Marketplace Mafia III - Game Over

[1baldeagle1]

Hiriaki, given the posts around the time Governor was activated, who do you think it was?

[Garuda]

Why are you turning to that shit again when it clearly didn't work for deadline?

[pieguyn]

^

[Harakiri]

Espeon went over the limit of idiocy, pie.

And anyone wanna take bets on an Eagle/Mhurk scumteam?

[Lost Butterfly]

Bah. Right now, I think both eagle and Espeonage are solid lynches. Slightly prefer Espeonage, actually, just because his vote hops on the last page have been terrible and inconsistent with the opinions he's given, as thought they're based more on convenience than conviction.

VOTE: Espeonage

Mhork is another early town read who's been sinking fast, but it's only today that I've started having doubts, and I'd rather wait and see if it's not just temporary apathy. I actually liked ProHawk's post-govern paranoid tinfoil hat posts enough to give him a reprieve for now.

Quilford's more recent posts on BBmolla show more nuance than the ones I voted him for (although he's still wrong), but I'm still uneasy about this slot right now.

Also, I really would have preferred if people hadn't pointed out the "scum governed town" theory, because there's a chance Nero might have claimed scum in order to communicate with the other team if he thought he was busted. Now, tomorrow's decision is much more stressful than it needs to be. I still believe that the govern is a very, VERY strong hint that Nero is scum, though, particularly given the scumteam who used it would have no way at all of predicting where the lynch would go otherwise. And they're wasting the chance to protect one of their own instead.

(Voided, I meant I outed myself as the cop for Nero, basically for nothing, which means I'm very pessimistic about getting a second result.)

[Lost Butterfly]

I don't like how basically all my non-Nero suspects right now are people who used to be townreads.

[pieguyn]

I love how I had no support for Esp earlier and now everyone's suspecting him

[Lost Butterfly]

His hops from Garuda to ProHawk to Harakiri were skeevy as hell.

[Lost Butterfly]

I don't like this, though. I feel like there's a piece of evidence in favour of everyone in the game being town. But Espeonage seems like a good PoE vote when most of his "hard" towntells (Klick's self-vote and subsequent unexplained disappearance, the PM slip) are things that have conceivable explanations from scum!Espy.

(Right now, I'm entertaining a paranoid theory that Klick was secretly force-replaced by Magua because his replace-out feint and self-vote compromised his slot. Except I think this would make Espeonage town. AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!)

Agree that baldeagle's reaction to the govern felt fake. (It felt like an "I need to react to this SOMEHOW, but how?" post--leaving aside the delay, it was too similar to pieguyn's reaction.) Also, his responses to Harakiri were kind of null, icky, "Why me? Why not them?" stuff. Not sure I should completely throw away my read of his D1 play, though.

[Lost Butterfly]

I know everyone was distracted by the govern, but can people please weigh in on this? (Also, if I forgot your name, you're in the third group.)

The Current Plan

If your name is Lost Butterfly or pieguyn, do whatever you want. ^_^

If your name is Nero Cain, upside down, BBmolla, ProHawk, Ghostly Penguin, 1baldeagle1, or Espeonage, then roll a die. If you roll a 1, send all your money to LB. If you roll a 2, you send it all to pieguyn. If you roll a 3, you send it to the town read of your choice (doesn't matter who, as long as it's someone who isn't you and who YOU strongly believe is town). You must claim whom you sent this money to TOMORROW. You should not advertise anything.

If your name is Garuda, zMuffinMan, Harakiri, Voidedmafia, or Lord Mhork, you must do the above, but only send $50 instead of everything you have. You must ALSO advertise $5 on each of the following abilities.
Cop
Watcher
Doctor
Wage Freeze

If you don't have enough funds to send the $50, concentrate on advertising the full amount and just send what you have left over. If you have more than $50, spend the rest of your money however you see fit.

(If someone has objections to this plan, speak

now

.

).

[Harakiri]

As I said earlier, it's a fine plan. But I said that about the last plan too.

[Lost Butterfly]

...okay.

Given that there are people in this game who have doubts to your alignment right now...

...I don't....I don't suppose it would be too much for you to, I don't know, actually

follow

the plan?

You know, to set an example for

ProHawk

the younger members of the class?

[Harakiri]

Those players are fools.

And I'll consider it. I need to do some financing first.

[Lost Butterfly]

I'm debating adding a third town read to the pool. Maybe Garuda, except quite a few people aren't town-reading them strongly. (For the record, if you roll a 3, you may send your money to me or pie, or you can send it to someone else. Change it up a bit.)

Also, financing is for chumps. You should be like me, and blow all your money on overpriced abilities that go for obscenely high. Wheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee! Shopping sprees!

[Harakiri]

Third townread should be either Garuda or me, yeah, but different people will object to both.

I tried blowing all my money on expensive abilities multiple times this game, all it's made me do is be a VT the whole game.

[pieguyn]

if tomorrow ends up being MYLO we should do a full massclaim right

also we should assume it's LYLO bc missing kill on N1. in other words we can't NL

the plan seems good but we might wanna add another townread. also I don't think it's a good idea to give people the option to send it to "whoever they want" cause if they happen to be scum then can just do nothing or transfer it to a teammate 0.0

[pieguyn]

you know what

if scum is hoarding another NK and Voided is lying about EV then today is LYLO. it could explain the extra use of governor

we need to watch out

unvote

[pieguyn]

*early

[Lost Butterfly]

Well, they have to justify their choice.

"Nero's my strongest town read! I sent all my money to him..."

Actually, I could see a couple of people doing that.

I think Garuda or Harakiri is who I'd nominate. Is there time to put it to a vote?

[pieguyn]

I prefer Garuda or Harakiri

but I might be wrong so

[Voidedmafia]

and Voided is lying about EV

I'm. Not.

Espeon went over the limit of idiocy, pie.

And anyone wanna take bets on an Eagle/Mhurk scumteam?

I'd bet on not likely, honestly.

[Ghostly Penguin]

I'll send money to a town read. I won't promise not to advertise anything, although I'll claim any advertisements. And I won't promise to send all of my money pending the results of today.

VOTE: Eagle

The people on the wagon look decent.

--PA

[ProHawk]

I literally hate this game, and me not having time to do proper analysis just adds to my frustration. Sorry guys.

VOTE: Espeonage

[zMuffinMan]

Right now, I think both eagle and Espeonage are solid lynches. Slightly prefer Espeonage, actually, just because his vote hops on the last page have been terrible and inconsistent with the opinions he's given, as thought they're based more on convenience than conviction.

basically where i'm at right now

i'm tired right now. i'll probably wake up and do a little reading then make a decision before i head to work in the morning

[Lost Butterfly]

I literally hate this game, and me not having time to do proper analysis just adds to my frustration. Sorry guys.

VOTE: Espeonage

I really wouldn't have expected you to vote that way, particularly given the wagon composition.