Posted: Mon Jan 07, 2013 4:26 pm
Mafiascum.net
https://forum.mafiascum-staging.net/
Open 459: There is a New Scum in Town. Game Over Town Wins!
Page 72 of 82
Posted: Mon Jan 07, 2013 4:31 pm
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 2:40 am
Vote Count 3.5
pirate mollie (1) the director
Nobody Special (3) penguin_alien, uctriton00, Kmd4390
uctriton00 (4) Majiffy, Borkjerfkin, Nobody Special, Nachomamma8 (L-2) Majiffy (1) Maenara,
pirate mollie, Buldemar
With 11 it takes 6 to lynch
(expired on 2013-01-14 17:06:10)
Buldemar had already voted for uct before my previous VC hence voting for him twice but only one counts. I hope that clears up any confusion. (not a lynch yet
) Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 2:56 am
He's at L-2? really?
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:13 am
WILL THIS DAY NEVER END
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:25 am
How authentic is 1769 to you Majiffy?
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:34 am
Wouldn't know i don't really know much if anything about Uct.
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:40 am
Was that a Nacho-induced reply?
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:50 am
No?
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:52 am
Then I dunno what you mean
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 3:59 am
I don't know what you mean either. I think what I said was perfectly clear.
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:01 am
What does 1781 mean? Do you still think UCT is scum? Does the ATE in 1769 move you at all? Your initial reply was a non-answer
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:03 am
It means I don't know enough about Uct to tell if anything he posts is "authentic".
I'm still voting him, aren't I?
No. ATE doesn't move me, period.
It was an answer, you just don't English so gud.
I'm still voting him, aren't I?
No. ATE doesn't move me, period.
It was an answer, you just don't English so gud.
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:04 am
I'm still voting him too and I'm questioning shit.
I'm not fucking interrogating you I just wanted your opinion.
I'm not fucking interrogating you I just wanted your opinion.
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:06 am
Meeeeow kitty's got claws.
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:06 am
fuck it
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:17 am
Oh yes, fuck it. Yes, that's your answer. That's your answer to everything. Tattoo it on your forehead! Your revolution is over, Mr. Borkjerfkin! Condolences! The bums lost! My advice to you is to do what your parents did! Get a job, sir! The bums will always lose! Do you hear me, borkjerfkin? The bums will always lose!
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:18 am
I'm fucking trying to stay mad at you dammit
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 4:20 am
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 5:35 am
well I am not sure I think uct might be town. majiffy I take it you want me to go ahead and vote him?
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 8:37 am
NS what the fuck honestly.
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 8:44 am
Last night I realized that calculating the ideal probability of protecting Majiffy is simply too much work. It would take taking into account all of the possible future day and night permutations. I think a rough estimate could be 3p LyLo value plus the probability of him succesfully protecting town if he isn't killed plus 1/N where N is the amount of players plus something for his value on possible future days which combined would always be less than 16.67%, so let's say that's 15%... so that would be something like 16.67%+20%+15%=51.67%.
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 8:45 am
I don't know if it makes sense at all but intuitively it seems right to me.
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 8:46 am
sure, fine. Let's say it's between 50 and 60%. That doesn't really alter the plan.