Mafiascum.net

VC 1.03

T3 (1):

Quiet Owl

No Elimination (1):

Cook

benpopham (3):

MegAzumarill, Whemestar, T3

MegAzumarill (1):

Psyche

Cook (1):

Kerset

Not voting:

navigatorv, benpopham

With

9

alive,

5

votes to eliminate

Deadline:

(expired on 2021-08-16 11:51:42)

The curse returns...

We are so generous to give away a page top

pain

you guys done with the vanity wagon yet?

if so, please feel welcome to join me on the adventure of a lifetime! there will be cookies

hii

ok so from ive read im being voted because 1, meg wanted to hear more from ben 2, whem saw meg vote and said "ah yeah yeah nice vote" before sheeping and 3, t3 has a strong belief that ben was mafia because ?

i'm wondering that as well.

t3's trying to deflect wagon pressure i'd think.

VOTE: T3 for the time being.

I wanna hear t3 elaborate on his read on me before i go on and vote

really thought the cookies would be a draw

In post 136, Psyche wrote:really thought the cookies would be a draw

i'm... kind of a cookie.

I don't scumread you.

In post 138, T3 wrote:I don't scumread you.

not voting for omgus

no elimination isn't helpi– hold on a second, this might make the math better.

if we no eliminated we lose the chance of dropping a scum but we lose the chance of miseliminating a townie.

Look at it this way:

versus .

We have a 22% chance to hit scum on a pure mathematical basis. The other 78% we eliminate a townie.

In the case where we hit scum, it becomes and then a , but over the night it likely becomes . Assuming we follow my claim strategy from there we basically can finish the game with no issue.

In the case where we hit town, it becomes and then over the night a small chance of no death, but likely a .


---


If we no-eliminate, that will likely put us at and we can get a confirm townie tomorrow.

The problem with relying on math in a game like this is that humans aren't logical creatures and they'll rarely act as predicted (besides that, there'salso the simplefact of certain townies not being as vital to victory on account of things like experienceand skill levels). Besides that, statistically, games that do no elim early on are more likely to go south since town's giving up one of the only kills they have control over.

I used to be on team "no elim day one" but I've had several people more experienced than me explain why it's a bad idea so I no longer advocate for it

In post 138, T3 wrote:I don't scumread you.

Im a replacement for ben so if you thought ben was mafia wouldnt you think im mafia too since i have his role now?

In post 141, navigatorv wrote:The problem with relying on math in a game like this is that humans aren't logical creatures and they'll rarely act as predicted (besides that, there'salso the simplefact of certain townies not being as vital to victory on account of things like experienceand skill levels). Besides that, statistically, games that do no elim early on are more likely to go south since town's giving up one of the only kills they have control over.

I used to be on team "no elim day one" but I've had several people more experienced than me explain why it's a bad idea so I no longer advocate for it

its easy to predict what someones going to do in a mafia game if you play your cards right i dont know what your going on about with the "humans are illogical creatures" arguement

In post 141, navigatorv wrote:The problem with relying on math in a game like this is that humans aren't logical creatures and they'll rarely act as predicted (besides that, there'salso the simplefact of certain townies not being as vital to victory on account of things like experienceand skill levels). Besides that, statistically, games that do no elim early on are more likely to go south since town's giving up one of the only kills they have control over.

I used to be on team "no elim day one" but I've had several people more experienced than me explain why it's a bad idea so I no longer advocate for it

you may be right.

my vote stands.

Sea monkey wrote:

In post 141, navigatorv wrote:The problem with relying on math in a game like this is that humans aren't logical creatures and they'll rarely act as predicted (besides that, there'salso the simplefact of certain townies not being as vital to victory on account of things like experienceand skill levels). Besides that, statistically, games that do no elim early on are more likely to go south since town's giving up one of the only kills they have control over.

I used to be on team "no elim day one" but I've had several people more experienced than me explain why it's a bad idea so I no longer advocate for it

its easy to predict what someones going to do in a mafia game if you play your cards right i dont know what your going on about with the "humans are illogical creatures" arguement

but also at the same time the entire strategy for this game that i've laid out is having people claim so that we have as little entropy to deal with.

In post 144, Cook wrote:

In post 141, navigatorv wrote:The problem with relying on math in a game like this is that humans aren't logical creatures and they'll rarely act as predicted (besides that, there'salso the simplefact of certain townies not being as vital to victory on account of things like experienceand skill levels). Besides that, statistically, games that do no elim early on are more likely to go south since town's giving up one of the only kills they have control over.

I used to be on team "no elim day one" but I've had several people more experienced than me explain why it's a bad idea so I no longer advocate for it

you may be right.

my vote stands.

Sea monkey wrote:

In post 141, navigatorv wrote:The problem with relying on math in a game like this is that humans aren't logical creatures and they'll rarely act as predicted (besides that, there'salso the simplefact of certain townies not being as vital to victory on account of things like experienceand skill levels). Besides that, statistically, games that do no elim early on are more likely to go south since town's giving up one of the only kills they have control over.

I used to be on team "no elim day one" but I've had several people more experienced than me explain why it's a bad idea so I no longer advocate for it

its easy to predict what someones going to do in a mafia game if you play your cards right i dont know what your going on about with the "humans are illogical creatures" arguement

but also at the same time the entire strategy for this game that i've laid out is having people claim so that we have as little entropy to deal with.

ew strategies are wack just scum hunt like a regular person

I never thought ben was scum.

In post 131, Psyche wrote:if so, please feel welcome to join me on the adventure of a lifetime! there will be cookies

My adventure is more glamorous you should come over here

In post 146, T3 wrote:I never thought ben was scum.

then why would you vote him, and can you unvote me? pretty please with a cherry ontop.

If anyone has any thoughts (any at all!), please share them. We've got six people who haven't posted anything of substance and it's impossible to analyse things while this remains the case. To pick a name out of a hat, WhemeStar?