↑ Antihero wrote: ↑ Psyche wrote:op is not a case for lynch all liars
took some liberties w/ the title. it's more of a "i want lynch all liars to be a thing" than anything.
your snark was appreciated though. it really added to the discussion.
ahaha ok you asked for it
that is not at all what snark means but i'm glad to be of help
still, if you acknowledge that your thread's title is at best misleading about what your case is for and what this discussion is about, i wonder why you don't change it
especially if you don't like posts like #15
it's not that i think it would be great if your clickbaity thread titles were made as honestly as apparently your role claims are
but that it's really easy to see your op and thread title and think that maybe you believe your posts are doing work (i.e, making readers more inclined to LaL) that they just aren't or at least probably shouldn't
now getting past that
let's talk about the weaknesses of your argument
let's look at what you say is your basic case
the idea behind this is simple. when it comes to roleclaiming, scum HAVE to lie. even if they end up claiming vt. they don't actually have a town role pm so they have to make one up. town don't have the same problem. they actually HAVE a town role pm so they don't need to make one up. does that sound overly simplistic? i don't think it is. i think people underestimate the utility of being able to remove yourself from the lynchpool with a good claim OR the power to ferret out fakeclaiming scum. when you lie as town, you nullify those. you add to the confusion that's ALREADY inherent in an UNINFORMED situation. you keep yourself firmly in the lynch pool because you look really sketchy and the rest of the town isn't going to be able to parse your exact motivation. but most destructively, you contribute to creating a site meta where it's OK for town to fakeclaim. and that's just... awful.
So, let me try to parse this since it's actually not easy. The reason town shouldn't fake claim ever comes down to 2 reasons: first, fakeclaiming makes a game more confusing and second, fakeclaiming contributes to a site meta where it's okay for town to fakeclaim.
I take more issue with the second point than the first. I just don't think it's quite a correct reading of how site meta changes. If someone fakeclaims in a given game, that alone won't make it more likely that people will fakeclaim in the future. For people to decide that fakeclaiming is a worthwhile tactic, they have to see that fakeclaiming actually
works
. When someone fakeclaims and it harms the town (like in the examples you linked and as you argue generally happens), then you should expect everyone whose future play could be impacted by the fakeclaim actually increase their opposition to fakeclaiming as a tactic rather than decrease. In general, we should expect tactics that don't work to happen
less
often as a site meta evolves, not the reverse or whatever it is you think is going on that warrants a thread like this one.
It could be that maybe you believe fakeclaiming's harm to the town isn't obvious enough to most onlookers that this pattern can be guaranteed. Maybe you think people see the short-term benefits for the townies who fakeclaim (safety from the lynch pool and so forth) but maybe can't see the more subtle, long-term (but still within-game) consequences to the practice. But the threads you linked don't really showcase the subtle consequences of fakeclaiming; they show fakeclaimers outright embarrassing themselves and taking their towns down with them. So while it might be true, I just don't know if the basic elements of your vision of how fakeclaiming affects site meta is really
accurate
. I don't think fakeclaiming happens because of any site meta, but rather because of lack of acquaintance with site meta (i.e., inexperience) and probably more importantly a lack of personal skill with respect to execution and situational appraisal.
My problem with your first point is that it seems to deliberately overlook for the sake of your argument just how much the harmfulness of the supposed confusion that a fakeclaim generates for a town varies with situational factors including 1) the quality of the fakeclaim's execution, 2) the train of lynches/night actions that the claim helps cause, 3) how known the setup is. And beyond that, you seem to think that no one (or perhaps no one seriously considering a fakeclaim?) could possibly pull off a fakeclaim without looking more sketchy for doing it. But there definitely are situations where convincingly-executed fakeclaiming can be reasonably expected to help a town win a game without really making the game (too) much more confusing for the rest of the town. The problem is that those are rare and most people are too dumb (and maybe too ideological?) to make good use of them. But to resolve that there are no situations where town should fakeclaim - that's just not something anyone can do reasonably.
In one paragraph, you counter the idea that fakeclaiming can sometimes be usefully applied to influence the nightkill with the totally correct line that "it's impossible to reliably draw or avoid the nightkill". That's false in in the most relevant sense - in many cases one really can reliably draw or avoid the nightkill with a claim. It's part of why we don't encourage PR claiming during RVS. Sure a given claim in most situations won't 100% dictate a given nightkill, but no one thinks otherwise and to act if people do is just to attack a strawman. No one's going to take your claim that "ultimately it's impossible to reliably draw or avoid the nightkill" seriously.
It's similarly a strawman to equate "i'm afraid that if i give the town this information they'll misuse it" with "i'm the lone badass that's going to singlehandedly win the game". You spend the end of your post mercilessly criticizing the latter position, but it just doesn't really have much to do with the former. You could try arguing less fallaciously that "a town will always become less likely to do the optimal thing if a member fakeclaims", but this seems as obviously false as "claims don't reliably influence who gets NKed and who doesn't". If I'm wrong, there's nothing in your post that would make a reasonable person think so.
as gregor samsa awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed in his bed