Needless to say, a cop would claim their actual innocent but pretend that they're just a VT helping to give the cop cover.
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:43 am
by BlackStar
oh ok
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:44 am
by BlackStar
I have a hypo inno on ofhrz
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:44 am
by Zoronos
The NKA discussion is not super productive - NSG was basically cleared town for leading the push on JJH. There, good enough, let's move on to finding scum.
Hypo-inno allows him to not claim cop while leaving a result in case he gets shot in the night and is a cop.
For example,
hypo-inno on Ofrhz
-> I am the cop and I checked Ofrhz last night and she's town. Or maybe I'm not the cop. Who knows.
Obvious here if Blackstar is scum he knows Math isn't the cop, and if Ofrhz is scum she knows I'm not the cop. But it leaves Town a result in case one of us the cop and dies N2.
I'm working on some more VC coloration, I'll have that up shortly.
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:45 am
by Mathdino
Good point re: NSG, forgot about that.
I'll set up the vote counter so we can get some links to specific votes.
Don't work too hard. VCA is so much more fun in 2018.
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:51 am
by Mathdino
come gather round people
wherever ya roam
and admit that the waters around you have grown
Blue is flipped town / un CC'ed town.
Green is my reads / results.
Red is flipped scum.
Black is ????.
I've demoted a couple town reads back to ??? territory, so some re-sort is in order.
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:52 am
by Zoronos
In post 1430, Mathdino wrote:come gather round people
wherever ya roam
and admit that the waters around you have grown
How do I use this?
Because if I can use this to do magic it would save me a lot of time.
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:53 am
by Mathdino
and accept it that soon you'll be drenched
to the bone
if your time to you is worth savin'
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:56 am
by HitAlt
Hypo-inno on MathDino.
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:56 am
by Mathdino
THEN YA BETTER START SWIMMIN OR YOU'LL SINK LIKE A STONE
FOR THE TIMES
THEY ARE A CHAAAAANGIN
click on the links to go to specific votes
plan is to run through every jjh vote
he was almost certainly bussed
scum could've pushed through TW if they wanted to but they didn't
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:01 am
by the worst
I'mma prodge until vca is over
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:03 am
by Mathdino
I'd rather have a partner for VCA. I'll do the VCA but I need people to do some of the searching work for me.
Announce your hypoinno please.
The purity of the ofrhz wagon heavily implies scum were defending ofrhz for towncred. (or that ofrhz is scum I guess?)
jjh did exactly that. Mentioned ofrhz twice in his whole ISO.
So I could use an ISO dive on ofrhz and a search for people defending him.
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:04 am
by ruru
Peek BlackStar inno
In post 1418, Mathdino wrote:NSG being killed heavily implicates the worst, who I was just about to come into the day defending.
Heavily is a strong word for nka on a pseudo-IC
As far as I can tell scum.you might benefit more from nsg being dead than scum.tw does (not because of her d1 reads which are guaranteed to get wifomed, but because of familiarity)
I feel jjh not flipping rolecop also makes bussing somewhat less likely than otherwise
In post 1379, Mathdino wrote:Outside possibility of hws just suicide bombing jjh
Did either of them crumb
Please tell me yall crumbed
Also okay so I'm kinda curious what this was about
Would you seriously have considered lynching hws if jjh crumbed and hws didn't?
The first wagon is the one that got jjh to claim. The second one led to his lynch (I cast the hammer).
Notably:
- The most obvious busvote to me is pintu or TW. pintu is known to be a willing busser. TW busses when I'm around.
- ofrhz fills the spot of "lol let's pile onto my busted partner after he got cc'd"
- pintu on the other hand wasn't on the lynch wagon at all, haha. Possibly thought there'd be no cc?
I find voting for this d1 to be highly suspicious (ofrhz, davesaz)
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:09 am
by Zoronos
The post-claim wagon is useless, imo, since it heavily reflects who was present in the thread and not who was scum reading JJH.
No cred for being on a train driven entirely be counter-claiming-HWS.
I am more suspicious of the people that said 'I don't trust that claim' when JJH claimed JK than the people that piled back on after HWS countered. Town players have no specific reason to distrust the claim, whereas scum already know it's BS and are expecting the counter.
The first wagon is the one that got jjh to claim. The second one led to his lynch (I cast the hammer).
Notably:
- The most obvious busvote to me is pintu or TW. pintu is known to be a willing busser. TW busses when I'm around.
- ofrhz fills the spot of "lol let's pile onto my busted partner after he got cc'd"
- pintu on the other hand wasn't on the lynch wagon at all, haha. Possibly thought there'd be no cc?
VOTE: pintu
for now
Doesn’t this make pintu more town
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:12 am
by ruru
Pin's kinda scummy to me except all the way back here there was this
In post 999, pinturicchio wrote:Yeah too late ofrhz I already figured it out, still think there's no relation between a bad vote and me being scum but sure you do you
VOTE: jjh this is a better vote for you
When we were scum together he tried really hard to not actually bus me, even though it looked like he was willing to lynch me and this feels way different from that (especially if ofrhz isn't scum, I guess this doesn't apply if ofrhz flips red though)
Are you calling him a willing busser based on games other than 1859?
Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 9:14 am
by davesaz
hypo-inno Mathdino.
That data is hella useful. Gonna take me a bit to digest.
Pedit: it certainly generates content fast.
In post 1418, Mathdino wrote:NSG being killed heavily implicates the worst, who I was just about to come into the day defending.
Heavily is a strong word for nka on a pseudo-IC
Explain how TW is a pseudo IC? NSG was very clear that jjh/TW is a viable pair. Yesterday's gamestate is explained by a scum vs scum vote count.
In post 1438, ruru wrote:As far as I can tell scum.you might benefit more from nsg being dead than scum.tw does (not because of her d1 reads which are guaranteed to get wifomed, but because of familiarity)
I mean.
You're not wrong.
I hate to use this as evidence but
Every single time I've been scum onsite and had the opportunity to nightkill a power role, I have. Every time.
I admit that HWS isn't the ideal shot since he's not actually doing anything as the jailkeeper.
So the only reason I'd have jjh claim jailkeeper is if I thought I knew who the cop or vig was, and thus didn't HAVE to out them. I play scum very mechanically. Which is helped by the fact that I can claim the title of the best current PR hunter onsite.
I would never have gone through all that to out a useless jailkeeper and then shoot a VT NSG anyway. So on that basis I feel like I should be confirmed town (or at least, knowing everything I know about myself, I'm objectively confirmed town). I accept if you think I'd WIFOM that up, but part of the reason I shoot PRs as scum (rather than WIFOMing) is specifically so I'm allowed to make this argument as town when VTs get killed.
And I'm sure as hell not sacrificing that reputation for a random open game that scum will probably lose anyway.
In post 1438, ruru wrote:I feel jjh not flipping rolecop also makes bussing somewhat less likely than otherwise
Yeah you might be right. Framer is the best scum role here IMO.
In the case of scum not-bussing, HitAlt is the clearest suspect I think.
Also okay so I'm kinda curious what this was about
Would you seriously have considered lynching hws if jjh crumbed and hws didn't?
Yes. I have a long history of scumreading PRs and I would have accepted "jjh is actually a PR" as a reason why my scumdar was wrong there.
But yeah HWS was very clearly jailkeeper from "WHAT SHOULD THE JK DO GUYS". And jjh is known to be capable of complex crumbing. So he probably made that shit up on the spot.