Page 5 of 116

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 5:20 pm
by SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis
I mean I guess BOTH but I completely FROGOT I was in drealmerz's game (-‸ლ)

I am under the IMPRESSION I EVADED a BULLET there HOWEVER (¬з¬)
the worst wrote:How so? (~_^)
nsg's game was.... QUITE the READ and was honestly just me YELLING at people to ACTUALLY scumhunt and NOT give up

You guys are fun! (ノ≧∀≦)ノ

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 5:23 pm
by the worst
Thank you!! `(*∩_∩*)′

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 5:36 pm
by Mathdino
interestingly, FMPOV, while everyone would've had a 3/13 (or 23.1%) chance of being scum

due to the draft ruling out a bunch of scumteams, each of the singletons (this includes janitor FMPOV) actually has a 26.2% chance of being scum

the probability of someone in a duplet being scum is 21.9%

the probability of one of the triplets being scum is only 18.5%

scum is straight up more likely to be in the top half than the bottom half in this setup, and i'm guessing i can prove it using past results

so the risk early on is lynching potential PRs

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 5:42 pm
by the worst
I'm town tho

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 5:46 pm
by SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis
In post 103, the worst wrote:I'm town tho
I’d belief it..... ( ー̀εー́ )

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:29 pm
by The Janitor
Hey how lovely you posted the first 5 pages overnight

Hmm I'm unsure of SIMYK being town this early? Wouldn't reasoning around the draft be WIFOM territory?

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:30 pm
by Mathdino
VOTE: The Janitor

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:32 pm
by The Janitor
Serious question tho

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:33 pm
by SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis
I express AGREEMENT and THIS is why I think draft-based reads are FLAGRANTLY FOOLISH FOLLIES o(^∀^*)o

HOWEVER I posssess a SIGNIFICANT amount of CONTENT so even THEN the draft should be secondary if even factored in AT ALL Σ(-᷅_-᷄๑)

How do YOU read me? (ʃ⌣́,⌣́ƪ)

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:33 pm
by the worst
In post 105, The Janitor wrote:Hey how lovely you posted the first 5 pages overnight

Hmm I'm unsure of
The Janitor
being town this early? Wouldn't reasoning around the draft be WIFOM territory?
Ftfy

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:34 pm
by SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis
In post 109, the worst wrote:
In post 105, The Janitor wrote:Hey how lovely you posted the first 5 pages overnight

Hmm I'm unsure of
The Janitor
being town this early? Wouldn't reasoning around the draft be WIFOM territory?
Ftfy
WOW you really ARE blond Ahiru-tan (*´艸`*)

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:35 pm
by The Janitor
Definitely agree that SIMYK has been contributing a lot and none of it seems like bad or too fluffy soooo she would be far from a scumread

But still the draft seems like wifom territory.

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:38 pm
by Mathdino
how is anything that you've posted useful to the gamestate then

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:38 pm
by SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis
In post 111, The Janitor wrote:Definitely agree that SIMYK has been contributing a lot and none of it seems like bad or too fluffy soooo she would be far from a scumread
So you believe that scum cannot produce GOOD content early on? (∗´꒳`)

You're not REALLY giving me the impression you're townreading me so I don't really UNDERSTAND your thought process (ʃ⌣́,⌣́ƪ)

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:40 pm
by The Janitor
In post 112, Mathdino wrote:how is anything that you've posted useful to the gamestate then
I asked you a question about something that bothers me. Seems like part of a game to me honestly.

@SIMYK
The game is barely underway so I'm not really having a read on anyone. Sure scum could interact a lot but I'd imagine they're more comfortable in the shadows than here. But that again is also wifom-y which is why I'm slow in forming reads.

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:42 pm
by SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis
If you don't take RISKS you don't get RESULTS and that is just a FACT ( ̄ω ̄)

Do you think Mathdino townreading me for what seems like SHAKY reasoning to you is SCUMMY? Or just MISGUIDED?

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:43 pm
by Almost50
In post 94, the worst wrote:I think that might be my blondest moment since my first game... :oops:
I know you're baiting for it. :P

Spoiler:

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:43 pm
by SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis
In post 84, SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis wrote:
In post 70, SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis wrote:Is my baseline INACCURATE for Beefster?
I would like to see FOLLOW UP to this A50-hannin (ノ-益-)ノ

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:45 pm
by Mathdino
i have 5 reads already

you don't get to complain about the fluff and then not post useful things my dude

telling me my reasons for townreading SIMYK are shaky (oh but you're townreading her anyway never mind!) don't really do anything and SIMYK already made that point about herself

in fact the general sentiment of "oh well that's all a load of WIFOM" is just bad and in my experience comes from scum more than random

anyone who was there for team mafia in which over 70% of the scum could've been lynched before RVS just based on pre-game information, knows what i'm talking about

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:47 pm
by the worst
Is SIMYK an alt or just amazing

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:47 pm
by The Janitor
@simyk I don't see it as scummy.

@math why is questioning you useless? Also I'm not townreading simyk. As I said I'm more null, I didn't see the draft relating to the tr. Even if I'd townread her it wouldn't be due to the draft so what's the problem there?

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:49 pm
by SaskeIsMyYaoiKismesis
(´艸`〃)

Like I said I am NEW to the site but NOT mafia in of itself ╭( ・ㅂ・)و

pedit: I don't really see where you're going with this then.... WHY question an ACTION you believe is NOT alignment indicative? Σ(´д`;)

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:49 pm
by Almost50
@Dino: FINALLY! But I think we should start with the lowest single # (i.e. Iconeum) and move from there.

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:50 pm
by Mathdino
SIMYK is an alt yeah
so is the janitor

janitor the problem is that you seem more focused right now on tearing down information than building it
the point of early game is to go from low information to high information

i literally provided calculations proving that in this setup, there are people who are more likely to be scum
we have information, both from the draft and from 5 pages of content
but instead of commenting on it you've just questioned reasoning that i made in my first post
which i did specifically to produce more information.

Posted: Thu May 03, 2018 6:51 pm
by Mathdino
In post 122, Almost50 wrote:@Dino: FINALLY! But I think we should start with the lowest single # (i.e. Iconeum) and move from there.
finally what?

from my perspective janitor is effectively a single, and if you're townreading me you should also be able to see it FMPOV

so i would prefer to lynch the janitor rn