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Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:05 am
by Quick
In post 1823, CantHateAPuppy wrote:quick is probably town but also not very useful to town. please lynch him before lylo.
Go 'head... Keep lurking...

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:10 am
by CantHateAPuppy
?

quick are you trying to be mr. mysterious again?

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:13 am
by hellbooks
UNVOTE:
ugh

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:16 am
by hellbooks
In post 1804, CantHateAPuppy wrote:yeah, bolded is actually a fair point, i won't deny it.
I just don't like this

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:16 am
by Quick
In post 1826, CantHateAPuppy wrote:?

quick are you trying to be mr. mysterious again?
In post 1767, Quick wrote:
In post 1766, CantHateAPuppy wrote:
In post 1763, mavsfan41 wrote:@Puppy: 1391 was your last post before 1638. That’s when I forgot you were in the game. You having a conversation with me being like, oh, that’s right, this dude Puppy is here. Between the 1391 and 1638, looking for scum through active players was brutal cause I really couldn’t find two I liked. I didn’t feel confident in any two reads, hence my pursuit was shit. And that would make sense if there was only one scum actively posting. You seem to still think votato (possibly me as his scummy buddy) is a thing right?

Also, where did the votato push go during day 2? Why revisit it day 3? Why not include votato in your “let’s not lynch Blair or Gamma” post?
No offense mavs but you can't connect any dots

I was pretty afk day 2 and the first part of day 3. that's why i skipped a few hundred posts and didn't push votato day 2. that's why when i caught up day 2 i was behind on blair/gamma. it's not like this hidden secret pattern, it's all connected to the fact that i afk'd a couple times. It almost feels weird for me to have to explain this again.
Why not include votato in your “let’s not lynch Blair or Gamma” post?
because it was not a serious suggestion (blair herself correctly didn't take it to be one) and not every post i make has to be about how i want to lynch votato

pedit: i'll explain this again: i still have r2r as a minor scumread. D1 i wanted to push that wagon and probe that read a little more. before i got tthe chance to dunn had already hammered.
In post 1642, Quick wrote:
In post 1638, CantHateAPuppy wrote:apologies for lurking
Okay???

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:17 am
by hellbooks
Would it be absolutely ridiculous to lynch r2r today despite Gamma's d1/d2 campaign against him

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:17 am
by midwaybear
yeah basically

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:18 am
by Quick
In post 1829, Quick wrote:
In post 1826, CantHateAPuppy wrote:?

quick are you trying to be mr. mysterious again?
In post 1767, Quick wrote:
In post 1766, CantHateAPuppy wrote:No offense mavs but you can't connect any dots

I was pretty afk day 2 and the first part of day 3. that's why i skipped a few hundred posts and didn't push votato day 2. that's why when i caught up day 2 i was behind on blair/gamma. it's not like this hidden secret pattern, it's all connected to the fact that i afk'd a couple times. It almost feels weird for me to have to explain this again.
In post 1642, Quick wrote:
In post 1638, CantHateAPuppy wrote:apologies for lurking
Okay???

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:22 am
by CantHateAPuppy
Questions that need to be considered:

* Why did nauci get NK'd? NKA is probably a dead end but Nauci was not a strong townread for anyone. did she peg scum (would implicate atarashi/hellbooks and maybe r2r)? was it because she was familiar with someone? (would implicate quick). or was it just because near EOD she was starting to push Gamma? I could honestly believe that scum team this game has been lurking

* Momentum toward NPOM at D1. Need to go back here and figure out how he got lynched when he did, I smell scum influence on it, and with the claim on D2 nabbing scum we've never really done a proper post-mortum on D1.

* Setup. Tomorrow is probably the day for a massclaim. Something is fishy with a vig, a near-cop, and a mafia strongman when no protective role has claimed. any protective role should have been on blair, even a jailkeeper should have been on blair. there's also the question of the fruit vendor, which is a red herring for one of the factions.

I'm also starting to wonder if all the active players are town and we are just talking past each other. there are a lot of lurker slots that have been slinking in and out. (I am guilty of this too.) votato is actually right about midway on this account, though i don't have a scumread on midway specifically and there are other slots that should be pressed too

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:24 am
by hellbooks
That post seems pretty towny

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:24 am
by Quick
In post 1833, CantHateAPuppy wrote:Questions that need to be considered:

* Why did nauci get NK'd? NKA is probably a dead end but Nauci was not a strong townread for anyone. did she peg scum (would implicate atarashi/hellbooks and maybe r2r)? was it because she was familiar with someone? (would implicate quick). or was it just because near EOD she was starting to push Gamma? I could honestly believe that scum team this game has been lurking

* Momentum toward NPOM at D1. Need to go back here and figure out how he got lynched when he did, I smell scum influence on it, and with the claim on D2 nabbing scum we've never really done a proper post-mortum on D1.

* Setup. Tomorrow is probably the day for a massclaim. Something is fishy with a vig, a near-cop, and a mafia strongman when no protective role has claimed. any protective role should have been on blair, even a jailkeeper should have been on blair. there's also the question of the fruit vendor, which is a red herring for one of the factions.

I'm also starting to wonder if all the active players are town and we are just talking past each other. there are a lot of lurker slots that have been slinking in and out. (I am guilty of this too.) votato is actually right about midway on this account, though i don't have a scumread on midway specifically and there are other slots that should be pressed too
Don't care.

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:26 am
by CantHateAPuppy
In post 492, Quick wrote:This is more or less my reads at this point.

Atarashi
mav, Gamma, Puppy
Dany, VP, Blair
votato
NPOM
R2R

But I would like to see what R2R brings to the table.

So this is my vote after analysis (seperate from what I have said ITT).

VOTE: NPOM
here's another question -- why do quick's reads seem to change so much from day to day? what he's explained of his "data" method does not explain this. his POE is completely different from day to day. tomorrow he should not get an easy pass on explaining himself when his reads are some big opaque black box that is producing reads that start to look convenient more than good.

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:27 am
by hellbooks
I guess I could see Quick acting like this as either alignment

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:27 am
by Quick
In post 1836, CantHateAPuppy wrote:
In post 492, Quick wrote:This is more or less my reads at this point.

Atarashi
mav, Gamma, Puppy
Dany, VP, Blair
votato
NPOM
R2R

But I would like to see what R2R brings to the table.

So this is my vote after analysis (seperate from what I have said ITT).

VOTE: NPOM
here's another question -- why do quick's reads seem to change so much from day to day? what he's explained of his "data" method does not explain this. his POE is completely different from day to day. tomorrow he should not get an easy pass on explaining himself when his reads are some big opaque black box that is producing reads that start to look convenient more than good.
Don't care.

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:28 am
by midwaybear
dude stop

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:32 am
by hellbooks
In post 883, Gammagooey wrote:
In post 880, votato wrote:I am ok with R2R wagon, but i also like puppies. gamma is towny to me. i suppose VOTE: puppy
I dunno if I've mentioned it since near the start of day 1 but Puppy's felt really open about his reads and what he thinks about other people's opinions and I think that's very likely to come from town - like pulling this from his iso for example
In post 692, CantHateAPuppy wrote:
In post 689, mavsfan41 wrote:Votato I lean town. I’m more torn on r2r/NPOM and think it’s likely one of them is scum. If both NPOM and votato are scum together they did one helluva convincing job since the early stages when Atarashi was still around. So I think if you wanted to suspect both, sure, but to suspect them both at the same time the way Nauci did it, no. I don’t really buy that.
Thinking votato is scum would be accepting that NPOM is town and vice versa.


I think Blair’s pursuit of Quick was misguided and off a premise that, sure, Quick had two contradictory thoughts of him being mysterious vs him being upfront, but I think that isn’t the greatest reasoning. It’s just Quick being Quick. But she has offered opinions outside of that conflict where I feel scum would naturally just tunnel in that situation and have no real motivation to move off or look towards other players. So sure, town for me rn.
i don't get how r2r fits into this

so u think nauci's progression doesn't make sense because she thinks npom/votato are scum, and there's no way they could both be scum, and this should be obvious to nauci. ok, with u so far

but now you say that votato is lean town, which means by your own logic that NPOM has to be scum, right? (see bolded.) so why are you torn on r2r/NPOM, isn't NPOM already looking scum to you just from votato/NPOM? Your process makes it look like Nauci is scummy for trying to have it both ways, but you look just as uncertain here
Like he's actively trying to figure out what people are thinking and why

I do think that he's wrong about you being scum but I pretty strongly think that he's town here
hmm

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:35 am
by hellbooks
In post 21, Gammagooey wrote:VPB was in the second game I ever played here and then in a few more that Vi modded in the way back times
VP, does Gamma bus?
In post 223, Gammagooey wrote:My strongest opinion so far is that Puppy looks surprisingly town for how early it is - his/her posting seems very open and straightforward so far and I think that kind of mindset is much more likely to come from town than scum
also this

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:36 am
by midwaybear
you realize that scum can have legit townreads?
pocketing? buddying?

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:37 am
by Errantparabola
yes that's what I'm implying here. I think Gamma's confidence in the puppy townread suggests he knows that puppy is town

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:38 am
by Errantparabola
FUCK

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:38 am
by CantHateAPuppy
In post 858, Umlaut wrote:
Vote Count 1.10 (Final)
Image


NoPowerOverMe
(7): Atarashi Hajimari, Quick, mavsfan41, Blair, votato, ready2rock, Dunnstral
ready2rock
(5): VP Baltar,
Gammagooey
,
CantLynchAPuppy, Nauci, NoPowerOverMe

votato
(1): iDanyboy

With 13 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.
for some reason BBC won't let me put blair's name in color

the top row is absolutely the POE town needs to work through. i don't think the fruit vendor claim or quick's data provide a good POE. still working out which order is best.

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:38 am
by hellbooks
In post 1843, Errantparabola wrote:yes that's what I'm implying here. I think Gamma's confidence in the puppy townread suggests he knows that puppy is town
lol.
let's see this thru no need for it to be secret anyway

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:39 am
by hellbooks
goodness gracious I'm so embarrassed

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:39 am
by hellbooks
Keep this on the DL okay guys?

Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:40 am
by CantHateAPuppy
you're errantparabola? sorry, i just remember you from when I played 5 years ago, I think i've actually played a game with you! (not sorry, won't tell you what my account was though :P )