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Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:29 pm
by skitter30
hello roden!

~
ari how likely do u think we're in a irrel/mena tvt universe?

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:33 pm
by Roden
Hello

I skimmed the past couple pages and mod posts, can I get a basic summary of anything important/notable that happened so far?

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:37 pm
by Roden
Also the main reason I replaced in was because I saw it was Mala, and I knew from a recent town game of her's that she's been feeling off because of IRL stuff, so I town read the slot beforehand. After reading some of her posts this game, they seem very reminiscent of that game.

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:40 pm
by Aristeia
In post 1850, skitter30 wrote:hello roden!

~
ari how likely do u think we're in a irrel/mena tvt universe?

I don't really know

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:41 pm
by Aristeia
In post 1851, Roden wrote:Hello

I skimmed the past couple pages and mod posts, can I get a basic summary of anything important/notable that happened so far?
coalition failed - we are eliminating inside this group of 5:

skitter
ari
datisi
menal
irrelephant

you should let us know who you want to vote off.

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:44 pm
by skitter30
In post 1815, skitter30 wrote:right - i didn't read anybody this way except for like fire ... to me this implies that scum are in the people who were exceedingly likely to get in, like: ari, dats, yourself (i.e. vs the people unlikely to get in)
std was unlikely to get in for a while, and so was mena, so i think it's more damning for those 3 people
@irrel for tomorrow: i'm particularly interested in you responding to the above

Also i suppose ari and dats while we're at it

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:45 pm
by Roden
In post 1152, Ydrasse wrote:
Image

The coalition has
failed.

Members: Aristeia, Datisi, Irrelephant11, Menalque, skitter30
Gonna ISO skim these five for now.

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:48 pm
by skitter30
In post 1854, Aristeia wrote:
In post 1851, Roden wrote:Hello

I skimmed the past couple pages and mod posts, can I get a basic summary of anything important/notable that happened so far?
coalition failed - we are eliminating inside this group of 5:

skitter
ari
datisi
menal
irrelephant

you should let us know who you want to vote off.
Just to add:
Mena wants to kill std (who is not in the coalition!)
Irrwl wants fo kill mena
Mena also now probably wants to kill irrel

Flip today as of rn is looking to be between mena/irrel

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:50 pm
by Roden
In post 1854, Aristeia wrote:
In post 1851, Roden wrote:Hello

I skimmed the past couple pages and mod posts, can I get a basic summary of anything important/notable that happened so far?
coalition failed - we are eliminating inside this group of 5:

skitter
ari
datisi
menal
irrelephant

you should let us know who you want to vote off.
If I understand right, both scum can be in here. Is there anyone who can cross off the list as town? Since it was basically a nomination format, I'd consider town locking anyone who seemed to be a consistent choice Day 1.

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:52 pm
by Roden
Why does Mena want to kill outside of the coalition? Is it just a hard scum read?

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 3:59 pm
by Roden
In post 1483, Menalque wrote:I refuse to live in a world where StD is town
I don't understand this, Mena doesn't scum case STD before this post and only ever says that he needs more content in order to assess him.

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 4:10 pm
by fireisredsir
was about std, and he had previously said he wouldn't vote for a coalition with him in

not exactly a scumcase but yea

he had mentioned suspicion of him a few times before as well, like

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 4:13 pm
by fireisredsir
In post 1858, Roden wrote:If I understand right, both scum can be in here. Is there anyone who can cross off the list as town? Since it was basically a nomination format, I'd consider town locking anyone who seemed to be a consistent choice Day 1.
ye, 1 or 2 scum. skitter was prob consensus most townread during coalition forming, rn i think it's fairly equal between skitter/ari/datisi, with some people having paranoia on each of them

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 4:21 pm
by Roden
In post 1861, fireisredsir wrote: was about std, and he had previously said he wouldn't vote for a coalition with him in

not exactly a scumcase but yea

he had mentioned suspicion of him a few times before as well, like
I saw that, it just seems like there was suspicion, but it was never really explained until later. I did find a scum case afterwards but it's very meh, but I might change my mind after looking through STD's posts.
In post 1862, fireisredsir wrote:
In post 1858, Roden wrote:If I understand right, both scum can be in here. Is there anyone who can cross off the list as town? Since it was basically a nomination format, I'd consider town locking anyone who seemed to be a consistent choice Day 1.
ye, 1 or 2 scum. skitter was prob consensus most townread during coalition forming, rn i think it's fairly equal between skitter/ari/datisi, with some people having paranoia on each of them
Gonna skim Skitter next then. I'm looking through Mena and Datisi atm and I'm noticing that Datisi and Ari didn't seem to trust each other much early on, I'm kinda surprised they both ended up on the coalition.

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 4:34 pm
by Roden
I think Mena is town. Possibly TvT with STD? My gut says STD is town and that their attacks on each other feel familiar to a past TvT I've had with STD.

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 4:47 pm
by Roden
@Datisi:
Where's your head at? VCs aren't telling me anything about what you're thinking, you stuck to one coalition choice Day 1 and currently aren't voting anyone.

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 7:58 pm
by Datisi
In post 1800, Irrelephant11 wrote:Anyone see town!mena telling me to self-vote, please link me to the last time he did. 100% AtE to get one mislim in before I take him down
town!mena has told me to self-vote once

but that was after i was modconfirmed scum and the last yeet so not very comparative

i don't think it's scum!indicative for him though because i think scum-him would *know* it is not going to work, so the only reason to throw that out would be to try to get emotionally read as town. which, like, i see it most likely to be working on skitter or me, and i don't see why he would be calculating to do a "surface-level-scummy but townie to those who know me" action when the only people who would townread him from it already townread him

in my experience, scum-mena doesn't really get emotional like that, so i don't see it very likely to be coming out of pure frustration as scum (though, to be fair, i do remember reading somewhere that mena might have gotten emotional as scum in perpetual melo, but i did not play nor read that game, so if skitter could help me out here and tell me whether scum-mena is actually capable of non-calculated emotional stuff, that'd be grand)

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 8:21 pm
by fireisredsir
why do you not think it would work on ari

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 8:21 pm
by Datisi
In post 1808, skitter30 wrote:second bit: dats is townlocking ari, i'm not sure it's going the other way around as well
i would've made it clear if i was townlocking ari >.>
In post 1855, skitter30 wrote:
In post 1815, skitter30 wrote:right - i didn't read anybody this way except for like fire ... to me this implies that scum are in the people who were exceedingly likely to get in, like: ari, dats, yourself (i.e. vs the people unlikely to get in)
std was unlikely to get in for a while, and so was mena, so i think it's more damning for those 3 people
@irrel for tomorrow: i'm particularly interested in you responding to the above

Also i suppose ari and dats while we're at it
mmm, what's the actual idea? because i think you're asking two different questions here

fire is a player that at one point became seemingly "desparate", yes, but i think the same can be applied to mala and her sudden burst in posting at one point that i thought was very odd. obviously neither of these is actually like, indicative of much, since the coalition did ultimately fail, but maybe it's indicative of partners... i'll go check that after breakfast

{ari, dats, irrel, skitter} (i'm adding you there because i feel like it applies) were exceedingly likely to get in, nobody there didn't seem to be much desperation from anyone else, therefore there's scum in that group? i guess i disagree with the premise of people not being really desperate since i think both fire and mala fit that criteria at least at some points... mena was absent for a bit, so not like he could've gotten depserate anyway, and he voted in a coalition that was not his first choice when he got back; and std did not seem thrilled about being out...

like let me know if i'm misunderstanding your point, but i feel like "there wasn't much desperation about the coalition, therefore there's scum in the more narrow consensus" is not correct?

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 8:23 pm
by Datisi
In post 1867, fireisredsir wrote:why do you not think it would work on ari
because i don't think she knows mena as well as me/skitter do and hasn't played with him enough to start picking up on that? or rather, that mena would not be betting on that since he'd know she doesn't have that much exp with him as do skitter/me

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 8:25 pm
by Datisi
this is assuming that they have played together significantly less than skitter and i did, which is to be taken with a grain of salt because i'm not aware of every single game mena has ever played, but that's the way i'm looking at it currently

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 8:29 pm
by fireisredsir
maybe not specific meta points but like the AtE in general clearly did have an effect on ari

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 8:29 pm
by Datisi
In post 1864, Roden wrote:I think Mena is town.
why?
In post 1865, Roden wrote:
@Datisi:
Where's your head at? VCs aren't telling me anything about what you're thinking, you stuck to one coalition choice Day 1 and currently aren't voting anyone.
i have an iso >.> but basically, thinking mena is town for [meta reasons that seem to not vibe with anyone other than skitter], ari is town for the way she played d1. have been thinking skitter is most likely scum in the coalition for a while (but i've kinda liked her more recent posting i guess??? jury's still out), and getting increasingly nervous about irrel

outside the coalition, thinking fire is town but fuck if i know about the other three -- std is more likely to be town than the other two i guess but i am v low confidence on all of those

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 8:29 pm
by Datisi
In post 1864, Roden wrote:I think Mena is town.
why?
In post 1865, Roden wrote:
@Datisi:
Where's your head at? VCs aren't telling me anything about what you're thinking, you stuck to one coalition choice Day 1 and currently aren't voting anyone.
i have an iso >.> but basically, thinking mena is town for [meta reasons that seem to not vibe with anyone other than skitter], ari is town for the way she played d1. have been thinking skitter is most likely scum in the coalition for a while (but i've kinda liked her more recent posting i guess??? jury's still out), and getting increasingly nervous about irrel

outside the coalition, thinking fire is town but fuck if i know about the other three -- std is more likely to be town than the other two i guess but i am v low confidence on all of those

Posted: Wed May 18, 2022 8:30 pm
by fireisredsir
ty for bringing up perpetual melo btw now that ive read some of that i don't feel bad at all for considering that the emotion could be faked