im surprised Bob targetted you. from his POV, wouldn't you be most likely to be Mafia Doctor anyway? Just by virtue of being the only so-called "unconfirmed PR". I'm assuming mafia doc here has a slightly higher propensity to claim PR as a deterrent.
didnt really put much thought into it.
happy to start day 3 with me pointing that i was 100% rigth that bm and taylor are never partners
ok can you vote for someone please?
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:27 am
by Creature
I feel like Pooky is the best shot to flip scum. I don't see their posts contributing much.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:28 am
by Creature
I no longer have that much faith the game is locked either. Looks like a vig will only be a hindrance here.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:29 am
by Creature
Maybe it won't change much if vig ends up killing tonight though assuming they follow the PoE. Say we mislynch in the PoE again, we'll have to lynch in the PoE anyway if the vig doesn't shoot.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:29 am
by Creature
Also there's a chance we may end up going back to odds again
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:45 am
by Flavor Leaf
Taylor and BM are not partners confirmed. I like that, I was town reading Battle Mage anyways now, so that's good.
Taylor is a little townier now because I expected them to not be Maf Doctor if they are scum, but they still have that chance.
Gamma
Pooky
Creature
Taylor
Battle Mage
I personally town read Battle Mage, and I want to town read Taylor.
I say fade Gamma. If Gamma flips town, then it's in the 4, one will be shot, then it'll be in the 3. and I just think BM is town here. so it'll be in the 2 left in the POE alive, meaning if we don't hit scum, then we still win if BM is town.
And honestly, I think Gamma flips scum.
If Gamma is scum doctor, then Battle Mage and Taylor are CONFIRMED town, meaning final scum is in Creature/Pooky.
If Gamma is scum not doctor, then damn scum is in the 4, but we have a pretty good scenario going,.
Okay, so here's what I think the plan should be.
If Gamma flips scum doctor, gunsmith Pooky, I'm shooting Creature. Ydrasse doctors Bob.
If Gamma flips scum not doctor, gunsmith becomes irrelevant, I'm shooting Taylor. Ydrasse doctors Flavor Leaf.
If Gamma is town, gunsmith Creature, I'm shooting Taylor. Ydrasse doctors 1 of me and Bob, they don't say it out loud.
In theory, if Battle Mage is town, this always wins us the game, but this is a big if.
I personally think the team is Creature and Gamma or Gamma and Taylor.
im surprised Bob targetted you. from his POV, wouldn't you be most likely to be Mafia Doctor anyway? Just by virtue of being the only so-called "unconfirmed PR". I'm assuming mafia doc here has a slightly higher propensity to claim PR as a deterrent.
didnt really put much thought into it.
happy to start day 3 with me pointing that i was 100% rigth that bm and taylor are never partners
ok can you vote for someone please?
whats the rush
i know its bad habit but i do always tend to delay voting until mid day. like to have 2-3 days to think on my vote.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:53 am
by Creature
5 candidates for scum left
If we lynch scum today:
4 candidates left, one is shot, the other is tracked. Tomorrow should be a 1v1 between Taylor and someone else with 6 players alive and two lynches.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 11:53 am
by Creature
We need to lynch scum today to autowin.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:01 pm
by Flavor Leaf
Day 1 VC's.
Spoiler:
gamma being on Golden for a bit, only to vote shelly in the end like that alongside golden probably locks them as scum. Then it's probably with Pooky. Creature/Taylor are the backups.
We can also get auto win if I shoot scum doctor tonight, so there are other options. I'll do Day 2 next.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:02 pm
by Flavor Leaf
Taylor is 1 shot tracker claim.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:02 pm
by Flavor Leaf
If Gamma is scum, they made the kill last night 100% of the time.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:17 pm
by Flavor Leaf
Day 2 VC's.
Spoiler:
First off, Gamma on 2.2 on Taylor as only non confirmed town is something. Then they switch to Battle Mage alongside Taylor. That is a possible Gamma/Taylor.
2.5 does the opposite and only Taylor is not green so far on Bob, while Creature went on Taylor now that it's died down a bit.
Creature also jumps off of Osuka when it starts to pick up steam, Creature/Gamma are the only 2 off the wagon. Is Osuka a potential all town wagon? I think so, but Pooky jump there also makes sense as scum, but I feel this is likely a 1 off wagon, 1 on situation.
Idk. I think Gamma looks poor on VCA from both days.
I think it has to be one of these. I don't think Creature and Taylor slots would both be off of the Day 1 wagon, so at least 1 of Pooky and Gamma are scum, possibly both.
Gamma targeting Battle Mage who was in a 1v1 with Taylor also makes sense for a Gamma Chainsaw defending Taylor buddy.
Gamma/Creature if it was only 1 scum on the Shelly wagon, and Taylor is town.
I think we full send Gamma 100% of the time today, and go from there. If Gamma is scum doctor, Taylor and Battle Mage are confirmed town.
if gamma is scum, but not doctor, I'm shooting Taylor. Then Pooky/Creature we go after.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:27 pm
by Flavor Leaf
I'm okay having the game go to Creature/Battle Mage 50/50, i think, if need be. ScumCreature will put up a better fight than townBattle Mage, keep that in mind.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:28 pm
by Flavor Leaf
as long as the team isnt exactly Creature/Battle Mage, then we likely auto win this game.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:29 pm
by Flavor Leaf
VC 2.5, 2.6, and 2.7, Creature and Battle Mage are voting together against Taylor, i think that might indicate that they aren't teammates considering other wagons were on town.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:30 pm
by Battle Mage
In post 1741, Flavor Leaf wrote:ScumCreature will put up a better fight than townBattle Mage, keep that in mind.
If Gamma flips scum doctor, gunsmith Pooky, I'm shooting Creature. Ydrasse doctors Bob.
If Gamma flips scum not doctor, gunsmith becomes irrelevant, I'm shooting Taylor. Ydrasse doctors Flavor Leaf.
If Gamma is town, gunsmith Creature, I'm shooting Taylor. Ydrasse doctors 1 of me and Bob, they don't say it out loud.
I say we go with this.
Posted: Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:31 pm
by Flavor Leaf
could switch Pooky/Creature for the first scenario.