because there is a 100% chance I get eliminated here, Ydrasse awol, Taylor preferring to vote you (until finding out just now she doesn't care) -> 3 hours expire -> Hectic has
written into the game mechanics
that time expires and then mafia PM who they want to eliminate, and I think it would always be me.
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:29 am
by Isis
I would prefer to ask my townreads but I don't think any of them will be available in the next 3 hours
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:30 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
I'm pretty sure it's going to be me getting shot if we are T/T here because if Mafia conf-town you then the POE is too small for them to survive the rest of the game. I don't see how you are at 100% you get shot?
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:31 am
by Isis
are you using the term "shot" to refer to controlling the vote decision? That's confusing so you need to clarify
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:32 am
by Isis
Why would it "conftown me" if they eliminated you with the controlled vote?
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:33 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
In post 1226, Isis wrote:I would prefer to ask my townreads but I don't think any of them will be available in the next 3 hours
ok but why would TS opinion matter if you are slotting her as bad? It doesn't particularly make sense to me to ask someone that you scum-read if you should self-hammer
If TS says "Yea Isis you look very scummy, would you then go ahead and self-hammer on advice of somebody you SR?
- it feels like you are trying to manipulate TS into hammering me now.
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:35 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
In post 1229, Isis wrote:Why would it "conftown me" if they eliminated you with the controlled vote?
It wouldn't - that's why the POE would be wider if I get executed by the mafia today - hence why I think it would be me dying either by lynch or by mafia today.
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:36 am
by Isis
If I scumread someone in a 2/8 that means I think the chance they are scum is like 35% instead of 25%. I do not have strong confidence when I play mafia and I keep in mind that my townreads might be scum and my scumreads might be town.
Even if Taylor is scum, being asked the question to commit herself to a read she has to stick with if she doesn't want to look scummy which could make it harder for her to win the dayplay.
In post 1229, Isis wrote:Why would it "conftown me" if they eliminated you with the controlled vote?
It wouldn't - that's why the POE would be wider if I get executed by the mafia today - hence why I think it would be me dying either by lynch or by mafia today.
i don't understand why the POE size isn't the same either way, except I'm even more townread than you so I'd be less likely to backslide into the red part of PoE
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:38 am
by Isis
Does my posts on this page and the last really fully invert your strong read from the other 48?
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:39 am
by Isis
Could you explain why you think I would try to bait N_M into hammering instead of just letting the deadline expire if I'm scum
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:40 am
by Isis
just to cut off the possibility Ydrasse logs on and votes me and then Tayl0r swift does, I guess?
I don't think N_M is even reading this thread though
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:41 am
by Tayl0r Swift
i dunno. like the paranoid side of me thinks that maybe youre scum. but realistically you and pooky are probably just town. i think probably its better to have a flip than not to, but im not sure in this case given that its a nomination game.
