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Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:23 pm
by Ankamius
well the idea is that they're trying to get one scum townread enough to push for that
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:23 pm
by Alisae
Maybe GL will get that by the time he's finished reading
If not, guess I can drop some knowledge
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:24 pm
by GuiltyLion
eh actually it's probably just safe to go NSG/Alisae/Ank
but let me get a 4th cause I'm not sure about either RCE or Rui. is it bad that it might be insomnia lol
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:24 pm
by Ankamius
like that's what I'm paranoid of with insomnia
if he's trying to town up really hard to try to charisma his way to the AP...
I mean... I don't think he wins against both NSG and me in the AP, but it's the best gambit he can do to get a strong enough global townread to pull that off
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:25 pm
by Alisae
unfortunately
there isn't any scenareo where insomnia gets AP"d
except 1
but he's gonna have to work for it.
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:26 pm
by Alisae
also
in that scenareo
its 100% a town win
even if he's scum.
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:27 pm
by Ankamius
I believe so too, but what other options would he have lol
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:28 pm
by Ankamius
I really wish I had the opportunity to talk with NSG in real time this game
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:30 pm
by insomnia
Honestly, if we don’t send people because other people are more inclined to confbias someone, that’s their fault and not ours.
This logic is faulty for the simple reason that you are ignoring your town reads and you are forced to choose from a pool that you’re not fine with sending into the AP. Therefore, chances of sending scum increase by a bit.
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:31 pm
by insomnia
In post 1504, Alisae wrote:unfortunately
there isn't any scenareo where insomnia gets AP"d
except 1
but he's gonna have to work for it.
I’m lazy
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:31 pm
by GuiltyLion
i just hate this so much
like so so much
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:32 pm
by Ankamius
GL do you think NSG is locktown or close to it?
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:32 pm
by Alisae
I think I know enough RC to know why he would think that
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:32 pm
by GuiltyLion
In post 908, LabRat01 wrote:tbh I'm starting to think I should have just replaced out
you're toxic rc. I have my read, I cared to write it when I could have literally ignored the game and went away
don't just shit on it
you know how insomnia plays as scum, I do not believe you're not saying anything about it only becasue NSG doesn't agree
why aren't you TRing him?
VOTE: Ank
VOTE: Ank
VOTE: Ank
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:33 pm
by GuiltyLion
yes and that is in fact entirely independent of everyone else townreading her
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:34 pm
by Ankamius
:/
this game is so simple but it feels really difficult
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:34 pm
by insomnia
GL, everyone that was fine with sending RC on day one suddenly stopped believing that.
Nobody’s pushing an Alisae vote. The votes are set by scum and town in between Ankamius and Rui.
We’re being forced into a coin flip. Think outside the box.
RC has a beef with me and is always wrong on my alignment. I don’t know if that’s a good thing or a bad thing. He always ends up confbiasing me and therefore every person that defends me.
RC is honestly overrated.
You can’t solve games Day 1, that’s total bullshit
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:39 pm
by Alisae
In post 1516, insomnia wrote:GL, everyone that was fine with sending RC on day one suddenly stopped believing that.
Nobody’s pushing an Alisae vote. The votes are set by scum and town in between Ankamius and Rui.
We’re being forced into a coin flip. Think outside the box.
RC has a beef with me and is always wrong on my alignment. I don’t know if that’s a good thing or a bad thing. He always ends up confbiasing me and therefore every person that defends me.
RC is honestly overrated.
You can’t solve games Day 1, that’s total bullshit
I am so proud
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:47 pm
by GuiltyLion
actually this is simple
can we all agree
NSG/Ank/insomnia
or
NSG/Ank/Rui
is a lockwin, off the back of obvtown NSG/Ank with the extra info of everyone else's flips? even if one of insomnia/Rui is scum?
if that's the case we AP Ank and then AP whoever of insomnia/Rui doesn't get shot. we can vig Alisae or not, it doesn't matter, they'll flip on the 3rd AP regardless.
I'm p sure this is a solve.
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:49 pm
by GuiltyLion
in all likelihood the scum team is like roster/locke/DT or something and all this paranoia is for naught
but I'm extremely confident either combo of NSG/Ank/{insomnia+Rui} is either a straight up 3 town win or an easy win when the scum in LYLO is outed by flips
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:50 pm
by Ankamius
if NSG and I are BOTH town, then I think it literally doesn't matter who you send
I think it will be obvious to both of us that the other is town just from interacting in the AP
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:52 pm
by GuiltyLion
yes but what happens if we AP Alisae and you die
I'm not APing Rui in that world
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:52 pm
by Ankamius
:/
well fuck
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:53 pm
by insomnia
I don’t want to be sent. This AP is bad for the simple reason you have NSG and Ank as locktown.
If I’m sent and DT and Roster flip scum, it will heavily incriminate me and if the game goes to LyLo, I’m the easiest mislynch in history, probably won’t even end up in the AP and I get instantly hammered.
Posted: Fri Mar 29, 2019 8:54 pm
by GuiltyLion
In post 1520, Ankamius wrote:if NSG and I are BOTH town, then I think it literally doesn't matter who you send
I think it will be obvious to both of us that the other is town just from interacting in the AP
oh wait you're talking about who we send 3rd
yeah probably. NSG/Ank feels super good. NSG/Alisae does not, even if Alisae is like town 80% of the time here. they're the strongest scum player remaining and RC was as well. paranoia alone makes it better to just have them push the APs and they've already agreed you're obvtown as well
p-edit: insomnia who is scum in that world tho