Mafiascum.net

In post 1473, Something_Smart wrote:Echoing all the above sentiments, hope everything's all right.

Dave's EOD yesterday looks fairly towny.

How so?

Fwiw I also think that there are 2 scum on wagon and so far im leaning THP/Mena

Daves also seemed a bit too content to sit on wagon end of D1 but im less confident on that

1377 seems like a very weird thing for scum to post in twilight; it's bitter and affords some possibility of DGB flipping town, but also claims that possibility is unlikely. That's kind of the position I would expect town-dave to take ("man, I hope DGB wasn't town after this, but it's possible..."), and it's nuanced enough that it seems less likely to be fake.

That sort of stuff is easily fakeable imo if anything it seems a bit overexplainy lol

Notice how skit, infinity, peta all on the same page were real brief about reacting to the self hammer? That seems more natural to me

And TGP ^ I should add

Like out of all the posting on that page reacting to self hammer Daves looks... <_< >_> ... the... the worst

Badump tsss

It's not really overexplainy though, because it's not like he was underscoring how much he would be mad at DGB or whatever. Instead he's analyzing the situation.

Idk, that's just my thought.

Do you have any thoughts on the wagon?

In post 1455, skitter30 wrote:

In post 1451, petapan wrote:VOTE: skitter30

oh *do* go on

don't care for the way you've started the day

In post 1425, TheGoldenParadox wrote:sorry, i meant limming/executing. there is no scum 1-shot vigilante, so we should avoid limming at the top of the draft because that would be hitting PRs which are a lot more important for town than scum.

it's extremely likely there are at least 2 scum in the top half of the draft

In post 1461, Infinity 324 wrote:

In post 1460, skitter30 wrote:jv is probably town too. i don't remember if i said that already

Idk I feel like they may be hiding behind this silly tunnel to avoid scumhunting

riding a shitpush because i called them on excessive fillerposting ain't town

I suggest listening to the people who have played with me before, at least a little.

My vote analyzer wasn't working at EOD yesterday -- the code to ignore votes inside quotes was also ignoring votes in some kinds of complex posts, which threw out a lot of them it should have been seeing. I was bugged about the numbers it was spitting out but the latest votes by each player were always right until Mena's 1309 wouldn't count. I actually thought it was E-1 at the point in time I suggested going back and counting, and didn't find out it was wrong until after the flip.

I think I have it fixed now. If it is working I'll be able to look at any inflection point without manually copying it all into a notepad and doing it by hand.

No, I don't have thoughts on the wagon yet.

In post 1484, petapan wrote:it's extremely likely there are at least 2 scum in the top half of the draft

If you have an actual objective reason to think this, it's probably too early to discuss in depth.
If you are basing this thought on the draft then you're probably buying in to a gambler's fallacy.

And by objective reason I'm implying a mechanic based reason that isn't a result.

In post 1483, Uncrowned wrote:Do you have any thoughts on the wagon?

Honestly not really?

It was a fine wagon, and then DGB made a bad claim and started acting erratically. Acting erratically is towny in a vacuum but often townies don't want people to be rewarded for doing stuff like that, and obviously scum want to make sure their mis-execution doesn't slip away. So there's probably approximately equal incentive for town and scum to be on the wagon.

In post 1486, davesaz wrote:

In post 1484, petapan wrote:it's extremely likely there are at least 2 scum in the top half of the draft

If you have an actual objective reason to think this, it's probably too early to discuss in depth.
If you are basing this thought on the draft then you're probably buying in to a gambler's fallacy.

scum doubling up still less likely than picking different numbers. i'm disagreeing with their tinfoil about hoopla

People thinking it's unlikely is exactly the reason to do it. If I had rolled scum I would have hyperposted my partners into submission on this.

don't especially scumread anyone down there besides jv though

Not shitting you I’m going to hospital now because my own thing...

V/LA for 48 hours just in case

hope you and your loved ones are okay jv :/

In post 1445, JacksonVirgo wrote:

DrippingGoofball (8): lilith2013, davesaz, Infinity 324, Menalque, PenguinPower, petapan, TheGoldenParadox, DrippingGoofball

If I had to guess, only 2 scum would likely be on here. Peta being one of them and PP and Paradox are both not scum due to vote placements. Leaving lilith, which is probably Town, and dave/menalque as I TR infinity.

I’ll do a consolidation vote on Mena since Dave’s tone is good and They’re the only one that could be scum outside of peta imo, and my push on peta is going nowhere for now but I definitely still SR the hell out of that slot

VOTE: Menalque

In post 1493, TheGoldenParadox wrote:hope you and your loved ones are okay jv :/

Thank you, I’m good now I think

Also a reminder

JV and Lilith were also wagoned D1 and didn't receive much, if any, resistance. Similar to DGB.

Content wise neither have appeared all that town to me but, based off of this information, it would point towards them both being town.

In post 1496, Uncrowned wrote:JV and Lilith were also wagoned D1 and didn't receive much, if any, resistance. Similar to DGB

it might just be the flow of the game. seems like we've only been collectively pressuring one candidate at a time.

actually, going to switch to menalque. composition of this wagon looks pretty good, and i agree we should probably be executing from DGB's wagon.

dunnstral can wait for now.

UNVOTE:
VOTE: menalque

@SS

are you planning on voting today?