Dark Age of the Law Mafia GAME OVER

[beastcharizard]

I think we should lynch DrunkenLies.

[Misaka Network]

Tinfoil Theory #5:

Candle is faking the existence of a scum roleblocker, and everything will go alright.

[Doduo]

I think I'd rather lynch you than DL

[Doduo]

There's no way scum don't have a RB. They need something to prevent town from having 3 conftownies.

[beastcharizard]

Actually, if I did the gunsmith on a town player that is pretty much 5 confirmed townies.

[Misaka Network]

If we assume that both ICs claim right away and that there are no other PRs,

then town only has 21.7% of winning this game

.

If we assume that there are 3 ICs who all claim right away and there are no other PRs,

then town only has 27.2% of winning this game.

[Doduo]

Here's possible solutions to tonight-

CJ Town
Scum RB CJ and kill Beast

CJ Scum
Scum RB Me and kill Beast

Not looking bueno

[Misaka Network]

If we assume that both ICs claim right away and that there are no other PRs,

then town only has 21.7% of winning this game

.

If we assume that there are 3 ICs who all claim right away and there are no other PRs,

then town only has 27.2% of winning this game.

If we assume that there are 4 ICs who all claim right away and there are no other PRs,

then town only has 34.8% of winning this game.

[Misaka Network]

If we assume that both ICs claim right away and that there are no other PRs,

then town only has 21.7% of winning this game

.

If we assume that there are 3 ICs who all claim right away and there are no other PRs,

then town only has 27.2% of winning this game.

If we assume that there are 4 ICs who all claim right away and there are no other PRs,

then town only has 34.8% of winning this game.

If we assume that there are 5 ICs who all claim right away and there are no other PRs,

then town only has <44% of winning this game.

[Misaka Network]

45% town win rate by random lynches is where you want to be from the setup's point of view.

I can see scum not having a roleblocker, even with a 2 Mason ICs, friendly neighbor, and a gunsmith. They may have a mafia doc who investigates no-gun to gunsmith to throw him off, and maybe a rolecop.

[beastcharizard]

In that theory that would mean I am either extremely skilled at finding 1 of the 3 scum that actually inspect with a gun or I am a lucky SOB. I am fairly certain it is not the first one.

I don't think scum have a way to counter my gunsmithing through a false result. Maybe a RB but not a godfather or sorts.

[PeregrineV]

@Mod-V/LA March 28-31

I'll try to read some tomorrow before I leave.

[Sound of Silence]

@mods can we get a vote count?

[PeregrineV]

And also I think there are 15 or so pages before the murder of Kingdom that I haven't read yet. Will do that in the next few days.

starting from here- got about 30 minutes.

[PeregrineV]

Son of a bitch

We're lynching PV after Misaka because that was STUPIDLY antitown of him to say

pedit-

HEY LOOK A ROLEBLOCKER, GUESS WHO CALLED IT

Claiming my result was anti-town? Tell me more....

[PeregrineV]

Do you pick a target and an action type, and the mod tells you yes or no?

I have a list of 4 or 5 possible results.

[PeregrineV]

for everyone following along at home, i was one of PV's townreads
/farts

For those following along at home, I know I can be wrong, and the basis of the Antihero read was my weakest.

[PeregrineV]

My role PM says nothing about anyone else

It's just my guy

Mine mentions the judge. His death spurs me to solve his murder, etc.

[PeregrineV]

Page 95

[beastcharizard]

I think I'd rather lynch you than DL

Was this at me?

[Misaka Network]

I think I'd rather lynch you than DL

Was this at me?

That was at me.

I think bc, SoS, and Kata should just agree to lynch one of me/DL/anti and rest of the town sheep them.

Unless someone else have a better idea.

Or we could go big and lynch Candle. #YOLO

[notscience]

No that was at Beast.

[beastcharizard]

What is the logic behind that? And why not DL?

[Doduo]

No that was at Beast.

The logic behind it? I want DL alive because I think they're town.- Yes, I think you're town too but it was in retaliation for your post.

ETL has no reason to keep reaching out to me and trying to work with me as scum. She could just as easily say "He's a lost cause" and standby so you lynch us. But she's reaching out, trying to work with me. I don't see scumTL doing that.

Her flipping out on me earlier after I gave her a hard time was townETL too.

[Antihero]

If PereV is scum with Candle, then I guess we're fucked

prepare your anus, then because i think this is likely