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- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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- LavarManos
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LavarManos
- Fredrick A Campbell
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Fredrick A Campbell Fre/He/She/It/They/伊Mafia Scum
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I would really hate it if you lose us the game this time.
- Fredrick A Campbell
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Fredrick A Campbell Fre/He/She/It/They/伊Mafia Scum
- Fredrick A Campbell
Fre/He/She/It/They/伊- Mafia Scum
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Why do you want a fast night, LavarManos?In post 1073, LavarManos wrote:VOTE: Italiano
I believe Casey to be the last scum, but voting Italiano is the right move given the time of day left. In addition, Italiano flipping goon should semi-clear Fred.
Vote for fast night thanks.- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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The vote doesn't become more dangerous the longer it's left on without a hammer.
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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Perhaps because he is conscientious and the stress of lying is a burden to him.In post 1078, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:
Why do you want a fast night, LavarManos?In post 1073, LavarManos wrote:VOTE: Italiano
I believe Casey to be the last scum, but voting Italiano is the right move given the time of day left. In addition, Italiano flipping goon should semi-clear Fred.
Vote for fast night thanks.Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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UNVOTE: Lavar
I think that I'll feel some guilt if I don't attempt to post the results of my VCA.
I'm not sure what gave you the idea I lean toward being a follower.In post 1044, Casey wrote:Spoiler:
Why would you not vote the obvious maf? That's what the university you linked says to do.In post 1042, Frogsterking wrote:I was planning to vote Casey tonight but I guess I will choose to sleep off the remaining alcohol instead. For what it's worth I thought both of your reactions to the real reports were townie enough.
VOTE: Casey
You're welcome.
@Frederick:
Do you have any thoughts on the commonalities between Lavar and Italiano I posed in 1058?Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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- Fredrick A Campbell
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Fredrick A Campbell Fre/He/She/It/They/伊Mafia Scum
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No.In post 1081, Frogsterking wrote:UNVOTE: Lavar
I think that I'll feel some guilt if I don't attempt to post the results of my VCA.
I'm not sure what gave you the idea I lean toward being a follower.In post 1044, Casey wrote:Spoiler:
Why would you not vote the obvious maf? That's what the university you linked says to do.In post 1042, Frogsterking wrote:I was planning to vote Casey tonight but I guess I will choose to sleep off the remaining alcohol instead. For what it's worth I thought both of your reactions to the real reports were townie enough.
VOTE: Casey
You're welcome.
@Frederick:
Do you have any thoughts on the commonalities between Lavar and Italiano I posed in 1058?- Frogsterking
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Considering I tracked Italiano because of the results of my NKA, which you also did not have any thoughts on, do you believe it might be reasonable to assume these commonalities are also indicative of Lavar's alignment?In post 1083, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:
No.In post 1081, Frogsterking wrote:UNVOTE: Lavar
I think that I'll feel some guilt if I don't attempt to post the results of my VCA.
I'm not sure what gave you the idea I lean toward being a follower.In post 1044, Casey wrote:Spoiler:
Why would you not vote the obvious maf? That's what the university you linked says to do.In post 1042, Frogsterking wrote:I was planning to vote Casey tonight but I guess I will choose to sleep off the remaining alcohol instead. For what it's worth I thought both of your reactions to the real reports were townie enough.
VOTE: Casey
You're welcome.
@Frederick:
Do you have any thoughts on the commonalities between Lavar and Italiano I posed in 1058?Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Fredrick A Campbell
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Fredrick A Campbell Fre/He/She/It/They/伊Mafia Scum
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- Fredrick A Campbell
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Fredrick A Campbell Fre/He/She/It/They/伊Mafia Scum
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- Casey
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Casey Goon
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- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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lolIn post 1051, Casey wrote:Spoiler:
Also just before you did your explosive gender reveal,993 is pretty much where my opinion of Italiano dramatically dropped.Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Frogsterking
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I'm pointing out a possible chainsaw defense (defending your partner by dismantling their attacker) from the slot that Lavar replaced into.
For reference, here is what MagikHorse said leading up to van's first post and vote:In post 217, van wrote:I don't like 41, for a couple of reasons:
- 1. There are many better ways to get information other than voting randomly. The statement made about "voting is the only way for town to make any headway" is both a stretch and an overreaction to a non-issue.
2. SE or not, RVS depends on the type of player you are, it has very little to do with experience itself. There's a good amount of shade being thrown here with the "as an SE, he should know that" statement, and I don't feel like it's warranted. Statements like that should be made based on the player itself (and his/her play style), and not their experience with the game as a whole without any context.
The initial vote was weak, and was dropped without any pressure being thrown from MagikHorse's side.
- If MagikHorse's vote on Frogsterking was (semi-)RVS, then he would've done a reactionary play that caused some amount of pressure onto Frogsterking. This not only would've strengthened everyone's read on Frogsterking, it would've allowed every players in the pool to create discussions and build opinions at a much faster rate. I say this because it's one of the sole reason why you RVS someone. RVS by itself doesn't help anyone, but the reactions and interactions you can create from it can. I'm not saying every (or any) other player in this game did this, however MagikHorse voted Frogsterking with weak reasoning which I would consider a semi-RVS and applicable to everything I just said.
If MagikHorse's vote itself was genuine, then he wouldn't have dropped it so easily. There was very little content from Frogsterking before that unvote that could've caused MagikHorse to vote swap. Because of this, MagikHorse could've caused a lot more pressure onto Frogsterking to solidify his read before potentially voting someone else regardless of if he still scum read Frogsterking or not.
In post 107, MagikHorse wrote:
I don't like this paranoid outlook at all. It makes it particularly hard to take you seriously regarding Shelly, especially as I don't see the biggest thing you've accused her of (repeating others) at all. VOTE: ItalianoVDIn post 86, ItalianoVD wrote:Call it anxiety or paranoia, but I’m not gonna feel comfortable with you until you are flipped and we know what your true alignment is.In post 108, MagikHorse wrote:
The latter mostly, though a start like that is a good move towards the former.In post 94, ItalianoVD wrote:Is this you leaving RVS or are you giving an RVS vote off the lack of an RVS vote?In post 129, MagikHorse wrote:
You're the one pushing this a lot harder, even to the point of admitting to being tunneled on her, and that draws my eyes as I consider this a very, very bad read. Redados is sorta just throwing it at her in the middle of all the fluff and joking around, and though he's said it he's also not actively pursuing it like crazy.In post 120, ItalianoVD wrote:In any event, I don’t like Magik’s framing of it. Even after Redados explained it in 73 he still wants to pressure. @MagikHorse: What else would you like to know? I’d like to know what made my push on Shelly different from Redados’ in your mind? Same question for MUSHSHAGANA.
To be blunt, one game isnota meta. You need at least two, one scum and one town, to be able to pick apart the differences between. Trying to meta read off of one game is destined to fail, and I don't like meta reads in general as more than a supporting argument for something stronger.In post 154, MagikHorse wrote:
She's typing words. She did that during your scum game too I bet. Is she scum for that? Obviously not. This is a massively overblown hyperbole, but still the same sort of logic you've been using against her.In post 147, ItalianoVD wrote:This was my point. In the only game she played she was scum and she had tells. She uses those same tells in this game, which is her second game. You expect me to just say... “oh she’s probably town this game, even though she is doing the same thing and using the same tells she did as scum?” I’m not metareading per se because you can only meta read with more games. I only have one game to go by. Am I crazy? Does anyone else understand what I’m saying?
All you've seen is a scumgame. You claim an action is scummy because they did it while scum. You have no clue if they do this as town because you've never seen them be town, and yet assume you must be correct. This looks like a classic case of confirmation bias, and so I have to ask: What about this action specifically are they unable or unlikely to do as town? Is it reasonably possible that this is just part of their ordinary behavior?
I'll give you some credit for 149, but that's the first thing you've said so far against Shelly that actually has any real substance. Even then I find her aggression to be townie, and actually would put her as my highest townread thus far. The only thing that gives me pause is 134, which comes across a lot more stilted and unnatural to me than the rest of her aggressive posts.In post 198, MagikHorse wrote:
I admit the Redados townread hardly even registered because you literally just said it once in 71 and haven't mentioned your read on Redados before or since, or any reasoning for doing so either. Even then "I want to think they're town but I don't know how they act as scum" still doesn't fly at all for the same reason the Shelly read does.In post 188, ItalianoVD wrote:Something I was thinking about. This is for MUSHSHAGANA and MagikHorse. Why are guys not questioning my townread on Redados? Redados is in the exact same category as shelly. It was his first game onsite and my first time playing with him. I’m using the exact same logic to read Redados that I am for shelly. If the premise of your argument is not to look at meta or to look at both the similarities and differences to come to my conclusion, then why not question my townread, why only the scumread? This is why I don’t necessarily like the push. I feel that if shelly is scum than one of you may be her partner.
I went over all this in 154, but I never really got a response to that either. I'd like one.
MagikHorse is the only one actively pushing Italiano as well as voting him. Then van suddenly appears in his first and only post, providing indirect "aid" to Italiano. This this is represented in the vote counts following 1.03 as well:In post 216, Nahdia wrote:
In post 261, Nahdia wrote:
After these two vote counts above MagikHorse stops voting Italiano and votes Frederick, while van/Lavar leave their vote on Italiano, which made this possible dynamic (van indirectly defending Italiano with a fake scumread on MagikHorse) something I missed the first and second time rereading D1.In post 335, Nahdia wrote:
There is something else I wanted to point out, which made me suspicious of Casey.
You'll notice a pattern here on D1 where Italiano prefers to vote alongside players we now can confirm as townie. In the post above, he's voting for the first time since RVS, alongside me. In the post below, he follows me to the shelly wagon, where we are joined by rocknil.
In post 458, Nahdia wrote:
It seems like there is some effort being put into distancing here on D1, regardless of whether the partner is Casey or Lavar.In post 528, Nahdia wrote:
That's why I found it strange on D2 when Lavar and Italiano voted together on the Rocknil BW for so long.
Casey also touched on this and I wanted to point these posts out before the hammer:
In post 540, LavarManos wrote:I am here. Should I hammer shelly?
I think Fredrick did not vote because he wanted to give us more time to discuss. I still think Fredrick is pretty suspicious.This is from D1 before hammering Shelly and I think these are terrible and scum tells. It appears that he knows it's going to be a mis hammer and is fishing for town points. It's a scum tell because of the part where he knows it's going to be a mis hammer. As of this date, I'm not sure I've ever seen a townie make the comments he made above.
For reference, here are the vote counts in D2 below where Italiano and Lavar voted together without any townies, which I thought Italiano might want to avoid and made me initially scum read Casey earlier in D3:
In post 614, Nahdia wrote:In post 703, Nahdia wrote:
These two vote together for quite a while until they're joined by Casey.In post 775, Nahdia wrote:
I also wanted to point out that Lavar is strongly town reading Italiano while they are on this BW together. It's like he's trying to play so closely to Italiano that they aren't read as scum buddies, which I think is a valid play, and one that Lavar seems to have the knowledge to make based on his answers to my questions earlier.In post 836, Nahdia wrote:
This is unfortunate because based on Italiano and MagikHorse/Casey's experience level, I'd expect them to make some heavily distancing plays, which is what they've been doing all game. It makes it difficult to discern the chances between an Italiano/Lavar and Italiano/Casey scum team because it's like two completely different games. I think if Lavar had done anything to town tell D3 or even D2 I wouldn't have had a problem lynching Casey.
[/quote]In post 1074, Nahdia wrote:
I'm not town reading Lavar's eagerness to vote Italiano.
Today, they're even voting together again. After what appeared to be a conscious effort on the part of Italiano to vote alongside townies on D1, why vote alongside his scum buddy for the rest of the game? This is why I was feeling the Italiano + Casey scum team.
I think the answer is that either Lavar is less interested in traditional distancing than Italiano is, or that the scum team is Italiano and Casey. I think if it is Italiano + Lavar, then Italiano may have wished that Lavar put more distance between them, but he needs to play with his partner the best he can. I think if Italiano's partner is Casey then he's probably pretty happy.
Like I pointed out earlier D3 in a different post, both sides of the MagikHorse/Casey slot voted Italiano early in the day and neither pushed the vote toward anything meaningful.
"First vote best vote," as Casey said. For what it's worth, I think both MagikHorse and Casey looked genuine in respective their votes on Italiano.
I think MagikHorse's attempts to scum hunt D1 and Casey's attempts to solve on D3 look more genuine than Lavar's (and van's) respectively. Overall I'm leaning toward Lavar as the scum buddy now, however, I think there's a solid chance we've been outplayed by an Italiano/Casey.Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Frogsterking
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I noticed here that, in case of scum!(Lavar + Italiano), they are both actually being voted at this point in D2, which may explain why they were comfortable voting together on the lurker slot without any townies to buddy or provide cover.
There was slightly more pressure on the scum team D2 and they wanted to make sure the Rocknil lynch went through.In post 703, Nahdia wrote:
I'm going to flip through D3 on my phone for a little while to see if I notice anything new.Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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And of course, in case of scum!(Italiano + Casey), Italiano is voting Rocknil alongside the townie who townreads him, Lavar, the same way he voted Rocknil alongside me on D1, and Casey is being good at the game and distancing herself from her partner early on before sliding into the policy lynch. I found this second explanation more likely than the first of scum!(Italiano + Lavar) which is why I scumread Casey, after looking at the game as a whole though, I find scum!(Italiano + Lavar) more likely.In post 1090, Frogsterking wrote:I noticed here that, in case of scum!(Lavar + Italiano), they are both actually being voted at this point in D2, which may explain why they were comfortable voting together on the lurker slot without any townies to buddy or provide cover.
There was slightly more pressure on the scum team D2 and they wanted to make sure the Rocknil lynch went through.In post 703, Nahdia wrote:
I'm going to flip through D3 on my phone for a little while to see if I notice anything new.Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Fredrick A Campbell
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Fredrick A Campbell Fre/He/She/It/They/伊Mafia Scum
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- Frogsterking
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- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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- Frogsterking
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Frogsterking He/himJack of All Trades
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Casey mentioned that Lavar is emulating his scum play and I found another example:
In post 587, LavarManos wrote:Why are you voting rocknil instead of me though and why do you think we are scum together? Do you really think I would choose to attack him, but have him completely ignore my presence?In post 562, LavarManos wrote:I am still townreading Italiano and I still townread you, so I am thinking we can try to find the scumteam in the remaining pool of four players based on how they have interacted. I do not think rocknil is scum with Fredrick because there is no need to open up the day with a vote on his scumbuddy. I also do not like how rocknil chose to ignore my vote on him.
It seems that not only does scum!Lavar prefer not to bus his partner, town!Lavar eliminates other potential pairs while scumhunting because he does not expect them to bus, and he is surprised when I FoS him because it involves a bus, believing his mindset to be universal to some degree. I believe this might be an example of Lavar having experience in certain meta of the game where bussing is extremely uncommon.In post 613, LavarManos wrote:Oh well that is what I generally do.
I know some players who will fight the wagon until the end if one of their townreads was being wagoned.
I'm going to try to keep looking at the interactions. I do like Italiano's tone and his denial of being townread was townie for me. I'm still townreading Redados too.
Another scumteam I do not find likely would be Fredrick and Frogsterking. I don't think that interaction earlier today looks fake.
Perhaps the scumteam is (Frogster, rocknil)? I am not sure.
The reason I bring this up, is that I had issues believing Lavar would work so closely with his partner, however after understanding how he approaches the game as scum, I no longer have these issues.
I find this final post a sign that scum!Lavar may have been unaware of the intentions of his slot prior in chainsaw defending Italiano, or it may be that he did not want to draw attention to it.
For reference I'm including a link (hopefully) that contains a description of the chainsaw defense from the wiki in case anyone is not sure what I mean by this.In post 377, LavarManos wrote:Redados, why do you want me to comment on the post of my own slot?
shellyc, I am catching up. It is quite late for me, but i will be sure to get my thoughts in before the deadline.
https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?ti ... aw_DefenseBruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- LavarManos
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This moment is similar to Frederick on D1 and I consider it a town tell.In post 679, Casey wrote:
VOTE: ItalianoIn post 676, ItalianoVD wrote:
Mafia: an organized international body of criminals, operating originally in Sicily and now especially in Italy and the US and having a complex and ruthless behavioral code.In post 664, Casey wrote:
Who is the mafia?In post 660, ItalianoVD wrote:Welcome to the game Casey. You can definitely talk.
In post 248, shellyc wrote:
I have stated my lynchpool - either Redados / Fredrick / you. I would not lim either Mush or Italiano. I am fine with lynching lurkers/VI category.In post 247, Frogsterking wrote:I think we need to finalize a few candidates for the D1 lunch.
This sounds creepily like a scum trying to find a compromise elim though. Just a gut feeling that I want to state here.
I'm not sure why I consider it a town tell, maybe just because it appears genuine.In post 249, Fredrick A Campbell wrote:VOTE: shellyc
I do not like it that you decide to ignore the argument I just made.Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- Frogsterking
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Did you notice the similarities I posted between you and Italiano?In post 1096, LavarManos wrote:I don’t know what to say because your reasons seem pretty good. I was townreading Italiano until LYLO where I said I was going to reconsider.Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.- LavarManos
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YeahIn post 1098, Frogsterking wrote:
Did you notice the similarities I posted between you and Italiano?In post 1096, LavarManos wrote:I don’t know what to say because your reasons seem pretty good. I was townreading Italiano until LYLO where I said I was going to reconsider. - LavarManos
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