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Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:39 pm
by Galron
I'm really not happy about this, and I don't know how to approach it any other way.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:40 pm
by Lady Lambdadelta
In post 1599, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
In post 1581, Bowser Jr. wrote:I will continue to only complain about Galron being alive until he is limmed. Notty might be a better sport than me but I refuse to consider or engage in anything else until he is gone.

The fact that so many players are jumping through hoops to justify keeping a 95% guilty player alive is embarrassing and reminds me why I don’t play mafia anymore.

~Spiffy
You know what Spiffeh? I'm tired of being talked down to by people.

I am a better mafia player than you point blank and I am advocating for this half measure plan. Because it's optimally correct and forces scum into the most interesting positions.

Because it forces people to take stances pro/con galron instead of it being a clean sweep

because it means we get to find scum interactions that aren't just hopeless bussing and death, if Galron is scum. And if he's town, we get utility.

There is NO GOOD REASON to be against the play that WISDOM and I BOTH AGREE ON.

That is 2 very good players who rarely agree, agreeing. That should tell you something.

If you're tired of people playing optimally and looking for cool angles, I don't know what to tell you, but don't pretend this is some kind of "people are playing mafia poorly."

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:41 pm
by Lady Lambdadelta
In post 1596, Bowser Jr. wrote:LLD, please vote for Galron. If you fail to do so by the end of the Day phase, I will consider it a scum claim.

PEdit: @marci I am 95% sure Galron is scum based on all of the information provided today. I am not even close to like 50% sure about anyone else. Limming Galron here is a no brainer and the fact that getting votes on him is like pulling teeth is incredibly concerning and frustrating.

~Spiffy
Scumread me then motherfucker.

You're playing bully with ME. I fucking try to avoid this shit now a days, but let me remind you that I have NOT FUCKIGN FORGOTTEN HOW TO PLAY THREAD BULLY.

So calm the fuck down and talk to me, and treat me with some respect or we can see this game get really unfun really quick.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:42 pm
by Lady Lambdadelta
Because if there is one thing that is true about me? It's that I do not back down when people do this shit. It's a flaw of mine. I'm aware of it. I don't like it about myself.

But I am not the one, so do not try me.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:42 pm
by Off The Hook
In post 389, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 387, Pavowski wrote:
In post 364, WhemeStar wrote:Oh bowser isn’t gamma

WHOEVER BOWSER HEAD THIS IS WANNA HEAR A JOKE?
WhemeStar wrote:No the joke is your play this game

Boom. Roasted.

VOTE: skybird
What the hell is happening here.

Wheme wagon is faltering but I don't see why, the voting / posting pattern is weird af.

Granted I don't know Wheme. And maybe given his posts there's something mechanical happening here. But he's null at absolute best
Their lips art sewn so has't they decre'd. And yet, what is this? i sense not the tug of fate upon their words
seems like shading wheme for not having an evident PR despite having claimed one
In post 1070, Dunnstral wrote:If we are assuming Juliet is scum we should VOTE: Pavowski
pav is obvtown so this is a bad vote trying to tie obvtown to what I'm betting was a scumflip
In post 1103, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1085, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1080, Child of Fairies wrote:
In post 1069, Lukewarm wrote:That is a very very weak read on Dunn though. So if you got something more then "he hasn't done much" hit me with it
At this point it'd pretty much just be "put enough pressure on him that he actually does something", hence why I'd rather go with OtH.
It must be fun to grandstand rather than engage with me
When you've barely done anything yourself and you've somehow homed in on me despite LLD only voting so far.
In post 1025, Cephrir wrote:I was wondering who would rush to point that out.
Does this make you think anything
two problems with this, first is trying to allay suspicion onto LLD despite having vouched for LLD earlier in the post below
In post 552, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 460, Galron wrote:LLD hasn't made a post of substance yet. It's all been naked votes. If she's got a case to be made, she'll make it surely.
I doth not fav'r this
In post 477, Child of Fairies wrote:Just gonna claim now. I'm poisoned, I die at the end of night 3.
I doth not knoweth wherefore thee claim'd
and the second is him trying to nudge Cephrir into pushing us
In post 1355, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1353, Dunnstral wrote:You're right, probably better to elim me for no reason than to get the guy who visited the night kill
Literally no reason:
In post 1108, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
vote:Dunnstral
And "He hasn't done much":
In post 1066, Wisdom wrote:
In post 1063, GuiltyLion wrote:let's talk about who we want to elim today
Dunn maybe? He hasn't done much
bad reaction to getting voted imo
In post 1416, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1387, Titus wrote:VOTE: Dunn

I feel Galron is probably scum, but I agree with the mechanical call more.
Why are you voting for me?
cases are scummy
:D

-GE

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:44 pm
by Off The Hook
In post 1588, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 1580, Off The Hook wrote:https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=23&t=87781 - Chromatic Ascension, Dunn was Knight Beige
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=83&t=87638 - True Love
https://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=52&t=83971 - Forest Fire

some (semi-)recent samples of lurkscum Dunn
there could be others from games I didn't keep tabs on but it's hard to verify how his posting rate measures to each game without doing some fancy shit I lack the time for

-GE
I'm not lurking in the first 2 games, I'm town in the last game.
I can see that defense for CA but I call all the bullshit regarding True Love, your lover partner was probably the key reason you didn't get yeeted with extreme force that game.

-GE... AKA: BNUUY

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:46 pm
by Lady Lambdadelta
If you wanna talk about why I'm doing this, Spiffeh, go right ahead.

But you cannot lead a Galron death overtop of me this way. It literally won't happen. If you want a Galron death, you're gonna need to talk with me and get me to relent on my position.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:48 pm
by Galron

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:50 pm
by Galron
If Notsci thinks I'm scum, he and Spiffy are moving into my scum pile along with Pav and Dunn.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:51 pm
by Off The Hook
lol why is pav scum for you

-GE

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:51 pm
by Lady Lambdadelta
In post 1608, Galron wrote:If Notsci thinks I'm scum, he and Spiffy are moving into my scum pile along with Pav and Dunn.
Okay, if you don't want to die I'm going to need you to stop making really bad posts like this.

Cause another post like this and I'll just kill you myself and be damned the optimal play. Bowser Jr. is town.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:53 pm
by Galron
Bowser is making a really bad call here. Why should I relent even under threat?

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:53 pm
by Lady Lambdadelta
Like, Galron you need to understand something.

You're alive basically at my mercy right now. That means the moment you stop being useful, I'm murdering you.

Right now, you have role utility but also you have vote utility.

The minute you start making bad reads and suggesting you're gonna try and kill townies, you lose half your potential utility. Even if you're town and wrong, the needle starts to push too far past "is this worth it" when you do that.

So that's like, your warning.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:54 pm
by Bowser Jr.
A) cool beans
B) the only things from that game I remember was talking about ice cream, misplaying my role because I didn’t understand what Neapolitan did, and not killing hoopla when I knew I should have
C) it’s pretty obvious I’m disengaged
D) beetlejuice

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:54 pm
by Lady Lambdadelta
In post 1611, Galron wrote:Bowser is making a really bad call here. Why should I relent even under threat?
Because making bad calls, looking suspicious or trying to kill someone are not scum indicators all the time.

And if they were, you'd be dead right now.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:54 pm
by DeasVail
In post 1599, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:That is 2 very good players who rarely agree, agreeing. That should tell you something.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:55 pm
by Galron
In post 1609, Off The Hook wrote:lol why is pav scum for you

-GE
He's been under radar this entire phase while I've been put to the fire after he defended Juliet all day yesterday

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:55 pm
by Dunnstral
The problem LLD is that you acknowledge Galron is probably town but still want to eliminate me when I'm negative association with Galron. So you're playing for the 10% and not the 90%, and you don't seem to have a reason to be doing that or to think it's me.

I think Gamma's meta point backfired and he is arguing against himself.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:56 pm
by DeasVail
In post 1615, DeasVail wrote:
In post 1599, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:That is 2 very good players who rarely agree, agreeing. That should tell you something.
This post was meant to be accompanied by

"I can't handle this stroking of Wisdom's ego, but otherwise, good post.

Galron I thought you were only voting Dunn as the biggest counter, not due to Dunn being in your scumpile"

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:56 pm
by Galron
In post 1612, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:Like, Galron you need to understand something.

You're alive basically at my mercy right now. That means the moment you stop being useful, I'm murdering you.

Right now, you have role utility but also you have vote utility.

The minute you start making bad reads and suggesting you're gonna try and kill townies, you lose half your potential utility. Even if you're town and wrong, the needle starts to push too far past "is this worth it" when you do that.

So that's like, your warning.
If you want to kill me, do it. But I'm not going to stop speaking my mind. I'm tired of this bullshit being pushed around in every game I play.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:56 pm
by Bowser Jr.
@LLD the bottom line is that Galron is a sure thing as far as I'm concerned and I would match rather lim the sure thing now than later? From the scumteam perspective Galron is already a dead man walking and I don't believe we'll get any worthwhile reactions from them if we keep him alive.

Limming him now means he isn't given another chance to steal from anyone and stifling Town power. Limming him now means scum is forced to perform the kill with someone else giving GL a shot at tracking another team member to the nightkill. If he somehow flips Town here, we at the very least have a fullclear on Skybird. All of these things I find far more advantageous than any potential decisions or manufactured reactions scum will make about a player who's basically already caught.

~Spiffy

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:57 pm
by Galron
In post 1618, DeasVail wrote:
In post 1615, DeasVail wrote:
In post 1599, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:That is 2 very good players who rarely agree, agreeing. That should tell you something.
This post was meant to be accompanied by

"I can't handle this stroking of Wisdom's ego, but otherwise, good post.

Galron I thought you were only voting Dunn as the biggest counter, not due to Dunn being in your scumpile"
If you'd read my posts you'd see that is a false statement.

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:57 pm
by Off The Hook
galron whyd u pick rosencrantz

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:58 pm
by Off The Hook
In post 1616, Galron wrote:
In post 1609, Off The Hook wrote:lol why is pav scum for you

-GE
He's been under radar this entire phase while I've been put to the fire after he defended Juliet all day yesterday
lol are you scum with dunnstral?
I kinda felt like his number of interactions with you this phase has been possibly indicative of distancing
and pav is obvtown imo

-GE

Posted: Tue Nov 09, 2021 3:59 pm
by Lukewarm
In post 1580, Off The Hook wrote:it's hard to verify how his posting rate measures to each game without doing some fancy shit I lack the time for
I did fancy shit because why not?

Spoiler:
Image

So, I ran all three games that you linked as well as every game that I can remember playing with Dunn through the spread sheet. Calculated Dunn's percentage of all posts made day 1 compared to how many players were in the game, then did conditional formatting to color his higher post rate games green. (because you are positing that lurk dunn = scum dunn) to then see if there is any corrolation.

The conditional formatting guessed incorrectly 4 times, got it right 1 time, and then it did not give a result on his middle of the road game.


If anything, this is wrong more then it is right, and lurk Dunn = town Dunn.