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Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 9:59 am
by Bell
I think the following outcomes would have been better for town.
1. You did gambit and hit scum then were night killed.
2. You did not gambit. 28.57% chance of hitting scum.
3. You did gambit miseliminated and were night killed.
4. You did gambit, miseliminated and avoided your own miselimination.
I think all of these outcomes were objectively better.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 10:01 am
by Bell
That's fine. I just disagree and my request stands.
1a* you did gambit, hit scum and then survived the night.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 10:04 am
by ProfessorDrapion
I mean if not for my gambit I may have not realized that butterflies and Taly were wolves.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 10:37 am
by MathBlade
In post 147, ProfessorDrapion wrote:If I didn’t do the gambit I would have been a night kill I am forcing Butterflies and Taly to have to kill someone outside of the known confirm so probably BestBird.
You’re better off being a nightkill there.
Why would scum have to kill outside “the town firm” which doesn’t even exist?
You’re assuming you’re right (which I won’t acknowledge) then assuming scum have to do something based on you being right, which doesn’t follow.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 11:30 am
by Enchant
In post 149, ProfessorDrapion wrote:I don’t regret what I did.
Town would have been ML’ed either way if you put it on in simulation.
This way I removed a night kill they needed and forced it into an ML which unknowingly is actually bad for wolves.
Wow, you steal mafia kills.
Awesome
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 1:39 pm
by PookyTheMagicalBear
freeeeeeee freeeeeeee freeeee I'm finally freeeeeeee
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 1:44 pm
by PookyTheMagicalBear
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 2:05 pm
by Cat Scratch Fever
congrats pooky
based on that kill, I'm guessing scum will try to mislim Butterflies?
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 3:21 pm
by Rad
Scum showing mercy to pooky here
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 5:37 pm
by ProfessorDrapion
Ok so that’s interesting.
I think butterflies killed Pooky because they knew the gambit I did they had to confirm someone so they did it before killing Roden.
Good move on butterflies part.
Now no one can sus why they are still alive and why they weren’t killed when they made sure to kill Pooky.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 5:37 pm
by ProfessorDrapion
Scum is Butterflies.
(And Taly)
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 5:40 pm
by ProfessorDrapion
Butterflies also didn’t want to be town reading everyone except one come F5 so they got rid of Pooky.
Makes allot of sense.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 5:56 pm
by PookyTheMagicalBear
it makes absolutely no sense for nancy to kill me lol what
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 6:22 pm
by ProfessorDrapion
I already said my thoughts last day.
F5 with You/Them/Taly/Hook/ML Bait
They have no one to call the team.
They are pocketing Hook and town read you.
They need another player to call a wolf.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 6:22 pm
by ProfessorDrapion
Should say I shared my thoughts here in this thread.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 6:29 pm
by RH9
I agree with this PoE.
This will be pretty much what I'm at as well.
I still don't think that butterflies is confscum though I get why Drapion is certain on butterflies being scum.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 6:39 pm
by Rad
In post 163, ProfessorDrapion wrote:
I already said my thoughts last day.
F5 with You/Them/Taly/Hook/ML Bait
They have no one to call the team.
They are pocketing Hook and town read you.
They need another player to call a wolf.
This still doesn't explain why pooky before roden. No one can switch here to scum!Roden. Everyone could switch to scum!Pooky. Might make sense to kill pooky next but not here. So there's some other reason to kill pooky over roden here. IMO it's just wifom chaos kill.
Posted: Sun Sep 11, 2022 7:15 pm
by RH9
In post 161, ProfessorDrapion wrote:Butterflies also didn’t want to be town reading everyone except one come F5 so they got rid of Pooky.
Makes allot of sense.
This doesn't make sense for Noraa to just randomly agree, though.
Why does ze agree to NK Pooky just so that butterflies has one less TR?
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2022 12:16 am
by ProfessorDrapion
In post 165, RH9 wrote:
I agree with this PoE.
This will be pretty much what I'm at as well.
I still don't think that butterflies is confscum though I get why Drapion is certain on butterflies being scum.
Johnny is Town and same with Hook
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2022 12:18 am
by RH9
Is this independent of the alignment of butterflies?
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2022 2:20 am
by ProfessorDrapion
I think butterflies also made the kill to frame Johnny.
It’s funny cause I tell everyone who town is and no one trusts me.
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2022 3:14 am
by ProfessorDrapion
Lol Johnny town slipped.
Said Roden could be a wolf, mafia knows they can’t cause they are a mason.
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2022 6:15 am
by PookyTheMagicalBear
might have something to do with that fake track lol
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2022 6:20 am
by MathBlade
Or just the sheer arrogance.
Even if you didn’t have a fake track “but I am right” doesn’t convince anyone
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2022 6:36 am
by Ircher
In post 173, MathBlade wrote:Or just the sheer arrogance.
Even if you didn’t have a fake track “but I am right” doesn’t convince anyone
+1