?
SV voted claimed maf. That enough is already a damn good sign that he's a wolf.
Or perhaps... are you stalling?
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Post Post #1158 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 4:00 pm

Post by Yggdra Union »

Also LF already gave out reads: you/SV wolf.
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Post Post #1159 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 4:08 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

What do I get from Boom? Potentially a counterclaim. Any reads they might have. Also:
In post 1151, LlamaFluff wrote:
unvote


Just realized I didn't do that in first post.

I want to actually do more of a read of the game, SV is probably where im going to end up though.
And anyway, what reason do I have to stall if I'm a wolf?
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Post Post #1160 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 4:42 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

In post 928, Alduskkel wrote:
In post 917, elleheathen wrote:Idk, I def agree on Alduskkel but TK?

I agree that the 'thrown in there' part of balds read looks like he's implicating TK - but the fact that it's Aldus who calls it out makes me iffy - could be bussing or could be trying to use that
to
implicate.
Or -- get this -- I could be town and making a perfectly valid point. Imagine that. Do my interactions with baldeagle seriously read as scum? Please go through my iso.

Anyway, need my own damn table here:
Elle
Om - unlikely Mafia
ace - Seer (TOWN)
Krazy
Aeronaut (TK)
Boom - not a Werewolf
YU - not a Werewolf, unlikely Mafia

Cut off the likely/confirmed Town:
Elle
Om - unlikely Mafia
Krazy
Aeronaut (TK)
Boom - not a Werewolf

Mafia are probably Aeronaut and Boom/Krazy/elle. Werewolves are probably in Krazy/elle/Om.

IF Aeronaut is Mafia then I think it follows from there that elle is also Mafia, because she's nudging me forward ahead of Aeronaut as a lynch target.

If all that's true, then the Mafia are Aeronaut and elle, and the Werewolves are Krazy and Om.

Therefore:
Vote: Krazy


L-1 I believe.
Few things from this

1) "If Aero is mafia". Where are you getting that "if"? Seems arbitrary designation to me.
2) If the wolf group was krazy/OOTN/elle why are you voting Aero/me now? Did the Krazy-mafia flip make OOTN/elle less likely to be wolf somehow?

@YG - I still want to think on this. I think Adul is more likely wolf independently of everything else.
@Adul - Are you really going to continue to claim im wolf after the mafia claim? Because if you want to believe im wolf I just took all of the win chance out of my own hands by forcing that through if that's the case.
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Post Post #1161 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 4:52 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

1. I don't recall. That was 3 weeks ago. I guess I thought Aeronaut was Mafia back then? Don't know.
2. Again: 3 weeks ago. 1 game Day, too. My reads have changed, and you'll notice I basically say that I'm going to have to redo my PoE just 10 posts later.

As for "throwing out your win chance" ... won't you just kill YU? Then you'll get me lynched and win. That's how I imagine it'll go, anyway.
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Post Post #1162 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 5:02 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

In post 1161, Alduskkel wrote:As for "throwing out your win chance" ... won't you just kill YU? Then you'll get me lynched and win. That's how I imagine it'll go, anyway.
So... OOTN is wolf? If that's your train of thought it would have to be a truth.

Also the OOTN/elle as wolf was a pretty recent read, nothing new outside of Krazy-mafia has been revealed there. When there are four possible wolf reads for you at that point, you moved essentially your #4 to the top spot with the #1 being mafia. That's a bit of a major shift that I don't see any clear reason you have backing it up.
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Post Post #1163 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 5:09 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

You started with the assumption that SV would flip wolf by saying that you took away your own chance at winning. I
continued
along that train of thought.

I said in that post that I thought it was elle/Aeronaut for Mafia, and then Krazy/Om for Wolves. Krazy flipped Mafia instead. That required a repairing.
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Post Post #1164 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 5:14 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

In post 1163, Alduskkel wrote:I said in that post that I thought it was elle/Aeronaut for Mafia, and then Krazy/Om for Wolves. Krazy flipped Mafia instead. That required a repairing.
But
Werewolves are probably in Krazy/elle/Om.
Here you list all but Aero as wolf. Even removing Krazy then you have elle/OOTN left.
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Post Post #1165 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 5:18 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

I think it's become abundantly clear that elle/SV is just NOT the wolf pair in this game.
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Post Post #1166 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 5:24 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

If the game is just going to end in a draw (as you and YU think), then what's the point of all this questioning?
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Post Post #1167 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 5:29 pm

Post by LlamaFluff »

Alduskkel wrote:I think it's become abundantly clear that elle/SV is just NOT the wolf pair in this game.
So I should be voting you? Also it should be abundantly clear that elle/me is NOT the wolf pair. Mostly given how OOTN isn't dead right now and such.
In post 1166, Alduskkel wrote:If the game is just going to end in a draw (as you and YU think), then what's the point of all this questioning?
Because we still have to lynch wolf here.

Then wolf decides if they go for broke or not.
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Post Post #1168 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 5:42 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

1. Why would you vote me over SV?
2. If you're going to lynch SV then questioning me won't matter if the game is drawn.
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Post Post #1169 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 10:55 pm

Post by Yggdra Union »

Then vote SV so we can move along already.
Its about time that this day needs to end.
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Post Post #1170 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 11:02 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

In post 1156, Alduskkel wrote:Before LF reads and Boom comes back? No.
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Post Post #1171 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 11:03 pm

Post by Alduskkel »

Well, I guess mostly the second part of that now.
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Post Post #1172 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 11:19 pm

Post by Yggdra Union »

There's really no need to.
Everyone is calling SV wolf and he's not dead yet.
Also at this rate boom's gonna get replaced.
Save the mod some trouble. (He's dying tonight obv for being confirmed town)
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Post Post #1173 (ISO) » Mon Oct 14, 2013 11:20 pm

Post by Yggdra Union »

And that everyone includes boom.

Also at this point llama is painfully town so idk why you're voting him.
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Post Post #1174 (ISO) » Tue Oct 15, 2013 7:36 am

Post by Alduskkel »

Last I checked Boom was voting elle.

LF ain't obv town, bro.

Anyway, I've already made up my mind that I'm not going through with any lynch until Boom shows up, so you're just going to have to deal with it.
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