Posted: Sat Oct 16, 2021 2:03 pm
Holy shit, my memory was right. This is like night and day compared to Newbie 2068.
Val,
Val,
what’s happening??
Comment about vig shot sounded fake. Almost like he tried very hard to act as uninformed as possible. This mindset comes from scum.In post 109, marcistar wrote:dependsIn post 87, Gamma Emerald wrote:I don't wanna see anyone acting stupid this game, or you'll have my unlimited fury poured into destroying you. When I have a solve, you'll LISTEN TO IT.
what dont u like about them
In post 25, Val89 wrote:All,
I am so sorry I am so late to the thread - you've all given me so much to think about, so it has taken me a little while to gather my thoughts and process it all.
One advantage of waiting until there has been a bit of back and forth is that one can start to get a sense of how the game is going to go, and start to make some initial reads. Lots to unpack here, so I'll get straight to it.
I don't like this post. Clearly, post 6 is not post 1, and lying to us straight out of the bad is not a good look. In fact, I propose that we should make it a sort of agreement between us that if any of us are caught lying - about anything - we should give strong consideration to eliminating said person as a result. In addition, the whole post - the content, the tone, the context in which it was posted just gives me a general sense of unease. It was a gut read initially, but I think it's clear I was consideringIn post 6, MiniMegabyte wrote:First!MiniMegabyteas at least a slight leanscum here already. Hence far, I have to say the rest of the players are null reads, which considering how advanced the game state is we can start to stop chucking random votes around, this took me a surprise - I was about to say we have some very good mafia players here, but then it occurred to me that if you were truly that skilled you would have convinced me to give you at least a slight townread by now.
Ahh, and here is it; the smoking gun that grants some confidence to that earlier gut read. I am aware of the existence of confirmation bias, so I have gone through all the contributionsIn post 8, MiniMegabyte wrote: (inserts shaking hands emoji here)MiniMegabytehas made very carefully several times to try and guard against that, but no -MiniMegabyteis a strong scum read at this point. Let me explain.
MiniMegabyteis clearly trying to insinuate that she has no personal knowledge ofVFP, particularly as this comes of the back ofVFPsexplicit (and as it turned out - also false) statement that they don't knowanyonein the game. Also of interest is the actual emoji chosen here - a handshake. Between two persons. To the exclusion of the rest of the group. See where I am going with this? She also specifically and pointedly says "Nice to meetya!" instead of "nice to meetyou". We all know English is one of those languages where 'you' can refer to a singular or an individual. Using it here would be natural, avoid the wavy red line most modern day browsers would assign to the word, and give her the benefit of the ambiguity if anyone paying attention catches it. Instead, we get the informal 'ya', standing in contrast to 'y'all', which to me is a further indication the introduction is addressed specifically toVFPand she wants us to know it.
The question now becomes why? In my view, the only explanation that makes any sort of sense is she wants us to think, even if only subconsciously, that this over the top, public performance is the first time these two have ever came in to contact, and they most definitely haveNOTalready said hi to each other in the scum thread. No sir, definitely not! Nothing to see here folks! Shake my hand and smile!
You might think that this makesVFPher scum partner then, and the game is solved. Putting aside my feelings towards how I would feel if my first ever game of Mafia was solved and ended on the first IRL day, I don't actually think this is the case. I thinkMiniMegabyteknew that someone might pick up on the vibes between the two here and our first thought would be that they are scum partners. But equally, perhaps that what they just want us to think? I wish there was some term to describe this, but I've checked the wiki inside out and can't find one, so I have invented one, both to refer to this situation and the approach I think we should take to try and come to some sort of conclusion as to how to deal with it. I call it Written Information Follows Overt Meta (WIFOM) - in other words, when what you see written down is in line with what would be expected from your experience you should assume that it is true. No sane scum player wants to associate themselves so strongly with their scum partner so obviously and early, so when we see it happening, we should assume that ISN'T what is happening, that makes no sense. Thus, this is all a big play, and we can actually rule outVFPas the other scum. As an aside, feel free to use that acronym in your future posts, but do try to remember who invented it and give credit every now and again.
There is the open question as to whyVFPalso lied about their association with other players, but I am going to assume for the moment that was a legitimate mistake - I know what I said about eliminating proven liars, but I don't think they would be so fast to walk it back. In contrast, I thinkMiniMegabytefully expected that "First!" lie to slip under the radar.
So;townread,VFPscumread,b]MiniMegabyteeveryone else[/b]null. I think it's pretty clear given that set of reads where my vote should go. I'm going to put my vote where it obviously belongs, and strongly feel that we should make them the elimination for the day. Obviously there is quite a bit of time left before deadline, and I would like to see some more discussion, but I will put my vote on them and see what happens with the rest of the votes. Being the first, I won't be able to hammer, but I want to make it clear that I would be prepared to hammer, and it will take a lot now to convince me to switch my vote.
With all that said: VOTE: T3
Like this is the level of difference we’re talking here.
It depends how many pages I need to read, if too many then I usually lost interest and lurk. Unless I find motivation to catch up somehow.In post 114, T3 wrote:I remember alice lurked whn I played with town her last.
In post 25, Val89 wrote:All,
I've played with some of you before, and I'm glad to see all two of you back for more. For those of you don't know me, allow me to introduce myself - my name is Val89, and I'm known for opening my games by posting what appears on it's surface to be a load of crap and can't possibly be alignment indicative, but actually completely deduces the scum team in my first post. If you don't beleive me, allow me to refer you to the game in question. Yes, a sample size of one, but that is 100% of the games I've played that aren't ongoing and thus fair game for discussion. Not bad odds, I am sure you will agree.
So, I have to say my attention has been immeadately drawn by not_mafia: Clearly, if we consider only alignment at this stage, ignoring the possibility of a serious mod error, there are only 2 possiblities: Not Mafia is mafia, or Not Mafia is not mafia.
There are 9 players in the setup, of which 2 are mafia. That makes the probablity of case A, that Not Mafia is Mafia, as 2/9ths; and conversely, case B, that Not Mafia is not mafia as 7/9s.
Let's now consider another Non-Not Mafia player from the list, lets say, for sake of example, Lukewarm. The same possibities apply - either Lukewarm is mafia, or Lukewarm is not mafia. But Lukewarm is not Not Mafia, because that would be against the site rules precluding playing in the same game under two different names, so Lukewarm HAS to mafia. This logic can be applied to any other player you substitue for Lukewarm, with the sole exception of Not Mafia, meaning that 8 out of 9 players in the game would have to be mafia. Clearly, this is a contridiction, and so our initial assumption is wrong.
If you instead consider the alternative posibilities that either Not Mafia is mafia, or that Not Mafia is not not mafia, then we resolve our contridication. While this doesn't give us any clues as to any of the other playerbase, returning to our example, Lukewarm being not mafia is fine, if not mafia is not Not Mafia. Thus, either Not Mafia is mafia, or Not Mafia is not Not Mafia, and since Not Mafia CLEARY IS Not Mafia, then Not Mafia is mafia. Easy
VOTE: Not_Mafia
I’m just coodere.
See, this is what i’m saying.In post 186, marcistar wrote:is it mean to meta read tho
ah alright thenIn post 189, NorwegianboyEE wrote:It’s not bad. But remember we’re at war here.
Sometimes ya gotta mercilessly execute some bad guys, know what i’m sayin?
there's more to my townblock than just those but yeah norwee can join mineIn post 190, T3 wrote:yasss marci norwee townblock
I'd still like for him to show up and post before i make my final judgement.In post 192, marcistar wrote:it still feels so mean tho, what if he comes back and it kills any motivation he couldve gotten..?
It’s crazy because this is my first normal game so yes, I am uninformed. Weird read to see ignorance as AI.In post 177, AliceK wrote:Comment about vig shot sounded fake. Almost like he tried very hard to act as uninformed as possible. This mindset comes from scum.In post 109, marcistar wrote:dependsIn post 87, Gamma Emerald wrote:I don't wanna see anyone acting stupid this game, or you'll have my unlimited fury poured into destroying you. When I have a solve, you'll LISTEN TO IT.
what dont u like about them
^ It’s so obvious that I think y’all are looking too hard. The man isn’t a machine.In post 182, NorwegianboyEE wrote:I think Val would be perfectly capable of writing an wall as scum, but the fact that they haven’t. It feels a bit calculated, like they’re trying to get a better read on the gamestate before making one.
Actually I don’t trust this. My strongest scum read this game is now here. Let the man say hi.In post 175, NorwegianboyEE wrote:Holy shit, my memory was right. This is like night and day compared to Newbie 2068.
Val,what’s happening??
do you have any sort of read on norwegianboyee rn..? im curious if anything seems similar to that play you've seen from him, or if you have a townread on him..?In post 93, AliceK wrote:Haha, very well played. I was suspecting you, but couldn't find good arguments to accuse you. Just hoped I was paranoid. Didn't happen.In post 19, NorwegianboyEE wrote:Hey Alice, remember that time you asked me if i’d buss both my teammates as scum and i answered no then proceeded to endgame as mafia?
GOOD TIMES~
how strong is this read..? do you have more to this read or just what u've shown..?In post 104, camelCasedSnivy wrote:They've only made one read post and honestly I don't think town would vote someone if someone else told them to.In post 102, Jolyne wrote:UNVOTE: darby
They're showing a towny thought process - also im vla until monday, very busy weekend. i delegate thread leading to marci and darby
I'm sticking to my vote as of now
dont agree, but i like this post from u <3In post 198, DArby wrote:Actually I don’t trust this. My strongest scum read this game is now here. Let the man say hi.In post 175, NorwegianboyEE wrote:Holy shit, my memory was right. This is like night and day compared to Newbie 2068.
Val,what’s happening??
VOTE: NorwegianboyEE