Newbie 1744 - Game Over


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Post Post #450 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 12:56 am

Post by Toto »

In post 449, Human Sequencer wrote:It's very clear to me that you simply forgot that you mixed Toto and TownCop in post 205, and didn't bother to read back on it. So instead you decided to manufacture out an answer that will make the town happy, even though that answer is as dodgy as the devil.
Can you clarify this for me. I actually don't understand why you think he mixed the names.
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Post Post #451 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:00 am

Post by Toto »

In post 449, Human Sequencer wrote:
In post 424, Gideon wrote:
1) Why did you say towncop was ‘throwing accusations everywhere when in fact he was only accusing YOU?


Immediately after he was accused, in #197, he posted this:
"Current reads:
Copper: Towny
HS: Slightly Town
Toto: Slightly Town
Jason: Slightly Town
Spy: Slightly Town
SB: Slightly Scummy
Gideon: Scummy
Frank: Null"

Basically calling 6 people less than town.
This feels to me to like fishing for evidence that he was throwing votes everywhere. Why not be honest and admit that he wasn't?

This is the only reason I have to lynch Gideon TBH. We still have 3 days left and I would like frank to either replace out or come back and
confirm he has no counter claim to SB
and ideally give his thoughts on this situation.
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Post Post #452 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:02 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

You're actually right toto. I was referring to this bit.
'Before TownCop was accused, he was rather quiet and uninterested in scum hunting. After the accusation, he frantically started pointing fingers everywhere. Seems like a pretty strong 'read' to me.'

But he was accusing TownCop of 'throwing accusations around' even before that, mentioning you in the same sentence.
However, this makes even less sense, considering that as everybody else has said, TownCop wasn't doing that.
nah
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Post Post #453 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:03 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

@Toto we have two days left.
nah
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Post Post #454 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:14 am

Post by copper223 »

In post 452, Human Sequencer wrote:You're actually right toto. I was referring to this bit.
'Before TownCop was accused, he was rather quiet and uninterested in scum hunting. After the accusation, he frantically started pointing fingers everywhere. Seems like a pretty strong 'read' to me.'

But he was accusing TownCop of 'throwing accusations around' even before that, mentioning you in the same sentence.
However, this makes even less sense, considering that as everybody else has said, TownCop wasn't doing that.
It's still a bit worrying that you'd accuse him of mixing the names up given he mentions both.
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Post Post #455 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:21 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

No, I fully retract the accusation that he was mixing the names up.
nah
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Post Post #456 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:26 am

Post by copper223 »

Understood, but that shows you're either confirmation biasing a bit too much on your scum reads, which makes it slightly more likely we are both wrong about Gideon as we were about SB (man this would be a bad D1 for me in this case), or you're fabricating cases on people and maybe are pushing so hard now because Frank is your buddy after all (and that would be one of my worst D1s on site but there is always a first time...).

Either way there is reason to be a bit worried.
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Post Post #457 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:42 am

Post by Human Sequencer »

I do understand that this weakens the case on Gideon, and I have to read over it again.

However the idea that I'm fabricating cases on the spot isn't valid, because this is a consistent belief that I stated a few posts ago (post 389). It's only now when it's pointed out to me that the belief is invalid that I retract and reassess it.
Read me on the toto wagon and me on the SmoothBlue wagon. I was pushing just as hard. I hate to call on a 'player meta read', but that's just what I do, and I believe it's valid because it's consistent with my behaviour in this very game.

I'm all for a push on Frank at this point, or Jasomega. In fact, considering that SB's claim is legit, I believe they're the next target, as I said above. I just don't think we have enough time in this day to do it.
nah
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Post Post #458 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:44 am

Post by SpyreX »

Pretty much with hs. I don't trust the activity to swing a different wagon in time alotted.
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Post Post #459 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:47 am

Post by Gideon »

Well, since we're in agreement.
UNVOTE: SmoothBlue
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Post Post #460 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 2:06 am

Post by copper223 »

@Gideon
Basically Spyre and HS just told you you are the lynch today unless something major happens.

Now would be the time to make that something happen or at least give all the information you have to help town as much as possible, if that's your alignment.
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Post Post #461 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 2:23 am

Post by copper223 »

@HS
That's fair wrt to your meta btw.

The way I work with imperfect information and trying to avoid confbias is mentally assigning rough probabilities based on player behavior and what that says about their likely motivation, I then update them when new information presents itself.

On you I am 80% on the first case and 20% on the second, you're still my strongest town read.
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Post Post #462 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 8:08 am

Post by SmoothBlue »

What are everyone's thoughts on Toto. He does one post which incriminates TC's play and everyone seemed to have turned into a fan?

@Copper/HS: What other posts from Toto gave you this town vibe from him?
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Post Post #463 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 8:25 am

Post by Toto »

SB: Why don't you like me? I was the one defending you until you started not making sense.
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Post Post #464 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 8:35 am

Post by SmoothBlue »

In post 463, Toto wrote:SB: Why don't you like me? I was the one defending you until you started not making sense.
This game isn't about emotion. In the last two pages, I've asked questions regarding spy, HS and yourself.
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Post Post #465 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 8:46 am

Post by Toto »

I disagree. If this game was only about logic it would be very boring. There would be no real tells.
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Post Post #466 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 9:17 am

Post by copper223 »

@SB
I don't see a mafia agenda behind Toto, the number of players he has accused alone would be dangerously high for someone that is just trying to survive during the day, add his stubborn streak to do what he thinks should be done and disregard what others say (look at him arguing with confirmed you on this page about nonsense for instance) that speaks to me of true conviction and not opportunistic or fake posting and I have a hard time believing it.
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Post Post #467 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 10:32 am

Post by Huntress »

Vote Count 1.14


Gideon (4) - TownCop, Human Sequencer, ChaosOmega, copper223 [L-1]
Toto (1) - FrankJaeger
ChaosOmega (1) - SpyreX

Not voting (3) - Gideon, SmoothBlue, Toto


With nine players alive, it takes five votes to lynch.

Deadline for Day One is Saturday, 15th October 8pm BST, (in (expired on 2016-10-15 20:00:00)).


Notes

FrankJaeger has been prodded.
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Post Post #468 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 1:33 pm

Post by SpyreX »

I'd agree with copper. Patience isn't his virtue, but toto feels genuine.

I hope I'm wrong but the whole energy around this feels bad. If we don't see activity soon i will hammer for the reset even though I'm clearly on the record this is gonna be green.
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Post Post #469 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 2:34 pm

Post by SmoothBlue »

In post 468, SpyreX wrote:I'd agree with copper. Patience isn't his virtue, but toto feels genuine.

I hope I'm wrong but the whole energy around this feels bad. If we don't see activity soon i will hammer for the reset even though I'm clearly on the record this is gonna be green.
Who do you think we should Lynch?
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Post Post #470 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 2:58 pm

Post by SpyreX »

Chaos, but as I've said i dont have my hopes up today.
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Post Post #471 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 5:47 pm

Post by Human Sequencer »

Hooray for public library internet.

@SB
Because he's a complete fool. You can't act that out. If you're a foolish Mafia, you're an obvious Mafia.
I'd say he might be faking it but he's the same in every other game he's in as well and I have a hard time believing he's scum in all of them.

You'll have me on that wagon tomorrow, Spyre.
Doc, if there is one, should absolutely protect SB tonight. If he dies, we can confirm the setup. If he doesn't, we can't.
Question for the IC or SEs or anybody who knows, do the mafia get to choose who performs the kill? Or do both of them count as having targetted the nightkilled townie?
nah
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Post Post #472 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 6:40 pm

Post by Toto »

Yeah. Sb is correct. Im out of patience.

VOTE: Gideon
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Post Post #473 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 6:41 pm

Post by Toto »

Thats a hammer
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Post Post #474 (ISO) » Thu Oct 13, 2016 9:31 pm

Post by Huntress »

Vote Count 1.15


Gideon (5) - TownCop, Human Sequencer, ChaosOmega, copper223, Toto [LYNCH]

Toto (1) - FrankJaeger
ChaosOmega (1) - SpyreX

Not voting (2) - Gideon, SmoothBlue


With nine players alive, it takes five votes to lynch.

Deadline for Day One is Saturday, 15th October 8pm BST, (in (expired on 2016-10-15 20:00:00)).
.
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