Xenosaga Mafia (Game Over)


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Post Post #3375 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 10:04 am

Post by borkjerfkin »

Votecount 6.5


[2] pidgey (sangres, zMuffinMan)
[2] Venmar (Skullduggery, mastin2)
[1] mastin2 (Venmar)
[1] zMuffinMan (pirate mollie)

[3] Not Voting (ActionDan, pidgey, Iecerint)

With 9 alive, it is 5 to lynch.

Let me know if you see any problems.

Deadline is in (expired on 2014-03-26 08:00:00)
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Post Post #3376 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 10:06 am

Post by borkjerfkin »

ActionDan was prodded.
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Post Post #3377 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 10:09 am

Post by borkjerfkin »

In post 3374, Iecerint wrote:Who replaced Cephrir? I don't see him in the OP other than among the dead.
Crap, I did it again (ask orcinus why he almost didn't get a xenoblade scummie).

Fixing - thanks for finding this.
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Post Post #3378 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 10:18 am

Post by ActionDan »

hmm.

I mean this game is like. dead to me.

I guess I'll give it a try tomorrow.
I'll give you a moment to let that sink in
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Post Post #3379 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 10:26 am

Post by Iecerint »

Uh. So who used to be person #6?
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Post Post #3380 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 10:28 am

Post by borkjerfkin »

In post 3379, Iecerint wrote:Uh. So who used to be person #6?
cephrir should always have been listed there. His removal was accidental.
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Post Post #3381 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 11:25 am

Post by Skullduggery »

In post 3369, mastin2 wrote:As an aside:
zMuffinman and Venmar really look like scumbuddies.
Their whole interaction.

Their whole way of going about things.
How they're treating each other.
And even how they treat others treating the other.

All looks like scumbuddies.
Can you pull up some examples of this when you get a minute?
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Post Post #3382 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 3:08 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

on phone atm so not gonna do lengthy response but @mastin give me examples of the town stances you think mollie has taken this game

also the inference i made about the mafia tracker, apart from being completely contrary to what id actually do as scum, wasn't a difficult inference if you take bork mod meta and ssk's claimed actions (on top of him being obv scum). may elaborate later if you really don't understand
spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh
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Post Post #3383 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 3:28 pm

Post by sangres »

In post 3382, zMuffinMan wrote:on phone atm so not gonna do lengthy response but @mastin give me examples of the town stances you think mollie has taken this game

also the inference i made about the mafia tracker, apart from being completely contrary to what id actually do as scum, wasn't a difficult inference if you take bork mod meta and ssk's claimed actions (on top of him being obv scum). may elaborate later if you really don't understand
I agree this wasn't a great leap.

However, if it turns out you are scum then Nacho's license to read you in sangres games is every bit as revoked as my license to read Nacho in Morph games.

I think you're one of the few MS players who can fully appreciate that statement.
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Post Post #3384 (ISO) » Wed Mar 19, 2014 4:15 pm

Post by zMuffinMan »

ok

but he happens to be right here so not a major issue
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Post Post #3385 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 1:43 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

dear jeanne,

ok, so i'll spell out the mafia tracker thing in very simple terms -

bork doesn't like rolecops (at least as far as i know, i've never seen him use one) and these xeno games in particular are games that are bad for a "rolecop" because no role is as simple as "X", all roles have different names (and especially in xenogears, roles weren't even standard, though that's less of an issue here). but what bork _does_ do instead of rolecops is have a reliable investigative role (whether that be the flavour cop in imperishable night, the vanilla cop in xenogears, or the ability cop in xenoblade). he's also not a huge fan of including "standard" major roles that aren't modified or gated in some way (basically all investigative, protective, etc roles are modified in some way so that they're not "normal") - you can see my thoughts here when i questioned in thread whether bork ever includes a plain investigative role like that (which i would actually argue makes me fairly fucking obvtown because i woulda not only talked mafiassk through his claim, but also come up with a more believable claim). what i also know about bork is that he gives fake-claims that make sense based on the actual role of the player. so i looked at mafiassk's claim, i looked at his explanation for his actions, and i looked at his overall play and concluded he was scum, and i also concluded that he was scum who was given a tracker fake-claim because he actually was a tracker. this is not a big inference, and anyone who was thinking about things should have made the same inference

that doesn't seem to be all that major an issue for you, but i figured i'd clarify it in the interests of being transparent

on to other stuff you said about me

i don't know where you're getting that i've just "been there". maybe day one, but even then i was pretty active and engaging people even if it was mixed with less serious posts. possibly day two (but that was relatively short and i did not expect a hammer to happen that quickly, so :/). but d3 onwards? i'm pretty sure i was _the_ most vocal player in pushing the mafiassk lynch, i was also arguably _the_ most vocal player in pushing the aegor lynch through (coz, hey, go figure, it was after like a 2-page exchange with me that he got fed up and self-voted - and while it may not have been entirely because of me, i wasn't exactly "just there" when it happened). D5 and D6? i've been making my opinions pretty fucking clear and i've been vocal about it.

my stances don't make sense? which ones? coz i've made most of my thoughts on things pretty transparent and i literally don't know which stances you are referring to here. unless this was a reference to me thinking mafiassk was mafia tracker? i dunno

same with my posting not being solid. like, i've made cases, i've argued against cases, i've pushed my thoughts, i've repsonded to people, i don't really know what you're expecting in terms of "solid" posting or why you think my posts haven't been solid




now what i'm actually interested in is your read on mollie (and elaboration on venmar since you still haven't done the analysis you promised, but whatever)

what about her play has been "town"?

coz when she's town i expect to see her opinions on things, on players, reads and explanations for them, pushes on people, etc, and so far in this game? you could maybe argue she did it d5 or d6 with me? prior to that, though, there's a void. there's no strong stances on anything. there's no reads list apart from a weak one d1 where she basically called everyone town. there's none of that "solid" posting you're criticising me about. so where did the town read come from?

and even IF you were right and sangres was strongly town reading mollie (and their read doesn't seem as strong as you're making it out to be; maybe nacho's still strongly town reading mollie, i dunno, haven't heard from him lately about it), why the fuck do you think i care whether you and sangres happen to be reading her as town? you're not presenting any reasoning for it that makes any sense and you're not even really looking at what she's writing now (and i'm not sure how much of that is because you think i'm scum and how much of that is because you're just not reading it)
spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh
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Post Post #3386 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 1:46 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

Jeanne wrote:As an aside:
zMuffinman and Venmar really look like scumbuddies.
also, as an aside:

no

like, you don't have any idea how i interact with scum buddies if you think this
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Post Post #3387 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 1:59 am

Post by Iecerint »

Vote: pidgey


After narrowing it down to my non-townreads, I like the wagonmates here best.
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Post Post #3388 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 2:17 am

Post by borkjerfkin »

Votecount 6.6


[3] pidgey (sangres, zMuffinMan, Iecerint)
[2] Venmar (Skullduggery, mastin2)
[1] mastin2 (Venmar)
[1] zMuffinMan (pirate mollie)

[2] Not Voting (ActionDan, pidgey)

With 9 alive, it is 5 to lynch.

Let me know if you see any problems.

Deadline is in (expired on 2014-03-26 08:00:00)
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Post Post #3389 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 3:04 am

Post by pidgey »

Ugh ok

I dont still think venmar is THAT scummy and mollie is still maybe scum just from POE. Other than that im super lost. I really reallly doubt its sangres and im still reading skull town, id have a major surprise if it was one of the last 2.

I honestly dont know if its better that i try to lynch venmar at this point over me, because if venmar is not scum, then it will probably make everyone turbo me tomorrow and since i know my allignment, from my POV thats like losing 2 days in a row lol. Still, its a better option than hanging around with people saying im scummy and then dying in fucking lylo of all places.

This is what im gonna do, we still have some days for deadline.

Lemme put a bigger post with my thoughts then you can lynch me, i really want to at least put everything before im either death or i vote for (more than likely) venmar. This will be done no longer than tonight, if im not ready for that tonight you can vote me or whatever.
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Post Post #3390 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 7:12 am

Post by Skullduggery »

I have a smashing idea: let's not lynch Pidgey today. I just looked through Brian's and Gooner's ISOs and found them both to be painfully Town. I went out of my way to try to find incriminating scummy shit and came away empty-handed. My conviction isn't quite strong enough to make any wagers regarding phone books and the consumption thereof, but I feel pretty confident that Pidgey's slot is Town.

I still think Venmar is our best bet for today, but how receptive is everyone to the possibility of Mollie being Scum? Would that be a suitable compromise if we can't agree on Pidgey/Venmar?
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Post Post #3391 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 7:16 am

Post by Iecerint »

I think I would lynch Venmar before mollie.

Mostly because it's all AP's fault if mollie is scum.
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Post Post #3392 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 7:47 am

Post by Venmar »

Vote: Skullduggery
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Post Post #3393 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 7:48 am

Post by Venmar »

Pidgey is actually probably town, for what I have seen and from Day 1.

Mastin and Skull remain our best lynches imo.
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Post Post #3394 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 9:16 am

Post by mastin2 »

In post 3381, Skullduggery wrote:
In post 3369, mastin2 wrote:As an aside: zMuffinman and Venmar really look like scumbuddies. Their whole interaction. Their whole way of going about things. How they're treating each other. And even how they treat others treating the other. All looks like scumbuddies.
Can you pull up some examples of this when you get a minute?
In post 3382, zMuffinMan wrote:on phone atm so not gonna do lengthy response but @mastin give me examples of the town stances you think mollie has taken this game
Why does everyone keep asking me to give examples? They know it's my weakness as a player. ;_;
Like, I guess I can try, but largely, this is probably the kind of thing you either see or don't see, and me pointing it out won't change whether you agree with it or not. I guess I could attempt to explain why, but I can guarantee you right here and now that'll fail, and my attempt to do so will take too much time anyway, assuming I even finished because that type of work kinda drains my energy fast.
In post 3385, zMuffinMan wrote:ok, so i'll spell out the mafia tracker thing in very simple terms [blah blah].
While that's all nice and good, the tracker claim wasn't the only instance I was talking about. I'm pretty dang certain there's more. I've thought of them previously, but for whatever reason, didn't post them in-thread and have since forgotten them, but I know I've had similar issues with other things, akin to the tracker knowledge.

Oh. Now I remember one. There may be others, but you've also pushed the idea of two scum. If there actually were two scum, that'd look hella-bad for you. There may be others aside from that, too, but you get the idea. I'm concerned that your insight is too sharp, especially given the overall dullness feeling to your posting overall.
i'm pretty sure i was _the_ most vocal player in pushing the mafiassk lynch, i was also arguably _the_ most vocal player in pushing the aegor lynch through (coz, hey, go figure, it was after like a 2-page exchange with me that he got fed up and self-voted - and while it may not have been entirely because of me, i wasn't exactly "just there" when it happened).
I'll give a look at SSK, but pushing Aegor is no towntell.
D5 and D6? i've been making my opinions pretty fucking clear and i've been vocal about it.
Yet I don't feel the magic of a town-zMuff as much as I feel like I should be.
my stances don't make sense? which ones? coz i've made most of my thoughts on things pretty transparent and i literally don't know which stances you are referring to here.
All of them? Molliescum, Venmartown, basically, everything you've pushed recently has felt...off.
same with my posting not being solid. like, i've made cases, i've argued against cases, i've pushed my thoughts, i've repsonded to people, i don't really know what you're expecting in terms of "solid" posting or why you think my posts haven't been solid
They don't feel like you've put your heart into them? Like, I know you've pushed them. But they seem more reactive than they do proactive. As if you're playing Black rather than White, someone who's of course making moves, aggressive moves, but not playing the offensive long-term game that White would.
(and elaboration on venmar since you still haven't done the analysis you promised, but whatever)
Venmar's basically my number one choice for scum because, well...his mindset simply doesn't seem town from what I've seen, and his interactions with scum (and scum's [lack of] interaction with him) seem terrible. Like...there are elements which look town, especially town at the time. But which when looked at in hindsight, are far more null overall, and perhaps scum. His excessive tunneling on players, for instance, is a convenient way for him to have dodged giving content on other players, and gives him an excuse to stay off of scum wagons. (Which he did.)

Furthermore, other than his initial aggression against the neighbors (and maybe pie--I need to check on pie's stance on Venmar), his play has largely been reactive. He's been tunneling on players, but has put very little effort and energy into actually lynching players. He made a weak case against Metal Sonic, but had basically none against pieguy, and has had essentially no attempt to persuade others to his reads. Like, tunneling can come from town, but when it does, it often has effort attached to making players follow the tunneler. Venmar's got plenty of "Or we could lynch Metal Sonic" posts in there, but I only recall maybe one or two "WHY we should lynch Metal Sonic" posts, which weren't very strong, never followed-through on, and are quite weak overall.

All-in-all? His pushes don't feel genuine. Especially after MS flipped town. That "sorry guiz" attitude, in particular, felt entirely fake. His posting since then has continued the trend. His reads now are OMGUSy in nature, with literally his only two suspects being the players calling him scum. His posting continues to be reactionary, though, because while he calls us scum, he's not provided strong reasoning for it. We're scum 'cuz we are, not because of anything resembling reasoning.

His reads have no strength. There's also an extreme lack of trajectory in his reads. (Don't kill me, ffery.) There's almost no evolution, no change, no shift in them. Static, stale, stagnant reads that he kept throughout the game. It's not the town him that I remember seeing at all. I remember there being elements of this in his posting as town, but never all present at the same time, and even when present, only being a piece of the whole. As town, he gave so much more than what he's given this game, and I know he's capable of doing far more than what he's done.

And bluntly, mollie's been basically the opposite. I haven't done my research, but bluntly, the only thing in her posting that even so much as remotely resembles her scumplay was her early-game lurking, and even that wasn't as bad as I'd expect, with her having been much more active overall. Her reads I remember being better, and I've seen no issue with scum's interactions with her. (Granted, I don't particularly remember many mollie interactions, but those that I do remember point to town.)

But even if not. Even if not for those factors, mollie's posting has been strongly proactive. Yes, there are reactive elements, especially in regards to others' reads on her not being positive, but in her case, that's actually a good sign, because she was justified in being worried from what she knows of us as players...and unlike Venmar or you who've mostly just left that in place, she's been following through on it and trying to sort things out. She's been bridging the gaps. She's done those reach-outs. She's analyzed. She's not been manipulating; she's not been trying to survive. She's been trying to understand. Like, there's a lot more I could say, but basically...there's essentially zero about her that's scum. She's the strongest non-conftown townread I have.

And you ignoring that is yet another reason I'm concerned about
you
, because a town-you I far more remember respecting my opinion, whereas a scum-you I quite remember discarding it.
In post 3390, Skullduggery wrote:I have a smashing idea: let's not lynch Pidgey today. I just looked through Brian's and Gooner's ISOs and found them both to be painfully Town. I went out of my way to try to find incriminating scummy shit and came away empty-handed.
This is also why pidgey's my second-strongest not-conftown read.

Bluntly. I know this sounds arrogant. I know this sounds stupid. But I legitimately.
Seriously.
Feel like I'm one of the only town players who has their brain not turned off right now. That I've actually put serious thought and effort into figuring out who could be scum. My evidence isn't backed by extensive research. But I've been thinking.
I can't see pidgey's slot as scum; all three have been town in their own ways, without a hint of scum.
I can't see mollie's slot as scum.

I guess Skull being scum is theoretically possible, but I don't think so.

Also, side-note, but I read the first ten or so pages of the game a while back, and seeing things in their full content mode solidified a fair amount of these feelings. That Brian Skies is town (and thus, pidgey as a result), that Venmar is one of the more likely scum candidates, that zMuffinman is another. I didn't go much further, but really. I honestly don't feel like I should have to.

This is something where I really, really feel like saying, "Just...trust me."
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Post Post #3395 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 9:31 am

Post by mastin2 »

In fact, I think I will.

Nacho, I don't expect you to fully trust me on being 100% right.
But trust me enough to know that I'm speaking with 100% of me behind it. This isn't some half-hearted read. I might not have the most logically-backed case. But please. Read what I'm saying, and give the game a brief look with that in mind. Like...if I thought this was BS, I'd admit it. If I thought I was full of myself, I'd admit it. If I thought that I was entirely wrong, I'd be open about it. But...I don't. This feels solid. It feels right. And pidgey being scum...doesn't. Just like mollie being scum doesn't.

Like...on SSK, there was a piece of me at the back of my mind that I suppressed out of stubbornness that said I could be wrong--that SSK's comment about me having nailed his meta was right, but that his posting this game was the scum version not the town version. (Of course, this is a "take my word for it" thing, since obviously, I have no proof of that and even my own mind is prone to rewriting my personal history.) But I'm thinking.
There's a fear of if I'm wrong.
There's a fear of "what if mollie's scum?"
"What if pidgey's scum?"

A fear...yet not a thought. Like...I guess I could think Brian Skies's posting was relaxed scum. I guess I could think Gooner's strong entrance was an act that didn't accomplish much. I guess I could think that pidgey's lack of emotional outburst is a bad sign for him. But though those possibilities exist, I can't find myself believing them. I ask myself if it's the stubbornness again. That I'm refusing because I don't want to be wrong...again. And I'd be the first to admit that it's not impossible. But...I don't feel like it's true.

This started as just a major gut feeling. But right now...it feels right. It just feels right, for not just some inexplicable gut reason. Because I've actually explained the gut reason, and...it makes sense. The picture fits. It strongly says town, not scum. The town picture looks awesome. The town picture looks legitimate. The scum picture is weak, convoluted, and broken. Yes, it's true. There's no such thing as a perfect town/scum picture. Yet that's the thing: the fact that the pictures ARE imperfect is only serving to strengthen the feeling. And given the choice between a near-flawless-yet-not-perfect town-picture, and a messy-sloppy-hastily-thrown-together scum-picture...I'm choosing the former.

I wish there was some better way to explain this. This sensation. That last time I was wrong, but this time in spite of me having put it all on the line and lost...that this time, I'm actually not. That's what it feels like. Like it's not a mistake. Like pidgey's actually town. That Venmar or zMuffinman or both (most likely just Venmar, though) are the scum here, and that townreads there simply shouldn't be that strong off of what they've given. That's where I'm at. So even if you don't fully sheep me. Even if you don't pull a sudden reversal. I ask that you listen to that. Because while I think my explanation sucks, the point should be getting through the communication barrier all the same.

Please listen.
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Post Post #3396 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 10:35 am

Post by zMuffinMan »

about to go to work, so quick response

my pushes on SSK, aegor, etc weren't meant to be like "omg this is a town tell", they're meant to show you're blatantly wrong in saying i've just ... sorta been here. which, you know, seemed to be the crux of you calling me scum

whether or not there is 2 scum, i always assess all options. there could be one scum, there could be two. i tend not to make assumptions about it being one or the other unless i have to.

just claiming you don't feel the magic or don't think i've put my heart into things only tells me you're a muggle and not a surgeon, therefore unqualified to make that assessment - and since you don't want to provide examples, that's all i'm going to say about it

might go over venmar stuff later, but the mollie read is bullshit. i can't really provide counter-examples because she hasn't done what she hasn't done; so i ask you to go and bring up examples of strong pushes, stances, reads from her because they simply aren't there for me to not bring up! she hasn't been "proactive", if anything she's been fairly lurky (not only lately, but earlier in the game) ESPECIALLY by normal mollie-posting standards

so like

yeah

what the fuck am i supposedly meant to see when you don't want to provide examples and i can't provide counter-examples of what's not there?
spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh spiffeh
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Post Post #3397 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 4:31 pm

Post by pidgey »

Ok reading back and there was this wagon forming on my slot that I dounf interesting in day 1

[10] Brian Skies (Kazekirimaru, pieguyn, Flandre Scarlet, Skullduggery, Kagami, Varsoon, zMuffinMan, Metal Sonic, Brian Skies, orcinus_theoriginal)

I dunno why but skull jumpin in right after flandre doesnt really stir me up but WHY IS THERE NO MORE SCUM IN THIS WAGON FROM THE FLIPPED!??! Because uhhh maybe one of their buds was already on it, so this kinda makes me really wary of muffinman again. Muffin jumps back with venmar up just because of this really. This also makes me feel ok about masting since he wasnt feeling my wagon, but dunno, i still dont love mastin this game lol (also glad about your grandma!)

I dont like this early comment about mastin though
SSK is officially town. This is his townplay. Aside from that, when he and I synch up our reads, it's also an excellent sign that he's town, too. (Even though I can nearly-guarantee we'll diverge later.)
It seems like a setup kinda but then cephir going in and saying :goodposting: to that quote makes me thing its impossible for 3 scum to be loving each other.

Ugh overall im not really getting much scumvibes from reading cephir's iso alone.

If anything, it kinda reafirms a bit my town read on mastin and skull.

And makes me a little more wary of venmar and Nervous of muffin.

Will keep reading.
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Post Post #3398 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 4:38 pm

Post by pidgey »

FUckin cephir has a lot to say DAMN

Im not liking muffin the most after that read lol
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Post Post #3399 (ISO) » Thu Mar 20, 2014 4:39 pm

Post by Venmar »

Mastin is using reasoning to justify his bizzare scumread of me as if he has never played with me before. It's as if he doesn't realize my playstyle from our previous games and it's as if he is being ignorant of it on purpose. He doesn't want to accept the fact I was simply not that active the early parts of this game, he doesn't want to accept I actually tunnel pretty often sometimes, he doesn't want to accept I am abrasive at times and react as such in many cases. I mean, cmon, if I am going to be mislynched then do a better job rather than this BS.

PEDit: FYI I was very firmly anti-Brian wagon Day 1. Also, you're giving Skull too much credit there by calling him town and Muffin when they did the same thing (being on the wagon).
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