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Posted: Fri Oct 23, 2020 10:30 am
by PenguinPower
Time to start taking out the cop clears

Posted: Fri Oct 23, 2020 10:31 am
by PenguinPower
oh wait i'm dumb lol

Posted: Fri Oct 23, 2020 10:39 am
by esuriospiritus
GOT EM LOL

Posted: Fri Oct 23, 2020 10:43 am
by PenguinPower
In post 123, Toogeloo wrote:My only concern is that Penguin and I are probably linked now.
Maybe - I would have pushed that discrepancy as town though because it that logic doesn't track to me...still don't get it since I know he's town.

Posted: Fri Oct 23, 2020 10:44 am
by esuriospiritus
so it looks like we shoot in {T-Bone, Pokerface, Zoraster} tonight. Which means the best kill is probably T-Bone?

Posted: Fri Oct 23, 2020 10:57 am
by DiamondSentinel
Sounds good.

Posted: Sat Oct 24, 2020 5:37 am
by Toogeloo
Kill: T-Bone


We might find ourselves in a race to the finish. Any town who day vigs needs to go to low priority night kill. This game could end up going to who can shoot first after the 24 hour cooldown.

Posted: Sun Oct 25, 2020 11:11 am
by esuriospiritus
wow, RIP

I was planning on making a post along the lines of "hey, shooting from the hip is clearly not working out for us so maybe we should actually talk" and then trying to control the narrative

but once again petapan is faster than me, womp womp

anyway, who kill? I guess probably pokerface since zor has still only had one post all game and pf is much more engaged?

Posted: Mon Oct 26, 2020 3:54 am
by PenguinPower
lol

we dead

I mean - all of the clears are now
actually
cleared so anyone in that group.

kill: pokerface


kill all the skittles!

Posted: Mon Oct 26, 2020 5:03 am
by Toogeloo
Well, herald and Echo aren't actually cleared, neither is Micc though it could be argued he was the night 2 scan, which explains the heavy town read by paradox.

What's actually going to kill us is the 24 hour cooldown of the day vig. Since esurio and I can't shoot for 24 hours, Micc and Zora will probably shoot us first. Then it gets into cooldowns, and your shot on Paradox was extremely scummy, so you'll probably die quick.

What's likely to happen is Micc or Zora will make a kill tomorrow, our best case being zora kills Micc. We Kill Zora that night because all town will have shot, and then it's a 24 hour waiting game for either esurio or I to shoot (for more WIFOM).

Do I think that'll happen, probably not.

Posted: Mon Oct 26, 2020 5:08 am
by Toogeloo
It could also be spun that petapan shot the most useless (no offense Diamond) member of the scum team after the Cops were dead in order to get town cred.

Our biggest advantage is that town doesn't know the limitations of our shooting and might think last 3 scum are Micc, esurio, and Toogs.

Posted: Mon Oct 26, 2020 5:10 am
by Toogeloo
So if, by some way, you make it to endgame you could maybe use that argument, though I think most people would still kill the cop killer over the godfather killer lol.

Posted: Mon Oct 26, 2020 6:17 am
by Toogeloo
At some point, it will be figured out that goons can shoot. Our best play might be to speculate that goons can fire, but they can't fire on subsequent days, like Goon A fires Day 1, Goons B and C can't fire Day 2, but can on Day 3. They'd have the same 24 hour stipulation.

I'm just trying to spitball some ideas that might give us some outs. Smart people will have figured out that the scum team as a whole has a day vig instead of just the Godfather though, but still any WIFOM we could add to the pot might make things easier.

Considering we did everything right, and town shot themselves in the foot... like a lot... literally... this game might have ended up being a bit town sided still and a difficult climb from the beginning. Two Cops is hard to combat.

Posted: Mon Oct 26, 2020 10:17 am
by esuriospiritus
Yeah, I'm not sure how we could have done better than we did, and it sucks that we'll probably lose anyway considering how hard town was cannibalizing themselves. Oh well.

At this point, I'm gonna keep lurking out unless I have the opportunity to shoot someone.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 7:07 am
by PenguinPower
well - that was quick

kill: zoraster


only one skittle remains.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 9:26 am
by Toogeloo
Micc will kill one of us tomorrow.

The day after that will be a race to the 24h cooldown. Killing petapan is probably of high importance since they shoot quick. Echo might be a scary possibility too. It may be worth shooting petapan tonight even though I doubt zora shoots Micc tomorrow anyways.

I'll leave it to you guys. The crucial part of reaching parity will be the 24 cooldown shot though.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 9:28 am
by Toogeloo
My odds of being in places and making posts at specific times will probably be lower than you two.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 9:31 am
by PenguinPower
hmm - fair, peta is also conftown with the gf kill

kill: petapan

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 9:45 am
by Toogeloo
We only have to win one 24 hour race in the next 3 days, or have zora shoot Micc tomorrow. Esurio and I should avoid the topic for 24 hours or we might be pressed to shoot or 1v1 with Micc.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 10:05 am
by PenguinPower
I don't think zor is shooting tomorrow - at least in the immediate

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 10:16 am
by esuriospiritus
We don't win at parity. We win when all town are dead. That makes this... even harder.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 10:30 am
by Toogeloo
Ok, yeah, if we don't win at parity, we're pretty much hosed. We'll be waiting on 48 hour and probably 72 hour cooldowns.

Posted: Wed Oct 28, 2020 10:39 am
by PenguinPower
They won at parity in the original. Mafia conceded in the sequel.

But yeah - with the team cooldown, we're done for.

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 3:47 am
by Toogeloo
kill: zoraster

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 3:49 am
by Toogeloo
If we are going to have any shot at winning this, we need to ensure that whoever is last town alive has as long a Kill cooldown as us.

So killing zora ensures all town will have 24 hour cooldown when Micc shoots tomorrow. Then we kill petapan tomorrow night.

Next day, it's a race to 24 hours and we kill one of Micc or Echo and night kill the other.