Mafiascum.net

I'm gonna go ahead and make the executive decision that we jail Maenara in the case UCT (who given today's contributions should be lynched before NS) flips scum.

p-edit -- penguin, I don't think NS is scum with Uct which is why I don't think that's a good plan.

p-p-edit -- I don't see any towntells in Maenara's post here that makes me change my mind on the target.

p-p-p-edit: fuck it i'm posting this.

If anyone thinks this is absolutely unacceptable I wanna hear about it now -- otherwise we need to stick to this plan.

Oh, if UCT flips town, JK needs to make it slightly higher than a 50% chance they jail Majiffy. like 60/40.

Or like 100/0, so scum doesn't exploit them getting clever. It's like, almost always the case when people gamble, the doctor/jk goes "Oh, I'll just let them think I'll protect", scum sees through it, and woops, dead cop on N1.

Let's not do that.

what?

scum can't "see through" the numbers. They're taking a risk no matter who they target, and I'm aiming to maximize that risk.

Yeah, but you're unlikely to persuade whoever is the JK to run a RNG, and people way too bloody often try to get clever. Meh, doesn't matter too much, just make sure the confirmed townie stays alive 'till tomorrow. Well, and beyond, but you know what I mean.

I'm not asking them to like it, I'm asking them to do it.

2 pages of posts in 3 hours, let me read hold on.

I don't think this works as well as you think if you're assigning %s to who to jail. With multiple scum out there, you should have the JK/doc free-roam and force scum to try to avoid the saving-throws.

Yeah we're doing what I said to do.

No one's suggesting we nail down the doctor and the JK if we end the day with multiple scum at large. The alternate target suggestion is only to be implemented if we hit scum with today's lynch. And I don't think anyone's suggesting we nail down the doctor at all.

↑ penguin_alien wrote:No one's suggesting we nail down the doctor and the JK if we end the day with multiple scum at large. The alternate target suggestion is only to be implemented if we hit scum with today's lynch. And I don't think anyone's suggesting we nail down the doctor at all.

No.

If we hit scum today we are jailing Maenara. Period.

If we hit town today we are jailing either:
Majiffy (60%) chance.
Whoever (play as many mind games as you want or flip a coin or do whatever you were gonna do) (40%) chance.

Actually, that is exactly what we propose. We want the JK on Majiffy if UCT flips town, unless I've gravely misunderstood things. And that would, indeed, lock down the doc. We want the JK on someone else if he flips scum.

P-EDIT: well, Bork said it too, except jailing me is stupid but meh.

Considering the amount of people that have a scumread on you, I don't know how you can call it stupid. That all goes away tomorrow.

Well, look at it from my point of view. I have bugger all reads to contribute, so "saving" me is needless, and I damn well know that I ain't scum either, so it won't catch any that way.

Anyhow, I sitll say the percentage deal is stupid, and I hope others agree on that.

I kinda almost want to even lynch you today for that.

Anyway my shit is a great idea and we're doing it.

We don't want to suggest that the JK only target Majiffy if today's lynch flips town, since that gives scum a free shot at anyone else. (by alternate target selection, I meant whoever is agreed upon as the JK target in the event of a scum lynch, not alternating between Majiffy-someone else) The doc target choice should be used in any event; he's not guaranteed to be roleblocked in any situation.

Exact percentages aren't particularly relevant unless they're 100%/0%, as anything else leaves sufficient uncertainty.

The percentages are relevant, but other than that you seem to be agreeing with me.

Percentages are only really relevant to the JK in determining whom to jail. As far as the scum are concerned it's either a success or a failure when it comes to their NK.

I don't disagree with that.

↑ borkjerfkin wrote:I agree with buldermar except for this part, actually, here's what we actually should do:

Agree on a scummy person to jail in the event we lynch scum, if we lynch scum, we jail that person.

If we lynch town:
50% jail Majiffy
50% JK does his or her own thing (instead of doing what buldermar suggested and using an agreed upon person). The reason for this is to give us a non-zero chance of catching scum making a kill. otherwise scum just sends the other guy to make the kill.

Why do you want an agreed upon person as opposed to what you suggest for the town-lynch scenario for the scum-lynch scenario? Otherwise, I think you're right that we should do as you describe to avoid a non-zero chance of catching scum making a kill.

Agreed upon person in the 1 scum left scenario = either a kill happens and that person gets cleared and it's a scummy person so we take them out of the lynch pool and things are good or no kill happens and things are good (yeah there's WIFOM potential here but scum have to no kill to do it)

Agreed upon person in the 2 scum left scenario = if it's scum it's useless as the other person just does the kill. If it's town that person just doesn't get targeted.

Basically in the 1 scum left scenario we can use the JK as kind of a half cop rather than a doctor and that's what I'm advising we try to do.

↑ borkjerfkin wrote:Oh, if UCT flips town, JK needs to make it slightly higher than a 50% chance they jail Majiffy. like 60/40.

Actually I think the best option is that the JK will jail Majiffy, but the exact probability is not revealed, but I'm tired atm so I may change my mind in the morning.

It needs to be high -- scum gets a lot out of killing Majiffy so they need to be punished for trying.