Sure.
Arkham Asylum, jjh, Egix, and Turin Turambar are town.
Given that, there's ~2 scum in {CheekyTeeky, Pine, Binary Star, Chemist, Chickadee}.
Given that we have two mislynches that's a 66% chance at victory at worst by my probably-horrifically-wrong mental math.
This list is kind of awful.
Your only town reads are [the most widely town-read megahydra slot], [someone who claimed a reviver type role], [our connection to the dead thread] (all widely townread), and jjh. Not that I have any reason to scum read jjh, but why is jjh in that list?
And your scum list is.......everyone else.
Posted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 3:26 pm
by Chickadee
of your willing-to-lynch list, which of those do you have actual thoughts on Masting?
I want to believe you're town here, and I'm having a hard time.
Posted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 5:08 pm
by OSTENTATIOUS
Chickadee is also town.
Posted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 5:12 pm
by OSTENTATIOUS
Flavor Leaf and Dr Easy Bake may actually be aligned.
Flavor Leaf is withholding a lot of information until after the end of this coming night phase. My slot is a night-kill magnet.
Dr Easy Bake is in favour of FL's stance despite not having a read on FL or much else in the game. Reads coerced.
Posted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 5:15 pm
by OSTENTATIOUS
Do not end this phase under any circumstances. I have information.
Posted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 8:51 pm
by Arkham Asylum
As a heads up, boon and deb are friends irl and deb also doesn't give a f about his winrate so deb "boon-siding" wouldn't surprise me even if they don't share alignment
Yeah, there are two things I don't get about that:
1. If the Graveyard have a factional kill, why have they (seemingly) not used it yet?
2. What's there to stop the scum from effectively using it as a second KP by just sniping @deadline?
Posted: Tue Jul 23, 2019 6:54 am
by Chickadee
OSTENTATIOUS is town, so I'm curious what exactly you're questioning. Feel free to wait for their answer before answering mine. I'm just trying to get an in on your line of thinking here.
Posted: Tue Jul 23, 2019 7:25 am
by Egix96
In post 1914, Chickadee wrote:OSTENTATIOUS is town, so I'm curious what exactly you're questioning. Feel free to wait for their answer before answering mine. I'm just trying to get an in on your line of thinking here.
I'm not doubting that Osten is town. I was simply stating what I didn't understand about how a Graveyard Factional Kill might work.
And no, Osten doesn't have to answer if they think it would be detrimental.
In post 1914, Chickadee wrote:OSTENTATIOUS is town, so I'm curious what exactly you're questioning. Feel free to wait for their answer before answering mine. I'm just trying to get an in on your line of thinking here.
I'm not doubting that Osten is town. I was simply stating what I didn't understand about how a Graveyard Factional Kill might work.
And no, Osten doesn't have to answer if they think it would be detrimental.
Ok, that's what I thought. Just making sure.
Posted: Tue Jul 23, 2019 8:03 am
by Chickadee
None of these tiers are in any particular order:
Never lynch
Arkham Asylum
Egix96
OSTENTATIOUS
Would not lynch today
Pine
jjh927
Less lynchable
mastina
More lynchable
Binary Star
CheekyTeeky
Chemist1422
I did ask for POE lists from people, so I figured I'd make mine. I still want a claim from Binary before doing anything vote-wise. It's the only claim we're missing.
If anyone is available to help sort through this, I would appreciate it. I had kind of a hard time finding reasons to place some of these peeple. Particularly chemist. I want to go take another look at that slot. I'm having trouble remembering anything from them, which makes me think they're sinking into the background.
Posted: Tue Jul 23, 2019 8:31 am
by Chickadee
Anyone have points for Chemist either way? Their ISO is full of easy statements.
I did ask for POE lists from people, so I figured I'd make mine. I still want a claim from Binary before doing anything vote-wise. It's the only claim we're missing.
If anyone is available to help sort through this, I would appreciate it. I had kind of a hard time finding reasons to place some of these peeple. Particularly chemist. I want to go take another look at that slot. I'm having trouble remembering anything from them, which makes me think they're sinking into the background.
Yeah, there are two things I don't get about that:
1. If the Graveyard have a factional kill, why have they (seemingly) not used it yet?
2. What's there to stop the scum from effectively using it as a second KP by just sniping @deadline?
1: they targeted AA who was saved by Dannflor.
2: nothing.
Posted: Tue Jul 23, 2019 11:45 am
by OSTENTATIOUS
Don't like jjh. Otherwise agree with your comments