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Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:08 am
by Menalque
UNVOTE:

Also I think I may have been totally wrong on PP

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:11 am
by Menalque
In post 1320, Something_Smart wrote:
In post 1275, Menalque wrote:Also — yes, we should still lynch gobbles, but you should change your vote temporarily to where you think groupscum is to make it easier to track where people thought scum was on D1 in retrospect when people look back at ofhrz’s ISO and the VCs
Or people could just read the game instead of using VC's as a crutch?
I mean what people do is different to what people should do and I see no problem making it easier to see who people were ostensibly scumreading?

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:11 am
by Menalque
VOTE: turkey

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:13 am
by Something_Smart
In post 1293, skitter30 wrote:i'm not super comfortable removing those setups until/unless we have further information that shows why this would be highly unlikely
I assume he's using probability.

I would dismiss seven T's (0.8%) but not one T (5.5%).

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:15 am
by Something_Smart
In post 1299, Pink Ball wrote:Scum has more info about the setup so they could know that SK is a safe claim.
No they can't?

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:16 am
by gobbledygook
Let me know when you’re about to lynch me so I can give final reads

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:17 am
by skitter30
i think i'm coming around to town!mena

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:20 am
by gobbledygook
You guys should still use this day as if I never outted.
Skitter, I’m not answering BP or Ninja question. Why does that matter?

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:22 am
by Something_Smart
In post 1322, Menalque wrote:No, then we’re weaker because we’re getting further away from outnumbering the scum and he gets to coast another day because people want to try and flip their scumreads.
This sounds like empty rhetoric to me.

You're talking about him surviving another day as if it's automatically a bad thing. Is it? If we compare lynching him tomorrow to lynching him today, the only difference is that an extra player dies overnight. If that player is > rand scum, then it's good; otherwise, it's bad.

Then, if he killed scum, we can leave him alive one more day to put us back on odds without worrying about losing majority. If he killed town, we might have to lynch him-- and this gives him a powerful incentive to play along and try to hit his strongest scumread.

If you assume that his reads are better than random, there is at the very least a reasonable argument for leaving him alive.

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:23 am
by gobbledygook
In post 334, Bingle wrote:
In post 253, gobbledygook wrote:I don’t like the idea of commuters claiming to confirm the hider exists.
I also think that Bingle scumreading FB but not voting FB is suss. Especially when he’s voting your lolwagon.
:eyebrow:

I'd expect you of all people to remember that I never argue theory I don't think is protown, regardless of my alignment. It's kind of my whole gimmick.

I also hard disagree with characterizing Mena's wagon as a lolwagon, and am in fact scumreading Mena. I assumed that was obvious when I voted him in a reads post.
This was me claiming the Hider exists which was an ambiguous double crumb as to whether I was claiming hider or commuter.

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:24 am
by gobbledygook
I townside whenever I am not scum but not town, for the record. I have two games to prove that.

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:25 am
by skitter30
man i really think ss is scum here

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:26 am
by gobbledygook
Why wouldn’t he take the guaranteed not group scum flip and just kill me here if he was group scum?

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:27 am
by skitter30
if he thinks you'll shoot town he gets another person closer to lylo without having to do anything

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:29 am
by Something_Smart
In post 1338, skitter30 wrote:if he thinks you'll shoot town he gets another person closer to lylo without having to do anything
And anyone who wants to lynch him might be scum who thinks he'll shoot scum or take out a future mislynch. What's your point?

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:31 am
by skitter30
this is gonna be a mess, i think

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:35 am
by gobbledygook
This skitter reminds me of the skitter in Menalque’s favorite places and I think shes town

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:36 am
by Something_Smart
For the record, Occam's razor says this is town-you who actually has to read me for the first time, rather than scum-you specifically attempting to pocket me by tunneling me. (Which is something lilith has done, but it's still an unusual tactic.)

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:36 am
by Something_Smart
That post was @skitter if it wasn't clear

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:38 am
by skitter30
In post 1341, gobbledygook wrote:This skitter reminds me of the skitter in Menalque’s favorite places and I think shes town
me too

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:40 am
by Blake Belladonna
UNVOTE: skitter30
VOTE: lilith2013

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:40 am
by skitter30
no that's a bad vote

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:41 am
by Blake Belladonna
Because I know I will be asked, I am voting for lilith2013 because I do not have a townread on her.

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:41 am
by Pink Ball
In post 1329, Something_Smart wrote:
In post 1299, Pink Ball wrote:Scum has more info about the setup so they could know that SK is a safe claim.
No they can't?
Mena already told me, thanks SS

Posted: Tue Jun 09, 2020 2:42 am
by Menalque
In post 1335, gobbledygook wrote:I townside whenever I am not scum but not town, for the record. I have two games to prove that.
But you’re... the SK? You literally have the wincon of killing every single town player in the game and given that you’re outed helping scum is not the way to do that because it just means we get to killing you faster

Like let’s say we lynch scum today, vig one tonight and you kill the other one

What do you think happens tomorrow?