Mini 2277 Mafia PT

[T3]

The Mala kill only comes from someone who knows Seanzie’s role

[T3]

schadd wants me dead tmrw, Seanzie kinda does, Haschel and redcardinal don’t

[T3]

Actually Haschel kinda wants me dead but also kinda wants redcardinal dead

[T3]

redcardinal wants Haschel > schadd > me/Seanzie

[T3]

In a world where Mala is alive and clear and Seanzie is dead

schadd votes me
Mala votes Haschel
Haschel votes rc/me
rc votes Haschel

[T3]

kill seanzie

I think this is best

[T3]

Worst case scenario is that the wagons are deadlocked with 2 on Haschel and 2 on me, I refuse to hammer, try to get redcardinal to join me on schadd

[T3]

If I kill Mala it adds 2 layers of complexity that I don’t want to get into

[T3]

And it’s not worth the risk of getting voted by schadd and Haschel and Seanzie

[T3]

I don’t think that’s a likely world but I think that’s a world that exist

The best lim for tomorrow is definitely schadd…?
I can see a future in which Mala flips to schadd, but I don’t think schadd being limmed is likely. I suppose to do that, I would have to get redcardinal even deeper in my pocket.

[T3]

I think the most likely ending for tomorrow is haschel being limmed, and then redcardinal.

[T3]

redcardinal being limmed is good, because I have an excuse to keep Mala alive until day 4.

[T3]

*d6

[T3]

there are 3 possibilities for d6:
Me/Haschel/Mala/schadd
Me/redcardinal/schadd
Me/redcardinal/haschel

Possibility 1 is not good because the votes will stay at 2 votes on me, 1 vote on schadd, 1 vote on Haschel and the day will either end in a no-lim or a lim on me.
Possibility 2 is not the best because redcardinal might flip on me (unlikely; but possible)
Possibility 3 is a win

[T3]

Never mind
My chance of winning have gone down from 30% to 5%