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Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 7:28 pm
by Baby Spice
Fate wrote:Baby Spice, your unwillingness to take a stance on a very key issue that has come up greatly dismays me.

Must I remove that tentative town read I had on you earlier due to genuine posting?

I may need to. A sad day this is, that you will not comment on my case or move your vote from.... xvart or ask why,
lol, give me time, I had something rather large to read :)

Firstly, the Xvart vote is good, as he has some things that are hinky. Such as how he can only read two words in a three word sentence.

That said, I think that one has run it's course.
Unvote


Unfortunately I would tend to agree with TNM re Benmage, but I see a problem with Bencult having the cult killing you by ritual and having a different cultist claim the res kit, or Bentown tries to kill you, someone uses a res kit, and the cult decides to ritual as well. I cannot see an easy way to differentiate the two to deal with Ben on D2.

For preference, if we don't have definate cult to string up, I would prefer a probable future murderer to a possible cult, and I think Ben could be in either group. Benmage the murderer is a definate chance and Fate puts a good case for Benmage the cultist.

Vote Benmage

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 7:52 pm
by totallynotmafia
Fate wrote:The flaw with that plan is that it has me-Fate-dead, because it won't fail (due to cult Greater Ritual)

And without me, I do not trust the town to overcome their "but his Fate-stalk claim was so reckless and crazy it had to be town!" inhibitions, while the cult continue to push that angle slowly and manipulate the town from the shadows.

This is my calling. I have to see this lynch through while I'm alive.

Surely you can sympathize with my point of view right now.
Well I think you can forgive me for being sceptical when you've spent the entire game calling BM town, you've been one of the most vocal on the RC wagon, and now suddenly you're acting like you're on a mission from God to lynch BM and save the helpless town. Yeah, it just looks like you're trying to save your own arse. I guess that makes you less likely to be cult (unless this is some elaborate plan), but it makes you more likely in my eyes to be an investigator with a murderous plot that may soon be ruined by Benmage.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 8:09 pm
by SpyreX
FATTEEE

No. Come on now. He's not cult and you know it.

IF AFTER EVERYTHING SAID YOU BECOME THE DEAD WELL.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 8:35 pm
by Plum
MagnaofIllusion wrote:
On the Topic of Cult re the Furc Fiasco
– I’ve seen multiple people make statements that anyone who questioned Furc’s status as Investigator past Page 3 (or some other arbitrary point) and I disagree completely. Furc’s explanation for his actions and general play were scummy and obscuring regarding his alignment. I’m going to suggest what I always think in circumstances – you are more likely to find Cult hiding among those people who are steadfastly assured of Furc’s innocence immediately despite his play (even before rule changes and responses from Percy), since the Cult would know he is an Investigator. ReaperCharlie, VV and VP Baltar are players who come to mind immediately.
Yes and no. You'll be apt to find scum all along the continuum in that case. And hey, lemme ask, you call Furc's behavior scummy and then say that Cult know he's Investigator. So which is he, or what?
Seacore wrote:
Fate wrote:BECAUSE I AM AN EVILMASTERMIND THAT SCUM FEAR AND KILL N1.

*CACKLES*

NOW HURRY UP AND GET THIS WAGON OFF YOU SEACORE SO WE CAN MOVE ON TO SERIOUS BUSINESS.
I'm trying, but people seem to need more convincing. Maybe I should die and be revealled as town, then people will stop voting for me.

I'm going to move on to RC as well though, maybe a few more prods will actually get an answer to the question he's been dodging for a while.

UNVOTE: AV VOTE: RC
Another thing which doesn't make me reconsider my Seacore read. Vote on a wagon excused as vote for reactions (don't we teach people in Newbie games that if you say a vote is for reactions it loses it's effectiveness? Given that, why would Seacore say so if that was his intention?). And all of a sudden go to earnest defender/explainer of the wagon to SpyreX?
Seacore wrote:3) He asked a "confused" question about how cultists work that a) should have been easy to check by going to the OP and b)involved a level of ignorance that is unlikely. In short, he claimed to believe cultists could just do ritual like a normal mafia NK, that the fetish was unrelated. This doesn't explain why there was no night kill N0. It just doesn't add up.
Eh, this is a nulltell - or more accurately, unless we have more information we can't definitively say the ignorance was faked or scummy. The things I've seen people NOT fake are astounding. Please refer to zoroaster in /Invitational Pick Your Poison 5 for why I feel this, but. The best thing to do with this information is file it away in case we somehow get our hands on information which might shed light on it.

That said RC isn't being cooperative/behaving as he should for maximum pro-Town efficiency in response to the wagon on him.
AurorusVox wrote:I can see what you mean about ISO#38, but I disagree with your analysis of
why
ISO#46 is scummy. If his #46 has scummy motivations, I don't think it's what you're seeing, because he called Hito scummy for IMPLYING he wanted to volunteer rather than saying it explicitly himself, i.e. he's accusing Hito of trying to allow someone else to suggest it to avoid seeming suspicious. If it's scum motivated, then he's explicitly volunteering himself in order to not be accused of hypocrisy - he hasn't acted hypocritically.

I say "if it has" because I'm not sure how serious he was about putting himself forwards.

As for him being manipulative...now that you mention it, I'm worried that he got on board with my Baby Spice vote in order to manipulate me into thinking he was town. What I mean is, at the time, I was under a lot of pressure from SpyreX, and when RC said "this post is win" it made me pretty pleased that someone had seen something good that I had done and I hadn't considered that scum would do that (my thought being scum would fuel my mislynch). But if he's scum, then by that action alone, he definitely got me on his side until now.
You good, incisive, introspective Townie. We could use ten more like you. About VV's RC case I'm of two minds - on the one hand I agree with AV above, on the other I don't think that 'daring' to attack Hito is necessarily a good scum move, even (given that sticking with obvTown Hito is a good way to not rock the boat and to get associated with Hito in everyone's minds - there could be scum motivations thar too, of course, but not enough to go on as to which side of the spectrum it's coming from), on the other, yeah, it's weird and I'm not pleased he did that either. On the third hand, saying that VV was scummy for trying to cool down some of Furc's excessive spamming, no matter how obvTown Furc happen to be,
does
feel wrong.

Note to self: Don't forget to check back with Post1056.

MagnaofIllusion
please stop responding to anything about Furc being such a horrid VI that you wanted to off him immediately. Here's a question for you: why didn't you stalk him last Night, in that case, eh? In any case, you're wrong and I still find that initial play scummy. Thanks for reminding me.
MagnaofIllusion wrote:ISO 4 – What in the hell are you trying to say here? Back there I posited that Furc could be passing of his own crafting of a Fetish on El Goo (which would cause El Goo to hear noise) as a Ward (which would also cause El Goo to hear noise). You attack that states the Ward would prevent a Fetish is factually correct but doesn’t even apply to my argument.
In which case Furc just threw away his team's ability to off El Goosuki or throw their slot an extra Insanity because they CANNOT use that Fetish without proving that Furc was lying Cult (because you can't craft a Fetish of someone you have a Fetish of, so any Fetish sent or used to Ritual El Goos would
have
to originate with Furc-Cult per this theory). BRILLIANT explanation there.
Furcolow wrote:Plum - I figured she was town, but she is not taking control like i've seen her do as town
Some differences from the game you saw me in include the magnitude, speed, and density of this game, and also the fact that for part of last week I was concentrating on securing a scum win in a relatively stressful situation.

SpyreX, you worry me here.

RC is now being desperately anti-Town. Nice losing the mark of Townie there.

LB's catchup post is useless = bad news.

Trilo is also being stupid about Benmage even being a viable lynch from the trying-to-go-Murderer perspective. It's pretty clear that declaring you Stalked Night 1, and whom you stalked, is bad Murderer play and with relatively little Town power devoted to the project we can keep enough basic tabs on him to prevent this biting us in the back even if he would think to try anything funny.
Furpants_Tom wrote:Hey kunkstar7, what do you think of Plum?
Hell, what do
you
think of me???
MagnaofIllusion wrote:Trilobyte’s 1085 is my exact problem with Seacore. Advocating lynching someone who MIGHT be a murderer 5 days from now doesn’t seem like a very solid tactic.
It's a handy way to push true mislynches now, though. And if you could get away with using this as your scumhunting technique as scum (which certainly makes it easier because you can hunt without implicating your buddies while still doing some sincere hunting or whatever, if that's the way you work) and without getting undue attention/receiving mixed, not negative, reviews for it . . . why not? It's
inherently
in scum's best interest to press lynches on Investigators, likely or not to go Murderer, right now. Anything that can be a front for that is a potential scum tactic.
hitogoroshi wrote:
Seacore wrote:I think you'll find that's completely unacceptable.

Whether people believe you are town, investigator or whatever, enough people agree that your declaration of your night action so far has been unclear and hardly dependable.

On top of this, you want to not tell us what your insanity is? That is definitely unacceptable. You will openly declare which one it is, so we can track it.
What's unacceptable about the confirmed townie robbing graves? That's awesome and wonderful. Seacore, it really sounds like you're trying to call up a deep well of suspicion on Furc that doesn't exist. I don't like the weaselly "enough people agree that your declaration of your night action so far has been unclear and hardly dependable." Which people where? You're extremely careful to distance yourself from these views. "Hey, I'm fine with you robbing graves, but
I think you'll find
that
enough people agree...
". If you STILL want to call Furc cult or murderer, do so. If you don't, don't try to strong-arm him out of helping the town with vague references to some fierce
other
.

That being said, Furc, I am curious why you don't want to claim insanities. I'm cool with not getting insanities from you (and only you) but I'd at least like a reason.
THIS RIGHT HERE YO.
Feysal wrote:I've been thinking about Baby Spice and xvart. My reason is that they both claimed to have warded MoI, and I consider the odds of them both lying to be minimal. Ward would be dangerous to false claim unless you knew your claimed target was warded by someone else.
Exactly. Doubt they both lied, of course (that's one person they can't kill or send a Fetish to this game unless they want to implicate two members of the Cult) but the odds of
one of them lying
is worth considering, especially given that Ward is not an action a scumbag is likely to take (especially on an Investigator, but claiming on a Cultbuddy might have other bad implications for them) - but they'd probably want to avoid all the claimed Warders from Night 0 being Investigators - makes for bad news if we get to the point of process of elimination, you see. That's just one big red mark all over xvart, given he claimed Ward on MoI afterwards, but I'm going to hold out for a little more info until I can make a full analysis of the situation there. It's not worth acting on Day 1 when we can say things with a lot more certainty in a Day or two from now.
ArorusVox wrote:(a) some cult not fake-claiming ward on their craft fetish target
(b) some cult claiming to have heard noise when they didn't
(c) some wannabe murderers on the loose
Mostly (a) - again, Cult almost certainly want to avoid claiming Ward on their targets of Craft Fetish. Augmented by a little bit of (b) and (c).
hitogoroshi wrote:Curious what Plum thinks about the case on RC.
RC is playing too anti-Town for me and has been leaving a bad taste in my mouth, mostly for avoiding the questions aimed at him. The other arguments do little if anything for me; they're mostly nulltells as I see it. If I had a supercool alliance he'd be booted from it until he answered the questions properly and shaped up a little in the play-pro-Town department, then be kept on strict surveillance and scrutinized closely before being considered for reentry, if at all. In other words, I am unimpressed and he worries me - much the same way SpyreX worries me. But he's not among my top picks for scum.
Feysal wrote:This goes back to post #680 and the posts that follow. Plum mentioned two players warding the same target, but she was really vague about what she thought it meant. When asked whether it had something to do with Baby Spice, she said it was more likely to be the flip side. I've never seen her follow up on this, despite saying she would read on Baby Spice. Basically I wonder if she has been avoiding the subject. So, her early posts look very much town, but her continuing suspicion of Seacore looks bad. The thought of Baby Spice and Plum being cult together has crossed my mind. Baby Spice is definitely more suspicious, but if she turns out to be cult, Plum could well be another.
I meant that it had to do with Baby Spice and xvart claiming Ward on the same person - but that it implicated xvart a heck of a lot more because he claimed it miles after Baby Spice did. That's what I meant by the flip side.
ReaperCharlie wrote:... Apparently now you think that Seacore is town? And not just marginally town, but now a shining townie with a good case on somebody else? Someone you trust so thoroughly that you will now commence sheepage on his case without even doing your own ISO?
Oh READ, why don't you - AV was saying that surprisingly, despite his bad feelings towards Seacore, he found Seacore's summaries of &c. with your wagon enlightening. That's not scummy, having someone you suspect Day 1 say things you agree with despite your misgivings towards that player.

I keep confusing Trilobite and Triglav.

FOSes of any sort ping my scumdar. Soometimes it's meta null, but STILL dislike Furpants Tom going all 'well Imma do an ISO' on the RC wagon. Smells like something overcompensating on justification.

Feysal is scummy because he's churning out stuff without doing much . . . hunting. By page 55 he's still stuck on Baby Spice and me, for the mediocre reasons I addressed above - has nothing since then perturbed the fellow, or his he faking scumhunting? Hell, he doesn't vote for ages and ages, despite posting walls upon walls of text. Doesn't comment on the ongoing RC wagon even after it's summarized to him until he does an ISO quite a few posts later? This is just ringing alarm bells, you see.
totallynotmafia wrote:After reading the inital reasons for the wagon on RC I'm 50/50 as to whether he is scum or just lazy town making himself an easy target.
50/50 is pretty decent odds, you know. You have better odds on anyone else, or what?

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 8:38 pm
by Plum
tl;dr


People to keep an eye on

SpyreX
ReaperCharlie

People who are scummy

Feysal
xvart
MagnaofIllusion (MAYBE)
Seacore

People who are Town

hitogoroshi
Fate
Benmage
AurorusVox
VasudeVa (MAYBE)

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 8:39 pm
by Plum
Fate wrote:PLUM! You are still voting Seacore when you promised to not focus on him anymore, you scummy whore!
You have forfeited any claim you had (and make no mistake, you had it) to my sincere friendship.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 8:47 pm
by hitogoroshi
@Fate:
It's undeniable that there is a level of self-preservation in your case on Benmage. Separate the elements of personal survival from it. I don't want to know how good you think it is that he dies - I want to know how likely you think he is to be cult. Give me both an absolute value, and a value relative to ReaperCharlie. Don't lie.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 9:17 pm
by Benmage
Fate wrote:The flaw with that plan is that it has me-Fate-dead, because it won't fail (due to cult Greater Ritual)

And without me, I do not trust the town to overcome their "but his Fate-stalk claim was so reckless and crazy it had to be town!" inhibitions, while the cult continue to push that angle slowly and manipulate the town from the shadows.

This is my calling. I have to see this lynch through while I'm alive.

Surely you can sympathize with my point of view right now.
TLDR the case...so much AtE here.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 9:26 pm
by Benmage
*Yawn*...skimmed...entertaining tidbit Fate. I do appreciate it.

You know what will be the kicker..there will definitely be two kills tomorrow. Mine on fate and the cults...why would cult waste a nk?

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 9:31 pm
by Seacore
Benmage wrote:
You know what will be the kicker..there will definitely be two kills tomorrow. Mine on fate and the cults...why would cult waste a nk?
Then why do it?

As LB has said, you're not in danger of being lynched. If you want to make yourself confirmed town, stalk somebody you actually find scummy, rather than on a personal vendetta, and help the town while confirming yourself as an investigator.

Not to mention, wasting a day doing another stalk, a fantastic way to prove you aren't trying to go murderer.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 9:35 pm
by Benmage
A Fantastic way to gain a useless insanity. And when did I say Fate wasn't cult?

With that last case...are you fucking kidding me. Do you think that sort of mentality is beneficial to the town. You call my vandetta bad. What blindness does one need to pass off that rationale. For fucks sake.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 9:49 pm
by Seacore
You chose to gain that insanity when you stalked prior to obtaining any in game knowledge.

In short, that ship has sailed.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 9:51 pm
by AurorusVox
I don't have much time but I wanted to say this now in case I don't get on to post til Tuesday ><

Ben, you won't be confirmed tomorrow. The plan lies in tatters. Baby Spice of all people has voiced the major flaw;
Baby Spice wrote:I see a problem with Bencult having the cult killing you by ritual and having a different cultist claim the res kit, or Bentown tries to kill you, someone uses a res kit, and the cult decides to ritual as well. I cannot see an easy way to differentiate the two to deal with Ben on D2.
Maybe I can put this across clearer:

TownBen murders Fate - Cult rezzes Fate - Cult rituals Fate - Fate shows up as killed by an unspeakable being - Not confirmed
CultBen greater rituals Fate - Fate shows up as killed by an unspeakable being - Not confirmed

RE: Voting BenMage - I would advocate his lynch only if he insists on going through with the kill.

~Be back in a day or so.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 10:38 pm
by Baby Spice
Ben, I'd be happy if there were only two kills tommorow. After what I saw in the SA2 summary, and with more people in this game, especially with the number not commiting to a N0 action I worried there will be five or six.

AV, yeah that's clearer I think. Basically we run the risk of the cult screwing with the res in some way or another and stuffing any confirmation, and frankly I doubt that Ben is "town" in the first place.

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2010 10:54 pm
by Furpants_Tom
Plum wrote:Hell, what do
you
think of me???
I'm unsure, leaning towards town. Straight out of the box, you and hitogoroshi made a lot of player's pro-town lists. However, unlike hitogoroshi, I couldn't see, and can't subsequently find, any good reason for that in your case. Which, to my mind, probably means that you're town, and your reputation is strong enough that a number of scum have immediately targetted you as a potential buddy. If you were scum, they'd be a lot cagier about absolving you of cultic tendencies, I think. And once that kicked off, positive reinforcement and repetition pulled a lot of townies along for the ride.

On the other hand, I suppose it's possible that a whole stack of VIs decided you were town because they really wanted to believe a player of your caliber was on their team. But I really, really hope that's not so.

Re: the Ben/Fate fiasco

It doesn't matter what he promises, I think he's going to try and kill Fate tonight. So if we lynch BenMage:

1. We lynch a townie (I believe there's a 90% chance Ben is not cult)
2. Cult NKs a townie (barring medical intervention)
3. No-one is cleared.
4. Information about Ben/Fate's argument might be slightly more useful.

If we don't:

1. We may lynch either a townie or a cultist
2. Ben tries to murder Fate, and is blocked by a medkit (I would put my house on at least one player rezzing Fate tonight.)
3. Cult NKs a townie, who may or may not be Fate (barring medical intervention)
4. No-one is cleared if it is Fate. Ben is cleared if it isn't Fate, unless they're both sekrit scum.
5. Information about Ben/Fate's argument might be slightly more useful.

In scenario 1, there are two dead townies; and we know nothing extra about D1's shennanigans.
In scenario 2, there is at least one dead townie, but we may also catch a cultist, and an attempted murder DOES actually clear BenMage. We don't know that the cult has a fetish for Fate, after all; it might be unable to ritual him. And even if it does, that's their ritual, used up, so someone else gets to live.

Unless you really, truly, think BenMage is cult (or more likely to be cult than any other player), there's just no good reason to lynch him tonight.

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 12:41 am
by manho
unvote, vote: Benmage


don't want to catch up until the night...

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 12:46 am
by Seacore
I agree completely with Tom's points, with the following exception. An attempted murder does not clear Benmage, it confirms he's an investigator. But ignoring those semantics, the rest is true.

Benmage should not be the lynch tonight.

And Benmage should triple not kill Fate, because that's stupid.

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 12:51 am
by Seacore
wrong choice manho.

Even if you've decided to not catch up, explain why you are voting that way.

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 1:01 am
by Baby Spice
Furpants_Tom wrote:
Baby Spice wrote:I think the post was early on in the period I was off playing Bloodbowl :)
Playing Dwarves = Scum
Playing Goblins = Lying scum, actually playing Dwarves
Completely off toppic but would Furpantss Tom be an avid Sydney Swans supporter?

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 1:49 am
by Furpants_Tom
Right city; but not my code. Why do you ask?

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 2:02 am
by Wickedestjr
...actually. Forget what I said about Benmage robbing the grave. I now feel that Furcolow should do it. He is practically confirmed town and he has offered to do it. I see no reason for him not to rob graves.

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 2:42 am
by Wickedestjr
Vote: Seacore
Between him, ReaperCharlie, and xvart, I want to lynch Seacore the most. After thinking about the case some more and reading his defenses, ReaperCharlie is a very bad lynch. Seacore should die instead.

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 3:42 am
by Wraith
Benmage wrote:
Fate wrote:The flaw with that plan is that it has me-Fate-dead, because it won't fail (due to cult Greater Ritual)

And without me, I do not trust the town to overcome their "but his Fate-stalk claim was so reckless and crazy it had to be town!" inhibitions, while the cult continue to push that angle slowly and manipulate the town from the shadows.

This is my calling. I have to see this lynch through while I'm alive.

Surely you can sympathize with my point of view right now.
TLDR the case...so much AtE here.
Benmage wrote:*Yawn*...skimmed...entertaining tidbit Fate. I do appreciate it.

You know what will be the kicker..there will definitely be two kills tomorrow. Mine on fate and the cults...why would cult waste a nk?
Nice double deflection. I pose a few questions the town as whole:

1. Why, exactly, do think it is a good idea for Fate to die?
2. If, in a normal game, someone had claimed Vigilante Day 1 and decided to kill a townie who had done nothing scummy, would you let him do it?

And one to Benmage himself.

1. Can you name three things that Fate has done in this game that make him scum?

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 5:58 am
by Benmage
Baby Spice wrote:Ben, I'd be happy if there were only two kills tommorow. After what I saw in the SA2 summary, and with more people in this game, especially with the number not commiting to a N0 action I worried there will be five or six.
Hopefully people are smarter this go around.
Baby Spice wrote: AV, yeah that's clearer I think. Basically we run the risk of the cult screwing with the res in some way or another and stuffing any confirmation, and frankly I
doubt that Ben is "town" in the first place.
:lol: :lol:
Seacore wrote:You chose to gain that insanity when you stalked prior to obtaining any in game knowledge.

In short, that ship has sailed.
So in your view...2 wrongs make a right?
Wickedestjr wrote:...actually. Forget what I said about Benmage robbing the grave. I now feel that Furcolow should do it. He is practically confirmed town and he has offered to do it. I see no reason for him not to rob graves.
Furc is more confirmed than me?
Wraith wrote: 1. Why, exactly, do think it is a good idea for Fate to die?
2. If, in a normal game, someone had claimed Vigilante Day 1 and decided to kill a townie who had done nothing scummy, would you let him do it?

And one to Benmage himself.

1. Can you name three things that Fate has done in this game that make him scum?
1.Look at fates last case. Scummy as hell.
2. If it was a VI, hell yeah.

Special
1. Lied about his actions last night....or chose a ridiculously poor choice that is more likely a scum fakeclaim.
2. Poor reads.
3. Atrocious case on me.

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2010 7:10 am
by Lost Butterfly
xvart wrote: Because ScumDGB would never say in a Scum QT "LULZ @ REAPER, THE OBV TOWN DUE TO FRUSTRATION." And scum never talk about town people and why they look town to them to either exploit or garner support for some scum initiative?

In addition, your slot has never said the Reaper looked frustrated, so how can you apply that town motivation to him and to DGB's town read? How do you know that DBG isn't just pulling another blue sky read and there is actually some unmentioned and undescribed reasoning behind the town read?

None of DGB's post have given any indication of reasoning behind her RC read; and
the most concerning part is that you applied a motivation behind a read that neither you nor DGB ever said in the thread.


I honestly don't think I have the political clout to get you lynched today, but if there is enough interest the only person I am willing to lynch besides RC is you.

xvart.
this is awfully bad posting right here.