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Post Post #6975 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 4:54 am

Post by Plotinus »

Plotinus wrote:Day 1: no nuke because nightkill
Day 2:
19.
Soren
Magua
-
Town Forgetful Watcher
- Nuked from orbit day two.

Day 3:
5.
Ozgin
House
-
Town Private Investigator
- Nuked from orbit day three.

Day 4:
18.
LucianRoy
-
Town One-Shot Vengilante
- Nuked from orbit day four.

Day 5: nobody.
because we skipped night 4

Day 6: nobody. deathfisaro modkill. if the modkill didn't prevent it maybe they shot him or were testing BC/me (not oranje, who was devouring people)
Day 7:
7.
Three-Pronged Trouser God
-
Town Mason Herbalist
- Nuked from orbit day seven.

Day 8:
9.
ChriVi
-
Town Neighbor Doctor
- Nuked from orbit day eight.

Day 9: nobody (either Oranje or no kill or testing BC/me.

All of these look like low information kills. every one of them is killing a conftown except for Magua. Magua was townreading vonflare but voting vysepresident. wasn't reading BC's walls or Oranje's spam. was townreading Narninian too.


ebwop. forgot which night we skipped
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Post Post #6976 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 4:57 am

Post by Plotinus »

why were you on the Jackel wagon, then? not just deadline scramble? didn’t like the claim? also, about the “constantly re-evaluating their reads” that copper said they were doing without changing their mind on you and Vyse, should one’s every read change on re-evaluation?

I went and found the Vyse case the two of you were arguing about. it is here: . Almost all of the links in the case go to early game/rvs stuff. The case /is/ almost entirely gut reads which are impossible to defend against. He doesn’t like copper’s reads list in because it talks too much about events in the game. I mean, obviously hindsight bias here it’s easy for me to say who was right when i know how they both flipped, but I think you were being unfair to copper, though by he wasn’t being entirely fire to you guys either. meh.

[quote=BC] -Putting a scumread on us for very weak reasons that have routinely been called crap and not alignment indicative, even by not-flipped-scum.[/quote] i think this is a townslip actually. why would scum arguing in your favour help your case? sometimes scum hard defend their buddies. other times scum buddy up to town or white knight them. in multiball, sometimes they buddy up to other town. in my first newbie game scumHouse buddied up to me and it totally worked. This reads like BC forgot that other people can’t see their role pm, if they are town.

i like . it looks like an attempt to prevent this 1v1 from spanning too many more pages, which is protown.

by cerebus is a good point that it’s risky for both vyse and bulba to be tunnelling copper if they’re the same faction.

only way Bulba would accept Narninian scum is if scum with bbmolla. i because of redirect off bbmolla, in says it gave bbmolla town points.

that was 140-150. we are now in early day 3
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Post Post #6977 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 6:23 am

Post by Plotinus »

trousers also agrees with the let scum live to find other scum idea in .

in retrospect, i am wondering if some of the townies casting shade on the masons were trying to make them less likely NK targets.

like from bbmolla. and this one from ivy .

good catchup post from Brantz, though he missed that Magua had already flipped. . his reads make sense.

that was 151-160. have reached deathfisaro’s roleclaim on day 3.
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Post Post #6978 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 6:47 am

Post by BBmolla »

Hey Plot, I'm going to see a show today, but once I'm back I intend to be here to do ISOs.

Ask me anything if needed, I'll be available by phone, still reading everything you're posting.
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Post Post #6979 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 6:47 am

Post by BBmolla »

I really think if we lynch BC we win.
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Post Post #6980 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 6:51 am

Post by Cuttlefish »

Vote Count 10.04

BBmolla (2)
- BRantz, Drixx

Not Voting (3)
: Plotinus, Bulbasaur Commonwealth, BBmolla

With 5 votes in play, it takes 3 to lynch.

Deadline falls in (expired on 2015-06-01 21:10:00)
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Post Post #6981 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 7:08 am

Post by Drixx »

I did some ISO of my own on Action Dan, because I recalled some things that bothered me earlier:

Post #634 - mod confirmed multiple scum teams [spefically 2] ... isn't actually true.

Post #1141 - Townies reading AD as scummy. AD tries to make a joke/insult to deflect it. Townie?


Post #1326/1327 doublepost - AD claims to have PMd the mods inquiring about his role PM, but what question could be asked about a role PM that says he is bulletproof against "mafia"? I mean, we had the Tropical Volcano Lair Mafia, and the Berlin Underground Mafia, and a den of Werewolves, and a Serial Killer.

Post #1675 - ActionDan claims to know he is immune to "2" of {mafia1, mafia2, sk1, sk2} (those were choices he asked me to say how many I would be immune to). At this point He had no legitimate way to know that the setup wasn't a Mafia, Werewolf, SK setup.

Post #1677 - AD is calling BBmolla's claim into question. He made a solid point in questioning why "Volcano Miller" would be necessary unless there was someone who could investigate and get something besides guilty either way. Was there ever such a role? If we have no role that could have ever derived the specific mafia faction BBmolla was miller for, then that's a huge blow against BB's claim.

Post #1678 - Seems to imply that AD's role PM has a very specific phrasing ... but Plotinius has maintained it's a simple statement of immune against 'mafia'. Contradiction?

Post #1713 - AD again attacks me by stating that he's immune to "both mafia teams" when there is still no way to know that the setup actually has two mafia teams instead of mafa/werewolf/sk. The only possible way that AD could know there were two mafia teams is if his PM listed them (which he and Plotinius denied), if the mods told him (which would be against the most basic first things you learn not to do as a mod, so I refuse to believe), or if he were a member of one scum faction and had, I dunno ... seen BBmolla claim to be miller to another mafia faction.

Post #1716 - Claims to have asked the mods, and that the mods actually told him there was another "mafia" faction besides the Volcano. At this time, the only reason to even posit a "Volcano" mafia was the miller claim. AD could have easily known that he was Berlin mafia and therefore just made up the whole "I asked the mods and..." crap repeatedly.

Moderators, as a basic rule, do not answer questions if the question could impact the outcome of the game. Cuttlefish has gone so far as to decline removing profanity from a post of mine, even though it couldn't possibly have a direct impact on the game. It is inconceiveable that a mod so careful to avoid impacting the game at all would give the information AD claimed was given."

Post #1829 - AD claims to have been told explicitly that he was immune to clearly defined factions. Didn't he say in other posts that it just said "mafia"? Contradiction to try and make a case against me ... shady. Also throws in another early doubtcast against BBmolla. And for clarity, I was informed which faction I was immune to, lol, and always said so. I even breadcrumbed it before I explicitly stated that it was werewolves.

Post #2183 - A big piece for a case against the slot. The ability is "Kevlar" which cannot in any way be mangled into protecting one from nuked from orbit, can it? Then again, the other mafia kill flavor was Incinerate, and Kevlar doesn't help against that either. The SK was "eviscerate" too ... so we have two games with 4 killing "factions", and none use guns ... but we have a BP whose role flavor indicates it's "Kevlar" that saves him?

My Role Flavor is that I an am Argyrophilic, which simply means I have an affinity for silver, and silver is the classic Achilles Heel for werewolves.

So why does my role name and flavor actually match a killing faction, whose presence nobody had any clue to before I claimed, while AD/Plot's is generic and doesn't at all match?


Post #2427 - We were all so naieve back then. Well, I was. AD might have known.


Post #2441 - Again claims the mods gave him information that could directly impact the outcome of the game.


Post #2550 - Takes credit for the update to the info dump that makes it clear there could be multiple factions including {Mafia factions, Werewolf factions, Serial Killer(s)} or whatever the precise wording is.

Post #5055 - AD's final post, wherein he claims the mods gave him enough information that he could know that 2 mafia factions came from one game and another game would have featured werewolves as the bad guys.


There's certainly a lot there to put Plot in the paranoia slot, imo.
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Post Post #6982 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 7:13 am

Post by Drixx »

Also, can anyone remind me what Brantz claimed or why we aren't really putting him under as much scrutiny as BBmolla/BC/Plot?

I would have to rate BBmolla as the least likely scum of the three because he had a freaking ability that skipped a night. That's just not a useful thing for scum, unless that scum submits its kill during the day. We're into fairly outlandish territory positing BB as scum. Is it like against accepted custom for us to go hunting through the games our co-mods have run to find the game with nuked from orbit and see if it was mechanically a kill submitted at night and delayed or submitted during the day? That would be ridiculously useful information.

BC frankly looks really scummy right now. "Reflexive Jailkeep" is indistinguishable from "Reflexive Roleblocker" to outside observers in almost any case I can think of. Now that there's no reason to keep it a SEKRET what would happen if 2+ people targeted them, the hydra still wants to keep it a SEKRET. Some implication that it was just bullshit used for obfuscation.

The continued talk from that slot about how the game is totally broken since nobody can kill them also has an unpleasant odor about it.
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Post Post #6983 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 7:50 am

Post by BBmolla »

Cuttlefish wrote:
Vote Count 8.04

Boonskiies (5)
- Bulbasaur Commonwealth, Drixx, ChriVi, BRantz, Plotinus
Oranje Crush (1)
- BBmolla
Plotinus (1)
- Oranje Crush
Bulbasaur Commonwealth (1)
- Boonskiies

Not Voting (0)


With 8 votes in play, it takes 5 to lynch.

Deadline falls in (expired on 2015-05-14 23:05:07).


----------

Boonskiies
-
Town Skeptical Cop
- Lynched day eight.

ChriVi
-
Town Neighbor Doctor
- Nuked from orbit day eight.


It is now twilight eight. Twilight will end in (expired on 2015-05-06 11:35:32).
Night eight will end either in (expired on 2015-05-07 11:35:32) or once every living player has sent me a PM requesting a shortened night.

Real quick, me being scum makes this whole wagon town

which is hilarious for those who actually thinks that's the case

Off to see noises off, be back in a while to look at more.
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Post Post #6984 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 7:54 am

Post by Plotinus »

I have PMed the mod to ask for a copy of any questions Dan might have asked the mod and also what answers he received. I don’t know if it will be given or not, but it’s worth asking. I am not Action Dan so I can only tell you what I think he might have been referring to, not what he actually was.

Drixx wrote:I did some ISO of my own on Action Dan, because I recalled some things that bothered me earlier:

Post - mod confirmed multiple scum teams [spefically 2] ... isn't actually true.


In the signups for the game, the mods said they made 2 separate 13 player games and mashed them together,
keeping the scum teams separate
. This is mod confirmation of at least 2 scum teams. There was no reason to be speculating on any more than that at the time. I think that’s all he meant. I have no idea why he felt that his role PM confirmed yours at that juncture — he could have counterclaimed you instead but he didn’t. I do now feel that he was right, I think he was acting on not enough evidence at the time.

Post - Townies reading AD as scummy. AD tries to make a joke/insult to deflect it. Townie?


Yeah, that was lame.


pedit: Brantz claimed 3-shot pseudocider. he could remove himself from the game 3 times. he has done so. it makes more sense as an SK role than a mafia role I think. I have been paying attention to him in my analysis but there aren’t that many posts from him in the first couple days because he used his ability which meant he couldn’t post.

VOTE: Bulbasaur Commonwealth

I will move to another wagon if neccessary to prevent a no lynch but this is where I want my vote right now.

I think the games were designed for this. they were designed separately and theoretically balanced separately but they haven’t been playtested either separately or apart. but if you do a search for nuke from orbit and get a result that isn’t this game then i too want to know about it!

Post #/1327 doublepost - AD claims to have PMd the mods inquiring about his role PM, but what question could be asked about a role PM that says he is bulletproof against "mafia"? I mean, we had the Tropical Volcano Lair Mafia, and the Berlin Underground Mafia, and a den of Werewolves, and a Serial Killer.


I haven’t been forwarded this yet if the mod is going to forward it to me, but this is what I think: my rolepm says that i am immune to kills made by mafia. Action Dan probably originally thought that meant he was immune to groupscum (usually called mafia) and vulnerable to SK. when he found out you were a werewolf, he thought he was immune to mafia1 (tropical volcano) and you were immune to mafia 2 (lycan mafia). but then he probably asked the mod “wait am i immune to lycan mafia too?” and the mod probably said something that let slip the idea of two mafia teams that aren’t werewolf. i don’t know because i haven’t seen it. i’m just guessing based on what he wrote in public. also, somewhere around this time, the first post was edited to include werewolves under the normal factions that were present in the game, so he probably took that as confirmation of osmething.

Post # - ActionDan claims to know he is immune to "2" of {mafia1, mafia2, sk1, sk2} (those were choices he asked me to say how many I would be immune to). At this point He had no legitimate way to know that the setup wasn't a Mafia, Werewolf, SK setup.


If the mod forwards me his communication I will be able to answer this. Otherwise see my guesses above.

Post # - AD is calling BBmolla's claim into question. He made a solid point in questioning why "Volcano Miller" would be necessary unless there was someone who could investigate and get something besides guilty either way. Was there ever such a role? If we have no role that could have ever derived the specific mafia faction BBmolla was miller for, then that's a huge blow against BB's claim.


ok, i think i understand this too but it was AD being stupid. So he is immune to all mafia kills. it turns out via some discussion with the mod that there is more than one mafia group that is separate from werewolf. There’s you, BP to werewolf, 1 faction, and there’s BBmolla, miller to 1 faction (volcano), so why is Action Dan immune to (what turns out to be) both volcano and berlin? he doesn’t understand it and he’s suspicious. I think the obvious answer to this problem comes from Ozgin’s cop guilty on Pirate Ika. He claims that Pirate Ika is a member of the Berlin Undercity Mafia. That tells us that when a cop gets results on a mafia member, they are told the faction. They’re not just told mafia/not mafia, but Berlin Undercity Mafia/not mafia, or Werewolf/not werewolf, or Tropical Volcano Mafia/not mafia. So of course BBmolla has to be miller to 1 faction.

Post #
1678
- Seems to imply that AD's role PM has a very specific phrasing ... but Plotinius has maintained it's a simple statement of immune against 'mafia'. Contradiction?


I am immune to kills made by mafia. I presume you are immune to kills made by werewolves. If the situation were reversed and there was a Lycan Underworld Werewolves and a Twilight Sparkly Werewolves and it wasn’t yet known that there was also a Generic Boring Mafia, and we both had the same role pms that we have now and you were suspecting multiple werewolf groups due to flavour hints / stuff the mod said in the first post / signup thread / a conversation with the mod, would you be suspicious if I was pretty sure i was only immune to one group but you were immune to all werewolves? I really think this was an understandable misunderstanding about setupspec that was based on not enough setupspec being available at the time.

Post # - AD again attacks me by stating that he's immune to "both mafia teams" when there is still no way to know that the setup actually has two mafia teams instead of mafa/werewolf/sk. The only possible way that AD could know there were two mafia teams is if his PM listed them (which he and Plotinius denied), if the mods told him (which would be against the most basic first things you learn not to do as a mod, so I refuse to believe), or if he were a member of one scum faction and had, I dunno ... seen BBmolla claim to be miller to another mafia faction.

Post # - Claims to have asked the mods, and that the mods actually told him there was another "mafia" faction besides the Volcano. At this time, the only reason to even posit a "Volcano" mafia was the miller claim. AD could have easily known that he was Berlin mafia and therefore just made up the whole "I asked the mods and..." crap repeatedly.

Moderators, as a basic rule, do not answer questions if the question could impact the outcome of the game. Cuttlefish has gone so far as to decline removing profanity from a post of mine, even though it couldn't possibly have a direct impact on the game. It is inconceiveable that a mod so careful to avoid impacting the game at all would give the information AD claimed was given.”


Our role PM does not name the teams, just says mafia. I don’t know what the mods might have told him but maybe cuttlefish will get back to me soon. I do think there was enough information publically available in the signup thread and the opening mod post for Dan to have figured out some of the things he figured out (that there were more than one groupscum team, which he assumed was two mafia teams, and then later assumed one mafia and one werewolf and then probably asked the mod if he was sure). I don’t know what refusing to edit out profanity has to do with refusing to answer questions about the game; cuttlefish responded to my public question about fakeclaims when I asked and also responded to the question about if Oranje would have shown up as “lynched and nuked”if that were the case.

I really think Action Dan worked out most of it himself. Maybe he asked the mod “am i just immune to volcano mafia” and he answered no and Action Dan leapt to conclusions from there. I dunno.

Post # - AD claims to have been told explicitly that he was immune to clearly defined factions. Didn't he say in other posts that it just said "mafia"? Contradiction to try and make a case against me ... shady. Also throws in another early doubtcast against BBmolla. And for clarity, I was informed which faction I was immune to, lol, and always said so. I even breadcrumbed it before I explicitly stated that it was werewolves.


He was confused. The clearly defined faction he was immune to was “mafia” which turned out to be two factions. He clearly thought werewolf was SK here. so did a lot of people. he made bad assumptions based on bad setup spec.

Post # - A big piece for a case against the slot. The ability is "Kevlar" which cannot in any way be mangled into protecting one from nuked from orbit, can it? Then again, the other mafia kill flavor was Incinerate, and Kevlar doesn't help against that either. The SK was "eviscerate" too ... so we have two games with 4 killing "factions", and none use guns ... but we have a BP whose role flavor indicates it's "Kevlar" that saves him?


we thought at the time that eviscerate was SK but it turned out devour was SK and eviscerate was almost certainly werewolf and nuked and incinerate were the two mafia factions probably. you’re reading too much into flavour which is what action dan was doing too. is it that weird for a bulletproof ability to be called kevlar?

My Role Flavor is that I an am Argyrophilic, which simply means I have an affinity for silver, and silver is the classic Achilles Heel for werewolves.

So why does my role name and flavor actually match a killing faction, whose presence nobody had any clue to before I claimed, while AD/Plot's is generic and doesn't at all match?


I don’t know. it’s almost like our roles were made up by two completely different mods with different opinions on flavour. why is yours a fancy name and mine a generic boring name? it’s almost like we are matching roles that come from different games. my original game was probably the volcano/berlin one and your original game was probably the werewolf/sk one.

Post # - We were all so naieve back then. Well, I was. AD might have known.


no he was working from too little information. just like the rest of you.

Ps: did you see how I edited your post to provide little linkies to the posts you were talking about so that other people could follow along with what we are saying and examine the truth value of our respective statements for themselves?

Post #2441 - Again claims the mods gave him information that could directly impact the outcome of the game.


Post #2550 - Takes credit for the update to the info dump that makes it clear there could be multiple factions including {Mafia factions, Werewolf factions, Serial Killer(s)} or whatever the precise wording is.

Post #5055 - AD's final post, wherein he claims the mods gave him enough information that he could know that 2 mafia factions came from one game and another game would have featured werewolves as the bad guys.


There's certainly a lot there to put Plot in the paranoia slot, imo.[/quote]
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Post Post #6985 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 7:55 am

Post by Plotinus »

argh my pedit showed up in the wrong place and the quotes are broken. i’ll fix it and then i’ll put it behind a spoiler. sorry.
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Post Post #6986 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 8:12 am

Post by Plotinus »

Spoiler: ebwop
I have PMed the mod to ask for a copy of any questions Dan might have asked the mod and also what answers he received. I don’t know if it will be given or not, but it’s worth asking. I am not Action Dan so I can only tell you what I think he might have been referring to, not what he actually was.

Drixx wrote:I did some ISO of my own on Action Dan, because I recalled some things that bothered me earlier:

Post - mod confirmed multiple scum teams [spefically 2] ... isn't actually true.


In the signups for the game, the mods said they made 2 separate 13 player games and mashed them together,
keeping the scum teams separate
. This is mod confirmation of at least 2 scum teams. There was no reason to be speculating on any more than that at the time. I think that’s all he meant. I have no idea why he felt that his role PM confirmed yours at that juncture — he could have counterclaimed you instead but he didn’t. I do now feel that he was right, I think he was acting on not enough evidence at the time.

Post - Townies reading AD as scummy. AD tries to make a joke/insult to deflect it. Townie?


Yeah, that was lame.

Post #/1327 doublepost - AD claims to have PMd the mods inquiring about his role PM, but what question could be asked about a role PM that says he is bulletproof against "mafia"? I mean, we had the Tropical Volcano Lair Mafia, and the Berlin Underground Mafia, and a den of Werewolves, and a Serial Killer.


I haven’t been forwarded this yet if the mod is going to forward it to me, but this is what I think: my rolepm says that i am immune to kills made by mafia. Action Dan probably originally thought that meant he was immune to groupscum (usually called mafia) and vulnerable to SK. when he found out you were a werewolf, he thought he was immune to mafia1 (tropical volcano) and you were immune to mafia 2 (lycan mafia). but then he probably asked the mod “wait am i immune to lycan mafia too?” and the mod probably said something that let slip the idea of two mafia teams that aren’t werewolf. i don’t know because i haven’t seen it. i’m just guessing based on what he wrote in public. also, somewhere around this time, the first post was edited to include werewolves under the normal factions that were present in the game, so he probably took that as confirmation of osmething.

Post # - ActionDan claims to know he is immune to "2" of {mafia1, mafia2, sk1, sk2} (those were choices he asked me to say how many I would be immune to). At this point He had no legitimate way to know that the setup wasn't a Mafia, Werewolf, SK setup.


If the mod forwards me his communication I will be able to answer this. Otherwise see my guesses above.

Post # - AD is calling BBmolla's claim into question. He made a solid point in questioning why "Volcano Miller" would be necessary unless there was someone who could investigate and get something besides guilty either way. Was there ever such a role? If we have no role that could have ever derived the specific mafia faction BBmolla was miller for, then that's a huge blow against BB's claim.


ok, i think i understand this too but it was AD being stupid. So he is immune to all mafia kills. it turns out via some discussion with the mod that there is more than one mafia group that is separate from werewolf. There’s you, BP to werewolf, 1 faction, and there’s BBmolla, miller to 1 faction (volcano), so why is Action Dan immune to (what turns out to be) both volcano and berlin? he doesn’t understand it and he’s suspicious. I think the obvious answer to this problem comes from Ozgin’s cop guilty on Pirate Ika. He claims that Pirate Ika is a member of the Berlin Undercity Mafia. That tells us that when a cop gets results on a mafia member, they are told the faction. They’re not just told mafia/not mafia, but Berlin Undercity Mafia/not mafia, or Werewolf/not werewolf, or Tropical Volcano Mafia/not mafia. So of course BBmolla has to be miller to 1 faction.

Post # - Seems to imply that AD's role PM has a very specific phrasing ... but Plotinius has maintained it's a simple statement of immune against 'mafia'. Contradiction?


I am immune to kills made by mafia. I presume you are immune to kills made by werewolves. If the situation were reversed and there was a Lycan Underworld Werewolves and a Twilight Sparkly Werewolves and it wasn’t yet known that there was also a Generic Boring Mafia, and we both had the same role pms that we have now and you were suspecting multiple werewolf groups due to flavour hints / stuff the mod said in the first post / signup thread / a conversation with the mod, would you be suspicious if I was pretty sure i was only immune to one group but you were immune to all werewolves? I really think this was an understandable misunderstanding about setupspec that was based on not enough setupspec being available at the time.

Post # - AD again attacks me by stating that he's immune to "both mafia teams" when there is still no way to know that the setup actually has two mafia teams instead of mafa/werewolf/sk. The only possible way that AD could know there were two mafia teams is if his PM listed them (which he and Plotinius denied), if the mods told him (which would be against the most basic first things you learn not to do as a mod, so I refuse to believe), or if he were a member of one scum faction and had, I dunno ... seen BBmolla claim to be miller to another mafia faction.

Post # - Claims to have asked the mods, and that the mods actually told him there was another "mafia" faction besides the Volcano. At this time, the only reason to even posit a "Volcano" mafia was the miller claim. AD could have easily known that he was Berlin mafia and therefore just made up the whole "I asked the mods and..." crap repeatedly.

Moderators, as a basic rule, do not answer questions if the question could impact the outcome of the game. Cuttlefish has gone so far as to decline removing profanity from a post of mine, even though it couldn't possibly have a direct impact on the game. It is inconceiveable that a mod so careful to avoid impacting the game at all would give the information AD claimed was given.”


Our role PM does not name the teams, just says mafia. I don’t know what the mods might have told him but maybe cuttlefish will get back to me soon. I do think there was enough information publically available in the signup thread and the opening mod post for Dan to have figured out some of the things he figured out (that there were more than one groupscum team, which he assumed was two mafia teams, and then later assumed one mafia and one werewolf and then probably asked the mod if he was sure). I don’t know what refusing to edit out profanity has to do with refusing to answer questions about the game; cuttlefish responded to my public question about fakeclaims when I asked and also responded to the question about if Oranje would have shown up as “lynched and nuked”if that were the case.

I really think Action Dan worked out most of it himself. Maybe he asked the mod “am i just immune to volcano mafia” and he answered no and Action Dan leapt to conclusions from there. I dunno.

Post # - AD claims to have been told explicitly that he was immune to clearly defined factions. Didn't he say in other posts that it just said "mafia"? Contradiction to try and make a case against me ... shady. Also throws in another early doubtcast against BBmolla. And for clarity, I was informed which faction I was immune to, lol, and always said so. I even breadcrumbed it before I explicitly stated that it was werewolves.


He was confused. The clearly defined faction he was immune to was “mafia” which turned out to be two factions. He clearly thought werewolf was SK here. so did a lot of people. he made bad assumptions based on bad setup spec.

Post # - A big piece for a case against the slot. The ability is "Kevlar" which cannot in any way be mangled into protecting one from nuked from orbit, can it? Then again, the other mafia kill flavor was Incinerate, and Kevlar doesn't help against that either. The SK was "eviscerate" too ... so we have two games with 4 killing "factions", and none use guns ... but we have a BP whose role flavor indicates it's "Kevlar" that saves him?


we thought at the time that eviscerate was SK but it turned out devour was SK and eviscerate was almost certainly werewolf and nuked and incinerate were the two mafia factions probably. you’re reading too much into flavour which is what action dan was doing too. is it that weird for a bulletproof ability to be called kevlar?

My Role Flavor is that I an am Argyrophilic, which simply means I have an affinity for silver, and silver is the classic Achilles Heel for werewolves.

So why does my role name and flavor actually match a killing faction, whose presence nobody had any clue to before I claimed, while AD/Plot's is generic and doesn't at all match?


I don’t know. it’s almost like our roles were made up by two completely different mods with different opinions on flavour. why is yours a fancy name and mine a generic boring name? it’s almost like we are matching roles that come from different games. my original game was probably the volcano/berlin one and your original game was probably the werewolf/sk one.

Post # - We were all so naieve back then. Well, I was. AD might have known.


no he was working from too little information. just like the rest of you.

Ps: did you see how I edited your post to provide little linkies to the posts you were talking about so that other people could follow along with what we are saying and examine the truth value of our respective statements for themselves?


missed these the first time around:

Post # - Again claims the mods gave him information that could directly impact the outcome of the game.


"kills made by mafia”. the plural of mafia in english is mafia. your pm might have said “kills made by werewolves” if the same mod had written yours but we’re from two separate games. you refer to all of these posts that are written from the same mindset of “was confused about setup spec. asked a question. was answered. drew some conclusions based on the answer” as if you expect me to answer them each differently but the answer is the same each time. action dan did setup spec. he was right sometimes and wrong other times. there was a misunderstanding. all these posts you link to just show that he was consistent which I think is null.

Why null?

sometimes when a player reacts to new information (a flip, the mod says something, somebody else townslipping/scumslipping), people accuse them of being inconsistent when their opinion is changing over time in a perfectly normal way. i have seen this happen at times.
sometimes a player forgets what happened before and that’s just human being forgetful. othertimes it means they were lying.
sometimes a player is caught in tunnel or lets their reads go stale. this can happen to town players. scum players do it on purpose though. in both cases they are being consistent.

but the consistency Action Dan is showing is that he routinely does his setup spec thing (when he should have been scumhunting! i’m not giving him an A+ for this, don’t worry), and he reacts to other players’ setup spec, and he seems to ask a fairly minor question of the mod and then comes back with an opinion on what that means, and he’s not even entirely right because he thinks werewolf is SK at the end of it so the mod doesn’t give away too much. he doesn’t sometimes act like a person who likes setup spec and asked a question of the mod and othertimes act like he never asked a question of the mod.

Post # - Takes credit for the update to the info dump that makes it clear there could be multiple factions including {Mafia factions, Werewolf factions, Serial Killer(s)} or whatever the precise wording is.


I don’t know because ihaven’t got a reply yet from cuttlefish about action dan’s prior communications but it’s entirely possible something about timestamps made him wonder. i think originally werewolf wasn’t listed there or something.

Post # - AD's final post, wherein he claims the mods gave him enough information that he could know that 2 mafia factions came from one game and another game would have featured werewolves as the bad guys.


There's certainly a lot there to put Plot in the paranoia slot, imo.


apparently there was a back and forth then and not a single query. But it sounds like the mods gave away as little as possible if he came away from it thinking werewolf was sk.

Spoiler: my pedit put in the right place
pedit: Brantz claimed 3-shot pseudocider. he could remove himself from the game 3 times. he has done so. it makes more sense as an SK role than a mafia role I think. I have been paying attention to him in my analysis but there aren’t that many posts from him in the first couple days because he used his ability which meant he couldn’t post.

VOTE: Bulbasaur Commonwealth

I will move to another wagon if neccessary to prevent a no lynch but this is where I want my vote right now.

I think the games were designed for this. they were designed separately and theoretically balanced separately but they haven’t been playtested either separately or apart. but if you do a search for nuke from orbit and get a result that isn’t this game then i too want to know about it!
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Post Post #6987 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 8:20 am

Post by Plotinus »

argh i didn’t edit enough. “when he found out you were
bulletproof to
werewolf”is what i meant. i know you’re not a werewolf.
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Post Post #6988 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 8:35 am

Post by Drixx »

I'm Obvtown for anyone paying attention. That wasn't the case earlier in the game.

Here's the post I was referring to:
Drixx wrote:
@mods
- My #3321 is out of line in the 2nd paragraph. I would appreciate it if one of the mods edits out the bolded profanity.

Apparently I still haven't managed to totally make myself immune to someone who is intentionally being snide and taking continuous shots at me.

I'm sorry Dave, I'm afraid I can't do that. ~Cuttle


If the mods will not remove or censor me saying "FUCK OFF" to someone because they are committed to doing nothing to have a direct impact upon the game, then it strains belief to believe the things that ActionDan claimed. According to him, the moderators gave him loads of information that clearly had a direct impact on the game. In fact, if people had followed his lead when he made a push against me, I wouldn't be essentially Conftown here in the endgame. That would have been a gigantic swing in the game. It appears that the mods are very competent and know that even information which seems like it couldn't possibly impact the game can have a huge impact, seeing as they wouldn't even censor something I said that literally had no impact on the game. Just replacing that with a {Profanity Redacted} would have left intact the fact that I was so frustrated I resorted to telling someone to fuck off, but they weren't even willing to do that.

I find the cautious approach to be completely at odds with the way ActionDan repeatedly claimed the mods had given him info.
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Post Post #6989 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 8:38 am

Post by Plotinus »

I know, I saw that in my reread. I thought it was a cute reference to 2001 space oddessey. I have no idea how much or how little information he was given but apparently he came away still thinking werewolves were serial killers so it couldn’t have been all that much? maybe he wrote a lot and got short answers and did lots of inferring? he wasn’t even right half the time.

Like, if you look at Cuttles’ ISO you can see lots of instances of cuttles publically answering stuff that gives information, and then people make alignment inferences based on it but i think cuttles is on the right side of the line here because we don’t know for sure if our theories are right or not when we’re having our theories.
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Post Post #6990 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 8:45 am

Post by Drixx »

General Thoughts on each player:

BRantz - His ability doesn't make sense to give to scum. With that ability he could just remove himself from LYLO, kill at night, and win the game. That's broken and this game wasn't balanced but it was checked to ensure it wasn't broken.

BBmolla - The night skip ability doesn't seem like it would be given to scum. If the end of day kill is submitted during the day, then he could be the last scum and part of the nuke from orbit faction.

BC - There's no way an outside observer can tell the difference between reflexive roleblocker and reflexive jailkeeper. Still trying to keep secret whatever would have happened if two people had targeted them at night, even though that cannot happen any more. Posts today look an awful lot like trying to plant the assumption that they are town into everyone's mind by first coyly hinting about a broken "autowin" condition, but only if Plot is town. If that premise were to be accepted, people subconsciously place BC in the town pile. The progression of posts looks a lot like trying to push people into thinking about others as suspects and not them. ISO is really unimpressive.

Plot - There's some problems with his predecessor's posts. He's making a big deal about repeating over and over that he was bad when he got into the game but he has improved a lot and he's doing a full game read with quotes. That seems like a really good strategy to get town cred.

Me - I'm the investigated innocent townie who is immune from kills by a faction who is believed extinct. It would be exceptionally surprising if I don't die at the end of the day having been nuked from orbit.
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Post Post #6991 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 8:47 am

Post by Drixx »

Plotinus wrote:I know, I saw that in my reread. I thought it was a cute reference to 2001 space oddessey. I have no idea how much or how little information he was given but apparently he came away still thinking werewolves were serial killers so it couldn’t have been all that much? maybe he wrote a lot and got short answers and did lots of inferring? he wasn’t even right half the time.

Like, if you look at Cuttles’ ISO you can see lots of instances of cuttles publically answering stuff that gives information, and then people make alignment inferences based on it but i think cuttles is on the right side of the line here because we don’t know for sure if our theories are right or not when we’re having our theories.


The townie thing for AD to do would have been to explicitly note what he learned from the mods and explicitly note what he inferred from that. It's all mixed in and he clearly was trying to imply that what he was saying came from the mods. No matter how you slice it, that's not townie behavior on his part.
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Post Post #6992 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 9:17 am

Post by Plotinus »

Cuttlefish wrote:
copper223 wrote:@mod: is the votecount quoted above correct?

All vote counts are correct.


copper asked this because of titus’ being a double voter that day instead of a treestump. the answer gives just the right amount of information.

Cuttlefish wrote:
BBmolla wrote:
@mod: if a cop was role blocked, would they recieve a pm saying no result?

Yes.


this was in response to deathfisaro vs bulbasaur commonwealth, investigation immune / reflexive jail keep, and titus saying that as a mod she never sends out no result PMs. this answer from the mod helped us come to an understanding about the deathfisaro vs bc argument, but it didn’t confirm or deny whether our conclusions were right.

Cuttlefish wrote:
It is possible that some roles were altered for balance after the 13p games were combined if the role(s) would have resulted in a severe balance issue. Otherwise, the roles were left intact.


not quite sure what this in response to but it clears up a lot of setup spec that was going on at the time about the plausibility of certain people’s roles. it doesn’t confirm any one in particular as having been telling the truth but it confirms that it is possible that some of the people that were thought to be lying were actually telling the truth.

Cuttlefish wrote:
Titus wrote:
Mod: There are no factions switches right?

Correct.


This was in response to Oranje saying he couldn’t be SK because that would be an “alignment switch” instead of just him lying. note that cuttlefish confirms that Oranje is telling the truth thath is alignment hasn’t changed, but of course cuttlefish doesn’t confirm him as not SK or as SK. cuttlefish lets us draw our own conclusions. if some of us thought that meant he wasn’t sk after all that was our own fault.

Cuttlefish wrote:
Plotinus wrote:
Mod, do the scum have to live with whatever fakeclaim you provide for them or will you give them any claim they want?

As a rule I provide fakeclaims on demand. This information was already public to anyone who has read a game I've modded in the past.


I think the last sentence is in response to people yelling at me for even asking the question. it answers my question which did tell us something about TPTG because kuribo said he wouldn’t fakeclaim masons, but it was still up to us to decide if kuribo was lying or not.

Cuttlefish wrote:
BBmolla wrote:
@Mod: If someone was delay killed and lynched, would it show up as just lynched or lynched and killed?

Just lynched.


And this answers our question about where Oranje’s kill went, but of course it lets us make up our own minds about whether oranje was telling the truth about targetting bbmolla or not.

In conclusion, I think that whatever Action Dan asked the mod, the mod probably replied in the same fashion as the mod replies in public, and then Action Dan drew lots of conclusions from that conversation and some of them were right and some of them were not right which is about par for the course.



pedit: thank you for posting your reads. agree with most of it. do you want me to talk about how I think my analysis would differ if I were scum? I think if I had a scum mindset it would show up in the analysis like it or not and I am thinking of some specific things.

I agree that Action Dan should have been more explicit. It would have helped me too as a replace in. If cuttlefish gets back to me I will paraphrase as much as I can without getting modkilled. I think my guesses about the communication are probably right because it’s day 10 and we know what the factions are and there’s lots of hindsight to work with, but I will paraphrase for you guys if I get a response from the mod.

The PM I just sent to the mod says: Hi. can I have a copy of any questions Action Dan asked you. thanks.
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Post Post #6993 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 9:19 am

Post by Plotinus »

another quote fail. if it isn’t clear, the sentence in white after the purple sentence is my own sentence.
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Post Post #6994 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 9:26 am

Post by Drixx »

It was clear, yeah. Thanks.
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Post Post #6995 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 1:14 pm

Post by Plotinus »

Got a PM from cuttlefish! He used the quote feature so no timestamps but I think this should answer Drixx's questions. I am going to paraphrase both the questions and the answers to avoid getting in trouble.

First Dan asked for confirmation about when they mashed the setups together. Dan said there would be 2 mafia factions (maybe with an sk). Dan wanted to know if his BP was immune to both or just one in particular.

Cuttlefish replied: “both” (that’s part is a direct quote because i don’t know how to paraphrase a one word answer).


Looking back with hindsight i am not sure if this means that volcano and berlin are different setups or that cuttlefish was saying “if there are more than one mafia faction then you’re immune to both of them regardless of which setup they come from”. Action Dan probably initially took this to mean that the setup was something like 4:4:18 or 4:3:1:18 or something and he was immune to both the mafia factions.

Next Dan asks if it’s possible that there is a werewolf faction that is included in the “mafia” factions he is bullet proof to.

cuttlefish uses the conditional tense to reply to this, telling him he
would not
have immunity from
a
werewolf faction. the way the answer is worded, it looks like a hypothetical to me. it does not say “you
are
not immune to
the
werewolf faction.


cuttlefish is maintaining plausible deniability here.

finally, and Dan asks whether there are 2 distinct mafia factions that he is immune to as he thought was implied in the answer to the first pm that he says was written on 11 march.

cuttlefish appologises for not being clearer and says that
if
there are two distinct mafia factions from different 13p games then he has immunity to both of them, but he doesn’t have immunity to werewolf kills.


So my takeaway from that is that if volcano and berlin are from the same game then it’s possible i'm not be immune to both of them after all. (but i probably am because my role pm says mafia and they’re both mafia. occam’s razor.) also cuttlefish uses the singular form of the word werewolf to avoid giving away that there was more than one werewolf.

I think all cuttlefish answers have to be understood with a clause of “if your underlying assumptions behind asking this hypothetical question are correct then this would be the answer”.

Action Dan did come away from that guessing mafia:mafia:werewolfsk:town but I think the mod was careful not to correct any underlying assumptions of his.

I highly suspect that if Action Dan had PMed cuttlefish asking if he was immune to vampires instead, the answer would have been “no”, not “this game doesn’t have vampires”.



we can probably guess when the questions happened by looking at Dan’s ISO. The first was 11 March because he mentioned the date in the third PM. The third must have been somewhat later or it would have said “yesterday” or “on wednesday” if only a little time had past. I’m guessing the second PM was around the time second time he returned to Drixx with questions or around the time the first post was modified to include the (town, mafia, werewolf, serial killer) thing, and the third PM was probably around the third time he returned to bug Drixx about trying to match role PMs.
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Post Post #6996 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 3:36 pm

Post by Bulbasaur Commonwealth »

Plotinus wrote:Also, Ivy:
Bulbasaur Commonwealth wrote:
BBmolla wrote:let me get this straight
you're claiming Vyse fucking killed and janitored himself
Fun fact: I know I didn't
say
this anywhere, but I concluded this ages ago, that Vyse accidentally killed/janned himself. I didn't make this public, and didn't even share it with my partners, so they regrettably can't verify that I had this thought in my head prior to now. But I had it all the same, and was actually working under the assumption that it was true.
Can you explain how you reached this conclusion? What in game stuff was pointing in this direction? How does a person accidentally type
kill myself
in the mafia PT or however? vonflare said something about a moderror in his twilight trolling but he said a lot of things in twilight trolling.
Wrong head; that was me. What I was saying was that I was under the assumption at the time that Vyse tried to kill someone, and was redirected by Narninian's power onto himself. Thus, killed himself accidentally, via the redirect.

-V.
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Post Post #6997 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 3:46 pm

Post by Bulbasaur Commonwealth »

Drixx wrote:I would have to rate BBmolla as the least likely scum of the three because he had a freaking ability that skipped a night. That's just not a useful thing for scum, unless that scum submits its kill during the day.
Actually not impossible. I've got ~commentary~ on it, but I want said commentary to wait until D11.

quote]Now that there's no reason to keep it a SEKRET what would happen if 2+ people targeted them, the hydra still wants to keep it a SEKRET. [/quote] Well, Ivy might yell at me but I believe there's no harm in saying, unless I'm missing something. The full role is easily-overwhelmed reflexive jailkeeper, with a single player being a jailkeep (not sure if I can claim the ability name--interesting to note, though, is that I just noticed a factoid about it that I'm not sure we should claim; I'll ask Ivy about it), and if only two players target us (only two, not 2+), we'll protect them both from the nightkill.

The continued talk from that slot about how the game is totally broken since nobody can kill them also has an unpleasant odor about it.
Drixx.

You're talking to Mastin.
MASTIN.

That should tell you all you need to know.
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Post Post #6998 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 3:47 pm

Post by Bulbasaur Commonwealth »

(Also worth noting is that at any point, we could have hammered BBM but we have yet to do so. There are a bundleloads of pro-town-looking ways to go about doing so, but we haven't.)
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Post Post #6999 (ISO) » Sun May 31, 2015 3:51 pm

Post by Bulbasaur Commonwealth »

Drixx wrote:I'm Obvtown for anyone paying attention. That wasn't the case earlier in the game.
You have a massively inflated ego if you think you're obvtown, Drixx.

You're
conftown
, yes. You can't be mafia. But in no way is conftown synonymous with obvtown; if not for the result, I would be lynching YOU right now with your doubtcasting on not just ONE of the mafia-immune players, but BOTH of them.

And screw waiting for Ivy. The detail I noticed in our PM? It doesn't say NIGHT actions. We reflexively jailkeep someone who targets us in ANY phase. Meaning day OR night.
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