scamper is spewed town from corwin's iso, and i think crescent's play around corwin really isn't scum
i don't remember why i was townreading gamma, but i'm gonna trust past!datisi
and with great sorrow i announce that i found a progression from marcistar that, in this economy, i really doubt comes from scum
so that leaves: alex, johnny, std, freedom
VOTE: johnny
i'm gonna sheep scamper for the time being. i'll try to figure out what's what at some point
Datisi what's the progression you found?
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 3:38 pm
by PookyTheMagicalBear
vote count 2.03
with 11 votes in play, it takes 6 to make a decision. day 1 ends in (expired on 2022-07-18 16:00:00).
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 3:54 pm
by Crescent
I love how I start the day by saying the most likely POE is Alex + Datisi or Gamma, and it's specifically those 3 people now sitting on Johnny after Scamper's unvote.
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 4:06 pm
by Gamma Emerald
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 4:31 pm
by scamper
ok, im revisiting the initial wave of votes on corwin that crescent was talking about to examine how they look
In post 1029, Save The Dragons wrote:corwinoid practically TMIing scamper as town and screaming how they're caught for the wrong reasons
i think STD is town here anyway because scum has no reason to fakeclaim an investigative result on johnny, but i also want to note i think the confidence and cockiness in immediately voting corwin after corwin blew up at me and throwing out full solves with corwin in it is towny, scm usually doesnt go this all in on a day 1 push. ik ive said this before but it bears repeating.
In post 1033, Datisi wrote:i like scampers post on corwin, i was getting similar vibes that corwin is doing approx nothing this game
VOTE: corwin
i absolutely still want to murder marci, but we can get this going for the time being
i like ausuka being tryhardy and digging meta up
if anyone needs me for something specific, ask within the next ~half an hour probably kthxbye
this is a bit weaker and i could see it coming as a sheep vote from scum if i squint really hard at it but datisi did mention several times before this he thought corwin was scummy so the progression tracks, i don't have much of an issue with this vote really
these i like significantly less, its a very weak ote with no thoughts of her own and i dont find much discussion of corwin elsewhere in her iso - definitely fels like it could be a vote that was made opportunistically
In post 1055, Freedom wrote:I don't like 1018 and the bottom of 1027.
It feels needlessly defensive from Corwin to scamper's 1016 and as STD said in 1029, "pratically TMIing" them as Town.
Regarding, 1016, I think that it actually fairly good analysis from scamper and I concur with it. VOTE: Corwin
this is fine ig. i dont really have a problem with the way freedom lays out his thoughts here and i still think shoshin was towny. maybe im just biased to townread people in the hood but the way corwin gives a null/town read on shoshin and doesnt realy interact with freedom doesnt feel like a traitor talking about a teammate.
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 4:32 pm
by scamper
of those voters i like gamma the least, probably need to read her iso to see how i feel about the body of work
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 5:34 pm
by Freedom
In post 1730, scamper wrote:i think STD is town here anyway because scum has no reason to fakeclaim an investigative result on johnny
I agree.
Though, I think that his result might have arisen from his confusion on what his role did.
He claimed that his role would roleblock non-Vanillas in addition to having a different result on Vanilla roles.
However, when I guessed a role which wouldn't do that, he said that I was correct.
This means that he might've misinterpreted what his role did and thought that he cleared Johnny of making the kill.
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 5:42 pm
by scamper
alright so trying to read through gammas iso:
the early comment on townpinging alex feels like a stretchy read
im slightly bothered still by how she backed down on her scumread of me quickly, because it makes me wonder whether it was even real in the first place
similarly the read on one of cres/shos is whatever to me but the fact she doesnt really do anything with it until shoshin started pushing her pings me
a significant chunk of her posts all read like commentary to me, there's a lot of responding to things other people were saying but not a lot of what i would call analysis or game-advancing content
the argument with shoshin doesnt really come off looking great, i dont like the way she reacts to shoshin attacking her and the accusation of her being "wishy-washy" is nonsense, it looks like applying a generic buzzword that doesnt really fit shoshins behavior
im bothered by how she 180'd her read when freedom showed up because it feels very conveniently timed, 639 feels like a reachy justification to move off a vote
at this point gamma wraps u all her attantion in defending marcistar and again im noting she doesnt actually have a scumread she wants to push at this point. if shes convinced marcistar is town i would expect an effort to sort her voters but i dont get that here, i get more the impression gamma is talking about this stuff because she wants to be seen as being right on marci
there was reference to a secret scumread at 76 and im not sure anything ever came of it?
904 is a super weird post, because it looks more like she wants someone to talk her into scumreading alex than to actually defend alex?
but she has no scumreads she seemed to actually care about
1084 -> 1094 is a line of questioning i dont see the use of and the fact she was so easily satisfied with the answer is Hmm
she kind of just seems to be going with the flow as the corwin wagon builds
notably gamma is putting some suspicion on alex as the wagon on corwin was building and calling out a scumread on him but has had no followthrough on it today, or on her scumread of bella
and i'm not really sure what she's doing right now on day 2...
so overall i'm not really sure why i'm townreading her at all
In post 1730, scamper wrote:i think STD is town here anyway because scum has no reason to fakeclaim an investigative result on johnny
I agree.
Though, I think that his result might have arisen from his confusion on what his role did.
He claimed that his role would roleblock non-Vanillas in addition to having a different result on Vanilla roles.
However, when I guessed a role which wouldn't do that, he said that I was correct.
This means that he might've misinterpreted what his role did and thought that he cleared Johnny of making the kill.
oh
well some clarity there would be helpful but im not really sure i wanna go for JF right now
there's basically no resistance to voting him and he barely seems to care when scum are already down a teammate, so if hes mafia i dont really have any idea who his partner is supposed to be...
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 6:04 pm
by scamper
like in general right now the gamestate feels like its gotten very complacent and i don't like it
In post 1730, scamper wrote:i think STD is town here anyway because scum has no reason to fakeclaim an investigative result on johnny
I agree.
Though, I think that his result might have arisen from his confusion on what his role did.
He claimed that his role would roleblock non-Vanillas in addition to having a different result on Vanilla roles.
However, when I guessed a role which wouldn't do that, he said that I was correct.
This means that he might've misinterpreted what his role did and thought that he cleared Johnny of making the kill.
oh
well some clarity there would be helpful but im not really sure i wanna go for JF right now
there's basically no resistance to voting him and he barely seems to care when scum are already down a teammate, so if hes mafia i dont really have any idea who his partner is supposed to be...
the early comment on townpinging alex feels like a stretchy read
im slightly bothered still by how she backed down on her scumread of me quickly, because it makes me wonder whether it was even real in the first place
similarly the read on one of cres/shos is whatever to me but the fact she doesnt really do anything with it until shoshin started pushing her pings me
a significant chunk of her posts all read like commentary to me, there's a lot of responding to things other people were saying but not a lot of what i would call analysis or game-advancing content
the argument with shoshin doesnt really come off looking great, i dont like the way she reacts to shoshin attacking her and the accusation of her being "wishy-washy" is nonsense, it looks like applying a generic buzzword that doesnt really fit shoshins behavior
im bothered by how she 180'd her read when freedom showed up because it feels very conveniently timed, 639 feels like a reachy justification to move off a vote
at this point gamma wraps u all her attantion in defending marcistar and again im noting she doesnt actually have a scumread she wants to push at this point. if shes convinced marcistar is town i would expect an effort to sort her voters but i dont get that here, i get more the impression gamma is talking about this stuff because she wants to be seen as being right on marci
there was reference to a secret scumread at 76 and im not sure anything ever came of it?
904 is a super weird post, because it looks more like she wants someone to talk her into scumreading alex than to actually defend alex?
but she has no scumreads she seemed to actually care about
1084 -> 1094 is a line of questioning i dont see the use of and the fact she was so easily satisfied with the answer is Hmm
she kind of just seems to be going with the flow as the corwin wagon builds
notably gamma is putting some suspicion on alex as the wagon on corwin was building and calling out a scumread on him but has had no followthrough on it today, or on her scumread of bella
and i'm not really sure what she's doing right now on day 2...
so overall i'm not really sure why i'm townreading her at all
ngl
If you weren’t basically conftown I’d be scumreading the shit out of this
This entire wall looks like you are deliberately spouting the most uncharitable takes possible on me
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 6:15 pm
by Gamma Emerald
Also: my Alex SR kinda evaporated today as a result of a) the traitor flip and b) Alex having some nuanced takes today
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 6:18 pm
by Gamma Emerald
Yeah I want to try and rebut that wall but there’s just 100% bullshit so idk where to even start
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 6:19 pm
by Gamma Emerald
Btw the secret scumread was on Ausuka
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 6:27 pm
by Gamma Emerald
VOTE: crescent
I think she’s trying to play both sides here. Before STD’s result she was shading JF and after she tries to sling mud onto the JF voters
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 7:38 pm
by Alexcellent
Don't have a lot of time at the mo, will post later.
Not a huge fan of Gamma's reaction to Scamper's post. Feels very defensive.
I probably need to go through Gamma's ISO to see what Scamper's is seeing. D1 posts made me think Gamma was town, I think mainly her interactions with Ausuka? I'll have to go back though.
Understand and almost agree with the Crescent vote in a way. Cres is slinging a lot of mud and I've felt a lot of her attacks on me have been built around misrepping me to build a bogus case against me, so it's hard to see town motive there, but I think
she
probably believes the case is good and this is also probably how she plays regardless of alignment. I think she can be scum but as I've only seen her town game, it's difficult to tell this and that game apart, which suggests that she's proooobably town here.
Honestly there's some stuff with Datisi I think I need to look further into. I've been mostly town reading there but there's lingering D1 stuff that felt a bit iffy and something about his voting just feels convenient to me. I probs just need to do a re-read.
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 8:15 pm
by Bellaphant
Hard disagree with ^ because I actually vibed with what gamma was saying. I think gamma is 100% town, partly because of the attack on me and partly because of vibes.
STD is also town.
Cres and aus probably still town, Marci is at least null now. Could elim in Alex/Johnny/datisi basically
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 8:21 pm
by Alexcellent
In post 1744, Bellaphant wrote:Hard disagree with ^ because I actually vibed with what gamma was saying. I think gamma is 100% town, partly because of the attack on me and partly because of vibes.
STD is also town.
Cres and aus probably still town, Marci is at least null now. Could elim in Alex/Johnny/datisi basically
Huh? What did you disagree with?
Posted: Tue Jul 12, 2022 8:28 pm
by Alexcellent
I am confused, are you disagreeing with Scamper's wall on Gamma or disagreeing that I think Gamma's response looks defensive? Also you're vibing with what Gamma is saying but think Crescent is town?
I am perplexed.
In post 851, Ausuka wrote:What I'm trying to say is I don't think the scummy stuff necessarily needs to be looked at through the lens of a scum strategy.
This is a good point.
Not everybody strategises as scum. Some people as scum panic and do ridiculous things like locking into a minigame that is the easiest for scum in GotF early.
noo can we pretend it was planned... my egos shattered....
early game is easiest to find if im scum i think since ill panic easier... but my associatives always suck ass too so
In post 851, Ausuka wrote:What I'm trying to say is I don't think the scummy stuff necessarily needs to be looked at through the lens of a scum strategy.
This is a good point.
Not everybody strategises as scum. Some people as scum panic and do ridiculous things like locking into a minigame that is the easiest for scum in GotF early.
noo can we pretend it was planned... my egos shattered....
early game is easiest to find if im scum i think since ill panic easier... but my associatives always suck ass too so
i don't think that main-scum, who is aware that there is a traitor in the game, goes out and attacks someone for "buddying". i think that buddying is something they'd actively be on the lookout for from their traitor, so it's counter-intuitive to be making false cases on people getting "buddied" because that's something they're currently looking for.
but even if she did to this^^, then i think there would've been a progression of "aha, i said corwin is buddying bella!! corwin flipped traitor!! therefore xyz" and not whatever 1679 is, which was also made after she was specifically asked, as opposed to immediately/early
7th is basically sheeping me on Scamper. Also says Scamper needs to re-examine his thought process.. At least Scampwe has a thought process.
The other is his one true content post that says the most likely scum on Corwin is Gamma, and 36 hours later we still don't have a reason why. It kinda looks like he ripped someone right out of the POE in my wall without thinking it through.
He voiced some very light suspicion on Gamma in #634 yesterday, but the reason is very vague and an excuse is made not to pursue it. We still don't know what Gamma did towards me that spurred it.
In post 1728, Crescent wrote:I love how I start the day by saying the most likely POE is Alex + Datisi or Gamma, and it's specifically those 3 people now sitting on Johnny after Scamper's unvote.
the fact that these two posts come from the same person, only a page apart, is hilarious
no, i'm not unvoting a scummy slot just because there's an unreliable "clear" on them
Posted: Wed Jul 13, 2022 4:08 am
by Crescent
In post 1742, Gamma Emerald wrote:VOTE: crescent
I think she’s trying to play both sides here. Before STD’s result she was shading JF and after she tries to sling mud onto the JF voters
Except you tried to do it with Corwin/Bella, and now you're trying to do it with Bella/Ausuka.