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Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 12:41 pm
by Firebringer
In post 1624, popopopopopopo wrote:these 2 lynches have been super disheartening. none of the 3 wagons day 1 were on scum. im p much completely lost. i dont even have a solid townread to sheep.
just sheep nero, he has a green role pm. He just told us so.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 12:42 pm
by popopopopopopo
In post 1601, Churros wrote:Norwe, who I targeted is a secret for now.
dont u literally just give someone fruit?

alchemist said he didnt get fruit. did anyone get fruit tonight?

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 12:43 pm
by Churros
why am I not a town read for those that don't TR me?

I'm puzzled, it may be arrogant but I feel my ISO is very transparent this game

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 12:45 pm
by popopopopopopo
vote:churros


its been 2 nights of fruit vending and no1 has confirmed

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 12:45 pm
by Firebringer
i want the person who killed Luna to come forward and confess their crimes before the court.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 12:53 pm
by Churros
I feel Zantetsu is probably only mafia if Fire is as well, I guess?

Hmm.

Don't ask me why atm.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:07 pm
by Churros
This game is no good... I can't make sense of it without adding some WIFOM, a traitor or something more weird.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:12 pm
by Alchemist21
In post 1622, Firebringer wrote:alchemist why did u kill Elements!?!?!?!?
Elements is not the type of kill I would make barring a PR read and there’s nothing in his posts to indicate he was a PR. I would have killed someone more vocal.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:14 pm
by Alchemist21
In post 1628, popopopopopopo wrote:
vote:churros


its been 2 nights of fruit vending and no1 has confirmed
Not everyone has posted today. This is rushed.

VOTE: Popo

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:16 pm
by Churros
I feel there's two possibilities, mostly:

1) he was killed as a bit of a random kill for WIFOM or maybe "well he can be a PR maybe". Mostly random

2) He was killed because all other vocal players had reasons to be left alive

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:26 pm
by Churros
There's gotta be at least one scum in [Zantetsu, Fire, Nero, Alch]

the question is who

I'm not that convinced it's simply alch.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:36 pm
by Churros
mafia!Fire probably wouldn't say to mercy kill Zantetsu in thread only to not follow it in my opinion

It could be a LAMIST attempt but I feel Fire is the kind to mercy kill people, therefore the reason he wouldn't kill Zantetsu here in my opinion is if he's traitor and has no word on NK, or if he's partners with Zantetsu. I could see him mercy killing Luna but I feel it would be more unlikely for him to talk about NK'ing Zant here if he could choose it himself.

Therefore for me, at the moment, Fire is redudant out of that pool.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:37 pm
by Churros
Therefore, I would say at least one in [Alch, Zantetsu, Nero]

That Elements night kill doesn't glue together for me in a team where everyone was getting roasted fairly

I feel maybe most vocal voices either had wrong reads or were defending scum for that night kill to happen.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:42 pm
by Zantetsu
I think the mason(s) need to claim today. Because if this goes to LYLO tomorrow, and they haven't claimed yet, then this gives scum an opportunity to counter claim the mason claim in LYLO, which would be bad because it gives scum an option that might be better for them than not having that option.

Similarly, if we get a scum to L-1 today, then they can claim mason which then gives them a possible out.

Mason(s) need to claim now. Unless there is some aspect to this that I haven't thought of. In which case please enlighten me.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:45 pm
by Churros
If the masons didn't crumb they should claim today

if they did crumb maybe it would be fine to let it go unclaimed.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:49 pm
by Zantetsu
Actually I agree with that. That is a good point, although I worry that scum crumbed mason also knowing that they might want to counter claim.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:51 pm
by Churros
Yeah

I don't buy that there was [Alch, Nero, Zantetsu], all strongly town read in Day 1, and they go to kill Elems.

I don't sense anyone other than Fire/Saudade doing that and...it doesn't feels right.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:53 pm
by Churros
They also started off killing Luna by the people in the consensus "town block", one of the most suspected slots out of it.

It doesn't feel right.

scum!popop would have killed town!nero here already if he was really scum without being partners, I feel.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 1:56 pm
by Zantetsu
In post 1628, popopopopopopo wrote:
vote:churros


its been 2 nights of fruit vending and no1 has confirmed
This is very premature.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 2:01 pm
by Churros
I"m going to make a hypothesis considering some night kill options if the following slots are town

I feel the night kill believable targets in N1 were [Luna, Churros, Alch, Nero, Zantetsu]. Maybe Fire but that's more of a "if" given that he was suspected a bit.

Why not kill Luna? She is already confirmed town. They didn't seem to have urgency/much benefit on killing her if that's the case.

Why not kill me? I had my eyes a bit set on Norwe/Profi, and I was defending Alch. I was pretty town read as well, I feel.

Why not kill Alch? He was mostly town read in D1, but he was set on Peter, which was a mislynch now we know.

Why not kill Nero? He was set on popop and town read by everyone.

Why not kill Zantetsu? He was slightly town read in day 1. Not a bad kill although I don't see special reason to kill him I guess?

above, those were the most vocal/trusted players in D1. Why they weren't NK'd instead of...Elems is a big question.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 2:04 pm
by Churros
It may be egocentric of me as well but I feel if my reads were slightly decent, Zantetsu would probably suggest killing me instead of a random elems kill if he was scum.

He probably has the wrong impression of my town game and would probably overstimate my ability unless I was being pro-scum, which means if Zantetsu is scum, either Alch or Popop is a partner. I feel you can really trust this argument?

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 2:05 pm
by Zantetsu
In post 1593, Churros wrote: the real alarm is Elems being the NK day 1 and if they knew he was a mason, they probably would know his partner/partners if he ever did crumb (I really think he died so early he may not have crumbed properly which only adds to say he was NK'd for other reasons).
I looked very, very hard for a crumb from Elements. But I saw nothing. It would astound me if he crumbed.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 2:08 pm
by Churros
This was probably the post which made mafia feel like "maybe he's a PR, no baddie killing him"?

I feel that's the most likely version of this history. They weren't pressed and killed someone which made a single post which could be confused with a vigilante or something.

Either this or it was a completely random/minor reason kill.
In post 649, Elements wrote:
In post 628, profii wrote:Intent to hammer. Please claim
I second this intent so it will be a hammer even if jake unvotes.
Also if we have a vig can they shoot peter?

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 2:13 pm
by Zantetsu
In post 1647, Churros wrote:This was probably the post which made mafia feel like "maybe he's a PR, no baddie killing him"?

I feel that's the most likely version of this history. They weren't pressed and killed someone which made a single post which could be confused with a vigilante or something.

Either this or it was a completely random/minor reason kill.
In post 649, Elements wrote:
In post 628, profii wrote:Intent to hammer. Please claim
I second this intent so it will be a hammer even if jake unvotes.
Also if we have a vig can they shoot peter?
I think it's almost impossible to out from under a mountain of WIFOM when trying to figure out the Elements kill, but if there was any explanation that made sense, I think it is what you said: Elements was killed because scum had no highly preferred target and Elements request for a vig to kill Peter suggested he might be a vig trying to pretend he wasn't.

Posted: Tue May 12, 2020 2:15 pm
by Churros
I feel that if it was Popop/Zantetsu, or scum!Popop with both [Nero/Alch] town, they probably kill Nero here rather than Luna, which was suspected a bit.

I feel there's a very low chance we lose here by lynching [Nero/Alch]...

Dunno.