New York 196: My Game, My Flavor Mafia (Mafia Win)


Forum rules
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3125 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:06 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 3105, AGar wrote:3) Supposedly shoot someone N1 who was pretty obviously town off of a few factors D1.
Did you ever indicate that you thought Lapsa was town day 1?
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3126 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:07 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 3124, Wake1 wrote: Unless you're an alt you really
don't
give the impression that you know what you're doing.
You're worse
User avatar
Wake1
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8683
Joined: August 3, 2013

Post Post #3127 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:08 pm

Post by Wake1 »

In post 3123, implosion wrote:I agree that Nos associatives are important but it's not like there's a simple way to just look at all of the player->Nos-slot interactions like there is for looking at the Nos-slot->player interactions through ISO;
the former is tantamount to rereading all of d1
.
I took a good stab at it in .

I don't think people fully appreciate that we actually have a Scum flip this early in the game.

How many players realize just how valuable that really is? Far, FAR more valuable than a VT flip.
"It's wise to be... cautious... with Wake."
— House*
"What Wake lacks in charisma, he makes up for it in pure analytic power."
— Nosferatu*
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 9286
Joined: April 2, 2016
Location: Demoned Away

Post Post #3128 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:08 pm

Post by Zachstralkita »

implosion wrote: I don't think that analyzing the Lapsa kill is likely to be useful, for multiple reasons (the main one simply being that he claimed macho and so could very easily have been targeted simply for that).

That's defeatist.Well there's plenty of people who weren't likely to be first picked as protective role target choices, if you catch my drift. Scum could have targeted any one of them. Unless, they happened to be one of them. You unfortunately fall into this category. Hey, if it makes you feel better, I'm probably in it as well. I'm sure some people want me dead a little bit. Not because I'm useful though, god no.
Wake88 wrote:
In post 3118, Zachstralkita wrote:You trust your gut? You wanna see where it leads you? I triple fucking dog dare you. The problem with you guys is you all think you're fucking hotshots, and maybe I do too, but if we play chicken I'm not moving a fucking inch. So maybe get a different pool of three and start coloring names again lol, cause that one kinda sucks.
Unless you're an alt you really
don't
give the impression that you know what you're doing.

I find it really odd how Day 2 on you keep saying I'm Town yet you find every opportunity to not listen to me and fight against me when I'm trying to get you and everyone else to look at how players behaved early game when it came to Nosferatu. I don't understand why you're doing that. Either you're really, really obtuse, or you're Scum. I mean why else won't you listen? And it doesn't help that Titus and Dunn seem to want to ignore how players defended/pursued Nos early game, either. Look at who actively wanted to lynch him, and who pretty much took him off the table no ifs and or buts. But it's like you just ignore that. I don't know if you're Town and playing dumb, or what. Why won't you listen? Town's expected to be pliable, but you don't even want to work with me and see all the early behaviors
toward
,
about
, and
regarding
Nos/Ved slot.
Your main point out of that is that Titus and Dunn are scum.

I don't believe either one of those to be true. Because me believing that would mean both of them are scum to me, and I do not believe that is possible FMPOV.

And Town can be wrong, Town can be dead wrong. I don't have to listen to you if I think you're wrong.
User avatar
Wake1
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8683
Joined: August 3, 2013

Post Post #3129 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:08 pm

Post by Wake1 »

In post 3126, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 3124, Wake1 wrote: Unless you're an alt you really
don't
give the impression that you know what you're doing.
You're worse
:lol:
"It's wise to be... cautious... with Wake."
— House*
"What Wake lacks in charisma, he makes up for it in pure analytic power."
— Nosferatu*
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 9286
Joined: April 2, 2016
Location: Demoned Away

Post Post #3130 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:12 pm

Post by Zachstralkita »

Wake for a solid chunk of Day 1 you had a thing for Titus due to the mason claim shit and your gut. It just looks like you saw the scumflip, saw Nos' posts,
all 12 of them
, and then carried that thing on into Day 2. Do not talk to me about pliable.
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3131 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:12 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 3128, Zachstralkita wrote:Your main point out of that is that Titus and Dunn are scum.
Best part is he keeps shoving it my face like I'm supposed to analyze it

Like ok
User avatar
Wake1
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8683
Joined: August 3, 2013

Post Post #3132 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:13 pm

Post by Wake1 »

In post 3130, Zachstralkita wrote:Wake for a solid chunk of Day 1 you had a thing for Titus due to the mason claim shit and your gut. It just looks like you saw the scumflip, saw Nos' posts,
all 12 of them
, and then carried that thing on into Day 2. Do not talk to me about pliable.
If you're Town I'm asking you to listen.

It's not just about his 12 posts.

It's also about what the other players were saying and doing.
"It's wise to be... cautious... with Wake."
— House*
"What Wake lacks in charisma, he makes up for it in pure analytic power."
— Nosferatu*
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 9286
Joined: April 2, 2016
Location: Demoned Away

Post Post #3133 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:15 pm

Post by Zachstralkita »

In post 1184, Nosferatu wrote:
In post 1171, Boem_u_dusi wrote:
In post 1167, Nosferatu wrote:sorry, I'm just in too many games.

replacing out


rip my replacement for having to read through all this.

pedit: or you guys could lynch me, that could happen too.
Is this an invitation? This doesn't sound towny.
that's a loaded question. If you guys were still looking for scum, ^^^^^.

Like, you could have inferred he was doing some super WIFOM shit here and Boem was his partner from this post. Which I'd believe over Titus/Dunn - it actually seems like it could be the truth

Wake, you're totally not working with me and
clearly
you're not seeing ALL the early behaviors
toward
,
about
, and
regarding
Nos/Ved slot.
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3134 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:17 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

Guess what






What if Nos didn't talk to his partners at all?

12 posts
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3135 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:19 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

"What other players were saying and doing"

OK but...

I hammered vedith in the end ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

And I was trying to figure out Titus on my own and you were butting in the way
User avatar
Wake1
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8683
Joined: August 3, 2013

Post Post #3136 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:20 pm

Post by Wake1 »

Again, you two are not listening.

It's not just about his posts.

It's also about the other players' actions that have things to do with that slot, and what they said about Nosferatu/Vedith.
"It's wise to be... cautious... with Wake."
— House*
"What Wake lacks in charisma, he makes up for it in pure analytic power."
— Nosferatu*
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3137 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:21 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

OK.

Show me other players actions that aren't Me, Titus, or Zach and I'm all ears. What did you want to point out?
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 9286
Joined: April 2, 2016
Location: Demoned Away

Post Post #3138 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:21 pm

Post by Zachstralkita »

In post 1184, Nosferatu wrote:
In post 1171, Boem_u_dusi wrote:
In post 1167, Nosferatu wrote:sorry, I'm just in too many games.

replacing out


rip my replacement for having to read through all this.

pedit: or you guys could lynch me, that could happen too.
Is this an invitation? This doesn't sound towny.
that's a loaded question. If you guys were still looking for scum, ^^^^^.
Cool cool let me break this one down for you I may not have covered all the bases with that last post

the Nos/Ved slot


[X] Toward

[X] About

[X] Regarding



[X] Applesauce @Transcend

Wake88 wrote:
Unless you're an alt you really
don't
give the impression that you know what you're doing.
So if I were an alt I
would
give the impression that I know what I'm doing? You can say that without knowing who I would be an alt of? Who would I be an alt of?
Dunnstral wrote:"What other players were saying and doing"

OK but...

I hammered vedith in the end ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Be completely honest if our roles were reversed and I said this to you you would make about 8 posts on how that is not a valid reason
Dunnstral wrote:
And I was trying to figure out Titus on my own and you were butting in the way
Nah you can't say this either, you went along with the mason shit, you assumed she was town or you're handing Wake a free lynch card and if you keep talking like that it just might slip into his hands
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Zachstralkita
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 9286
Joined: April 2, 2016
Location: Demoned Away

Post Post #3139 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:23 pm

Post by Zachstralkita »

Dunn, scum can hammer fellow scum. That statement was obtuse as a fucking angle and I'm going to reiterate that

I know how you play but these other people don't scumread you out of thin air
User avatar
Wake1
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8683
Joined: August 3, 2013

Post Post #3140 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:25 pm

Post by Wake1 »

In post 3135, Dunnstral wrote:"What other players were saying and doing"

OK but...

I hammered vedith in the end ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

And I was trying to figure out Titus on my own and you were butting in the way
You did hammer Vedith in the end, yes.

Any cautious Townies knows the action itself doesn't 100% make you Town or Scum. I once hammered my teammate on page 10.

What I'm trying to say is that we need to ask ourselves questions regarding the Scum flip.

What did Lapsa think of it? He's dead, and Town. Did he suspect it? Defend it? If he suspected and/or pushed it, did any player get in his way or try to distract him? These are important questions. Who was willing to lynch the slot very early on? Zach was. In itself that sorta tells me he's Town because why would he want to kill his partner so very quickly without provocation? Yeah, I once hammered my teammate extremely early and capitalized on it but I don't think that's very common, especially in a large game.
"It's wise to be... cautious... with Wake."
— House*
"What Wake lacks in charisma, he makes up for it in pure analytic power."
— Nosferatu*
User avatar
Wake1
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8683
Joined: August 3, 2013

Post Post #3141 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:33 pm

Post by Wake1 »

In post 3137, Dunnstral wrote:OK.

Show me other players actions that aren't Me, Titus, or Zach and I'm all ears. What did you want to point out?
Well for one did you know that implosion early on was worried about Nos in 295?

Also Scum-Nos implied he had bad vibes on implosion and peregrine went and agreed with that false sentiment.

When I was arguing with you around 840 Nos interjected on your behalf, defending you.

Boem was taken aback in 966 about Transcend thinking Nos was Town, like Boem was questioning it.

Performer did question Lapsa once about having problems with the Scum-slot.

Lapsa clearly had Nos at the bottom of his list and called him a lurker. Lapsa's a piece of the puzzle and we should search for player reactions to Lapsa for more clues.
"It's wise to be... cautious... with Wake."
— House*
"What Wake lacks in charisma, he makes up for it in pure analytic power."
— Nosferatu*
User avatar
Wake1
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
User avatar
User avatar
Wake1
Jack of All Trades
Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8683
Joined: August 3, 2013

Post Post #3142 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:34 pm

Post by Wake1 »

On their own, each of these little puzzle pieces mean little, but when you start fitting all the little pieces together it can make a difference.
"It's wise to be... cautious... with Wake."
— House*
"What Wake lacks in charisma, he makes up for it in pure analytic power."
— Nosferatu*
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3143 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 7:40 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 3141, Wake1 wrote:Boem was taken aback in 966 about Transcend thinking Nos was Town, like Boem was questioning it.
This is an actual scum tell in my mind. Though I was townreading Boem I'd be willing to take another look at him
Wake88 wrote: Well for one did you know that implosion early on was worried about Nos in 295?

Also Scum-Nos implied he had bad vibes on implosion and peregrine went and agreed with that false sentiment.
OK but that could be nothing and I don't see any implications here
Wake88 wrote: When I was arguing with you around 840 Nos interjected on your behalf, defending you.
Yeah we should definitely take a closer look at that

...

Well, just consider me as not mafia and think about what this interaction could mean for other people
Wake88 wrote: Performer did question Lapsa once about having problems with the Scum-slot.

Lapsa clearly had Nos at the bottom of his list and called him a lurker. Lapsa's a piece of the puzzle and we should search for player reactions to Lapsa for more clues.
First part may be something depending on what actually happened
User avatar
shannon
shannon
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
shannon
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 2300
Joined: March 20, 2016

Post Post #3144 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 8:47 pm

Post by shannon »

In post 3126, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 3124, Wake1 wrote: Unless you're an alt you really
don't
give the impression that you know what you're doing.
You're worse
OK I have a theory and I'm pretty sure it's going to be shot down by a grown up but I want to try it out.

Titus is a bulletproof mafia traitor and Dunn is regular mafia.

How I arrived at this (and point out any flaws as you see them, there are heaps I'm sure).

1) Newbie games are 9:2 with a smattering of PRs, so I extrapolated from that to get 19:3 or 19:4 in this one
2) I speculated about what the roles would be, based on what's flipped and what has been claimed. I feel like I shouldn't go in to detail in case it's anti town but will if you want (I'm probably wrong anyway)
3) I think we are looking at a 'half mafia' player for balance, i.e. the traitor role
4) Titus claimed Masons with Dunn, with no way of knowing (if Titus is town) what Dunn's role is. I think this could actually be a way of Traitor Titus letting the main mafia faction know who she is. I think Titus might only know who one of the mafiosi is, not both of them, so she tried to save what she saw as the beginnings of a Dunn wagon using a strategy so implausible no one would believe it
5) This fits with Titus's claims that she can't tell us why Dunn is town without breaking the rules - what she's really saying is that she knows Dunn is scum but can't say why without revealing her role PM
6) Titus' early play, to me, fits the 'bad townie' role, and she has now toned it down I think after losing the other scum
7) I do think this could be, as Zach says in , the best scum gambit of 2016

Thoughts?
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3145 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 8:54 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

...
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3146 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 9:24 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 3144, shannon wrote:I'm pretty sure it's going to be shot down by a grown up
So... you're like a little kid?
shannon wrote: 1) Newbie games are 9:2 with a smattering of PRs, so I extrapolated from that to get 19:3 or 19:4 in this one
Games are balanced around 13 players, 10 town 3 mafia all the time. Suggesting that we have SIXTEEN town and three mafia is silly
(Note: There is 19 players in this game, not 19 town)
shannon wrote: 2) I speculated about what the roles would be, based on what's flipped and what has been claimed. I feel like I shouldn't go in to detail in case it's anti town but will if you want (I'm probably wrong anyway)
3) I think we are looking at a 'half mafia' player for balance, i.e. the traitor role
So we have:

Miller
Macho town
Jailkeeper
1-shot Vig

Mafia Naepolitan

As claims
And from that you got "mafia bulletproof traitor"

I mean it's fine to assume there's 5 mafia with one being a traitor (though that's pretty strong in scum numbers) but don't act like the roleclaims point to traitor when they don't
shannon wrote: 4) Titus claimed Masons with Dunn, with no way of knowing (if Titus is town) what Dunn's role is. I think this could actually be a way of Traitor Titus letting the main mafia faction know who she is. I think Titus might only know who one of the mafiosi is, not both of them, so she tried to save what she saw as the beginnings of a Dunn wagon using a strategy so implausible no one would believe it
5) This fits with Titus's claims that she can't tell us why Dunn is town without breaking the rules - what she's really saying is that she knows Dunn is scum but can't say why without revealing her role PM
How does a mafia traitor claiming mason with a mafia member let mafia know that they're the traitor, and not some random townie?
shannon wrote: 6) Titus' early play, to me, fits the 'bad townie' role, and she has now toned it down I think after losing the other scum
As opposed to you, who's been playing the bad person role by trying to get people modkilled?

Nothing you've done has contributed to town (except the vedith quickwagon). I bet you'd like to think you have, but you've only served to muddy the waters
(annoyingly, I'm pretty confident that you are town)
shannon wrote: 7) I do think this could be, as Zach says in , the best scum gambit of 2016

Thoughts?
You ignored, or forgot, that I also claimed 1-shot vig.

Here's my thoughts:

1. Start over without being tunneled on me and Titus.
2. The scum team isn't me and Vedith with Titus mafia traitor in a 19 person game. Point out things other people have done
3. In post you're sheeping me. What made you change your mind since then?
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3147 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 10:56 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 3138, Zachstralkita wrote:Nah you can't say this either, you went along with the mason shit, you assumed she was town or you're handing Wake a free lynch card and if you keep talking like that it just might slip into his hands

I was talking about day 2.

Of course you were butting in with him so
User avatar
Transcend
Transcend
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Transcend
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 26013
Joined: February 12, 2016

Post Post #3148 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 11:20 pm

Post by Transcend »

big stupid game
User avatar
Dunnstral
Dunnstral
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Dunnstral
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 37035
Joined: April 2, 2016

Post Post #3149 (ISO) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 11:26 pm

Post by Dunnstral »

fos: Transcend
Locked