TOWN (Strongest->Weakest)
:
1) Titan (Tammy + Ser Arthur Dayne)
- Titan is my strongest townread in the game and I actually think Tammy's distrust of our neighborhood and questioning BRO's meltdown is a
massive
towntell because it is not something she'd ever fake as scum or is capable of faking as scum at all. It's because I think she has a few similar tendencies to me as scum in that she'd feel incredibly guilty for questioning it and it is something she'd never do on purpose. Her read on Breakfast for viewing the gamestate similarly also occurred very organically and her asking me about my opinion on Nacho in
4418 and
4453 after hydra'ing with him as scum as well as her other interactions with me fits with the way I'd expect her to interact with me and also fits in with her "
find town to bounce thoughts off of
" philosophy that we've used in the past. It is the little things like wanting a second opinion about her recent townread on Nacho that I don't think she'd think to do as scum and the timing and context of it felt like it came off naturally. That's just out of the most recent posts. The earlier posts are incredibly town as well so overall, would throw my laptop out the window if she drew scum here. And I hate people for making me paranoid. Also, I'm chalking this up as a correct read and I'll keep my can-read-Tammy card if she flips town (she will) because I am at a point where it is
literally impossible
for me to see her being scum.
2) Yggdra Union (GIF + Pieguyn)
- This read is based off of Pieguyn's early posts after he immediately replaced in. The confidence in Post
2585 and the way in which he pursues his reads is impossible for Pie to fake as scum. I've played with Pie in two games before and read a bunch of his scum games and there is no way he is capable of faking genuine belief in his reads. Pie also isn't the type of player to lead lynches as scum or invest himself in the direction of the day's lynch as much as he did here. It heavily, heavily reflects NY169 where he showed many of the same tendencies. Other posts like
2603, and
2654 show the same level of unfakeable confidence and pursuit of suspects that a hallmark, unfakeable feature of Pie as town as does his pursuit of Mastin based on Mastin's reaction to BRO's meltdown. It is one thing to not be convinced by it (which is understandable), quite another to believe scum-Pie is actually capable of pursuing it the way he did (which is impossible for him to do because his scumgame lacks that depth and confidence and he is as good as scum).
- Nacho's push on Mastin felt incredibly town and very closely matches the way Nacho pursues his suspects when he is town. His later drunk posting and the way his emotions were showing through in Post
4855 isn't something Nacho would fake as scum. Not that he can't, but he
wouldn't
. This continues in the next three posts
4856,
4857, and
4859 where he launches an attack on Mastin for ignoring BRO's meltdown. The major difference I saw between his push on Sakura in NY169 and here was that he only used emotion to withdraw from the attack there whereas here, he used extremely deep emotions to launch an attack on Mastin and it goes against every bit of Nacho's scumplay that I am aware of. Reading those sequence of posts, I realize there is no way Nacho is in a scum QT talking about how brilliant his posts are because he wouldn't go to that level at all and Nacho isn't the type of player to marshall other hurt feelings to drive home a lynch as scum.
4) Just Sheep Us (Broseidon + Desperado)
- Their entrance into the game in Post
1145 mirrored a lot of my own feelings at the time because those were very similar to my reads at that point. BRO and Desp getting baited by RBD and going at it made a lot of sense from a town POV. I get that it happened around the time AP came in but I am not seeing it as very likely that BRO jumped into the game just so AP doesn't call him out. I also saw a lot of scumhunting from BRO feels like he is genuinely analyzing the game. For example, his differentiation between the core and the periphery of the game in Post
1500 and trying to figure things out from there. And then, there's the meltdown in Post
3020. I think most players are agreed that it was real regardless of his affiliation. I felt very townish to me because of why he had the meltdown. He says that RBD has been obvscum all game. He points his issues with Mastin. He talks about how Nacho saying he caused a carnival of lunacy got to him. Would he really be so upset at Nacho's words if he were scum? He'd be quite proud of it and gloating in the scum QT at causing a carnival of lunacy. He could be faking it of course which brings us back to whether he would "fake" an anxiety attack if he didn't actually have one. His pointing out Mastin's emotional harrassment of him and saying that Pie and I are his only allies also felt like it came from an incredibly genuine place.
5) Red Gyarados (Brian Skies + notscience)
- Brian's latest walls are incredibly well-thought out and his presentation closely matches what I expect from him as town. I liked his Post
4361 and the way he was townreading Pie matches up with my own reasoning and his explanation for the read going stale is what I expect from Brian considering he wasn't in the neighborhood and Pie's posting had faded out. I also really like that he picked up on the nuances of the weird interactions between MastinSSK and AP considering AP didn't. It was fairly obvious that I was talking about how odd it was that AP consistently defends MastinSSK despite the latter push on him which AP had oversimplified to "why should I suspect him just because he suspects me?" I also really like Brian's follow-up in Post
4489 and his reasoning for townreading me and PV resonates and is exactly the way I'd expect Brian to go about trying to get a read on me. His points about my meta-dive on him were things he brought up as town before and the overall level of effort and attention to detail is what I expect from Brian as town and I haven't seen them as much in his scumgames. This re-inforces my very early read on NotScience and I felt that the way he wanted to run up Titan to gauge their affiliation felt extremely genuine so putting both heads together, I am confident RG is town.
6) Breakfast With Stalin (Ffery + Beli)
- Their latest reads-list in Post
4950 and view of the gamestate aligns strongly with mine and I feel that we are about as in-sync as we
can
be given our playstyle differences. I felt the paranoia of Titan was somewhat odd but makes sense with what I'd expect out of Ffery and the one time I talked to Beli, he felt natural and unforced in his reads. I am not bet-my-laptop-on-it confident because of their positioning with regard to Mastin/Rancid/AP during D1 and lack of their help or vote on any of those wagons felt odd. However, it is still something I can see coming from Ffery considering the nature of her relationship with Natirasha. It is something I'll come back to when Rancid's affiliation is known BUT I'd be pretty surprised overall if they are scum here and the latest list of reads erased most of my frustration with them as to their complete lack of scumreads and oddly structured reads lists. I'd bet the game on my top five reads being town. I could maybe let Tammy's Breakfast read influence me and make it top six but I feel it'll be more apparent once I see some flips.
7) The Fox and the Hound (cephrir + DV)
- I walled about DeasVail in Post
1689 about how he is playing to his town meta. I like the way their suspicion on Rancid built up and I like the ostentatiousness of their vote. It matches up with what I expect DeasVail to do as town. Since then nothing about their posts gave me cause for alarm and I really liked that Ceph and DV decided to go back and read through everyone's ISO's again after they winded up with a lack of scumreads. The way they went through everyone and landed back with similar suspects resonates a lot and I agree with most of the reads they presented in Post
4947. I liked most of what DV posted and while the way Cephrir presents his posts make me paranoid, I've learned not to read too much into it.
- I walled about PV in Post
3003. Important points are that the way he tracked down my read on Cupcake, enquired about it, and followed up on it felt very genuine and I liked most of his interactions with me. He doesn't come off well regarding his back-and-forth with Tammy because I disagree with his push and the points he made about her old meta. BUT, him asking me what I thought and making me explain my read on Titan felt incredibly town because it felt like he genuinely believed what he was saying about her and wanted me (as a strong townread of his) to discuss the read and explain my side. Him backing off because I have a strong townread on Titan also felt genuine and I'd be more suspicious if there was a hint of subtlety in there but it felt very blatant and transparent overall.
- I explained this to PV in
1804. Nothing I've seen so far has made me doubt this read. What I didn't mention in it was a reference to Wicked mafia, a recent game I played with Katsuki as town. In it, the way he persued reads and his initial suspicion of players were very against the grain and independent. This sharply contrasts with the way he plays as scum where he either goes with the flow or predicts the flow and Anything Goes and Death Note are great games for reference. There were a couple of minor things that pinged where I felt he was going with the flow but overall, I am just not seeing the opportunistic manipulation and outguessing the town that Katsuki is well-equipped to do and often does as scum.
10) MagentaTheGreat (Orcinus + Mara)
- I'm not sure what to think of recent Mara posts asking for my read on Clyton of all people and the whole "
giving a summary to a replacement
" scumtell. I guess I can buy that she genuinely believes in it. I have 0% accuracy in reading Mara defending her hard when she was scum and accusing her when she was town. Orc's posts felt town. His role felt town. And as long as Orc posts more, it should help me solidify a read there. But if I am wrong about a townread somewhere and Penguin is town, it is either here or amongst the last few townreads above.
- I'll give Penguin a fresh start and see what she comes with as I feel I know her well enough to read her. I don't feel that any of Clyton's posts made any sense overall and I was trying to figure out if it was based on playstyle or affiliation. I also think role-wise a bodyguard + watcher is rather OP but I'll wait to see what Penguin says and read her off of her play.
Scum (Strongest->Weakest)
:
12) MastinSSK (Mastin2 + MafiaSSK)
- I didn't like Mastin's initial attack on me and the way he went about it. Post
548 in particular felt incredibly manipulative and felt like he was agreeing with points that didn't make a lot of sense at all. For instance, agreeing with Rancid when they said "
this post, it blows
" in response to my analysis on Mac. The way he attacked Ceph also felt like he didn't really give Ceph a lot to refute which is sort of convenient because I felt the same way when he pointed out posts in a way that was mostly insubstantial and irrefutable. His points about me "raging" also felt like a disconnect from reality. His play towards the end of D1 was also scummy and I especially didn't like his portrayal of my play as bad. I didn't like the attack on Ceph saying that Ceph looked at him as a mislynch - Beli explains this in detail and I agree with it. I felt that his attack on Ffery D2 could be an attempt to manipulate people who had a growing frustration with Breakfast hoping that it would resonate with them. Overall, I feel like everyone is suspecting Mastin for the way he attacked them and interacted with them, and for my part, I certainly feel that his interactions with me were scummy and manipulative.
- Mostly went over this in my back-and-forth with AP. I didn't like his interactions with MastinSSK. I didn't feel like his suspicion of me came from a genuine place. I don't like him interjecting himself into me and Tammy discussing the neighborhood last night to make himself look good with "reasonable" looking posts like "
this is all you were saying, weren't you?
" It feels like scum manipulating the gamestate to try and gain an advantage. I also feel like he is fishing for things to make look suspicious as opposed to genuinely trying to understand motivations and figure things out.