Page 49 of 82
Posted: Thu Sep 10, 2020 2:46 am
by Grumpy Cat
What if I'm just Titus paranoid that I've been fooled again?
Posted: Thu Sep 10, 2020 2:52 am
by Grumpy Cat
In post 1159, davesaz wrote:
Almost50(7) - Grumpy Cat, Hoopla, word321, iamausername, Green Crayons, the worst, DrDolittle
(E-1)
Gypyx(3) - Datisi, Iconeum, Umlaut
Umlaut(1) - Almost50
Dr Dolittle(1) - Clover Ebi
Something_Smart(1) - Gypyx
Not Voting(1) - Something_Smart
With 14 alive, elimination requires 8 votes
Day ends in
(expired on 2020-09-13 23:00:00)
Okay, gonna do some VCA here.
Looks like we've got 7 voters on Almost50. That's a pretty big wagon and usually those are on town if you look at percentages of wagons that flip town vs. scum. So, drawing from that and concluding Almost50 is town, it would mean the voters are more likely to be scum.
At the forefront of the wagon we have Grumpy Cat. Pushing a town wagon is usually very scummy, but since they're doing it while Grumpy, there may be some emotional factors at play. I'm willing to give them a pass.
Next up we've got Hoopla (tremendous fan btw), the second vote is a nice comfy spot for scum to park on, so she could be scum.
Then, we have word321, as I'm sure we're all aware, the 3rd spot of a wagon is the one most often occupied by scum. This is 80% scum if Almost50 is town.
I lost track after this as my monitor's pixels are dead on this side of the screen.
Instead, I will move on to the other interesting wagon we have today; the Not Voting wagon.
Something_Smart is the sole occupier of this wagon, and it is a common scum strat to vanity vote your partner in an attempt to distance. My prediction is that Something_Smart and Not Voting are scum together, and hoping they can glide through the day while in this soft embrace. I see right through you, Aa.
Conclusion: [Hoopla, word321, Not Voting, Something_Smart] is the scumteam.
Posted: Thu Sep 10, 2020 3:20 am
by Iconeum
You misspelled gypyx in your scumteam
Posted: Thu Sep 10, 2020 4:43 am
by davesaz
Almost50(8) - Grumpy Cat, Hoopla, word321, iamausername, Green Crayons, the worst, DrDolittle, Iconeum
(Eliminated)
Gypyx(2) - Datisi, Umlaut
Umlaut(1) - Almost50
Dr Dolittle(1) - Clover Ebi
Something_Smart(1) - Gypyx
Not Voting(1) - Something_Smart
With 14 alive, elimination requires 8 votes
Day ends in
(expired on 2020-09-13 23:00:00)
Mod notes:
I'm Pacific time, all that was while I was asleep
Posted: Thu Sep 10, 2020 4:48 am
by davesaz
Almost50,
, has been eliminated.
It is now night, send in your actions. Night ends in
(expired on 2020-09-12 08:45:00)
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 7:50 am
by davesaz
You wake to find out that Hoopla has been eliminated, and was
Not Voting(1) - Something_Smart, Grumpy Cat, word321, iamausername, Green Crayons, the worst, DrDolitle, Iconeum, Gypyx, Datisi, Umlaut, Clover Ebi
With 12 alive, elimination requires 7 votes
Day ends in
(expired on 2020-09-26 12:00:00)
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 7:52 am
by Something_Smart
Phirst again.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 7:52 am
by Datisi
clover ebi, you should talk more today.
VOTE: gypyx
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 7:52 am
by Datisi
am i conftown now? yes? okay cool.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 7:54 am
by Something_Smart
All hail our lord and savior Datisi.
Unless he made the 1000000 IQ play of colliding with his partner and then killing the one person who was arguing that scum would never do that.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 7:55 am
by Grumpy Cat
It feels like there's something I'm not in on right now.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 7:56 am
by Grumpy Cat
Oh, they're both 1s. IC lol
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 7:59 am
by Grumpy Cat
Hoopla, I was your biggest fan and will never forget you. That kill surely implies a scummo in the top 3.
Umlaut didn't vote his counterwagon of Marquis (scum) until it was L-2 and there was no alternative. Then, later on, he pushed Gypyx over Almo. Starting here.
VOTE: Umlaut
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:03 am
by Datisi
wait, does this mean people will actually listen to what i'm saying now? am i supposed to think before speaking? ughhh i was about to start throwing out takes with varying degrees of temperature to them, but i guess i shouldn't
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:04 am
by Grumpy Cat
Hoopla was one of the few defending Gypyx btw. I don't think a scumteam of 2 including Gypyx opt to kill one of his only defenders over the top spots holding PRs.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:09 am
by Grumpy Cat
In post 672, davesaz wrote:
Umlaut(3) - Iconeum, Datisi, Green Crayons
Iconeum(2) - Hoopla, Umlaut
Dr Dolittle(2) - iamausername, Clover Ebi
Datisi(2) - the worst, word321
Gypyx(1) - Marquis
Something_Smart(1) - Gypyx
iamausername(1) - DrDolittle
Marquis(1) - Grumpy Cat
Not Voting(1) - Something_Smart
With 14 alive, elimination requires 8 votes
Day ends in
(expired on 2020-09-13 23:00:00)
Mod notes: Iconeum is V/LA until 9/8
Eh, this points away from him though. Marquis isn't a wagon and doesn't need to bus his scum buddy when he's already under serious pressure.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:13 am
by Datisi
how many bus votes do we think there are? marquis was a spicy scum PR to bus on day *one*.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:15 am
by Grumpy Cat
In post 2, davesaz wrote:DrDolittle 8 - Townread this doc
Something_Smart 9 - Townread this Aa
Umlaut 21 - He's iffy. His actions point to him being partnered with Marquis. Marquis's actions point to him not being partnered.
Marquis 1 - DEAD
Datisi 1 - Town
Clover Ebi 3 - Hoopla was with me on him townslipping. Less likely to kill Hoopla.
the worst 3 - ???
Hoopla 5 - :[
Iconeum 5 - ???
Grumpy Cat 11 - :]
Gypyx 11 - Hoopla is a very strange kill for him to make.
word321 4 - ???
iamausername 4 - ???
Green Crayons 4 -???
Thoughts so far. Need to look back at the wagon dynamics for the others.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:16 am
by Datisi
In post 1084, Almost50 wrote:OK.. tw says I'm being survivalistic... so I robably should quick!hammer? But what if Gypx is town? But what if I do NOT hammer and Gypx is Scum? Ok, what if I'm trolling and really don't care (which I am)??
ok, thoughts about this a50 could probably either tell or be told in the scum PT that the game wants his head, so might as well lolhammer a random townie and make sure you at least get the chance to use your 1-shot vig, no??
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:17 am
by Datisi
ahhhh, i love being able to ask vague surface level questions and not worry about being called a scumfuck
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:23 am
by Grumpy Cat
You're a scumduck
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:29 am
by Something_Smart
The irony here is that that is a really deep and interesting question.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:30 am
by Something_Smart
Hoopla kill probably slightly implicates the oldies who would have known to be more afraid of her.
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:31 am
by Grumpy Cat
Interesting, so meaning that implies either Gypyx is scum, or no one active and with a good grasp on the gamestate was in the scum PT, since they're more likely to give that advice?
Posted: Sat Sep 12, 2020 8:34 am
by Datisi
/shrug, i dunno. i haven't yet reread that part of the game to figure out whether a50 could tell himself that, hey the day was coming down to either him or gypyx, might as well lolhammer town!gypyx, secure a misexecute and an extra vig shot.
in and of itself, not ironclad by any means.