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Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 3:03 pm
by Selkies
In post 119, Nero Cain wrote:
In post 117, Selkies wrote:
In post 116, Nero Cain wrote:
In post 96, Selkies wrote:As far as scum go, I'm not liking Nero Cain too much for town. And milkshake's entrance was a little unsettling as well
So my name being first has nothing to do with anything. ok
No there is meaning to my ordering of your names. It is chronological.

- f
Any reasoning?
Yesterday it was mostly gut on both our parts. Today it looks like you are trying to influence bandwagons while keeping your hands clean.

milkshake's page 4 posts ping pretty hard.

Sticking on top of page as well to make sure this gets seen.

I have decided that certain things have been implemented in a harsher way than I intended them to be. As a result, I have changed Procedural Rule 7, which now reads:

7. Nights last 72 hours. The first 24 hours of night will be a 'twilight' period during which Day actions may still be submitted (it will otherwise by identical to Night). Weekends count as one day for purposes of both twilight and night.

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 3:03 pm
by Demon
Ghost what is your 104 dude? None of that answered my question.

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 3:04 pm
by Selkies
^^ 125 was -f

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 3:05 pm
by Ghostlin
In post 126, Demon wrote:Ghost what is your 104 dude? None of that answered my question.
tl;dr version: Normally that'd be a town tell, but since he'd do it for any alignment it's not.

I'm not getting any thing town or scum that would indicate alignment. My gut right now says town, but I don't listen to it.

Even shorter tl;dr version: MattP is a null read.

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 3:06 pm
by Nero Cain
In post 125, Selkies wrote:Today it looks like you are trying to influence bandwagons while keeping your hands clean.
the hell is this shit?

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 5:28 pm
by milkshake
WOW did my bandwagon ever grow fast. I feel like there's probably some scum on it. (Of course, there's six people on it so of course there's probably some scum). If anyone has the hammer I'll be happy to claim. Won't be anything earth-shattering.

As to the reasoning behind my bandwagon, I think it's this: I made a case (a logical one, I think) for lynching MattP but didn't vote him. Yes, I did do that... but I don't really regret it. We're what, 72 hours in? I was looking for some salient tactics conversation.

If I can be allowed to "get of my lawn" for a few moments: These days, people associate too many things with being scum that actually have nothing to do with alignment. I like looking at claims, actions, voting patterns, that kind of thing. Of course the stated justifications for those is also very helpful.

Speaking of voting patterns, I think that Ghostlin's bandwagon vote on me seemed scummy. MattP's and Nero Cain's votes didn't seem scummy. The rest, no comment for now.

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 7:01 pm
by GoodCop_BadCop
Inital Thoughts:


Not liking Nero's 83 framing post without the gusto to make the vote himself until he gets the backing from MattP. Also see a scum-mentality from 87.

Matt's posts feel town, especially 86 calling out Nero.

But, for the real meat... a Quick Wagon! Lets take a quick look at the highlights, in chronological order.

MattP - Milkshake is Scum. Done.
Nero Cain - Vote. Ok.
Ghostlin - Counters Milk's Logic, Soft-Push without a Vote.
Demon - Talks about Selkies inconsistency, Votes Milkshake.
Selkies - "This, however, is a scum vote."
Sword_of_Omens - Most detailed reason. Most regurgitated reason. L-1 Vote.

The vote sticking out to me by far is Sword_of_Omens. I would love to hear why
both
Miss Destroyer and Milkshake feel that Ghostlin's vote is most scummy out of the six. Sword's detailed reasoning was very borrowed with things others had previously mentioned.

Analysis:

In post 103, sword_of_omens wrote:
Milkshakes’ #75 is pretty bad…
(SEE MATTP #86)
his reasoning for trying to start a Matt wagon seems
pretty opportunistic
…also noted is that he
refrained from voting
MattP. Even after he tries to start fueling a wagon by
pushing Nero to vote Matt
(SEE NERO #83)
based on his “worst case we lynch a VT”. He then states that he was just trying to get Nero’s opinion and that he still sees merit in moving towards a MattP lynch… yet still no vote for him? Milkshake, why are you so affraid to back your reasoning with a vote?
Not that agreeing with others' opinions or ideas is scummy, but if that is what you are doing, why not just say so instead of write a paragraph explaining your vote?

Theory:


Sword's vote makes sense as scum, regardless of Milkshake's alignment. As Milk-scum, its a convenient bus-vote placement so early on in the day. As Milk-Town, its an important vote to solidify Milk's position for lynch-candidacy, and if he (SwordofOmens) were lucky a quick-lynch.

UNVOTE:
VOTE: Sword_Of_Omens

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 7:24 pm
by milkshake
Not sure if I agree that what he said counters my logic, since my logic did not assume MattP was lying or telling the truth. It accounted for both of those situations.
Sword's vote makes sense as scum
I can see your argument above, but I had thought that scum wouldn't be so bold. But that's just me getting trapped in WIFOM. :(

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 10:55 pm
by Selkies
So fery and I are mostly satisfied with the last two posts. Milkshake can be town for now.

VOTE: Nero/VOTE:
In post 80, Nero Cain wrote::facepalm:

I'll always be wary of Matt. Him lying/gambiting/reaction fishing is null but I'd strongly consider his lynch in a few days if we seem to not be hitting on scum. My vote is on Selk and yea it was RVS. I wouldn't consider a Selk lynch at all. I haven't found anything to yell at yet hence why I'm sitting on my RVS.
In post 81, milkshake wrote:Considering that you have no better options right now, why aren't you considering Matt right now? After all, you seem to be amenable to the idea of lynching him. And see also my reasons in post #75.
In post 83, Nero Cain wrote:Why is milkshake trying to bait me into lynching Matt?
(you later state that this 'bait' is scummy)

I dont' understand this, and I would have asked the same question. It's not protown to sit on your ass like you were, leaving your vote on a person you think is *town*. It seems a legitimate question, and I don't see why it's scummy at all. It didn't seem to me like milk was trying to bait you into voting Matt, rather it was an honest question as to why your posts seemed contradictory.
In post 92, Iecerint wrote:Why did you want to ask Nero Cain in particular...?
This is dumb as hell considering it was, y'know, nero cain that had his vote sitting on a townread.

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 10:55 pm
by Selkies
VOTE: nero

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 11:00 pm
by Selkies
In post 120, Nero Cain wrote:
In post 118, Ghostlin wrote:SOO's vote seems to be a follow the leader vote
I could buy that. You think he may have listed a buddy in Demon/Selk?
Considering you never voiced suspicion of us before this this seems OMGUSy

Posted: Mon May 13, 2013 11:25 pm
by milkshake
In post 131, GoodCop_BadCop wrote:The vote sticking out to me by far is Sword_of_Omens. I would love to hear why
both
Miss Destroyer and Milkshake feel that Ghostlin's vote is most scummy out of the six. Sword's detailed reasoning was very borrowed with things others had previously mentioned.
Sword of Omen's vote was the L-1. I feel like it takes commitment to place the L-1 vote. Ghostlin's, however, was the 3rd vote on the wagon. The third/fourth vote seems like the easiest time to hop on the bandwagon for free. Ghostlin didn't admit that he was just hopping on board, though, instead he looked for a reason to justify his vote. Looking at the reason that he provided (post #88), I feel like the reason came after the decision to vote.

I have a second reason that I suspect Ghostlin. It's nothing too strong, but post #27
Define 'harm'. Three possibilities exist.

You could be an actual VT. In which case, you're telling the truth, no harm no foul. Although we're not massclaiming Day 1, or even all the VTs claiming Day 1.

You could be a PR that wants to claim VT to hide what you're doing. This, in and of itself isn't harmful to town.

You could be a scum, claiming VT in a bid to deflect suspicion on yourself. In which case this could be a gambit, and harmful to Town.
Again I feel like the decision to make this post came before the post itself. In other words, Ghostlin decided he should present some analysis, but only for the sake of presenting analysis, not for the sake of finding scum. If you look at the post, it doesn't help find scum.

I'll back this up with a vote this time. :P

VOTE: Ghostlin

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 3:11 am
by Nero Cain
In post 133, Selkies wrote:I dont' understand this, and I would have asked the same question. It's not protown to sit on your ass like you were, leaving your vote on a person you think is *town*. It seems a legitimate question, and I don't see why it's scummy at all. It didn't seem to me like milk was trying to bait you into voting Matt, rather it was an honest question as to why your posts seemed contradictory
:evil:

So I should have just switched my vote over and over like you did? Why are you so upset over a RVS vote? This also looks like mad backtracking here. In 97 you guys did vote for Milk, so if you thought it was a legit question and not scummy at why, what were you guys doing voting Milk?

As per 115, you joined this Milkshake wagon to "get information" which I don't exactly buy. This also makes 115 look like a lie since you claimed that I was NOT your #1 suspect and yet you are now claiming that what Milk did in 75, 79 and 81 was not scummy. So you're basing your entire Milkshake scum read on 72? Ok but if you actually believed that Milk was scum why then do you not think that 75, 79, 81 were not from a scum perspective?

But then on page 6
In post 125, Selkies wrote:milkshake's page 4 posts ping pretty hard.
So to the other head does think 75, 79 and 81 were scummy....

Hydra dis is more annoying than scummy but could deff be used as a scum tactic.

The was no contradiction in my post. I have no reason to consider a Matt P lynch (other than utility) today and me claiming that I might consider him a viable lynch candidate down the road has nothing to do with today.

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 3:27 am
by Nero Cain
In post 133, Selkies wrote:
In post 92, Iecerint wrote:Why did you want to ask Nero Cain in particular...?
This is dumb as hell considering it was, y'know, nero cain that had his vote sitting on a townread.
??????

My vote rests on you.
Milkshake tries to get me to move my vote off of you and onto Matt P.
In 81 he/she/it claims that it was just trying to get my opinion and see if I agreed with her? This is a valid question me thinks.

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 3:27 am
by Nero Cain
In post 133, Selkies wrote:
In post 92, Iecerint wrote:Why did you want to ask Nero Cain in particular...?
This is dumb as hell considering it was, y'know, nero cain that had his vote sitting on a townread.
??????

My vote rests on you.
Milkshake tries to get me to move my vote off of you and onto Matt P.
In 81 he/she/it claims that it was just trying to get my opinion and see if I agreed with her? This is a valid question me thinks.

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 3:55 am
by Iecerint
In post 133, Selkies wrote:
In post 92, Iecerint wrote:Why did you want to ask Nero Cain in particular...?
This is dumb as hell considering it was, y'know, nero cain that had his vote sitting on a townread.
Nero Cain had already clarified his standing re: MattP AFAICT.

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 4:49 am
by Nero Cain
In post 131, GoodCop_BadCop wrote:Not liking Nero's 83 framing post without the gusto to make the vote himself until he gets the backing from MattP.
And yet Milk didn't want to vote Matt until she got backing from me. Selk didn't have the guts to vote me until after the Milk wagon started to evaporate and even went along with a wagon that they had more steam. Why am I scummy for this but they are not?
Also see a scum-mentality from 87.
how so?
Matt's posts feel town, especially 86 calling out Nero.
I don't really care what Matt's read of me is. Though it must not be that strong if he didn't list me in people he wanted dead list a few posts later.

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 5:58 am
by Ghostlin
In post 136, milkshake wrote: Sword of Omen's vote was the L-1. I feel like it takes commitment to place the L-1 vote. Ghostlin's, however, was the 3rd vote on the wagon. The third/fourth vote seems like the easiest time to hop on the bandwagon for free. Ghostlin didn't admit that he was just hopping on board, though, instead he looked for a reason to justify his vote. Looking at the reason that he provided (post #88), I feel like the reason came after the decision to vote. (1)

I have a second reason that I suspect Ghostlin. It's nothing too strong, but post #27
Define 'harm'. Three possibilities exist.

You could be an actual VT. In which case, you're telling the truth, no harm no foul. Although we're not massclaiming Day 1, or even all the VTs claiming Day 1.

You could be a PR that wants to claim VT to hide what you're doing. This, in and of itself isn't harmful to town.

You could be a scum, claiming VT in a bid to deflect suspicion on yourself. In which case this could be a gambit, and harmful to Town.
Again I feel like the decision to make this post came before the post itself. In other words, Ghostlin decided he should present some analysis, but only for the sake of presenting analysis, not for the sake of finding scum. If you look at the post, it doesn't help find scum.

I'll back this up with a vote this time. :P

VOTE: Ghostlin
1) What? You don't actually rebut anything I said when I voted you, but the "fact" the decision to vote was made before the reason. I put "fact" in quotes because I had read the thread, determined the reasons to vote you, and posted and voted you. This entire argument, you see boils down to a bullshit schoolyard argument:

"You manufactured the reasons to be on my wagon before the vote."
"No, I didn't."
"Yes, you did."
"No, I didn't."
...ad infinitum

Which in and of itself would be a fine suspicion at this juncture (being early in the game)
except you never rebut the actual reason I voted you.
In fact the reason I'm suspicious of Sword is that
a large chunk of his reasoning reads suspiciously close to mine.
I'm not saying he can't use the same reasoning for voting, but it looks like a 'me too' vote (which scum can do easier than town).

Also, you're entire reason for Sword being town is WIFOM. It's possible scum Sword is aware of the L-1 affect and did it look more townie, if it takes 'commitment', he wants to look committed in an effort to be more town.

Also, you talk about the third and fourth person on a wagon, but you don't talk about why you do/don't suspect them and then vote/mention just me. Nice.

2) Wow. We're really going to do this, going back to post #27. Alright, I'll play.

I wasn't scum hunting there per se--but questioning Matt on his motivations. He asked me what the harm was in claiming VT. I gave him that reasoning you quoted above. Two of those reasons were indeed harmless--even if he's lying to town, if he's got
a town PR
, the WIFOM alone might be able to get scum off his scent since he claimed VT in thread. Now, if he's too much of a bother, they'll shoot him anyway, but you take that risk in this game.

If he's VT, then there's really nothing gained or lost there.

If he's scum however, he wants to
hide
the fact that he's scum, and the claim has the same WIFOM in reverse. Also, VT's can at the same time be the most active and inactive players.

So, I was questioning to get Matt's motivations for doing so at that juncture.

I am ignoring the 'manufactured post' argument since I already answered it.

So let me ask this: who's on your scum list besides me?

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 6:02 am
by Ghostlin
Also, Nero, do you often try to find buddies this early like you did in #120?

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 6:08 am
by Belisarius
In post 128, Ghostlin wrote: My gut right now says town, but I don't listen to it.
Even on D1? Whyever not?

These were addressed while I was reading through but after I popped them into notepad, but I'll leave 'em in for emphasis.
In post 131, GoodCop_BadCop wrote:Also see a scum-mentality from 87.
Looks neutral to me, and I play scum a lot. How is that scum-thinking?
In post 133, Selkies wrote:This is dumb as hell considering it was, y'know, nero cain that had his vote sitting on a townread.
Nero went from an RVS read to a stated scum read. I don't see him voting a town read ever.

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 6:11 am
by Ghostlin
In post 144, Belisarius wrote:Even on D1? Whyever not?
It's often wrong, gets me into too much trouble and, in this case, is really immaterial to my scum reads/tells in this particular point.

There are people with better guts than me, but I've seen more crap voting that was wrong on gut than anything else.

You've not stuck out much to me. Who's scum right now?

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 6:15 am
by Belisarius
Still not seeing anything that jumps out at me. I don't trust the 'shake wagon, I'm liking sword for town so far.

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 6:46 am
by Nero Cain
In post 143, Ghostlin wrote:Also, Nero, do you often try to find buddies this early like you did in #120?
Yes. I don't think there's any reason to not speculate.

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 12:57 pm
by sword_of_omens
Hey all... it's my birthday and my buddies r surprised me and rented out a beach house on the water..
B een here drinking all dayso I am vla through till Thursday..when I get back...

Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 2:16 pm
by ThAdmiral
In post 93, Demon wrote:
@Thad

Why is Ghost town?
I find ghost town because a) his thoughts were running along the same line as mine - stands to reason that he is therefore also coming from a town perspective, b) even though he was arguing with matt he was still able to logically figure he was town - I would suspect scum would rather try and twist things to make matt seem scum.

@ nero: why the fuck would you change your avatar? It used to be amazing.



Um can we not abandon the milkshake wagon? Yes scum are probably on there, but that is because they are bussing at this stage. Look past your fear of how fast it formed, this one's good.

vote: milkshake