Posted: Thu May 06, 2021 7:39 am
Day 4 - Votecount 4.0
Alright so, is Marci occasionally apologetic, maybe a bit more than average? Yes. BUT, not this much. 119 sticks out to me, it feels off to me. 219, 228, 313, 513, 730 and 893 are all regular Marci posts to me, but the rest I feel at least a bit doubtful on. The idea that me and Marci suck at reading each other is something we both bring up pretty often, so that's not uncharacteristic, she feels like a more confident player in the 2 games I've played with her and that I've skimmed through.In post 965, Lukewarm wrote:@Meuh, you said that you have a lot of experience playing with Marci, right? Can you weigh in on something that has stood out to me?
In your experience playing with her, is Marci normally particularly hesitant / apologetic as a town player? She seems very hesitant to make her claims without first making it clear that she is unsure and she also repeatedly set up an out of game reason why she might be underperforming as a town player. In my experience, town players seem more inclined to just confidently be wrong. But this can vary a lot by player
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Here though for example, you can see that this isn't out of the ordinary from Marci, I've just noticed it a bit less while skimming?In post 259, marcistar wrote:i wont vote if i dont like the options is it bad to not vote if im not confident??? i dont wanna lynch a townieIn post 258, Krazy wrote:Marci it will be hard to find you town at endgame if you keep not voting, we need your vote to be proactive so that vote logic is comprehensible in the game
harumi is who i thinks most scum so ill vote that then, but i dont want to vote anyone else, im not confident in anyone else being scum. VOTE: harumi
I don't understand what point you're trying to make here, Marci? Scum want to tie town to their partners so that the partners are seen as duos with townies so the townies will be elimed afterwards.In post 960, marcistar wrote:934 (and another post that i forgot which) tries to say im "scum trying to tie townies down to their partner" essentially, right? but wouldn't town be trying to keep their eyes out for possible duos?
Why would scum be committing to a wagon this early? Marci looks town for that vote imoIn post 961, catboi wrote:Ah, marci...so this is the path you've chosen. I'm assuming you're scum who sees pushing me as your best hope, but I'll give what you say a look.
This is true, if we we're in A2 (which a VFPxCatboi) team would know here, rber dead means an insta-loss (goon doesn't, but rber does since jailkeeper/tracker can narrow our scumpool), so while Catboi pushing VFP doesn't clear him too much, VFP pushing him does prove a lot moreIn post 964, catboi wrote:When I voted him on day 2, before not_mafia had even claimed, VFP immediately pushed back onto me. In this scenario,if I were the mafia roleblocker, VFP bussing me would be an automatic loss. mafia aren't going to make plays like this. I'd be telling him not to do it. And I'm theonlyone he pushes, for the rest of the day up until the point he's eliminated:
Huh? If she's scum here, she knows that I am correctly reading her and am unlikely to change my mind, so her best bet is to push me. Committing to a vote early in ELO isn't a towntell.In post 1003, Meuh wrote:Why would scum be committing to a wagon this early? Marci looks town for that vote imoIn post 961, catboi wrote:Ah, marci...so this is the path you've chosen. I'm assuming you're scum who sees pushing me as your best hope, but I'll give what you say a look.
yeah it seems a bit of an early point to claim, and hinting pr makes a lot more sense as rber since being the more valuable member, being able to brush off the push on them with a pr claim could work.In post 969, Lukewarm wrote:@Meuh, on the other hand, this is a post from catboi that stood out to me.
Like it is hard to see this, and not think it is a soft pr claim.In post 629, catboi wrote:If T3 or marci express a willingness to vote me I'll claim.
It further irks me because at the time that he made this post, he only had 2 votes on him. So he was no where near being voted off, so it was not a "if someone is about to hammer me, I will claim my role as VT"
If this is scum!Catboi and we miselim Marci that'd be so embarassing I'm actually so scared of that, T3 will have every right to yell at us post-gameIn post 998, Lukewarm wrote:It is not that I am "getting dragged down because someone's posting in ELO sounds "off." It is much more like you keep reminding me why I was scum reading you earlier in the game. Like I had you near the top of my scum read list during my catchup on Day 1... and I had you as my top scum read Day 2... And even at the start of this day, you were my scum read. How dumb would I feel post game if I literally scum read you the entire game, and still lost to scum!catboi because he managed to side track me last min.In post 996, catboi wrote:Well, I thik if muy posting has been offputting you should remember what gets said today isn't the most important thing - the most revealing evidence is on all the days before this. I think getting dragged down because someone's posting in ELO sounds "off" to you is a mistake. Like how you sounding like you were fencesitting earlier pinged me, but I didn't flip my entire read on it. I just was upfront with what made me uneasy and asked you to clarify.In post 995, Lukewarm wrote:You can say that again. As of post 968, I was leaning pretty strongly towards Marci being the vote today, and really was just waiting to hear Meuh's response to post 965 before I settled in to that being the case I was going to build. But every time you have tried to defend yourself, I have been left less sure its herIn post 994, catboi wrote:(but, again, self-meta doesn't mean a whole lot)
Speaking of which, @Meuh can you make sure to respond to Post 965 - 968
I think at this point I am going to have to build full cases against both of you tomorrow, because I have been pulled back to uncertainty
Eh yeah ig for her specifically here it wouldn't, I just feel like fence-sitting and keeping doors open is something scum like to do, making voting kinda scary for them here, not that voting is pro-town.In post 1006, catboi wrote:Huh? If she's scum here, she knows that I am correctly reading her and am unlikely to change my mind, so her best bet is to push me. Committing to a vote early in ELO isn't a towntell.In post 1003, Meuh wrote:Why would scum be committing to a wagon this early? Marci looks town for that vote imoIn post 961, catboi wrote:Ah, marci...so this is the path you've chosen. I'm assuming you're scum who sees pushing me as your best hope, but I'll give what you say a look.
In this phase of the game, that's often correct! But it's not always the case, plus I asked her to provide a read before this, not coming back with one looks bad. Again not a key point against her, just my perception of what was going on at that moment in time.In post 1012, Meuh wrote:Eh yeah ig for her specifically here it wouldn't, I just feel like fence-sitting and keeping doors open is something scum like to do, making voting kinda scary for them here, not that voting is pro-town.In post 1006, catboi wrote:Huh? If she's scum here, she knows that I am correctly reading her and am unlikely to change my mind, so her best bet is to push me. Committing to a vote early in ELO isn't a towntell.In post 1003, Meuh wrote:Why would scum be committing to a wagon this early? Marci looks town for that vote imoIn post 961, catboi wrote:Ah, marci...so this is the path you've chosen. I'm assuming you're scum who sees pushing me as your best hope, but I'll give what you say a look.
While I understand the concern about the dead's reads, T3 was operating under the false assumption that it was between me and lukewarm. So was everyone at the time. So it's not like he'd weighed in on whether marci was possibly scum, and his read on me was entirely based in process of elimination in that he didn't think it was lukewarm. He didn't have independent reasons for scumreading me.In post 1011, Meuh wrote:If this is scum!Catboi and we miselim Marci that'd be so embarassing I'm actually so scared of that, T3 will have every right to yell at us post-game
I always just use my own iso to find my spotIn post 1017, marcistar wrote:im sorry guys i got really busy with school and other stuff and didnt have enough time to fully check the thread
i forgot what page im on does anyone remember LOL
If we wanna fully commit to Catboi v marci I’m open to that, that’s true wasting time would suckIn post 1019, catboi wrote:Yeah that's what I do.
I think I wan to hammer test lukewarm right now to be sure we're not wasting time. Lukewarm, you still around?