Mafiascum.net

In post 1647, MathBlade wrote:Why are you making the assumptions you have above?

In post 1650, T3 wrote:My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

In post 1651, Almost50 wrote:

In post 1647, MathBlade wrote:Why are you making the assumptions you have above?

1- Because I can
2- Because otherwise I'd have nothing to use but "gut" and "feelings" and you know how I hate those for scumhunting tools

In post 1648, MathBlade wrote:This is the grouping for group two.

In post 1650, T3 wrote:My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

In post 1654, Almost50 wrote:

In post 1648, MathBlade wrote:This is the grouping for group two.

You mean DAY TWO. Now, check that again. OBVIOULSY the 4 not in G1 are treestumps. G1 completely controls the elimination and these 4 do not influence the wagon in the least. It makes no sense to have more than 1 scum treestumped (tips off the scales towards town unnaturally, because the scum team is still alive in full, i.e. would be unfair). It makes no sense to have all 4 scums in the group of 13 either because that would be giving Scum more weight that they actually have (they should be 4 in 17, so why treestump 4 townies and nake them 4 on 13?)

So, logically (which this game isn't) the correct choice is 3 in 13 and 1 treestump in 4 (the exact NORMAL distribution)

In post 1653, MathBlade wrote:How does your VCA change if Mozamis is scum?
If Mozamis is town?

In post 1657, Almost50 wrote:

In post 1653, MathBlade wrote:How does your VCA change if Mozamis is scum?
If Mozamis is town?

I already established why I though he was Town.

IF he is scum though, I haven't done the work yet.

Also, you don't really want to rely on MY VCA. I do strange stuff and have no solid rules for it. It's unauthentic at best.

In post 1656, MathBlade wrote:Until we see a scum flip somewhere that supports your theory I don’t think that’s a valid assumption to make.

In post 1652, MathBlade wrote:

In post 1650, T3 wrote:My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

Random post here.
I disagree I don’t think that’s the case.
I think if this were true someone would have been claiming mail each day.
Has someone claimed receiving mail? I don’t remember this in my skim but maybe I missed it.

In post 1659, Almost50 wrote:

In post 1656, MathBlade wrote:Until we see a scum flip somewhere that supports your theory I don’t think that’s a valid assumption to make.

You won't get "a scum flip somewhere that supports your theory" unless you do eliminate in my pool though.

In post 1658, MathBlade wrote:I am using it to sort you

In post 1660, T3 wrote:

In post 1652, MathBlade wrote:

In post 1650, T3 wrote:My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

Random post here.
I disagree I don’t think that’s the case.
I think if this were true someone would have been claiming mail each day.
Has someone claimed receiving mail? I don’t remember this in my skim but maybe I missed it.

Anya claimed mailman, mastina got a message not from either of them, Mom was also a mailman

In post 1662, MathBlade wrote:Correct. It’s more your theory is one that’s really unfalsifiable and I hate those.
We could elim everyone off group to see if you’re right but I don’t think that’s smart strategically.
Having a foundation that’s an unfalsifiable assumption is bad.

In post 1663, Almost50 wrote:

In post 1658, MathBlade wrote:I am using it to sort you

You don't need to. You're either Town and should take it on faith that I am, or you're scum and

know

that I'm Town. My theory assumes you're Town (actually it doesn't. It

leads to the conclusion

that you are, based on other assumptions). Do you disagree??

In post 1666, Almost50 wrote:

In post 1662, MathBlade wrote:Correct. It’s more your theory is one that’s really unfalsifiable and I hate those.
We could elim everyone off group to see if you’re right but I don’t think that’s smart strategically.
Having a foundation that’s an unfalsifiable assumption is bad.

On contrary, it only takes ONE bad result to prove it wrong. You should support my elimination pool until we get a green flip in it. If one flips green THEN I'm proven wrong.

In other words; you do get a scum flip or prove me wrong TODAY. It's not THAT bad if you look at the other options.

In post 702, mastina wrote:

In post 684, Tsutsu wrote:

In post 682, mastina wrote:For the record her dying message to me (at least I am assuming it was from her) said that you were town. <3

Oh how interesting.
VOTE: Mastina
She targeted me last night

Well, last night, I was targeted by a mailman. They said they were a town odd-night combined mailman alien, that I was both roleblocked and rolestopped. (They apologized for blocking my actions, which is unfortunate, because I did use an action last night--ironically enough, *I* targeted *you*.) They then said they didn't have much more to say, other than townreading you, thinking I am town, and wanting thoughts on Auro; they gave me a code word to confirm it was from them. They also specified a way beyond the code word to reveal to me.

But I assumed it was from Momrangal doing a gambit, that she lied about being odd-night alien with her really being a jailkeeper and that the message originated from her.

I suppose my assumption could've been wrong, but I very much did receive a message with the above as the contents of it and it at least somewhat checks out since I know for a fact that my action on you failed.

In post 1668, MathBlade wrote:

In post 1666, Almost50 wrote:

In post 1662, MathBlade wrote:Correct. It’s more your theory is one that’s really unfalsifiable and I hate those.
We could elim everyone off group to see if you’re right but I don’t think that’s smart strategically.
Having a foundation that’s an unfalsifiable assumption is bad.

On contrary, it only takes ONE bad result to prove it wrong. You should support my elimination pool until we get a green flip in it. If one flips green THEN I'm proven wrong.

In other words; you do get a scum flip or prove me wrong TODAY. It's not THAT bad if you look at the other options.

Uhm I don’t see how?

We would need 2+ scum in treestumps or none to invalidate your claim of 1 scum in the tree stumps.
Can you try again in a different way?

In post 1650, T3 wrote:My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

In post 1652, MathBlade wrote:

In post 1650, T3 wrote:My theory was that all prs are mailmen.

Random post here.
I disagree I don’t think that’s the case.
I think if this were true someone would have been claiming mail each day.
Has someone claimed receiving mail? I don’t remember this in my skim but maybe I missed it.

In post 1664, T3 wrote:I'm going to reread to see if I can get more reads.

In post 1669, MathBlade wrote:

In post 702, mastina wrote:

In post 684, Tsutsu wrote:

In post 682, mastina wrote:For the record her dying message to me (at least I am assuming it was from her) said that you were town. <3

Oh how interesting.
VOTE: Mastina
She targeted me last night

Well, last night, I was targeted by a mailman. They said they were a town odd-night combined mailman alien, that I was both roleblocked and rolestopped. (They apologized for blocking my actions, which is unfortunate, because I did use an action last night--ironically enough, *I* targeted *you*.) They then said they didn't have much more to say, other than townreading you, thinking I am town, and wanting thoughts on Auro; they gave me a code word to confirm it was from them. They also specified a way beyond the code word to reveal to me.

But I assumed it was from Momrangal doing a gambit, that she lied about being odd-night alien with her really being a jailkeeper and that the message originated from her.

I suppose my assumption could've been wrong, but I very much did receive a message with the above as the contents of it and it at least somewhat checks out since I know for a fact that my action on you failed.

Did a search for mailman to try to find Anya’s claim.

I still don’t find it and if someone could be a doll and help me out that would be awesome.

Mastina v Tsu seems to be a thing

It’s likely with the mason claim Mom visited Mastina and blocked her
Did we find out why Tsu thought Mom visited them?