In post 1448, wavemode wrote:You do know killing chip doesn't prevent him from killing that night, right? How does theory make sense
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You thought that between you and Chip, it would be you if you claimed yesterday.
I thought that between Serg and Chip, Serg would be dead.
Chip wasn't supposed to shoot anyone last night anyways.
But Chip is dead and Serg isn't.
It's not like I can tell you what they were thinking. But there's a dead vig and the outed gunsmith got another check last night. This seems like a fairly decent explanation from my POV.- implosion
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Ye. About ten minutes ago it hit me that you hadn't posted in like two days, and that it was kinda odd given how invested you were in this, but then I got distracted by the vig thing.
And you were kinda pocket-y.
And I didn't think I was wrong on literally everyone.
But gg!
Wave, I'm sorry
p-edit: yeah that was my strongest read during this whole thing. I really, really didn't think I was wrong there.- Sephiroth
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skitter, your reads and your reasons for them after you re-evaluated were really, really solid. You just needed to trust yourself more; distancing was the only move I had left, essentially.
That said hats off to Seph for basically carrying it in the last stretch by just having had a good game.
I did have RL reasons for not posting (read: sickness/tiredness/what have you) but I also felt like I couldn't post almost anything that would help me to win the game in the last ~3-4 RL days. I felt like all I could possibly do was convince skitter to lynch seph over wave >_>
I did plan to (at least try to) step up strongly if seph was lynched to try to swing Flub.- Sephiroth
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As for shooting chip: that was actually exploiting a town tactical mistake. If town had been willing to trust Chip (granted, they didn't necessarily, but I think it was a pretty solid move to trust him) they could have ordered him to shoot last night, and town would have been in a better position and we would have been forced to shoot Serg.
The math is a little weird but it plays out to a 33% EV for town this way vs a 50% EV the other way i think. But that was all thrown for a loop with the wave claim anyway.- Sergtacos
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@implosion: I know lol. You were always scum here. Flubber was town, and you were scum, and I honestly would have lynched you tonight if I thought the votes were here, but they weren't. I'd been thinking about suggesting that for several IRL days actually. I couldn't figure out which of wave/seph it was, but I was pretty damn sure that I was right on you and flubber. And every time I wanted to lynch wave it just felt wrong. But I also couldn't completely justify Seph scum.
@seph: Yeah you pocketed me and I pointed that out lol. That's like the worst thing that I could find though, and I couldn't figure out why I thought that several days after the fact.- implosion
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(Part of my plan for post seph-lynch was to argue that scum MUST have some kind of actual power, that a doctor made the most sense, and that i should therefore be seen as town for having the vanilla check on me) - implosion
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