Posted: Fri Feb 05, 2021 10:34 am
I was mafia the game this quote is from, maybe I was lying for towncred?In post 4266, Prism wrote:I wanted you N1ed basically because you weren't ever getting lynched (Which is my #1 criteria for shots)
Silfra Fissure? Salsa Fairy???? I sense a conspiracy here.In post 1875, fferyllt wrote:Silfra Fissure
It was my impression that fairy wanted flow trap yesterday. If Prism is scum, flow trap is probably the highest frequency partner; given my suspicion with you yesterday, and how much I trust Prism, I think an elim on Fairy and a push v. you really only makes sense from that perspective. I don't think Spartian fights back to protect your slot quite so hard in that scenario, not today; maybe they make a show of considering changing their mind on you after prism goes hard questioning them today or something. Though obviously biased, I don't think prism + I play like this as partners/it feels like there are better paths to victory for us (that probably involve keeping Fairy alive to push flow trap today).In post 1871, floo wrote: Assuming Prism is scum (which I will do since if Prism is town, this game is already lost), I don't see quiet being a partner. Relying on flow trap to provide you the final 5p ELO vote, really? They'd rather keep fairy alive to vote me. Thus I see a >2/3 chance (in other words, more likely than a random choice) that either Spartan or flow is Prism's scumpartner, who is waiting in the background for quiet's 2nd vote on me, then they will have hammer me.
You credit the spartian/prism as more viable. I find it really, really interesting that you find Spartan's reads "pockety and unnatral". This is something that was raised as a concern, that the read was a little lightweight. Prism was pushing really hard in thread for spartian to justify their TR on you (as prismTown, to try and see if spartian was trying to save their scumbuddy, which seems a tough awkward, or to try and resort; as prismScum, to shade by association, I guess? To try and push them off the read?).Spartan the more likely partner for him and Prism avoiding each other more. Spartan's reads on me feel more pockety, as in unnatural. They would only stated after the Sal push started; I don't see how me writing essays gets Spartan being silent on the floo read to "oh he's my strongest townread." flow trap, he could be an actor, but his progression from the early D1 townread on me to an eventual preference over Prism (even though both sound town), is more natural. Plus Spartan is more likely to get away with a bus. One reason to think Spartan is the town is that he has been more apt at materializing and hard-arguing a push, but he doesn't seem too confident in his push in not voting Fred until later D2 and suspecting quiet for some time.
also at this point you are just teasing me, i'm going to have so many emotions if the mod interactions are a play.In post 1884, Prism wrote:Did I unvote in a fever dream? Are you unused to me actually voting the mafia instead of being the scum MVP as town?
To clarify, I have gotten a number of flow trap town pings. I've really liked how they've approached today, and I think right now, my ultimate conclusion on the flow trap slot is that our chaos god is an ever so slightly benevolent one, but it's chaos so my level of certainty here is trash.In post 1885, quiet wrote:I'm still really struggling to find the Prism scumread, though, and have been getting a number of flow trap pings today. This makes prism + flow trap hard for me to stomach, but the highest frequency.
I am deeply concerned about your progression on floo here.In post 1862, quiet wrote:I really, really liked floo day1. I was against eliminating floo yesterday, for basically the same reason you have pulled out in that review of their play; their posts throughout the game give almost every appearance of being from someone who wanted to solve the game, and I was really hoping I'd see something today to help support that feeling. But basically, as it stands, finding an innocent floo means finding a guilty prism. And here's where the case on floo starts to sour a bit.
My suspicion of floo mostly comes from what they are not posting, and not responding to. It comes from a place of me really struggling to TR someone who won't engage and casually throw out reads, or some kind of flash impression take.
My concern here is that you've apparently done a lot of meta research, found very good reasons to townread me with it, and instead it's in this wall about why I'm town for mostly tonal reasons to do with my intensity, anxiety, friendship/rivalry with ffery, etc. You're not wrong but this isn't even trying to really convince anyone that I'm town, these are super subjective. With the meta case there areIn post 1846, quiet wrote:Would you like me too? Frankly, I find copying and pasting between threads challenging, I think meta reads are generally good ancillary evidence, but not case building in of themselves. I’ve reviewed some games from you and I reviewed what was available from Salsa in the context of a floo read; I took a quick look at floo, but was planning to do so much more before I voted tmmrw, just wanted to see if they would engage in a more causal chat with me first. I also did the Flow Trap alternate form metaread of the game they linked (and was very proud to determine who they were despite our chaos god not telling me their alt’s name. It was very exciting.)
I mean, given the concrete reads I've given this game and the concrete flips, what do you think?In post 1886, quiet wrote:also at this point you are just teasing me, i'm going to have so many emotions if the mod interactions are a play.
like I know it's totally in bounds, but god.
Can you be more specific here? It looks like you understood Spartan's position quite well.In post 1888, quiet wrote:To clarify, I have gotten a number of flow trap town pings. I've really liked how they've approached today, and I think right now, my ultimate conclusion on the flow trap slot is that our chaos god is an ever so slightly benevolent one, but it's chaos so my level of certainty here is trash.
In post 1776, Prism wrote:In post 1773, quiet wrote:See here's the thing about that, though, is I'd expect them to be pushing you at this point if that was the case. Like, I'd expect the floo vs. Prism thing to have emerged at this point, and it really hasn't. Is my intuition way off there?I lean that Spartan is scum right now over flow trap, if you're wondering.In post 1774, quiet wrote:Like in a townSpartian world where they're trying to get spartian to vote you, doesn't someone, anyone, jump on board my paranoia trip?
We got floo coming in with the plausable shade, but that feels soft compared to what could have happened earlier today to support townSpartian's suspicion on you, to fuel the fire of a floo vs Prism spartian re-enact 300 defend floo from an army of Prisms type situation.
It's hard for me vs. floo to emerge when floo just posted for the first time and I've spent the day checking into the other 3 slots first.
In post 1799, Prism wrote:I also disagree on flow trap/Spartan, which is part of why I'm voting. Spartan was around yesterday explicitly for the possibility of flipping to flow trap. Just doesn't post and goes to bed as scum/scum.
There was something else earlier that gave me the same feeling that I'll quote if I find but like ???In post 1785, quiet wrote:@prism when you pick up, I'd be curious for your assessment on a spartan/floo team. It seems decently in play to me, I do think it's feasable that Spartan TRs a scumbuddy, especially as they have accused both me and you of doing the same.
Prism, stop poking at me.In post 1889, Prism wrote:My concern here is that you've apparently done a lot of meta research, found very good reasons to townread me with it, and instead it's in this wall about why I'm town for mostly tonal reasons to do with my intensity, anxiety, friendship/rivalry with ffery, etc. You're not wrong but this isn't even trying to really convince anyone that I'm town, these are super subjective. With the meta case there are extremely concrete reasons for why I'm town that are objective, which you've apparently reviewed but chosen not to present except as secondary to the more emotional appeal.
You've given good reads for the most part and been spot on at times but there are real problems with your positioning around floo and how you've approached the day, and it's not okay that I handwaive it just because you've presented good analytical ability with no obvious ulterior motive, when the ulterior motive for you would just be to never get voted rather than trying too hard to frame someone else.
I appreciate the response about the 12-24 hours but it's unclear how legitimate it is and if speeding it up in wake of no response would be a good idea anyway, while speeding the game up is absolutely good for you as scum if you're bussing.
Frankly, I think your concrete reads are the thing YOU could most easily fake as scum, and the ffery interactions would be considerably harder. That's just my take, and why I've been focusing there. I'm sure there's enough mechanical info for me to dig into at this point to find places where you could have made different plays as scum that would have been more +EV that help mechanically support that read (mostly around yesterday's NK and flips), but I've been trying to focus on sorting between the three other slots. You've already gone into the history a bit, and that's factored into my current read.In post 1891, Prism wrote:I mean, given the concrete reads I've given this game and the concrete flips, what do you think?
I can go through the history behind me/ffery if someone wants but that's not really the concern here imo.
I mean, respectfully, no, I'm essentially a forced NK and do not get to do this tomorrow and have instead just been AFK going "I guess it's Spartan" even though Spartan's hard defense Day 2 and openly begging me not to vote floo is really questionable as scum over something more in between.In post 1895, quiet wrote:Prism, stop poking at me.
I understand that as town you're saying you weren't going to actually vote in 12-24 hours. As scum though it's not you "slipping" or not being "halfway decent", it would be you rushing the game to your benefit. It's absolutely fine to draw attention to yourself in a bus, especially when you can blitz if someone else makes the opposite vote.In post 1895, quiet wrote:yes yes something something retroactive logic, but prism, if I'm as halfway decent as you seem to believe, why would I slip like that? Why wouldn't I just ride it out, wait for the time to tick over a bit? I don't think the cost of making you even more suspicious would be worth the accelerated day, and the attention it would bring to me, assuming I'm trying to bus here. Also, wouldn't my positioning on floo be way different?
I mean this again isn'tIn post 1897, quiet wrote:Frankly, I think your concrete reads are the thing YOU could most easily fake as scum, and the ffery interactions would be considerably harder.