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Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:19 am
by Reality Check
honestly
the only reason I don't have joral locktowned is because he flaked and really just kind of petered out over time
his early posting was really really town
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:20 am
by Scioness Sajj
I don't think we are in a hammer range but
UNVOTE:
I will be here later today or tomorrow.
p.edit shoshin has recently registered so all her games are new
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:21 am
by Commander Shepard
In post 1575, Reality Check wrote:honestly
the only reason I don't have joral locktowned is because he flaked and really just kind of petered out over time
his early posting was really really town
How so?
If you are struggling to explain why find the post that town pinged you.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:22 am
by Commander Shepard
In post 1576, Scioness Sajj wrote:I don't think we are in a hammer range but
UNVOTE:
I will be here later today or tomorrow.
p.edit shoshin has recently registered so all her games are new
Please put your vote back on.
I wanna see what GiF was alluding to. It would help sort GiF. Based on the vote count from the mod it is unlikely a lynch is falling anywhere else.
That post gave me a light scum ping.
Are you under Reaper influence?
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:25 am
by Reality Check
nico (I assume) copped nancy and got town
nico independently is town because I find it very difficult to believe scum-her ever tries to provoke this slot as scum, that's tantamount to suicide
nancy I can understand that there's an internal thought process and I can tell there's attempts to solve the game throughout her posting despite agreeing with roughly 0% of it; it's the type of thing that I pick up on very easily and it's very difficult to fool me with that
scioness sajj is partly underground stuff, but I don't really want to go into the process of where I got this townread because it's the type of thing that's effective, but almost impossible to show why it's effective (aka people will just discount what I'm saying entirely if I go into it)
the worst similar to sajj, although the recent posting by him is starting to worry me a bit over time; it doesn't feel like necromancer-worst.
taly (varsoon never posted once) is a case of most of their ISO being null, but the parts that aren't look town. I also somewhat get the impression that some of the things he's been posting about and some of his stances don't quite fit a scum mindset. it's my weakest townread for sure, but I don't necessarily think it's wrong right now.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:31 am
by Commander Shepard
EDI says there are problems there.
Did Nico claim an investigative? Did they claim cop on nancy? You said an assume. Why would you out something like that? If they did there would be no assuming. If they didn’t why make it public knowledge?
Why would poking your slot be tantamount to suicide? I am seeing some things I find horrible right now. Hell I went on three suicidal missions and saved the universe each time so guess I like pain.
In order to sort your slot I must poke it.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:31 am
by Reality Check
In post 1577, Commander Shepard wrote: In post 1575, Reality Check wrote:honestly
the only reason I don't have joral locktowned is because he flaked and really just kind of petered out over time
his early posting was really really town
How so?
If you are struggling to explain why find the post that town pinged you.
his reaction to the votes on him, mainly
I don't think it's very common for people to be able to mimic the type of process behind it (namely the response + the general post trajectory), generally scum are either more one-dimensional or it feels a lot more fake than it did.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:33 am
by Reality Check
In post 1580, Commander Shepard wrote:EDI says there are problems there.
Did Nico claim an investigative? Did they claim cop on nancy? You said an assume. Why would you out something like that? If they did there would be no assuming. If they didn’t why make it public knowledge?
Why would poking your slot be tantamount to suicide? I am seeing some things I find horrible right now. Hell I went on three suicidal missions and saved the universe each time so guess I like pain.
In order to sort your slot I must poke it.
I mean nico outed an investigative innocent on nancy, I'm just assuming it's a cop action and not another investigative
Nico can't push this slot because:
1. Nico is very very very very weak at direct confrontations and handles pressure badly
2. mastina can read her very well
3. I've shown her before that I have a very high conviction as town
she wouldn't survive us turning on her like that
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:35 am
by Scioness Sajj
In post 1578, Commander Shepard wrote:Please put your vote back on.
I wanna see what GiF was alluding to. It would help sort GiF. Based on the vote count from the mod it is unlikely a lynch is falling anywhere else.
That post gave me a light scum ping.
Are you under Reaper influence?
I'd prefer to see Chickadee get to the thread before we move forward. My unvote has nothing to do with who's waggoned.
No clue what Reaper influence is, sorry.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:36 am
by Commander Shepard
Can you show me a mastina post? Good to know you’re a hydra.
And so you’re saying I should trust you.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:36 am
by Commander Shepard
In post 1583, Scioness Sajj wrote: In post 1578, Commander Shepard wrote:Please put your vote back on.
I wanna see what GiF was alluding to. It would help sort GiF. Based on the vote count from the mod it is unlikely a lynch is falling anywhere else.
That post gave me a light scum ping.
Are you under Reaper influence?
I'd prefer to see Chickadee get to the thread before we move forward. My unvote has nothing to do with who's waggoned.
No clue what Reaper influence is, sorry.
Reapers are scum.
That’s my way of asking your alignment.
Are you scum? Or are you town?
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:37 am
by Reality Check
like
she outright threatened to investigate us even after myself as well as two other slots in the game told her why it's a really bad idea (I can quote if I absolutely have to)
that is ballsy as fuck for scum-nico
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:37 am
by Reality Check
mastina hasn't posted since early in the game
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:38 am
by Commander Shepard
In post 1586, Reality Check wrote:like
she outright threatened to investigate us even after myself as well as two other slots in the game told her why it's a really bad idea (I can quote if I absolutely have to)
that is ballsy as fuck for scum-nico
Like you’ve already outed it might as well quote it.
I am not arguing she is scum. To the contrary. I am arguing why you would out the thought unless she claimed already. And if she did why would you assume?
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:39 am
by Reality Check
In post 68, Reality Check wrote:Eventually, you.
...Okay, that's probably not the funniest of jokes. Let me try again.
Knock, knock.
In post 113, Reality Check wrote:...Where?
I've been keeping my eye out for him, but I'm pretty sure he doesn't play mafia anymore......
In post 117, Reality Check wrote:Town.
In post 61, TehBrawlGuy wrote:It's a page 2 vote on two sentences of material, it's not exactly like I did detailed analysis. Looking back at it, it feels like it's trying to seem extra casual about the RVS votes. The OMGUS on Wheme looks worse, so #24's less relevant anyway.
Town?
In post 109, Reality Check wrote:I'll let mastina judge AA9's softclaim, she's far better at that sort of thing than I am.
For the record overall would have to have her as 'Town?', but would prefer more to place her there especially since I'm coming up one scum short.
Then again, most players haven't posted yet, so.
In post 119, Reality Check wrote:NOT CROSSREFERENCED WITH HYDRA PARTNER:
WhemeStar
NicoRobin
TPFKAP
Joral
Princess of Renais
TehBrawlGuy
ArcAngel9
Nancy Drew 39
Vartsun (Varsoon/Taly)
Riku
Scioness Sajj
The Worst
Shoshin
Something like this.
this is every mastina post iirc
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:40 am
by Reality Check
In post 812, NicoRobin wrote:Also, I am over the last day too. So anyone who wants to lynch Nancy will have to go through me first. So bring it on, nerdz.
In post 818, NicoRobin wrote:Then read 812 and read it between the lines. I won't talk to you till you do.
In post 831, NicoRobin wrote:Anyone who votes me or Nancy is scum. This ain't a bluff. I am a baby with power. You have been warned.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:41 am
by Scioness Sajj
Town
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:45 am
by Commander Shepard
Nico and Nancy are town. Cool.
You can go in my null pile. I have seen some town pings that outweigh my scum ones reality check.
Sajj is probably still scum though.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:48 am
by Reality Check
this is me going into why investigating this slot is bad
In post 965, Reality Check wrote:only if you make good investigates
speaking of which, don't ever investigate this slot
if we weren't already a mid-high priority NK, that would jump us straight to the top and that's outright TERRIBLE for town
(this slot will be obvtown eventually anyways)
In post 968, Reality Check wrote:ank-head is far more likely to be caught by play than mastina-head
fear as scum for me is more resistance to being manipulated effectively
In post 969, Reality Check wrote:
this is really important to my point, btw
either we get investigated and become obvtown immediately, which means we're pretty much guaranteed to die the next night
...or we only die after we become obvtown by play, which means we get more time to cause a lot of damage to the scumteam
In post 977, Reality Check wrote:I didn't tell you not to investigate us because we're town
I told you not to investigate us because it's bad for town
In post 979, Reality Check wrote:slots like Renais/TPFKAP are better investigates
partially because they're hard to read
but also partially because then everyone will shut up about them if they turn up town
In post 988, Reality Check wrote:yes, I'm saying you're looking at it from the wrong perspective, although that's understandable since I doubt you have seen mastina and myself in the same game before
the thing is, my strength revolves around how accurate a read I have on the gamestate and how scum are manipulating it; that's really all it takes for it to be close to inevitable that I'll have every scum caught.
mastina has seen this in effect, multiple times (even if it's rare I last long enough to see it through). When she sees I've hit that point,
she follows me and builds off of it
because every single time this has happened, town has been far better off for it.
so
if I'm on that track, then odds are good that I'll be consistently posting a lot throughout the rest of the game. It will be obvious this slot is town because our dynamic doesn't make any sense as scum
even if you believe we're scum, you'd have to consider what our plan is and whether it makes any sense with what's happening, because I guarantee that any scumteam in this playerlist with us in it either leads the whole group altogether or has a huge hand in it.
this is the worst going into why it is bad
In post 1027, the worst wrote:so Anka is good at town but (based on second hand meta) doesn't have a strong scum game. our interactions in the Underground have me reasonably comfortable townreading her and her posts here are making me more comfortable. if she is scum we will catch her later.
mastina is eh at town with currently sub par reads, and good at scum. if anka stops posting and Mastina starts posting and it's clear she's pushing an agenda we just lynch RC lol.
If she's scum we'll catch her.
if she's town she'll prolly be night killed before endgame.
it's better to throw investigations towards slots which are LESS likely to be NK'd, and slots which are more difficult to read. Taly's main strength is being able to force others to produce content, his reads are hit and miss but his scumplay is very difficult to tell from his town play. he's unlikely to eat a night kill, which means if he's scum we've caught a deepwolf and if he's town then we've probably locked in a lategame confirmed townie.
similar with Renais, and I wouldn't cop TPFKAP. if we hit like say 5p LyLo with conftown Renais, that removes the lynchbait from LyLo. and Renais is never getting NK'd hahaha
this is nancy not quite going into why it's bad but more saying it's not optimal
In post 1213, Nancy Drew 39 wrote: In post 1106, NicoRobin wrote:Bit let me also deliver an ultimatum. If I end up with a guilty on RC *the player, not the mod* lynch 'em without question. And if I die, treat it like it was a guilty.
While I vehemently disagree with Reality on Shoshin, I agree with them re: investigation. I respectfully but honestly don’t think it’s the best use of your ability. I think there are far bigger question marks in this game. I strongly advise you looking there first. However, I understand it’s ultimately your call to make.
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:51 am
by Reality Check
btw regarding 'the scum plan if we're scum' part
mastina is very good at creating plans as scum and creating situations that are better longer term for scum
I'm competent at reading the gamestate and can find good options to progress it along (I can prove this, I won corpse party as scum almost entirely through good nightkills), but I'm not necessarily the best at direct manipulation
I don't get the impression that most of the playerlist is at this caliber of scum manipulation or manipulation technique, so it's very very very likely that any scumteam that has this slot in it will be either led entirely by us or will have us as a big contributor
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:51 am
by Commander Shepard
I could definitely go for an investigate on Sajj or the worst.
I would prefer worst or Sajj. Reason being is in my skim there is not a lot of Shoshin love. So many that will figure itself out and people are more inclined to poke Shoshin.
They read like a flustered newbie. Then again I read like a spoiled teenager. What do I know?
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:54 am
by Commander Shepard
In post 1594, Reality Check wrote:btw regarding 'the scum plan if we're scum' part
mastina is very good at creating plans as scum and creating situations that are better longer term for scum
I'm competent at reading the gamestate and can find good options to progress it along (I can prove this, I won corpse party as scum almost entirely through good nightkills), but I'm not necessarily the best at direct manipulation
I don't get the impression that most of the playerlist is at this caliber of scum manipulation or manipulation technique, so it's very very very likely that any scumteam that has this slot in it will be either led entirely by us or will have us as a big contributor
Link to corpse party and a scum game of mastina’s please?
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:57 am
by Reality Check
I'll poke mastina about scumgames, she'd have a better idea of how to show my point better than I would I think
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.p ... rpse+party
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 6:01 am
by Commander Shepard
One last question before I go save the world from this maze:
GiF is scum yeah?
Posted: Sun Jun 17, 2018 6:02 am
by Reality Check
I think so yes