Posted: Sun Feb 07, 2021 9:04 am
I really don't know where I'd defend myself frankly, I feel satisfied with my previous answers, if anything I'd like to convince you into a shot I'd prefer
scum cakez quotes himself quoting this empty shade, town cakez does notIn post 1763, SirCakez wrote:In post 1687, SirCakez wrote:HUB is going for the spam replace in approach to try to overwhelm the thread and older reads on their predecessor
No one should fall for it
he literally just perspective slipped himself scum lmaoIn post 1837, SirCakez wrote:HUB's entire push on me is bad OMGUS in an attempt to salvage his terrible slot
You'll need to walk me through it.In post 1838, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:he literally just perspective slipped himself scum lmaoIn post 1837, SirCakez wrote:HUB's entire push on me is bad OMGUS in an attempt to salvage his terrible slot
pushing cakez does nothing to 'salvage my slot' unless he is a hit lmao, if he was town he'd just get the gun and shoot me, so the only way my slot is 'salvaged' by pushing him is if he is shot and flips redIn post 1837, SirCakez wrote:HUB's entire push on me is bad OMGUS in an attempt to salvage his terrible slot
Well, my first guess is that you're more likely to delay it as scum because maybe you changed your mind on how to approach the push after seeing other players' reactions to your hype trailers for the Greatest Tell Ever. Look I understand there's plenty of reason to do it as any alignment, but the net result might not be completely symmetrical, so I can't help but notice. You can see why that's weird right? I'm hesitant to call it scummy because I'm wary that I'm way too deep in confirmation bias here.In post 1717, Imperium wrote:It's a busy time at work, which means I work an average of 12-14 hour days + an hour commute every day. I'm playing in a hydra because I don't have time to post consistently, you Carrot Top looking clown. Why would I delay this as either alignment? Why would I promise a big case on peta if I couldn't even write a case on peta? Do you think I have butterflies in my stomach because I'm afraid of you ripping my argument apart?
Which I'm finding more convincing because of our confirmed scum in Duchess who was shot for pretty much the same thing with Lotus. The one thing I think that goes against this is that (if I remember correctly) petapan did say that Imperium's reads were not clear, or fencesitting, or something like that. So that did happen. But most importantly, I think petapan's explanation of his gambit on Day 3 is more likely to come from scum than town. There's just way more scenarios where a scum wants to try that to get someone off their back, than a town actually doing a very very convoluted gambit. Now that I think about it, this is a net scum indicator.In post 1718, Imperium wrote:If Peta is town, then my expectation is that he's looking at the sum of our posting - instead of cherrypicking attacks that sound good and hiding behind "oh this is just a paranoid flash!", he'd be railing on us for not having clear reads, not having the influence on the gun he expected, stuff like that.
Can you quote me on this? I think I was pushing Imperium before you replaced in?In post 1813, petapan wrote:i think stt looks bad for trying to take advantage of me pushing you on day 2
What does this mean? What's "wikitell scum hunting"? Is doing that a scum tell? I can't parse what you're trying to say.In post 1727, Not_Mafia wrote:For someone called ScrewTheTell, he sure does a lot of wikitell scum hunting
What do you mean by wriggle? The only thing that bayesian nonesense does is quantify what people usually don't quantify when they do a wholistic read on people. Do you have examples of where you think I'm wriggling out of a proper explanation for my reads and actions?In post 1827, unwnd wrote:I'm saying to shoot him because I believe his equity as scum has gone up but he is a hard player to case as he'll always rely on his Bayesian nonsense to wriggle out of a situation.
This feels like whiteknightingIn post 1843, WhemeStar wrote:I townread HUB hub don’t betray me
You have a very formulaic playstyle for someone whose name suggests otherwiseIn post 1841, ScrewTheTells wrote:What does this mean? What's "wikitell scum hunting"? Is doing that a scum tell? I can't parse what you're trying to say.
I can't even parse thisIn post 1840, Happy Unbirthday Boon wrote:pushing cakez does nothing to 'salvage my slot' unless he is a hit lmao, if he was town he'd just get the gun and shoot me, so the only way my slot is 'salvaged' by pushing him is if he is shot and flips redIn post 1837, SirCakez wrote:HUB's entire push on me is bad OMGUS in an attempt to salvage his terrible slot
Sure but I don't have the same mindset and wouldn't let somebody else's reads keep me from shooting them.In post 1799, MUSHSHAGANA wrote:Ah, so it isn't a complete loss going into the next phase.
I think, Dunn, that the issue you're having here may be that the scummiest person in the game is Not_Mafia, and I don't trust myself to read that slot confidently. I think it's VERY SCUMMY, even taking NM's playstyle into consideration, but I have no prior experience. I'm taking a gamble on the basis of a SINGLE SOLITARY POST, "Who is Duchess?". And if NM is town, I think NM misses every. single. solitary. time. It's damn near gamethrowing to shoot there unless I'm 100% certain beyond all doubt, and I am distinctly not.
Of the active players, there's a balance to take into account, as well. I'm balancing scumminess and non-trash play. The scummiest one in the game is still a gamble if their play or their reads are total crap and I'm not confident about them. If I'm gambling, right, I want the greatest return on investment and the lowest risk. So I'm aiming to hit the scummiest slot that I am confident can hit scum themselves if they are in fact town.
That's a tough choice to make!
Would you not put yourself in the top 5 when you combine both considerations? I mean, you aren't obvtown, you said it yourself. But no one outside of the lurkslots is obvscum either, and none of them are so obvscum that with the NEXT DAMN SHOT controlling the fate of the game, I would want to gamble it on them. And most people here, let's face it, have trash reads. Just, as a matter of course. You and unwnd have the same scumpool, you said THAT yourself too. Why would I not include you if I include unwnd?