I mean a pool of three is a winning strategy right now. We have two miseliminations left, if my math is correct
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 1:32 pm
by the worst
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 1:34 pm
by ManWithNoName
HA, TAKE THAT, DUCKO!
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 1:35 pm
by the worst
if anyone else picks on me I'm gonna start modkilling
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 1:51 pm
by Bambi Jay
Your Australian modkill has the opposite effect of reviving people instead.
For shame.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:07 pm
by Bambi Jay
Welp I'm off to bed. Don't end the game without me.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:30 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
Honestly, i'm just going to claim. It's worth more than me potentially messing up my night action tommorow if we mislim today. And this will shrink the PoE pool immensely.
I'm the
Town Weak Hider
My night actions were:
N1: Bambi Jay
N2: Isis
N3: ManWithNoName
MWNN and Isis are both 100% cleared. Bambi Jay is basically too because even though mafia JK might have messed with results, both GG and Taylor KEPT MAKING SHITTY BAMBI!SCUM CASES!! So if you're scum Bambi, you can have the win. Congratulations.
I highly doubt there will be any doubts on me, but if there is. I can point out to how i crumbed my role to Isis on day 1. The last mafia won't CC me because it will always lead to their defeat.
So PoE pool now is Bob3141/PenguinPower/Lost
Tracker should not out right now unless they are in the PoE pool because if scum doesn't kill them he can check one of the players in the PoE pool.
Either way let's try to get the last scum today. It can ONLY be one of those three.
In post 0, the worst wrote:GeniusGamer
Tayl0r Swift
bob3141
Not_Mafia
ManWithNoName
Dongempire
Bambi Jay
NorwegianboyEE
MURDERCAT
Battle Mage
PenguinPower
Isis
Lost
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:40 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
So my reads right now are:
Locktown:
NorwegianboyEE, Isis, ManWithNoName, Bambi Jay
Townlean:
Lost
Suspicious:
PenguinPower, Bob3141
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:50 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
I think i wanna kill the evil humorless penguin.
VOTE: PenguinPower
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:51 pm
by Isis
Let's see, worst possible gamestate is:
1 Mafia Goon
1 Tracker who tracked Not_Mafia
1 Hider who hid with {someone hammered/NKed}, {someone hammered/NKed}, {Tracker}
4 Unconfirmed VTs
best possible scenario is some kind of auto.
I can't help but notice that we should set up hider hypoclaims for every slot, vote for a no eliminate, and just get more information over night. If we execute today, the worst case scenario is losing the Hider and a town player the Hider hid with over night and being at 7-3=4, eLo, with the tracker not being conftown unless we had the tracker claim this phase (which is definitely not costless).
On the other hand, if we no execute today, the worst case scenario is 7-2=5, the tracker will usually have an additional clear, and the game is like, almost auto? If the tracker has 1 clear it's at almost-auto and the tracker can claim in the 5p to avoid waiting until 3p when it's counterclaimable. If the tracker has 2 clears it's just auto.
Can anyone figure out where this would be wrong?
I say hypoclaim but when the game is this close to solved I'm not sure I'd want to put tons of effort until building a lovely web of claims that works best for people hypothetical suspicions on different days or whatever. It can just be up-4.
Caveat, if the Hider has done something different from what we expected them to do, they should just claim immediately, messing that information up is too important and seems like the only way to make a won game a lost game, if you didn't obey the battlemage up1->up2->up3 scheme so far please claim.
pedit: oh ok lol
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:55 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
Way ahead of you buddy.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:55 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
I told you my play was 1000 IQ this game.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:56 pm
by Isis
tracker does not need to lolclaim just because the hider claimed, because it doesn't overload the mafia's shots - they can't actually shoot at norwee, and norwee is going to be using his ability defensively now, I think
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:58 pm
by Isis
i would more than townlean lost cause if he was part of the scumteam i'm not exactly sure what he has been doing with this game
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 7:58 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
But what if he's an scum playing god.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:02 pm
by Isis
Norwee, Man With No Name, Isis, Lost
oh sry mb it's auto scum can concede
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:03 pm
by Isis
my clear doesn't overlap with Norwee's and it reaches 4/7 confirmeds for auto.
Murdercat checked MWNN N1, isn't that cool
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:04 pm
by Isis
if the scum forces you to play it out technically Norwee needs to submit "I take no action" to avoid losing a dayphase, which is kind of funny
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:04 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
Yeah just vote yourself PenguinPower.
It's ALL over buddy.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:05 pm
by Isis
I tracked Lost since I townreaded him, which means in the universes where Lost is scum he leaves me alive so that my result actually means something
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:05 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
Oh you tracked him too.
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:06 pm
by Isis
I'll VOTE: PenguinPower for the possibility of hammer resolution instead of concession resolution I guess, but I'm not convinced it's not bob. Partly because I got a softclear on PP but no softclears on bob. But sending taylor to kill makes plenty of sense
Posted: Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:06 pm
by NorwegianboyEE
Ok so Bob3141 or PP are the only possible scum.
And if we get wrong today we just eliminate the other one.
GG