Fake Tanner scum read that he uses to base all his other reads on.
Big surprise the read on imaginality read is a pile gray, formless porridge, while he shades me to he'll without having the guts to call me scum definitively.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:14 am
by VP Baltar
If I had any advice for the scum team this game, it is don't do giant reads lists people can refer back to after your flip is known.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:16 am
by VP Baltar
In post 452, Lukewarm wrote:[/u]Reread verdict if there is no swap[/u]
Of these three, I think that DArby and numberQ end up cross voting and Toog decides.
I don't know how one even decides here tho...
Need to THONK if Luke would just open wolf on the least clear game and try to get his buddy deciding power though.
why didn't you provide commentary and what did you want to say?
I was going to say at that point that Luke and Pav should cross vote with ari deciding, but that actually would have been pointless because Luke could have self hammered.
I don't think we took into account how fucking crazy the voting in the Keep is.
The reason I didn't say anything at that point is because I didn't want to influence the outcome of the game, or give someone an excuse if something shady went down. I figured town gets the most information when the action plays out purely with the players involved at that point.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 3:28 am
by VP Baltar
In post 1680, VP Baltar wrote:I don't think we took into account how fucking crazy the voting in the Keep is.
Seeing it play out, keep actually almost requires the two town to read each other correctly to win. That or scum voting town for some reason.
On paper it seems like the odds are 67%, but in reality they are much lower.
In post 189, Aristeia wrote:btw who are we liking for the 3 scummiest thrown into Gate?
I think rn my too early list is:
1. numberQ
4. imaginality
6. Toogeloo
Do you have reasons for these, outside of post count? I have had no thoughts on either numberQ or imaginality, which is kind of a bad sign, but Toog I like Toog
This is actually a very interesting post combined with my read of imaginality's list. Scum luke is coming in to try and subtly flag off Ari's idea of putting scum imaginality with scum!NQ together if I'm right.
also, i'm probably getting tunnelled, but i think i unironically want imaginality and baltar at the same location. these interactions bug me.
I liked his entry about being willing to float where ever for the games, when I would expect scum to be wanting to have some control over it. I also noticed that he did not lock into the keep, even through I kinda invited him to twice. And atm I am leaning town on Ari, so I would expect a scum player to be almost looking for a reason to take that last slot in the keep, and he just ignored me - both times lol. That would have been pretty good cover for him too I think, he already said he didn't care where he went, so he could just say he was following my suggestion. So unless I am just wrong on Ari, that is a pretty good +town for Toog imo.
I have also seen Toog get scum read for lower content, but I think that is just how he plays, so I was hoping Ari would tell me if they had suspicion for anything more then that.
Also, like, is this a post you'd make about your scumbuddy? Or rather, would you flat out invite your scumbuddy to the same game as you twice so they have to say no?
These seem like negative associatives with the RH9/toog slot.
In post 463, Pavowski wrote:We don't have to get scum here, we just have to find town. This is easy and makes me think even more that Luke is scum, because I know he thinks (knows) he can look townier than me.
?
If you think Luke is scum why wouldn't you just vote for me?
Imaginality, what was the purpose of this question?
I feel like the answer was fairly clear given Ari's stances - They should never want themselves to get vote power, that is anti win con, and then they said that they thought I was town.
I guess, my point more is, why are you asking Ari this instead of talking about who
You
think should have the vote power?
This is classic scum softball theater.
What is the purpose of this question! Look how hard I'm being on you without actually being hard on you!
In post 539, imaginality wrote:Why did you shift from your 2-1-0 view to your 1-1-1 view?
My original assumption was it was all town at your location. The fact that no one shifted from there LEDs me to the more likely scenario of 1/1/1
you thought all three of imaginality, baltar, and tanner were town?
This also seems like an unlikely post if this is the team. What is the likelihood that scumLuke sees scumImaginality questioning scum!Toog and decides to jump in on it rather than let scumImaginality do his thing?
Again, feels like a negative associative for RH9 here.
If you compare how Luke questions imaginality throughout the game to how he is questioning me (example, busting my chops over trying to claim town cred for proposing the sort), I think it is blatantly obvious who Luke is buddies with. There's no pressing on imaginality to try and expose contradictions or trip him up.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 5:42 am
by VP Baltar
Ok, I'm going to step back now.
It'd be cool if implo/RH9/numberQ had some thoughts on what the Luke flip means for their game.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 5:44 am
by Tanner
baltar, do you have an opinion on why luke decided to brute force the keep to flip first
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 5:45 am
by VP Baltar
In post 1635, implosion wrote:Is this whole VP-is-better-than-imag-at-1v1s thing like, public knowledge that I just didn't know or what.
I have no idea why Ari thinks this. I'm definitely not the type of player to ever quit a game, even if my odds of winning don't look good. So maybe that's what she means. I've never 1v1'ed imaginality, so I don't think there is any actual evidence I'm "better" than him at it.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 5:47 am
by VP Baltar
In post 1688, Tanner wrote:baltar, do you have an opinion on why luke decided to brute force the keep to flip first
A complete guess would be that he was trying to vote/unvote fast and lost on the draw? IDK, that's the only thing I could think of last night. It seemed rather silly. If I was scum in his situation, I would have just been patient. It seemed like Ari was going to pick him over Pav eventually. Maybe he just felt pressure to move because I was kind of hyping them to hurry up and do something? Definitely seemed like a mistake from my perspective.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 6:09 am
by Tanner
In post 1680, VP Baltar wrote:I was going to say at that point that Luke and Pav should cross vote with ari deciding, but that actually would have been pointless because Luke could have self hammered.
i still find it kinda wild that apparently, even after being in day 2 for like... 5? days? you still thought there's gonna be a cross-vote rather than someone self-hammering as soon as they get the chance.
like, i can't even say that this is ai, but like.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 6:21 am
by Prism
Note that today is New Year's Eve, and prod timers will be paused for the day. In accordance, numberQ has not yet been prodded.
I hope you all have had a great year to look back on, and have an even better one to look forward to. Enjoy the holiday!
In post 1680, VP Baltar wrote:I was going to say at that point that Luke and Pav should cross vote with ari deciding, but that actually would have been pointless because Luke could have self hammered.
i still find it kinda wild that apparently, even after being in day 2 for like... 5? days? you still thought there's gonna be a cross-vote rather than someone self-hammering as soon as they get the chance.
like, i can't even say that this is ai, but like.
The amount of thought I put into the other games is very small. Ultimately, I don't have control over those. All I have to do to fulfill my win condition is show my towniness to you.
This isn't really the type of game I would have joined on my own because I don't care for mech heavy games too much, but you're here and so are other fun people.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 6:46 am
by Tanner
okay, i'm up to page 33 in my reread, and my current solve is "waiting for rh9 and numberq to do some goddamn analysis now that we have a scumflip so that i don't have to. and possibly bully implo into doing more"
my new year's eve >_>
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 7:07 am
by VP Baltar
Just hammer and this game is over. You stress yourself out so much
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 7:09 am
by Tanner
why does imaginality ic me when i said i'm scumreading him and townreading you? like i realize i fucked up massively on d1 by actually talking about it but why does he do that?
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 7:36 am
by numberQ
jfc. I'm like 30 pages behind. I see there was a flip so today I'm going to try and at least look at associations before my NYE plans this evening. Sorry for the total lack of engagement on my end, just didn't expect this week to be so difficult for me to play in a fast paced game like this.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 7:45 am
by VP Baltar
In post 1696, Tanner wrote:why does imaginality ic me when i said i'm scumreading him and townreading you? like i realize i fucked up massively on d1 by actually talking about it but why does he do that?
My pet theory is the scum were boned by the player slottings. Implo is probably town and needed to be swapped with someone Luke stood a better chance against, so they couldn't switch at the gate. Our game had you leaning more town on me, and me saying I can definitely town read you. The IC choice would be a gamble either way. You're a more thorough player than me, but also much more paranoid. There's maybe some wiggle room there you make the wrong call through overthinking it. If I'm IC, there's a good chance I just get stubborn with a townread on you and refuse to change it.
Posted: Fri Dec 31, 2021 7:46 am
by VP Baltar
In post 1697, numberQ wrote:jfc. I'm like 30 pages behind. I see there was a flip so today I'm going to try and at least look at associations before my NYE plans this evening. Sorry for the total lack of engagement on my end, just didn't expect this week to be so difficult for me to play in a fast paced game like this.
If Luke is scum at the Keep, _____ is scum at the Wall.