Mini 105 - High School Teacher Mafia-Game Over!

[KingEnigma]

unvote: Ygg

Be that way, but just so you know Ive got two eyes on you buddy!!

Dont make me regret it! Ive got my hanging noose all ready for ya.

[BlueSin]

mod, typo , "teacher list".

about the night kill, I stay with the crowd. but prefer ygg not killing. nobody want to be killed.

[NanookTheWolf]

Thanks Bluesin, It's been taken care of.

I would like to note that not much conversation has been going on lately, even with the new replacements, so I am going to place a deadline for

May 31st Monday @ Midnight EST time

If conversation picks up enough and if you beg me enough I can lift it but I most likely will not, unless they are extreme circumstances, seeing how this game has been going on for over a month now.

Also, I will be giving Totem another 24 hours to post, and if he doesn't I will prod him.

[Quailman]

Not much increase in conversation. I am inclined to believe Yggdrasil. My school had no Botany teacher, but it did have a Russian teacher. How many US high schools have one of those. My vote stays.

I will be out from this afternoon until next Thursday evening. Doubtful that I can check in but I'll try.

[nard054]

Maybe they have them in Canada (Which is where Stewie is from, right?)? Anyone know?

I have nothing else to say.

[Totem]

Hello everyone. Bye Someone

I am here. actualy somewhere in the middle of the pages. Hope to finish reading tommorrow. No clear leads yet.

[thorred]

I see no reason to change my vote yet. Unless Totem can convince me otherwise.
About ygg, I think we need to conifrm his role so I agree with Tigris' plan.
I dont see anything else we can do at the moment.

[Tigris]

*hugglesh the ethernet line* It's alive again ^_^, no more trapsing around trying to find connection. *purrrrs* Sorry, kinda almost feels like a suger high right now ^_^, despite falling a good 14 feet when my extension ladder suddenly decided it didn't want to work anymore, silly ladder.

Anyhows, on to more serious stuff. I count the probability as higher that one of the three kills will net scum. Three mafia seems reasonable to me and it is always best to prepare for the worst, imo.
Mafia: 0/1 out of 7
SK: 1/2 out of 8, depending on if we catch one of these two
Vigi: 2/3 out of 8
So 14%, 25%, and 37.5% worst case scenario, subtracting the masons from the vigi possible kill 14,25,50. Essentially, the numbers are quite in our favor to end up with at most 2 scum out of 6 tomorrow if all the kills go through. Additionally, the likelihood of a vig kill netting an innocent is lower due to the other kills, imo. The other thing to consider is if we do not get a mafia/sk this day and tonight the doc does not protect the proper person and both groups target innocents, the game is essentially the scums to lose.

We had a similar scenario in Fairy tale mafia, 3 mafia and one sk, the town lynched properly ever day, but would have lost if not for the mafia targeting the sk on the third night. 10/3/1=7/2/1=6/1/1 going into night 3, if the mafia and sk had each targeted innocent it would have been 4/1/1, but since the mafia thought he was immune to investigations he killed the sk and ending up being lynched the next day. If we do not get a scum today and yggs does not kill, I think the chances are high of a 7/2/1, which will likely end as a town loss if they do not get the serial killer with that lynch. Of course, there is the chance of 6/2/1 if we have yggs kill, but to my eye that is not much worse then 7/2/1. Oh, and incidently in Fairly Tale, I was the serial killer and was quite pleased with how this logic did not occur to anyone as it gave me a chance to win.

[Yggdrasil]

*hugglesh the ethernet line* It's alive again ^_^, no more trapsing around trying to find connection. *purrrrs* Sorry, kinda almost feels like a suger high right now ^_^, despite falling a good 14 feet when my extension ladder suddenly decided it didn't want to work anymore, silly ladder.

Anyhows, on to more serious stuff. I count the probability as higher that one of the three kills will net scum. Three mafia seems reasonable to me and it is always best to prepare for the worst, imo.
Mafia: 0/1 out of 7
SK: 1/2 out of 8, depending on if we catch one of these two
Vigi: 2/3 out of 8
So 14%, 25%, and 37.5% worst case scenario, subtracting the masons from the vigi possible kill 14,25,50. Essentially, the numbers are quite in our favor to end up with at most 2 scum out of 6 tomorrow if all the kills go through. Additionally, the likelihood of a vig kill netting an innocent is lower due to the other kills, imo. The other thing to consider is if we do not get a mafia/sk this day and tonight the doc does not protect the proper person and both groups target innocents, the game is essentially the scums to lose.

We had a similar scenario in Fairy tale mafia, 3 mafia and one sk, the town lynched properly ever day, but would have lost if not for the mafia targeting the sk on the third night. 10/3/1=7/2/1=6/1/1 going into night 3, if the mafia and sk had each targeted innocent it would have been 4/1/1, but since the mafia thought he was immune to investigations he killed the sk and ending up being lynched the next day. If we do not get a scum today and yggs does not kill, I think the chances are high of a 7/2/1, which will likely end as a town loss if they do not get the serial killer with that lynch. Of course, there is the chance of 6/2/1 if we have yggs kill, but to my eye that is not much worse then 7/2/1. Oh, and incidently in Fairly Tale, I was the serial killer and was quite pleased with how this logic did not occur to anyone as it gave me a chance to win.

These numbers may not be correct. Remember, one mafia was killed night 1. Since I doubt a game would have a four person mafia, that leaves only two living mafia now.

Maybe I will post more in depth about the probabilities when I have time later (i.e. after my OChem midterm Friday), but for now, I think we need to get some discussion going, so I will go back to my previous suspicion:

unvote: Zoneace
vote: CoolBot

I believe that's the fourth vote of six.

[NanookTheWolf]

Vote Count:

(4) Coolbot: (Quailman, Bluesin, Tigris, Yggdrasil)
(2) Yggdrasil: (Coolbot, Zoneace)
(2) Quailman: (BadAndie, Nard054)
(1) Zoneace: (Someone)
(1) Someone: (Thorred)

There are 10 alive and it takes 6 to lynch!

Don't forget about that Deadline, which is...

May 31st Monday @ Midnight EST time

[Totem]

Quite big change of plans. On monday I am leaving for unexpected 4 days trip. without any net acces. Maybe it would be better to find another replacement.

[NanookTheWolf]

Alright, will do Totem.

[CoolBot]

Gah, I'm going to be away for the weekend, so I might as well claim now. I'm the gym teacher and I can block anyone by making them run laps.

[BlueSin]

well, this is

teacher

mafia.....I think all of us is teacher and how can you making the teacher run laps?

Unless you are a mafia who screw up for not knowing about this, then make a stupid claim. I doubt the mod will make this role.....

[NanookTheWolf]

Alright, Sketchwick replaces Totem who replaced Someone, if that makes any sense.

Welcome to the game Sketchwick!

[Sketchwick]

I read through once but I skimmed some stuff. Should be able to read through again before deadline.

sketchwick

[Yggdrasil]

Coolbot: Who did you block last night?

As there were two kills last night both most almost certainly due to scum, we might have a confirmed innocent knowing who he targeted (if he really is a roleblocker). Note: how do roleblockers work when targeting mafia. If the roleblocker targets one mafia, does he block the mafia kill, or does the roleblocker have to target a specific mafia member?

Hopefully, Coolbot can answer this before he returns. However, the omission of such information in his post makes him seem suspicious.

Also, who, if anyone, do you want me to target at night?

[thorred]

Coolbot, I'm not sure I can believe that role. I ask the same question as Ygg.
Ygg, I don't know? Who seems most scummie?

[Yggdrasil]

Who seems most scummy to you, thorred?

[nard054]

Well what are the chances that both of them are innocent? Not very good in my opinion. So I say we just choose one of them and, if the chosen is innocent, then we'll lynch the other tomorrow (or, if we have new leads, someone different). But I say we lynch one of them as to not fall victim to the deadline.

unvote: quailman

I'd rather have a vig than a roleblocker. Call me crazy.

vote: coolbot

[KingEnigma]

I agree with nard054, I'm just hoping that Ygg doesnt come back and bite us in the end.

Coolbot was the second most scummy to me, and I dont want to lose the opportunity to get rid of scum because of a deadline.

Coolbot, if I'm wrong about this, you have my apology ahead of time, if I'm right, BLAH.

Go Town.

Vote: Coolbot

[thorred]

I guess it's night now.

[Yggdrasil]

I guess I'll go after ZONEACE tonight. When tomorrow comes and we need to find scum, I'd rather be looking amongst people who have plenty of posts for us to analyze than people who leave us with little to judge their alignment.

I was hoping for a little more time for discussion, though and possibly a claim from whomever you wanted me to lynch, but oh well.

[BlueSin]

we should let coolbot target ygg and let ygg kill coolbot....

[NanookTheWolf]

Bluesin that would be a good idea if Coolbot wasn't just killed now I suppose, but since he was lynched it is now night. Guess what...Coolbot indeed was the high school gym teacher, and I suppose you could say the he blocks people in a sense, but truthfully though, he actually kills people. Yes,

Coolbot was the serial killer

, good job town. It is now night, and please have your choices in no later then this time wednesday, which would be around

10 PM EST TIME.