I'd actually like to see how many people support this "easy" lynch.
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 4:17 pm
by the worst
Eeehhhh
Not really no
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 4:19 pm
by Shoshin
the worst, you don't want to lynch PP?
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 4:20 pm
by PenguinPower
In post 1498, Shoshin wrote:Because you're scummier than Nahdia, and your association to Nahdia has nothing to do with that.
Why am I? I'm waiting for your wall.
But, if you think that Nahdia is scum and confirms me being scum, it doesn't make sense for you not to vote Nahdia. You didn't say that the inverse means the same, so it leads me to believe you don't really mean what you say.
In post 1499, Shoshin wrote:I've caught up. There's plenty of discussion about other lynches, so I don't think you're an "easy" lynch by any means. There's been resistance to it, even if that resistance hasn't always been directly defensive of you.
I'm the leading wagon at L-2 that happened in less than 24 hours. I'm a hard lynch?
The rest of your posts are like...bad.
See...this is why I like wagons!
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 4:25 pm
by Shoshin
PP, if you don't want to die, convince me that someone else is scummier than you.
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 4:27 pm
by PenguinPower
I'm not really worried about your opinion or threats.
Why not answer my question or respond to my statements?
In post 1474, the worst wrote:hardcore not comfortable with this PP wagon but I'm not totally around enough right now to process why it feels wrong or where to go next. Agreed, please do not hammer this.
In post 1472, Taly wrote:I'm underaged in the US so I'm going to need some apple juice in order to think about PP's posts rn.
You total the amount of points each player received.
You total the amount of votes each player received. (Some players received more, by virtue of their scores being known or in my case, zeros and ones being doubled.)
You divide the amount of points each player received by the amount of votes each player received to get their average.
I'm not 100% certain this was the method utilized, but it is the method I'd most strongly suspect as it's simple and intuitive to handle.
I could see any combination of town-town, pun-pun, town-pun, or pun-town as possible. I can tell you on play I am not punreading MariaR, which would make it slightly more likely it's town-town or pun-town, but this is not locked in. Regardless of their alignment, however, correct play is to let both live and gather more results.
After all, if both are town then pun can't let both go unchecked.
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 5:53 pm
by Punreader
In post 1399, Vaxkiller wrote:@punreader
Whats your read on thebrawlguy/deasvail/theworst?
People seem to think that just because players have posted, the information from those new posts should always change a read. While that is certainly true of certain circumstances, you would be sorely mistaken if you thought that the content we have seen generated would shift any of my reads significantly as 90% of it is what I'd define as worthless.
My read on them hasn't changed, because nothing they have posted has shifted my stance on them since the last time I shared:
Since then, I have stated the worst is worthy of promotion to a six (light townread), but his position on the readslist doesn't shift at all even given that; he's still right between MariaR (originally Espeonage but Espeonage is promoted to ten on the grounds of being a cop innocent) and Fire Assassin.
The largest possible influence on my reads right now would be either a claim or a lynch; I don't foresee anything changing my stances aside from one of those two.
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 5:57 pm
by Punreader
In post 1454, ManWithNoName wrote:10. Srceenplay
10. Taly
10. TheBrawlGuy
9. Chara
8. Shoshin
7. The Worst
6. vaxkiller
6. Dunnstral
5. Fire Assassin
5. Nahdia
4. pine
4. pun reader
3. lovebird
2. nico
1. mariar
0. deasvail
0. espe
0. PP
I will compile this tomorrow and see how it alters the final scores.
I would like to state however:
In post 1455, ManWithNoName wrote:You know what, I've been thinking about it, and I cannot see a reason not to claim my role at this point.
I am Psyche, the message facilitator. During the night phase, I choose two people to get prompts to send a short message to each other along with the scores that they gave each other. Or, at least I'm pretty sure it's to each other, I'm still awaiting definite clarification on that aspect.
Both the people chosen by Screenplay last night are still alive, and I would have probably gone with one who was more likely to be voted out and one who was unlikely to be voted out, but that's just me.
This sounds like a punclaim to me.
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 6:01 pm
by Punreader
In post 1456, TehBrawlGuy wrote:It would almost definitely fail if I were mafia and boosted by my teammates.
We know the rankings given are fairly accurate to the scores we know; as a result, it can be deduced players were almost certainly honest about their rankings.
Thus, no player claimed to boost you that did not actually boost you.
It did not escape my attention how many players have boosted you and when I recompile the data tomorrow I'm going to be taking a look at precisely that.
With 15 alive, it takes 8 to achieve a majority.
Deadline in (expired on 2018-07-04 23:06:00)
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 11:08 pm
by ManWithNoName
I'm always confused by this, how is PP an "easy lynch" if it's taken over a week to get him to L-2?
Like, what is a hard lynch in people's books, then?
Posted: Wed Jun 27, 2018 11:14 pm
by the worst
let's do thisssssssss
scores are approximate since the double-weighted scores are not an exact doubling of themselves (evidenced by Pine's slot; to get his average he'd have needed a 0 from Reuben/Lovebird which we know is not correct).
even so these are probably close enough to the actual scores that I'm feeling comfortable.
Position
Name
Rank
1st
Chara
8.29
2nd
the worst
7.19
3rd
Taly
6.71
4th
TehBrawlGuy
6.29
5th
Dunnstral
6.25
6th
Punreader
6.06
7th
Nahdia
6.00
8th
DeasVail
5.56
9th
Espeonage
5.56
10th
Shoshin
5.44
11th
MariaR
5.38
12th
Pine
4.94
13th
ManWithNoName
4.75
14th
Fire Assassin
4.71
15th
Vaxkiller
4.13
16th
PenguinPower
4.06
17th
Lovebird
2.00
18th
NicoRobin
1.63
Spoiler: data tabled (more #aesthetic than useful but....fight me)
X axis : receiver of score
Y axis : giver of score