Page 7 of 107
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:50 am
by SleeperSoul
In post 148, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:um me getting mislynched that game had literally nothing to do with bugspray, he literally wasn't even playing that game lolol
I mean, I would have been more on board with the final sacrifice if I had any read on bugspray. Don't want to make a similar mistake this game.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:51 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
bugspray was pretty easy to read as town
he literally wasn't even there lol
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:54 am
by SleeperSoul
In post 149, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: In post 146, SleeperSoul wrote:I mean, we town read eachother while 'fighting' last game.... So him not wanting to do it this game came off as AI. you think it's NAI?
For it to be a true fight, there must be consequences - life and death -lynch or let live. Without the danger there can be no information gained.
Well, this makes sense. I'd vote you now to stir up shit but I'm legit 50/50 on you right now. Maybe 51% town.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:57 am
by votato
In post 152, SleeperSoul wrote: In post 149, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: In post 146, SleeperSoul wrote:I mean, we town read eachother while 'fighting' last game.... So him not wanting to do it this game came off as AI. you think it's NAI?
For it to be a true fight, there must be consequences - life and death -lynch or let live. Without the danger there can be no information gained.
Well, this makes sense. I'd vote you now to stir up shit but I'm legit 50/50 on you right now. Maybe 51% town.
what changed?
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:57 am
by votato
i mean thats pretty good cover to hide behind as scum too though.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:58 am
by votato
fortunately, in this game we can simply exclude bugspray from the coalition.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:59 am
by SleeperSoul
I don't know how you read bugspray.
Maybe the chess moves were townie? hehe
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:01 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
This is the only thing he said to me in our PT:
"i still sr your slot so i dont have a real reason to engage with u"
If he's scum he's trying to manipulate me and snow me, he was a 0-effort townie instead.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:02 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
In post 152, SleeperSoul wrote:Well, this makes sense. I'd vote you now to stir up shit but I'm legit 50/50 on you right now. Maybe 51% town.
you know the default probability is like 77.7% right?
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:03 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
In post 154, votato wrote:i mean thats pretty good cover to hide behind as scum too though.
usually in lover games the scum are busy putting their tentacles all into their lovers heads and getting them to lynch town
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:04 am
by SleeperSoul
In post 153, votato wrote: In post 152, SleeperSoul wrote: In post 149, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote: In post 146, SleeperSoul wrote:I mean, we town read eachother while 'fighting' last game.... So him not wanting to do it this game came off as AI. you think it's NAI?
For it to be a true fight, there must be consequences - life and death -lynch or let live. Without the danger there can be no information gained.
Well, this makes sense. I'd vote you now to stir up shit but I'm legit 50/50 on you right now. Maybe 51% town.
what changed?
pedit that makes sense pooky
I considered the possibility that him not wanting to fight was NAI.... He seems to be mimicking his town play from the lovers game. Everything so far cancels out to 51% town.
next pedit: ah yeah.... actually if I count myself as town then everyone else has exactly 75% chance of being town. I calculated this yesterday. still...
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:04 am
by SleeperSoul
In post 157, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:
This is the only thing he said to me in our PT:
"i still sr your slot so i dont have a real reason to engage with u"
If he's scum he's trying to manipulate me and snow me, he was a 0-effort townie instead.
this makes sense
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:06 am
by SleeperSoul
I wasn't thinking about mathematical probabilities when I said pooky is 51% town.... That's just a descriptor of my slight town lean on him.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:21 am
by SleeperSoul
In post 160, SleeperSoul wrote:actually if I count myself as town then everyone else has exactly 75% chance of being town. I calculated this yesterday.
Also, according to my calculations, there are 28 possible scum pairs in this game if I count myself as town.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:22 am
by SleeperSoul
I didn't do any calculations for me as scum.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:23 am
by votato
sleeper, if you were scum who would your buddy be?
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:27 am
by SleeperSoul
I have no idea, probably the person who's talked the least. bugspray?
I said that without even thinking about it. I have never had any plans on how to play scum, I'm terrible at it. Or I have been in the past at least.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:33 am
by SleeperSoul
My 'plan' as scum is to just 'be quiet'.... It has never worked.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:35 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
yea you'd be pretty terrible as scum ngl
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:38 am
by SleeperSoul
PREACH!
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:39 am
by Deimos27
In post 57, DonCorleone wrote: In post 55, Deimos27 wrote:DC, how about you play the game like normal.
And you actually case your solve.
And people sheep you only if they agree with you?
I prefer option a) I solve the game and everyone sheeps me and then I get lynched upon BoP if I’m wrong
Worried about trusting the game to one player who I know nothing of? Yes, naturally.
I don't have such blind faith in you, nor lack of self-esteem for myself, that I would readily agree your strategy is higher EV than a cooperative, interactive one, where I still get to rely on my own judgment.
... what?
In post 94, votato wrote:
thats an interesting list. to me none of those people are obvtown. maybe deimos? but no its too early to say for deimos. actually, deimos is leaning the other way at this early stage.
Pretty significant progression to go from Deimos is maybe obvtown to Deimos is leaning "the other way" (I assume that means scum). Walk me through your thought process there?
In post 107, Clover Ebi wrote:
explaining that would help scum. you trying to bait me into explaining it makes me think you're scum.[/quo*te]
blink
...Huh? I am just-huh?! You think talking about day 2 helps scum and because I asked for more detail why I'm scummy for it... am I getting that all right?
Yes, that's exactly right, and his argument was pretty straightforward so I dislike this seeming indignation.
In post 163, SleeperSoul wrote: In post 160, SleeperSoul wrote:actually if I count myself as town then everyone else has exactly 75% chance of being town. I calculated this yesterday.
Also, according to my calculations, there are 28 possible scum pairs in this game if I count myself as town.
And what value does this latter calculation provide you? What is the value of outing it?
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:40 am
by Deimos27
HEAL: Pooky
HEAL: votato
HURT: Sleeper
HURT: Clover
Here's where I'm at.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:41 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
sleeper has to be town
if he was scum he would've told us all about it by now
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:43 am
by Deimos27
This some kind of metaread? I get gutpings from like every one of his posts.
Posted: Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:44 am
by Deimos27
I'll add a tentative HEAL: DC because I don't really expect scum to suggest and defend a strategy that puts them in a 6v1 mountainous.