Page 73 of 82

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 8:48 am
by buldermar
Yeah, I just wanted to make sure that it wasn't entirely wrong but between 50% and 60% seems pretty balanced.

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 8:49 am
by buldermar
I'll hammer uct the next time I see him on L-1.

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 8:57 am
by pirate mollie
I still say (with the recent info from majiffy) that maenara and ns look like pondscum.

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:00 am
by borkjerfkin
NS plays like this every game. He's a policy lynch for me through and through.

Definitely want to legitimately lynch Maenara.

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:11 am
by Majiffy
buldermar wrote:Last night I realized that calculating the ideal probability of protecting Majiffy is simply too much work. It would take taking into account all of the possible future day and night permutations. I think a rough estimate could be 3p LyLo value plus the probability of him succesfully protecting town if he isn't killed plus 1/N where N is the amount of players plus something for his value on possible future days which combined would always be less than 16.67%, so let's say that's 15%... so that would be something like 16.67%+20%+15%=51.67%.

Just who the fuck do you think you are, shos? :P

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:13 am
by Nobody Special
No, jeck.

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:16 am
by Maenara
VOTE: UTC

Here we go again. L-1.

Also, Bork, no.

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:18 am
by borkjerfkin
I can't be bothered to snarky response that

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:23 am
by Majiffy
Oh come on I'm drawing a blank on anything to say and you know somebody has to do it.

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:41 am
by pirate mollie
okay, let's do this thing!

VOTE: uct

Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 9:49 am
by RachMarie


Vote Count 3.5


pirate mollie (1) the director
Nobody Special (3) penguin_alien, uctriton00, Kmd4390
:right: uctriton00 (4) Majiffy, Borkjerfkin, Nobody Special, Nachomamma8, Maenara, Pirate Mollie LYNCH


Not Voting
Buldemar




With 11 it takes 6 to lynch


(expired on 2013-01-14 17:06:10)



Flavor and flip in next post.



Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2013 10:01 am
by RachMarie
The day felt so long to the committee as they discussed who the mafia in their midst could be. Much discussion occurred, even some that was not related to the decision at hand. It seems the people are feeling more comfortable around each other. Several times it seemed like they had reached consensus, but then they changed their mind. Most of the suspicion focused on uct and NS, and it looked like either one would be the lynch of the day for a long time. Finally, a plan was decided on, math was introduced much to the consternation of the mayor, and a lynch was decided....


String him up they cried. As uct breathed his last breath, a shimmer of glamor evaporated. Majiffy exclaims See I told you he was scum!


uctriton00
Mafia Goon
was lynched on Day 3.

Night actions need to be in by (expired on 2013-01-11 17:01:16)

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:33 am
by RachMarie
The dawn breaks and as everyone shuffles into the room they count noses. One of their group is missing! Who is it? The director is missing. They rush to his bedroom to find him laying in a pool of blood where he had been shot. Next to him was the keys to the jail cell.



the director
Jailkeeper
was killed Night 3.


With 9 it takes 5 to lynch

Deadline is (expired on 2013-02-02 17:31:55)

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:39 am
by Majiffy
wat

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:42 am
by borkjerfkin
Ok so Maenara is town, NS is probably town.

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:43 am
by borkjerfkin
buldermar is also probably town due to there were 3 people that called Fe out for flaking and UCT was one of them. I doubt either of the others are scum.

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:47 am
by pirate mollie
saw that one coming

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:04 am
by Majiffy
Spoiler: Day 1 VCs
Maenara (2)
uctriton00
,
Majiffy

Majiffy
(1) pirate mollie
Nachomamma8 (2)
Fe
,
Lastsurvivor

Buldermar (5) Kmd4390,
the director
, Nobody Special, penguin_alien, Maenara

Not Voting
Malakittens
, borkjerfkin, Nachomamma8, Buldermar



Maenara (1)
Majiffy

Majiffy
(1) pirate mollie
Nachomamma8 (2)
Fe
,
Lastsurvivor

Buldermar (6) Kmd4390,
the director
, Nobody Special, penguin_alien, Maenara,
uctriton00
(L-2)

Not Voting
Malakittens
, borkjerfkin, Nachomamma8, Buldermar



Kmd4390, (1) Borkjerfkin
Maenara (4)
Majiffy
, Nachomamma8,
Fe
, Nobody Special
Majiffy
(1) pirate mollie
Nachomamma8 (1)
Lastsurvivor

Buldermar (5) Kmd4390,
the director
, penguin_alien, Maenara,
uctriton00
(L-3)

Not Voting
Malakittens
, Buldermar



Maenara (4)
Majiffy
, Nachomamma8,
Fe
, Kmd4390
Majiffy
(1) pirate mollie
Nachomamma8 (1)
Lastsurvivor
, Borkjerfkin
Buldermar (5)
the director
, penguin_alien, Maenara,
uctriton00
, Kmd4390

Not Voting
Malakittens
, Buldermar, Nobody Special



Kmd4390 (3) Nobody Special,
uctriton00
,
Majiffy

Maenara (2) Nachomamma8,
Fe

Nachomamma8 (2) Borkjerfkin,
the director

Buldermar (4) penguin_alien, Maenara, Kmd4390.
Lastsuvivor


Not Voting
Malakittens
, Buldermar, pirate mollie



Fe
(5)
the director
,
uctriton00
,
Majiffy
, penguin_alien, Nobody Special
Maenara (2) Nachomamma8,
Fe

Buldermar (6) Maenara, Kmd4390,
Lastsuvivor
,
Malakittens
, Borkjerfkin, pirate mollie (L-2)

Not Voting
Buldermar



Fe
(7)
the director
,
uctriton00
,
Majiffy
, penguin_alien, Nobody Special, pirate mollie,
Lastsuvivor
(L-1)
Maenara (2) Nachomama8,
Fe

Buldermar (4) Maenara, Kmd4390,
Malakittens
, Borkjerfkin,

Not Voting
Buldermar


Fe
(8)
the director
,
uctriton00
,
Majiffy
, penguin_alien, pirate mollie,
Lastsuvivor
, Nobody Special, Nachomama8 (LYNCH)
Buldermar (3) Maenara, Kmd4390,
Malakittens

Nachomama8 (1) Borkjerfkin

Not Voting
Buldermar,
Fe

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:10 am
by pirate mollie
uct list:

town


maenara
buldey
nacho

scum

penguin
majiffy
ns

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:11 am
by pirate mollie
majiffy did you ever iso nacho?

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:11 am
by pirate mollie
VOTE: nacho

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:13 am
by Majiffy
Spoiler: D2 VCs
Nobody Special (3) borkjerfkin, pirate mollie, penguin_alien
the director
(1) Nobody Special
Kmd4390 (2)
Majiffy
, Maenara
Majiffy
(3)
the director
,
Lastsurvivor
,
uctriton00


Not Voting
Buldermar, Nachomamma8, Kmd4390


Nobody Special (1) penguin_alien
the director
(1) Nobody Special
Kmd4390 (6)
Majiffy
, Maenara, Nachomamma8, pirate mollie,
uctriton00
, Buldemar L-1!
Majiffy
(3)
the director
,
Lastsurvivor
, borkjerfkin
uctriton00
(1) Kmd4390



Kmd4390(4) Maenara, pirate mollie,
uctriton00
, Buldemar
Majiffy
(2)
the director
, borkjerfkin
uctriton00
(1) Kmd4390
Maenara (5)
Majiffy
Nachomamma8, Nobody Special, penguin_alien,
Lastsurvivor
(L-2)


Kmd4390 (1)
uctriton00
, Buldemar
uctriton00
(2) Kmd4390, Maenara
Maenara (1) penguin_alien
Lastsurvivor
(5) Kmd4390, Nachomamma8, borkjerfkin,
Majiffy
, Maenara (L-2)
Nobody Special (1) pirate mollie
Majiffy
(2)
the director
,
Lastsurvivor


Not Voting
Nobody Special


Kmd4390 (1)
uctriton00
, Buldemar
uctriton00
(2) Kmd4390, Maenara
Maenara (1) penguin_alien
Lastsurvivor
(7) Kmd4390, Nachomamma8, borkjerfkin,
Majiffy
, Maenara, Nobody Special,
the director
LYNCH
Nobody Special (1) pirate mollie
Majiffy
(1)
Lastsurvivor

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:19 am
by Majiffy
Spoiler: D3 VCs
Kmd4390 (3) Buldemar, Nobody Special, pirate mollie
pirate mollie (1)
the director

Nobody Special (1) penguin_alien
penguin_alien (3) Nachomamma8, borkjerfkin,
uctriton00

uctriton00
(3)
Majiffy
, Maenara, Kmd4390


Kmd4390 (1) Nobody Special
pirate mollie (1)
the director

Nobody Special (1) penguin_alien
penguin_alien (1) Nachomamma8
uctriton00
(4)
Majiffy
, Kmd4390, Borkjerfkin, Buldemar (L-2)
Majiffy
(1) Maenara

Not Voting
pirate mollie,
uctriton00



Kmd4390 (1) Nobody Special,
pirate mollie (1)
the director

Nobody Special (4) penguin_alien,
uctriton00
, pirate mollie, Kmd4390 (L-2)
penguin_alien (1) Nachomamma8
uctriton00
(3)
Majiffy
, Borkjerfkin, Buldemar
Majiffy
(1) Maenara


pirate mollie (1)
the director

Nobody Special (5) penguin_alien,
uctriton00
, pirate mollie, Kmd4390, Nachomamma8 (L-1)
uctriton00
(4)
Majiffy
, Borkjerfkin, Buldemar Nobody Special (L-2)
Majiffy
(1) Maenara


pirate mollie (1)
the director

Nobody Special (3) penguin_alien,
uctriton00
, Kmd4390
uctriton00
(4)
Majiffy
, Borkjerfkin, Nobody Special, Nachomamma8 (L-2)
Majiffy
(1) Maenara

Not Voting
pirate mollie, Buldemar


pirate mollie (1)
the director

Nobody Special (3) penguin_alien,
uctriton00
, Kmd4390
uctriton00
(4)
Majiffy
, Borkjerfkin, Nobody Special, Nachomamma8, Maenara, Pirate Mollie LYNCH

Not Voting
Buldermar

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:20 am
by Majiffy
Mollie - No, I haven't.

Going into hibernation (VCA)

Posted: Sat Jan 12, 2013 11:21 am
by Nachomamma8
kmd
i completely understand where you are coming from
also majiffy
in that last votecount on d2
maenara was voting lastsurvivor, not uct

Vote: Maenara