Newbie 1687 (Game Over)


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Post Post #550 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 6:03 am

Post by FrogSC2 »

kagesong wrote:
FrogSC2 wrote:
kagesong wrote:
Rufus Delorian wrote:If he's the MRB, our Bulletproof guy is screwing us over.

But phantom claimed VT already so we're not losing a BP townie if we lynch him and if he is MRB, game's won.

Unless you keep jailing people and no one dies. Then he could sneak through. Lynch him tonight, if he flips town, lynch me. Then it's a heads up between you and frog.


Kagesong

Walk through that whole scenario.

The premise is Rufus jails and no one dies.

What would the logical next steps be?

Sorry, I don't understand how you ever reach those conclusions from your premise points. :-P

I'm sure I missed something, could you please explain it step by step?


IF the last scum is roleblocker, for WHATEVER reason no one is claming BP, then they can always block rufus, choose to kill or not kill, either confirming or clearing the person who got "jailed" as they see fit. KEEP IN MIND THAT ROLEBLOCKER RESOLVES FIRST. Yes I know no one has claimed BP, I'm not giving points for doing what people should here, I'm just saying this is a 50% possibility.


@Kagesong

I'm trying my best to ask you a simple question.
Your answers feel very confused and with a purposeful narrative to fit whatever story you want to spin.

Once again:

Walk me through step by step how you get from:

A)Our current scenario of a jailkeeper
To
B) The next 2 lynches are Phantom and Yourself (Kagesong)
To
C) The last POE lynch is between Me (Frog, the clear) and Rufus (The uncontested Jailkeeper)
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Post Post #551 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 6:15 am

Post by FrogSC2 »

notachipmunk wrote:I don't like that Frog even demanded the bulletproof to claim to begin with. As much as he's coming up with some elaborate plans ultimately I feel like they're in his own self-interest to make himself look town regardless of his alignment. Of course it may all be true and maybe I'm wrong but isn't claiming BP bad as town? That's why I don't like that he pushed so much to even put it out in the open. He was hoping there wouldn't be anyone to claim it so he could be free, whether or not he was, and maybe they don't want to claim or just go with his plan. I mean at this point we're all kinda just jumping on the Frog strat because he accounts for about 1/3 of the total posts and has a lot of stuff laid out and I've been taking a lot of what he says as legit too.
I still don't like his "sheriff jailor" claim - decoy or not I feel like it helped him jump roles freely, especially since I took it as sarcasm at first and then he straight up used it as a role. His delayed pam vote also was shady. I mean if you were gonna vote in the last 2 hours, why do it like 45 min later -_-
Sorry if this is all "old" stuff from D1 but I need to think out loud and don't want to dismiss all of this and potentially get sucked into believing everything.


I appreciate your pure unfiltered thoughts.

I feel as though your thoughts are a bit confused.

Let me help a bit.

Keep one small point for line.

"Of course it may all be true and maybe I'm wrong but isn't claiming BP bad as town?"
Think through the scenarios in which a Town BP would claim, and in which a Mafia BP would claim.
Think through scenarios in which a Mafia would NOT claim BP.

"He was hoping there wouldn't be anyone to claim it so he could be free"
Using your knowledge from the questions you walked through above, explain how the sentence you wrote above makes no sense.

I'll ask that after you walk through everything completely, do not post it yet.
You are not a prime night kill target in the event that the game continues.
Keep your findings ready for copy paste if necessary tomorrow.
Please understand why I'm asking you to keep this to yourself instead of posting it.
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Post Post #552 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 8:59 am

Post by kagesong »

notachipmunk wrote:
kagesong wrote:I think Frog has finally talked himself into a loop he can't escape. I am prepared to hammer him or Phantom. Preferrably Frog, kinda cus I just don't like him.


What is the loop you are referring to here? I get a bit lost trying to follow everything he posts.


Yeah, that loop.
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Post Post #553 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:03 am

Post by kagesong »

notachipmunk wrote:I don't like that Frog even demanded the bulletproof to claim to begin with. As much as he's coming up with some elaborate plans ultimately I feel like they're in his own self-interest to make himself look town regardless of his alignment. Of course it may all be true and maybe I'm wrong but isn't claiming BP bad as town? That's why I don't like that he pushed so much to even put it out in the open. He was hoping there wouldn't be anyone to claim it so he could be free, whether or not he was, and maybe they don't want to claim or just go with his plan. I mean at this point we're all kinda just jumping on the Frog strat because he accounts for about 1/3 of the total posts and has a lot of stuff laid out and I've been taking a lot of what he says as legit too.
I still don't like his "sheriff jailor" claim - decoy or not I feel like it helped him jump roles freely, especially since I took it as sarcasm at first and then he straight up used it as a role. His delayed pam vote also was shady. I mean if you were gonna vote in the last 2 hours, why do it like 45 min later -_-
Sorry if this is all "old" stuff from D1 but I need to think out loud and don't want to dismiss all of this and potentially get sucked into believing everything.

He wasn't hoping for anything. Neither he nor Pam were roleblockers. Therefore, he knew there would be no bulletproof claim. He's avoiding his advised strategy of claiming it as scum, because, obviously, if he were scum he would use that. That's what he's trying to do is make us think he would do what he suggests and then he does the opposite, so we don't look at him.
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Post Post #554 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:05 am

Post by kagesong »

FrogSC2 wrote:
kagesong wrote:
FrogSC2 wrote:
kagesong wrote:
Rufus Delorian wrote:If he's the MRB, our Bulletproof guy is screwing us over.

But phantom claimed VT already so we're not losing a BP townie if we lynch him and if he is MRB, game's won.

Unless you keep jailing people and no one dies. Then he could sneak through. Lynch him tonight, if he flips town, lynch me. Then it's a heads up between you and frog.


Kagesong

Walk through that whole scenario.

The premise is Rufus jails and no one dies.

What would the logical next steps be?

Sorry, I don't understand how you ever reach those conclusions from your premise points. :-P

I'm sure I missed something, could you please explain it step by step?


IF the last scum is roleblocker, for WHATEVER reason no one is claming BP, then they can always block rufus, choose to kill or not kill, either confirming or clearing the person who got "jailed" as they see fit. KEEP IN MIND THAT ROLEBLOCKER RESOLVES FIRST. Yes I know no one has claimed BP, I'm not giving points for doing what people should here, I'm just saying this is a 50% possibility.


@Kagesong

I'm trying my best to ask you a simple question.
Your answers feel very confused and with a purposeful narrative to fit whatever story you want to spin.

Once again:

Walk me through step by step how you get from:

A)Our current scenario of a jailkeeper
To
B) The next 2 lynches are Phantom and Yourself (Kagesong)
To
C) The last POE lynch is between Me (Frog, the clear) and Rufus (The uncontested Jailkeeper)


I don't, that would require me to have started from your theory, which would not make sense, as I do not view it as valid. I, however, using my own logic, began at my own point and worked toward my conclusion. To get from A to B you have to start at A. I however, began at C. So, your inquiry is invalid.
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Post Post #555 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:08 am

Post by kagesong »

FrogSC2 wrote:
notachipmunk wrote:I don't like that Frog even demanded the bulletproof to claim to begin with. As much as he's coming up with some elaborate plans ultimately I feel like they're in his own self-interest to make himself look town regardless of his alignment. Of course it may all be true and maybe I'm wrong but isn't claiming BP bad as town? That's why I don't like that he pushed so much to even put it out in the open. He was hoping there wouldn't be anyone to claim it so he could be free, whether or not he was, and maybe they don't want to claim or just go with his plan. I mean at this point we're all kinda just jumping on the Frog strat because he accounts for about 1/3 of the total posts and has a lot of stuff laid out and I've been taking a lot of what he says as legit too.
I still don't like his "sheriff jailor" claim - decoy or not I feel like it helped him jump roles freely, especially since I took it as sarcasm at first and then he straight up used it as a role. His delayed pam vote also was shady. I mean if you were gonna vote in the last 2 hours, why do it like 45 min later -_-
Sorry if this is all "old" stuff from D1 but I need to think out loud and don't want to dismiss all of this and potentially get sucked into believing everything.


I appreciate your pure unfiltered thoughts.

I feel as though your thoughts are a bit confused.

Let me help a bit.

Keep one small point for line.

"Of course it may all be true and maybe I'm wrong but isn't claiming BP bad as town?"
Think through the scenarios in which a Town BP would claim, and in which a Mafia BP would claim.
Think through scenarios in which a Mafia would NOT claim BP.

"He was hoping there wouldn't be anyone to claim it so he could be free"
Using your knowledge from the questions you walked through above, explain how the sentence you wrote above makes no sense.

I'll ask that after you walk through everything completely, do not post it yet.
You are not a prime night kill target in the event that the game continues.
Keep your findings ready for copy paste if necessary tomorrow.
Please understand why I'm asking you to keep this to yourself instead of posting it.


I'm not sure how you expect him to succeed on this homework, Sensai. I mean, you're asking him to prove facts to be true, which are indeed false. What do you want? Gold from iron?
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Post Post #556 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 9:23 am

Post by Rufus Delorian »

Are you just arguing for the sake of it at this point?

If there's no Roleblocker, I jailed him and there was a kill so he's cleared.

If there is a Roleblocker, we have a bulletproof townie who's stubbornly not claiming for no good reason.

We can't both be scum so if you think I'm lying about being JK, Frog is town, if you think Frog's a Roleblocker, you also have to assume a secret Bulletproof who thinks maybe surviving a NK is worth letting us think scum is cleared.
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Post Post #557 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:56 am

Post by FrogSC2 »

kagesong wrote:
FrogSC2 wrote:
kagesong wrote:
FrogSC2 wrote:
kagesong wrote:
Rufus Delorian wrote:If he's the MRB, our Bulletproof guy is screwing us over.

But phantom claimed VT already so we're not losing a BP townie if we lynch him and if he is MRB, game's won.

Unless you keep jailing people and no one dies. Then he could sneak through. Lynch him tonight, if he flips town, lynch me. Then it's a heads up between you and frog.


Kagesong

Walk through that whole scenario.

The premise is Rufus jails and no one dies.

What would the logical next steps be?

Sorry, I don't understand how you ever reach those conclusions from your premise points. :-P

I'm sure I missed something, could you please explain it step by step?


IF the last scum is roleblocker, for WHATEVER reason no one is claming BP, then they can always block rufus, choose to kill or not kill, either confirming or clearing the person who got "jailed" as they see fit. KEEP IN MIND THAT ROLEBLOCKER RESOLVES FIRST. Yes I know no one has claimed BP, I'm not giving points for doing what people should here, I'm just saying this is a 50% possibility.


@Kagesong

I'm trying my best to ask you a simple question.
Your answers feel very confused and with a purposeful narrative to fit whatever story you want to spin.

Once again:

Walk me through step by step how you get from:

A)Our current scenario of a jailkeeper
To
B) The next 2 lynches are Phantom and Yourself (Kagesong)
To
C) The last POE lynch is between Me (Frog, the clear) and Rufus (The uncontested Jailkeeper)


I don't, that would require me to have started from your theory, which would not make sense, as I do not view it as valid. I, however, using my own logic, began at my own point and worked toward my conclusion. To get from A to B you have to start at A. I however, began at C. So, your inquiry is invalid.


If you start at C, it's not an invalid attempt at logic.

But it is the basis for tunnelvision.

Tunnelvision is more than not a bad mentality for town.
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Post Post #558 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:02 am

Post by FrogSC2 »

kagesong wrote:
FrogSC2 wrote:
notachipmunk wrote:I don't like that Frog even demanded the bulletproof to claim to begin with. As much as he's coming up with some elaborate plans ultimately I feel like they're in his own self-interest to make himself look town regardless of his alignment. Of course it may all be true and maybe I'm wrong but isn't claiming BP bad as town? That's why I don't like that he pushed so much to even put it out in the open. He was hoping there wouldn't be anyone to claim it so he could be free, whether or not he was, and maybe they don't want to claim or just go with his plan. I mean at this point we're all kinda just jumping on the Frog strat because he accounts for about 1/3 of the total posts and has a lot of stuff laid out and I've been taking a lot of what he says as legit too.
I still don't like his "sheriff jailor" claim - decoy or not I feel like it helped him jump roles freely, especially since I took it as sarcasm at first and then he straight up used it as a role. His delayed pam vote also was shady. I mean if you were gonna vote in the last 2 hours, why do it like 45 min later -_-
Sorry if this is all "old" stuff from D1 but I need to think out loud and don't want to dismiss all of this and potentially get sucked into believing everything.


I appreciate your pure unfiltered thoughts.

I feel as though your thoughts are a bit confused.

Let me help a bit.

Keep one small point for line.

"Of course it may all be true and maybe I'm wrong but isn't claiming BP bad as town?"
Think through the scenarios in which a Town BP would claim, and in which a Mafia BP would claim.
Think through scenarios in which a Mafia would NOT claim BP.

"He was hoping there wouldn't be anyone to claim it so he could be free"
Using your knowledge from the questions you walked through above, explain how the sentence you wrote above makes no sense.

I'll ask that after you walk through everything completely, do not post it yet.
You are not a prime night kill target in the event that the game continues.
Keep your findings ready for copy paste if necessary tomorrow.
Please understand why I'm asking you to keep this to yourself instead of posting it.


I'm not sure how you expect him to succeed on this homework, Sensai. I mean, you're asking him to prove facts to be true, which are indeed false. What do you want? Gold from iron?


The basis of logic I presented is blatantly objective.

It's not about proving facts, but rather thinking through what would be optimal strategy for BP and Scum in each situation.

If you do this, you can develop a counter optimized strategy.

Instead of starting at:
Player X is scum

And then moving to:
Player X is scummy because

I'm presenting a different (better) approach:
Thinking through optimized strategies for each player type in different scenarios
This is the basis for game theory

I would go so far as to say the question:
Why is player X Scum?
Is inferior to:
Why is player X not Town?
If you decide to pursue that route, ask the latter question instead.

The problem with tunnel vision is this:
"If you hear hooves, don't go looking for Zebras, go hunting for horses"

Kagesong - I mentioned this before, but I think you get lost in WIFOM too easily
This is perhaps an indication of an EN type personality,
WHICH IS NOT BAD
I myself am an ENTP and consider every situation
But apply Occam's Razor to reel yourself in when you're stuck in WIFOM as a Villager

On the other hand, if you are a wolf, inciting confusion and playing into levels or WIFOM is not a bad strategy to be viewed as the "Village Idiot" (Politically Incorrect, but commonly used term)
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Post Post #559 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:20 am

Post by FrogSC2 »

At this time, I feel VERY confident in presenting my unfiltered views based on my soft/hard clear, even moreso because as a VT, I have nothing to lose.

I'm using this time to help you guys learn new approaches and develop game theory mentalities.

I think Phantom is at L-1 right now.

Bear in mind, if Phantom is NOT the last wolf, I will HEAVILY FOS (Finger of Suspicion) anyone who hammers.

We have the opportunity to discuss quite a lot with this extra time, just as we did yesterday.

We should use this time NOW.

We can develop POE's based on what we have NOW, OR, we could ask players in the POE questions that would expand the content of the game to work off of.

I've already developed IMO a solid POE, which Drixx and Rufus already agreed to (albeit different orders).

Now we can ask those players questions.

For reference:
Our POE (Process of Elimination)
PhantomCobalt
Kagesong
Reubus

Our Town soft clear:
NotaChipmunk

Our Town Clear:
Rufus
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Post Post #560 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:42 am

Post by Rufus Delorian »

I'd put Drixx as more town cleared than notachipmunk.
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Post Post #561 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:47 am

Post by Drixx »

kagesong wrote:
notachipmunk wrote:I don't like that Frog even demanded the bulletproof to claim to begin with. As much as he's coming up with some elaborate plans ultimately I feel like they're in his own self-interest to make himself look town regardless of his alignment. Of course it may all be true and maybe I'm wrong but isn't claiming BP bad as town? That's why I don't like that he pushed so much to even put it out in the open. He was hoping there wouldn't be anyone to claim it so he could be free, whether or not he was, and maybe they don't want to claim or just go with his plan. I mean at this point we're all kinda just jumping on the Frog strat because he accounts for about 1/3 of the total posts and has a lot of stuff laid out and I've been taking a lot of what he says as legit too.
I still don't like his "sheriff jailor" claim - decoy or not I feel like it helped him jump roles freely, especially since I took it as sarcasm at first and then he straight up used it as a role. His delayed pam vote also was shady. I mean if you were gonna vote in the last 2 hours, why do it like 45 min later -_-
Sorry if this is all "old" stuff from D1 but I need to think out loud and don't want to dismiss all of this and potentially get sucked into believing everything.

He wasn't hoping for anything. Neither he nor Pam were roleblockers. Therefore, he knew there would be no bulletproof claim. He's avoiding his advised strategy of claiming it as scum, because, obviously, if he were scum he would use that. That's what he's trying to do is make us think he would do what he suggests and then he does the opposite, so we don't look at him.


*facepalm*
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Post Post #562 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:53 am

Post by kagesong »

Obviously my brain is too alternative for this crowd. Thought this was Mafia, not Mob Mentality. I stand on my assertions, if it won't be discussed, I have no further to say until further notice. I do not support the given theory, am not being taken seriously as I point out the flaws and therefore have nothing further to contribute until any given fact is proved.
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Post Post #563 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:57 am

Post by Rufus Delorian »

Your assertion was that Frog & Pam are partners & there's no Roleblocker.

I've claimed Jailkeeper and say I jailed Frog last night.

For your theory to be correct, Frog would be scum and I'd be lying, therefore scum...it doesn't work, there's only one scum left.
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Post Post #564 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 12:49 pm

Post by Drixx »

kagesong wrote:Obviously my brain is too alternative for this crowd. Thought this was Mafia, not Mob Mentality. I stand on my assertions, if it won't be discussed, I have no further to say until further notice. I do not support the given theory, am not being taken seriously as I point out the flaws and therefore have nothing further to contribute until any given fact is proved.


You are asserting a logical impossibility. Law of excluded middle. Either P or Not P.

Rufus has claimed to be jailkeeper and has not been counterclaimed, ergo it is probable that his claim is true.
Rufus says he jailed FrogSC2 last night, but a death still happened, ergo FrogSC2 cannot be scum
unless
he is a roleblocker and roleblocked Rufus.
If we are in Matrix column 1, then we have a Jailkeeper and a 1-shot BP and scum have a roleblocker.
Since Rufus doesn't clear anyone if a roleblocker is in play, a 1-shot BP should have come forward and claimed by now.

Since nobody has counterclaimed Rufus and since no 1-shot BP has spoken up, then the most probable situation is that we are in row A with only a Jailkeeper and the mafia had two goons, which means FrogSC2 is clear.

This isn't a theory but simply an exercise in logic. If there's a 1-shot BP, they should have long since claimed so we could make properly informed decisions. Scum already know whether there is or isn't because if the remaining scum is a roleblocker, there's a 1-shot BP and if the remaining scum is a goon, there isn't.
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Post Post #565 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 1:28 pm

Post by Reubus Swagrid »

@MOD VC please


How many votes does Phantom have?
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Post Post #566 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 1:44 pm

Post by Zaicon »

Vote Count 2.1


PhantomCobalt (2):
Rufus Delorian, kagesong
FrogSC2 (1):
PhantomCobalt

No Vote (4):
Drixx, FrogSC2, notachipmunk, Reubus Swagrid

With 7 alive, it takes 4 to lynch!

Deadline is Monday, March 28, 2016 at 8:00 AM CDT, which is in (expired on 2016-03-28 08:00:00).
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Post Post #567 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 1:50 pm

Post by Reubus Swagrid »

Kage, Frog is fine and so is Rufus unless someone claims BP


Oh the only vote on Frog is Phantom

VOTE: PhantomCobalt
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Post Post #568 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 1:50 pm

Post by Reubus Swagrid »

THAT'S L-1 FOLKS
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Post Post #569 (ISO) » Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:41 pm

Post by Reubus Swagrid »

WHERE DID ALL OF YOU GO?
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Post Post #570 (ISO) » Thu Mar 17, 2016 5:45 am

Post by notachipmunk »

didn't you hear Reubus? the thread was locked all night for everyone but you =p

I'm def not gonna jump to hammer Phantom 3 days into D2, I know that much.

@Phantom - what do you think of Frog's POE? I mean obv prob not in favor since you're at L-1 again lol. But anything I guess, it's hard to pick up on a lot based off of yours (and kirroha's) words so far.
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Post Post #571 (ISO) » Thu Mar 17, 2016 6:33 am

Post by Drixx »

Queue me as interested in the answer too.
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Post Post #572 (ISO) » Thu Mar 17, 2016 7:15 am

Post by kagesong »

Indeed, we needs opinion.
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Post Post #573 (ISO) » Thu Mar 17, 2016 9:46 am

Post by PhantomCobalt »

Why can't we just lynch that other guy before me cuz I'm town and he's probably not
Speed don't lie.
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Post Post #574 (ISO) » Thu Mar 17, 2016 10:37 am

Post by FrogSC2 »

PhantomCobalt wrote:Why can't we just lynch that other guy before me cuz I'm town and he's probably not


Impressive contribution.

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